• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life Hazard Risk

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Assessment of Earthquake Disaster Risk in Seoul Metropolitan Area (서울지역 지진 재해 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.5 no.4 s.19
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • The principal basic concepts of aseismic design minimize damage of human-life and have little probability during life of structures. For detailed understanding of the design, the best reasonable countermeasure can be possible equally the smallest damage of human-life and economic loss. As a result, it can be achieved by notion of not structure-centered but city-centered, the notion is actualized by development of a macro-level evaluation. A seismic damage between city and country is different. And the larger the city then, the greater the loss by rather collateral hazards than collapse of structures. Hence, the macro-evaluation of an earthquake disaster is suitable for an old city where is center of political and economic activity, and is concentration of population and infrastructure. This study aims to develop comprehensive earthquake desaster risk index, and assesses relative earthquake risk of six zones in Seoul metropolitan area.

Risk Analysis Method Applied to Train Control Systems for Safety Assurance (열차제어시스템 안전성 확보를 위한 위험도 분석 방법 적용)

  • Jo, Hyun-Jeong;Hwang, Jong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2007
  • Failures of equipments for train control systems are linked directly to extensive damages of human lives or financial losses from the increasing uses of train control equipments utilizing computers. Then safety activities for assuring safety and reliability are needed during the system life-cycle. Risk analysis is important phase to increase safety from determining the risk presented by the identified hazard. In this paper, we investigated several methods for risk estimation of safety activities, and then we drew a comparison between original methods to suggest optimized one in the application to train control systems. In the result of the comparison, we had plan to propose the risk analysis method called Best-Practice(BP) risk method combining advantages of the qualitative and the quantitative analysis. In addition, we attempted to apply the BP-risk method to domestic train control systems handling in Korea.

Urban Quality of Life Assessment Using Satellite Image and Socioeconomic Data in GIS

  • Jun, Byong-Woon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.325-335
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    • 2006
  • This paper evaluates and maps the quality of life in the Atlanta, Georgia metropolitan area in 2000. Three environmental variables from Landsat TM data, four socioeconomic variables from census data, and a hazard-related variable from toxic release inventory (TRI) database were integrated into a geographic information system (GIS) environment for the quality of life assessment. To solve the incompatibility problem in areal units among different data, the four socioeconomic variables aggregated by zonal units were spatially disaggregated into individual pixels. Principal components analysis (PCA) was employed to integrate and transform environmental, socioeconomic, and hazard-related variables into a resultant quality of life score for each pixel. Results indicate that the highest quality of life score was found around Sandy Springs, Roswell, Alphretta, and the northern parts of Fulton County along Georgia 400 whereas the lowest quality of life score was clustered around Smyma of Cobb County, the inner city of Atlanta, and Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport. The results also reveals that normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and relative risk from TRI facilities are two versatile indicators of environmental and socioeconomic quality of an urban area in the United States.

Distribution Transformer Statistical Expected Life Evaluation and Removal Adequacy Review (배전 변압기의 통계적 기대 수명 평가 및 초기 고장제거 적정성 검토)

  • Chong-Eun, Cho;Sang-Bong, Kim;On-You, Lee;Kang-Sik, Kim
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the amount of maintenance is increasing due to the aging of power facilities, but the budget is constrained. Therefore, the importance of asset management that selects replacement priorities based on the failure probability and enhances investment effects is increasing. Because the number of distribution transformers is very large, the proportion of investment cost is very high. Therefore, it is important to select the investment priority by evaluating the reliable remaining life based on the failure probability. This paper evaluates the statistical expected life using the failure data of distribution transformers for the last 11 years and the current operation data. The hazard rate of distribution transformer and MV cable was compared with each other and the adequacy of early failure removal was reviewed and the statistical expected life corresponding to the cumulative failure probability B3% was calculated.

Pesticide Risk and Benefit Assessment

  • Birtley, Robin D.N.
    • Korean Journal of Weed Science
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 1993
  • The benefits of pesticides in improving the food quantity and quality requirements for an increasing world population are significant, and they can be described in agronomic, economic and social terms. The risks are assessed from the hazards which are likely to occur in practice ; the hazards are defined by the toxicity of the pesticide to non-target organisms at various exposure levels. There are ways of reducing the risks (mainly by reducing exposure in practice) and improving the benefits of pesticides ; these are known as risk management and benefit management respectively. The overall risk-benefit assessment is facilitated if each component can be expressed in financial terms, but it must be made nationally or locally on a sound technical basis against the prevailing agronomic, socio-economic and political circumstances. Paraquat is used to illustrate the risk-benefit assessment process in general terms, and the conclusion is that the benefits greatly outweigh the risks. It is important to keep the risks of pesticides in perspective with those associated with other naturally occurring chemicals in our diet and with other everyday aspects of life. In an overall context, the pesticide risk is small.

