• 제목/요약/키워드: Life time estimation

검색결과 405건 처리시간 0.03초

PDP 열화분석 예제를 통한 랜덤계수모델에서의 고장시간분포 추정 (Failure-Time Estimation from Nonlinear Random-Coefficients Model: PDP Degradation Analysis)

  • 배석주;김성준
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2006년도 학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.181-191
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    • 2006
  • As an alternative to traditional life testing, degradation tests can be effective in assessing product reliability when measurements of degradation leading to failure can be observed. This article proposes a new model to describe the nonlinear degradation paths caused by nano-contamination for plasma display panels (PDPs) : a bi-exponential model with random coefficients. A sequential likelihood ratio test was executed to select random effects in the nonlinear model. Analysis results indicate that the reliability estimation can be improved substantially by using the nonlinear random-coefficients model to incorporate both inherent degradation characteristics and contamination effects of impurities for PDP degradation paths.

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유한요소법을 이용한 치아 임플랜트 피로수명 예측 (FATIGUE LIFE ESTIMATION OF IMPLANT USING A FINITE ELEMENT METHOD)

  • 한인숙;손정훈;양영수;이승영
    • 대한치과보철학회지
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.414-420
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    • 2006
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study is to use finite element analysis to predict the fatigue life of an implant system subjected to fatigue load by mastication (chewing force). The reliability and the stability of implant system can be defined in terms of the fatigue strength. Not only an implant is expensive but also it is almost impossible to correct after it is inserted. From a bio-engineering standpoint, the fatigue strength of the dental implant system must be evaluated by simulation (FEA). Material and Methods Finite element analysis and fatigue test are performed to estimate the fatigue strength of the implant system. Mesh of implant is generated with the actual shape and size. In this paper, the fatigue strength of implant system is estimated. U-fit (T. Strong, Korea, internal type). The stress field in implant is calculated by elastic-plastic finite element analysis. The equivalent fatigue stress, considering the contact and preload stretching of a screw by torque for tightening an abutment, is obtained by means of Sine's method. To evaluate the reliability of the calculated fatigue strength, fatigue test is performed. Results: A comparison of the calculated fatigue strength with experimental data showed the validity and accuracy of the proposed method. The initiation points of the fatigue failure in the implant system exist in the region of high equivalent fatigue stress values. Conclusion: The above proposed method for fatigue life estimation tan be applied to other configurations of the differently designed and improved implant. In order to prove reliability of prototype implant, fatigue test should be executed. The proposed method is economical for the prediction of fatigue life because fatigue testing, which is time consuming and precision-dependent, is not required.

소형 액체 로켓 엔진에서의 점화 시퀀스 결정 및 인젝터 수명 연장 기법 평가 (Determination of Ignition Squence and Estimation of Injector Life Extension Technique in Liquid Rocket Engine)

  • 박정;김용욱;김영한;문일윤;이재룡;강선일;정용갑;조남경;오승협
    • 한국연소학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2000
  • Experimental studies on determination of the supply leading time of propellants to combustion chamber have been made to stably and efficiently guarantee the ignition process with liquid rocket engine. The propellant used is a Jet A-1 as fuel and a liquid oxygen as oxidizer. Unlike impinging FOOF type of injectors are arranged radially and the designed O/F ratio is 2.34. The present experiment program also includes the stability on the quadlet type of ignitor using the triethylalumimum as an ignition source and injector life tests. Experimental results clarifies that the propellant supply through LOx leading to combustion chamber is proper for stable ignition and combustion processes based on the fuel and oxidizer manifold pressures, combustion chamber pressure, and the variation of flame length from the nozzle exit with lapse time, and shows that the leading supply time of propellants affects the engine performance little. The effect of positioning cooling holes is remarkable to protect the injector face.

