• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life Estimation

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Estimation of Employment Creation Center considering Spatial Autocorrelation: A Case of Changwon City (공간자기상관을 고려한 고용창출중심지 추정: 창원시 사례를 중심으로)

  • JEONG, Ha-Yeong;LEE, Tai-Hun;HWANG, In-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.77-100
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    • 2022
  • In the era of low growth, many provincial cities are experiencing population decline and aging. Population decline phenomena such as reduction of productive manpower, reduction of finances, deterioration of quality of life, and collapse of the community base are occurring in a chain and are being pushed to the brink of extinction of the cities. This study aims to propose a methodology to objectively estimate the employment creation centers and setting the basic unit of industrial-centered zoning by applying spatial statistical techniques and GIS for the application of the compact city plan as an efficient spatial management policy in a city with a declining population. In details, based on reviewing previous studies on compact city, 'employment complex index(ECI)' were defined considering the number of workers, the number of settlers, and the area of development land, the employment creation center was estimated by applying the 'Local Moran's I' and 'Getis-Ord's Hot-Spot Analysis'. As a case study, changes in the four years of 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2019 were compared and analyzed for Changwon City. As a result, it was confirmed that the employment creation center is becoming compacted and polycentric, which is a significant result that reflects the actual situation well. This results provide the basic data for functional and institutional territorial governance for the regional revitalization platform, and provide meaningful information necessary for spatial policy decision-making, such as population reduction, regional gross domestic product, and public facility arrangement that can respond to energy savings, transportation plans, and medical and health plans.

Estimation of the Cost of Hypertension Disease Loss in 2010-2017 Using Cohort at Diagnosis Age and Treatment Time (진단나이 및 치료시점 코호트를 활용한 2010~2017년 고혈압 질환 손실비 추계)

  • Noh, Yun-Gon;Lee, Sang-Ho;Choi, Kyungsik;Song, Tae Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.782-793
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    • 2022
  • The rise in chronic disease not only has a negative effect on people's lives, but it also increases the cost of medical care owing to the increased usage of medical care as health and medical technology improves, life expectancy rises, and rapid population ageing. In such context, this study examined the difference in the disease cost of hypertension according to demographic information and the effect of the initial diagnosis age and treatment period on the cost. This study used the Korean Health Panel Survey from 2010 to 2017, and selected subjects based on health insurance beneficiaries between the ages of 30 and under 80. With the selected data, the direct and indirect costs of disease loss were calculated according to the cost of illness approach, and we constructed a disease-loss ratio cohort considering the age of diagnosis and time of treatment for hypertension. From the results of the study, the annual cost of disease loss for hypertensive patients differed by gender by 110,107 won, and it was found that the cost increased by 1.8 times as the treatment time increased. In addition, when comparing disease loss ratios between the same age groups, it was found that the disease loss ratios between those in their 60s and 70s were affected by treatment time. This study confirmed that hypertension significantly affects the cost of the disease, and not only requires early diagnosis and management, but also preventive efforts to lower the incidence of hypertensive disease must be strengthened.

Estimation of citizen's willingness to pay for water quality improvement on urban rivers (도시하천 수질개선을 위한 시민의 지불의사액 추정 연구)

  • Kang, Jiyoon;Yang, Jinwoo;Hwang, Youngsoon;Kim, Keewook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.225-233
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    • 2023
  • Urban rivers and their surrounding environments have been altered due to factors such as rapid economic growth and urban development. This alteration have caused the rivers to lose their original value and become exposed to various pollution, resulting decrease in citizens' quality of life. This study aims to estimate citizens' Willingness To Pay (WTP) for water quality improvement in Suyeong River in Busan. To estimate the non-market value of the Suyeong River, the WTP of Busan citizens for water quality improvement was estimated, applying Contingent Valuation Method (CVM). The WTP for improving the water quality from Grade 4(polluted water) to Grade 2(game fish like bass can live in it) was estimated using the water quality ladder concept of the US Environmental Protection Agency, assuming annual donations for five years. For the CVM, the logistic distribution and Spike Model were adopted. As a result, citizens residing in the surrounding area of Suyeong River expressed a higher WTP. Considering more than half of the Busan citizens are aware of the "conservation of nature and ecosystems" as a major function of the Suyeong River, this higher WTP could serve as a basis for improving the value of urban rivers.