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Development of a Road Hazard Map Considering Meteorological Factors (기상인자를 고려한 도로 위험지도 개발)

  • Kim, Hyung Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2017
  • Recently, weather information is getting closer to our real life, and it is a very important factor especially in the transportation field. Although the damage caused by the abnormal climate changes around the world has been gradually increased and the correlation between the road risk and the possibility of traffic accidents is very high, the domestic research has been performed at the level of basic research. The Purpose of this study is to develop a risk map for the road hazard forecasting service of weather situation by linking real - time weather information and traffic information based on accident analysis data by weather factors. So, we have developed a collection and analysis about related data, processing, applying prediction models in various weather conditions and a method to provide the road hazard map for national highways and provincial roads on a web map. As a result, the road hazard map proposed in this study can be expected to be useful for road managers and users through online and mobile services in the future. In addition, information that can support safe autonomous driving by continuously archiving and providing a risk map database so as to anticipate and preemptively prepare for the risk due to meteorological factors in the autonomous driving vehicle, which is a key factor of the 4th Industrial Revolution, and this map can be expected to be fully utilized.

Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster in Jinbu Area Using Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀분석모델을 활용한 평창군 진부 지역의 산사태 재해의 인명 위험 평가)

  • Rahnuma, Bintae Rashid Urmi;Al, Mamun;Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with risk assessment of life in a landslide-prone area by a GIS-based modeling method. Landslide susceptibility maps can provide a probability of landslide prone areas to mitigate or proper control this problems and to take any development plan and disaster management. A landslide inventory map of the study area was prepared based on past historical information and aerial photography analysis. A total of 550 landslides have been counted at the whole study area. The extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two different groups, 50% of the landslides were used for model calibration and the other were used for validation purpose. Eleven causative factors (continuous and thematic) such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in hazard analysis. The correlation between landslides and these factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. Eventually, a landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a logistic regression model based on entire events. Moreover, the landslide susceptibility map was plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the area under the curve (AUC) and tried to extract a success rate curve. Based on the results, logistic regression produced an 85.18% accuracy, so we believed that the model was reliable and acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis on the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, vulnerability scale were added for social thematic data layer. The study area predictive landslide affected pixels 2,000 and 5,000 were also calculated for making a probability table. In final calculation, the 2,000 predictive landslide affected pixels were assumed to run. The total population causalities were estimated as 7.75 person that was relatively close to the actual number published in Korean Annual Disaster Report, 2006.

Development of a Sustainable Community-based Hazard Map Creation Support System for Traditional Towns with Local Heritage

  • Okazaki, Yasuhisa;Mori, Seina;Wakuya, Hiroshi;Mishima, Nobuo;Hayashida, Yukuo;Min, Byung-Won
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 2016
  • This paper describes design and development of a system that supports continuous creation of hazard maps by local residents in their daily life. We made an interview survey to design our system in a model traditional town in Saga, Japan. The results show that in spite of continuous efforts, many practical problems remain and residents feel unsafe. Based on these results, we designed and developed a unique ICT-based support system which contributes to community-based disaster prevention/reduction. The continuous resident participation and posting design are core concept for our sustainable community-based approach. Our system continues to support making a hazard map by integrating the community-based hazard information. Local residents register information about the spot (disaster types, a risk level, a photograph, comments, positional information) that can be dangerous in case of disaster. We have evaluated the usefulness and possibilities of our prototype system implemented as an iOS application.

Reliability and Risk Assessment of Reclaimed Soil (매립지반의 액상화 신뢰성 및 위험도 평가)

  • Yi Jin-Hak;Kwon O-Soon;Park Woo-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.473-480
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    • 2006
  • Liquefaction of soil foundation is one of the major seismic damage types of infrastructures. In this paper, deterministic and probabilistic approaches for the evaluation of liquefaction potential are briefly summarized and the risk assessment method is newly proposed using seismic fragility and seismic hazard curves. Currently the deterministic approach is widely used to evaluate the liquefaction potential in Korea. However, the there are a certain degree of uncertainties in the soil properties such as elastic modulus and resistant capacity, therefore the probabilistic approach is more promising. Two types of probabilistic approach are introduced including (1) failure probability for a given design earthquake and (2) the seismic risk of liquefaction of soil for a given service life. The results from different methods show a similar trend, and the liquefaction potential can be more quantitatively evaluated using risk analysis method.

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Economic Assessment of Coal-fired & Nuclear Power Generation in the Year 2000 -Equal Health Hazard Risk Basis- (2000년대 원자력과 유연탄 화력 발전의 경제성 평가 -동일 보건 위험도 기준-)

  • Seong, Ki-Bong;Lee, Byong-Whi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.171-185
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    • 1989
  • On the basis of equal health hazard risk, economic assessment of nuclear was compared with that of coal for the expansion planning of electric power generation in the year 2000. In comparing health risks, the risk of coal was roughly ten times higher than that of nuclear according to various previous risk assessments of energy system. The zero risk condition can never be achievable. Therefore, only excess relative health risk of coal over nuclear was considered as social cost. The social cost of health risk was estimated by calculation of mortality and morbidity costs. Mortality cost was $250,000 and morbidity cost was $90,000 in the year 2000.(1986US$) Through Cost/Benefit Analysis, the optimal emission standards of coal-fired power generation were predicted. These were obtained at the point of least social cost for power generation. In the year 2000, the optimal emission standard of SOx was analyzed as 165ppm for coal-fired power plants in Korea. From this assessment, economic comparison of nuclear and coal in the year 2000 showed that nuclear would be more economical than coal, whereas uncertainty of future power generation cost of nuclear would be larger than that of coal.

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