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Time-Varying Hemodynamic Characteristics Simulation using Computerized Mock Circulatory Loop System with Servo Flow Regulator

  • Moon, Youngjin;Son, Kuk Hui;Choi, Jaesoon
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.264-270
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    • 2015
  • A mock circulatory loop system has been developed to construct a simulator for trainees in cardiopulmonary bypass systems or to simulate a test environment for cardiac-assist devices. This paper proposes a computerized mock circulatory loop system whose node is modularized by using a servo control flow regulator to simulate dynamic change of the hemodynamic status. To observe the effect of time-varying resistance, one with hemodynamic properties, the proposed system replicates the planned cross-sectional areas of the outlet of a ventricular assist device in terms of voltage input of a servo valve. The experiment is performed (1) for steady-input commands of selected area sizes and (2) for dynamic commands such as monotonous increase and decrease, and oscillatory functions of the voltage input, and a computer program based on LabVIEW (National Instruments, Austin, USA) processes every measured data and control command to the servo valve. The results show that the pressure and flow at the target points with respect to time-varying resistance match intuitive estimation: the pressure at the outlet and the pressure drop between both sides of the valve increased and the flow at the outlet decreased for increased resistance.

시계열 적용기간에 따른 사망력 추정 및 예측결과 비교 - LC모형과 LC 코호트효과 확장모형을 중심으로 - (Comparison of Mortality Estimate and Prediction by the Period of Time Series Data Used)

  • 정규남;백지선;김동욱
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.1019-1032
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    • 2013
  • 최근 급격한 기대수명의 증가에 따라 미래 복지정책 등에 커다란 영향을 주는 장래 사망력의 정확한 예측은 중요한 이슈가 되고 있다. 사망력의 정확한 예측을 위하여 최적의 추정모형의 선택도 중요하지만 사망력에 대한 시계열 적용기간도 매우 중요한 이슈다. 이는 우리나라의 사망률 시계열이 짧고, 특히 1982년 이전 자료가 다소 불완전해서 이에 대한 고려가 필수적이기 때문이다. 본 논문에서는 우리나라 사망력 시계열을 기간에 따라 2개의 그룹(1976~2005년, 1983~2005년)으로 나누어서, 남녀별로 LC모형과 LC 코호트효과 확장모형에 대한 모수 추정값, 사망력지수와 코호트지수의 모형화 및 예측, 장래 기대수명의 예측 적합력을 각각 분석한 후 향후에 장래 기대수명 추계시 고려할 시사점을 제시하고자 한다.

상호 온도의존성의 차이에 따른 TTI의 식품 shelf life 예측 정확성에 대한 수리적 분석 (Mathematical Analysis on TTI's Estimation Accuracy of Food Shelf Life Depending on its Discrepancy in Temperature Dependence)

  • 강진원;최정화;박수연;김민정;김민중;이만희;정승원;이승주
    • 한국포장학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2014
  • 시간-온도이력 지시계(TTI)는 시간-온도 이력에 따라 색이 변하는 작은 라벨로서 온도 의존성이 매우 중요한 성능 요소이다. TTI 색변화와 식품의 Arrhenius 활성화 에너지의 차이(${\Delta}Ea$)에 따른 shelf life 예측 오차를 수리적으로 분석하였다. 수리적 분석을 위하여 TTI의 kinetics는 0차반응, 식품은 1차반응에 해당하며 모두 Arrhenius 온도의존성을 따르는 것으로 가정하였다. TTI의 Ea가 식품보다 크거나 작은 경우 그리고 그 차이의 크기에 의한 효과를 분석하였다. 식품의 Ea가 TTI보다 작은 경우 온도변화에 따른 shelf life를 연산한 결과, TTI의 shelf life(색 변화의 종료 시점)가 식품의 shelf life(부패 시점)에 먼저 도달하였고, 식품이 TTI보다 큰 경우에는 식품이 shelf life에 먼저 도달하는 반대의 결과를 나타내었다. 또한 ${\Delta}Ea$의 크기가 클수록 shelf life의 차이도 크게 증가하였다. 결론적으로 TTI의 Ea가 식품보다 크거나 그 차이가 작을수록 TTI에 의하여 식품의 부패 시점이 안전하거나(shelf $life_{Food}$ > shelf $life_{TTI}$) 정확하게(shelf $life_{Food}{\fallingdotseq}$ shelf $life_{TTI}$) 예측됨을 알 수 있었다.

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Analysis of Real-Time Estimation Method Based on Hidden Markov Models for Battery System States of Health

  • Piao, Changhao;Li, Zuncheng;Lu, Sheng;Jin, Zhekui;Cho, Chongdu
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2016
  • A new method is proposed based on a hidden Markov model (HMM) to estimate and analyze battery states of health. Battery system health states are defined according to the relationship between internal resistance and lifetime of cells. The source data (terminal voltages and currents) can be obtained from vehicular battery models. A characteristic value extraction method is proposed for HMM. A recognition framework and testing datasets are built to test the estimation rates of different states. Test results show that the estimation rates achieved based on this method are above 90% under single conditions. The method achieves the same results under hybrid conditions. We can also use the HMMs that correspond to hybrid conditions to estimate the states under a single condition. Therefore, this method can achieve the purpose of the study in estimating battery life states. Only voltage and current are used in this method, thereby establishing its simplicity compared with other methods. The batteries can also be tested online, and the method can be used for online prediction.

로봇 팔을 활용한 정리작업을 위한 물체 자세추정 및 이미지 매칭 (Pose Estimation and Image Matching for Tidy-up Task using a Robot Arm)

  • 박정란;조현준;송재복
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.299-305
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the task of robotic tidy-up is to clean the current environment up exactly like a target image. To perform a tidy-up task using a robot, it is necessary to estimate the pose of various objects and to classify the objects. Pose estimation requires the CAD model of an object, but these models of most objects in daily life are not available. Therefore, this study proposes an algorithm that uses point cloud and PCA to estimate the pose of objects without the help of CAD models in cluttered environments. In addition, objects are usually detected using a deep learning-based object detection. However, this method has a limitation in that only the learned objects can be recognized, and it may take a long time to learn. This study proposes an image matching based on few-shot learning and Siamese network. It was shown from experiments that the proposed method can be effectively applied to the robotic tidy-up system, which showed a success rate of 85% in the tidy-up task.

반응 표면 분석법을 활용한 자동차용 현가스프링 최적화 설계 (Optimal design of car suspension springs by using a response surface method)

  • 유동우;김도엽;신동규
    • EDISON SW 활용 경진대회 논문집
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    • 제5회(2016년)
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    • pp.246-255
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    • 2016
  • When spring of the suspension is exerted by an external load, a car should be designed to prevent predictable damages and designed for a ride comfort. We used experiments design to design VON-MISES STRESS and K, a constant, of spring of suspension which is installed in a car as a goal level. We analyzed the result from Edison's Elastic - Plastic Analysis SW(CSD_EPLAST) by setting D, d, n as external diameter of coil, internal diameter of coil, the number of total coil respectively. The experiment design let the outcome be as Full-second order by using Box-Behnken which is one of response surface methods. Experimented and analyzed results based on the established experiments design, We found out design parameter which has desired VON-MISES STRESS and the constant K. Additionally, we predicted life time of when the external load was exerted by repeated load by using fatigue equation, and verification of plastic deformation has also been made. Additionally we interpreted a model, which is formed by optimized design parameter, with linear analysis and non-linear analysis, at the same time we also analyzed plastic deformation with the values from the both models. Finally, we predicted fatigue life of optimized model by using fatigue estimation theory and also evaluated a ride comfort with oscillation analysis.

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비선형 강도함수 특성을 이용한 유한고장 NHPP모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기 비교 연구 (The Comparative Study of Software Optimal Release Time of Finite NHPP Model Considering Property of Nonlinear Intensity Function)

  • 김경수;김희철
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제11권9호
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 소프트웨어 제품을 개발하여 테스팅을 거친 후 사용자에게 인도하는 시기를 결정하는 방출문제에 대하여 연구 하였다. 소프트웨어의 결함을 제거하거나 수정 작업과정에서 유한고장수를 가진 비동질적인 포아송과정에 기초하였다. 수명강도는 다양한 형상모수와 척도모수에 이용 할 수 있기 때문에 신뢰성 분야에서 많이 사용되는 비선형 특성을 가진 반-로지스틱 분포 모형을 이용한 방출시기에 관한 문제를 제시하였다. 소프트웨어 요구 신뢰도를 만족시키고 소프트웨어 개발 및 유지 총비용을 최소화 시키는 최적 소프트웨어 방출 정책에 대하여 논의 되었다. 본 논문의 수치적인 예에서는 고장 시간 자료를 적용하였으며 모수추정 방법은 최우추정법을 이용하고 최적 방출시기를 추정하였다. 따라서 소프트웨어 방출시기를 사전 정보로 활용하면 잠재적 보안피해액을 줄 일 수 있다고 판단된다.