An Estimation of Willingness to Pay for Advanced Public Transportation Services Using SP (선호의식 조사를 활용한 첨단 대중교통 서비스의 지불의사액 추정)

  • Lee, Baek Jin;Kim, Kwan Woo;Kim, Gyeong Seok;Oh, Sung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4D
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    • pp.433-441
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    • 2009
  • In the coming ubiquitous society, the importance of developing advanced public transportation systems (APTS) corresponding to individuals' needs and useful in their daily life is profound. In these regards, the study proposed new APTS services: Free internet access service and On-board real time traffic information service in public modes. A stated preference (SP) survey was performed to investigate individual's preference and willingness-to-pay (WTP) for the proposed APTS services. Multinomial logit models (MNL) incorporating the heterogeneity of respondents were developed to analyze individuals' preference and the difference of WTP. Some results of the study showed that the respondents' preferences were significantly different by in-vehicle travel times (30 min, 60 min) and their socioeconomic background. More respondents prefer new APTS services when invehicle travel time takes longer. For the housewife and self-employed group, the mean WTP for on-board realtime traffic information was higher than that of free internet access services, while for the company employees and students group, the mean WTP was similar in both services.

Estimation Method of Resilience Pads Spring Stiffness for Sleeper Floating Tracks based on Track Vibration (궤도 진동기반의 침목플로팅궤도 침목방진패드 스프링강성 추정 기법 연구)

  • Jung-Youl Choi;Sang-Wook Park;Jee-Seung Chung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.1057-1063
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    • 2023
  • The urban railway sleeper floating track, the subject of this study, is an anti-vibration track to reduce vibration transmitted to the structure. currently, the replacement cycle of resilience pad for sleeper floating tracks is set and operated based on load. however, most previous studies were conducted on load-based structural safety aspects, such as fatigue life evaluation of sleeper anti-vibration pads and increase in track impact coefficient and track support stiffness due to increase in spring stiffness. therefore, in this study, we measure the vibration acceleration of the ballast for each analysis section and use the results of 7 million fatigue tests to calculate the spring stiffness of the resilience pad for each section. the spring stiffness of the resilience pad calculated for each section was set as the analysis data and the concrete vibration acceleration was derived analytically. the adequacy of analysis modeling was verified as the analyzed concrete bed vibration acceleration for each section was within the field-measured concrete bed vibration acceleration range. using the vibration acceleration curve according to the derived spring stiffness change, the spring stiffness of the resilience pad is estimated from the measured vibration acceleration. therefore, we would like to present a technique that can estimate the spring stiffness of resilience pad of a running track using the vibration acceleration of the measured concrete bed.

Estimation of Adult Season of Occurrence and Annual Generation Numbers of the Asiatic Pink Stem Borer, Sesamia inferens (Walker, 1856) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) (벼밤나방(Sesamia inferens (Walker, 1856))(나비목: 밤나방과) 성충 발생시기와 연중 세대수 추정)

  • Eun Young Kim;Young-Mi Park;Soon Do Bae;Gwan-Seok Lee;Chae-Hoon Paik;Do-Ik Kim;Wonhoon Lee;Jin Kyo Jung;Bo Yoon Seo
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.227-243
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    • 2023
  • The Asiatic pink stem borer, Sesamia inferens (Walker, 1856) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) is a pest that attacks rice stems. In this study, we estimated the annual generation of insect in several regions of the Republic of Korea. Adult trapping using a sex pheromone trap detected the occurrence of S. inferens adults in the three northernmost areas around 38° latitude and showed that the insect inhabits all of Korea. In most areas investigated, the seasons of the adult generations estimated using the single-sine degree-day model did not deviate from the corresponding observed seasons of adult occurrence. We estimated that the overwintering larvae hypothetically-estimated using the model could be originated from the last generation of adults. When larvae collected in paddy fields during the autumn season in a few middle and southern areas were reared at 25℃, ca. 70% of pupae did not show additional larval molting before their pupation. All larvae collected in early March in a southern area (Goseong, Gyeongsangnam-do) pupated without additional larval molting when reared at 25℃. Based on these results, we presumed that S. inferens could overwinter as mainly the last instar larval stage in the area. Taken together, we conclude that S. inferens primarily has two generations per year in areas around 38° latitude, and three generations in the areas between 35.3° and 37.3° latitude. In addition, approximately 35% of insects captured by the sex pheromone trap were species other than S. inferens, as determined by analyzing the nucleotide sequences of the cytochrome c oxidase 1 gene. These species were not morphologically misidentified as S. inferens.

Estimation of Cerchar abrasivity index based on rock strength and petrological characteristics using linear regression and machine learning (선형회귀분석과 머신러닝을 이용한 암석의 강도 및 암석학적 특징 기반 세르샤 마모지수 추정)

  • Ju-Pyo Hong;Yun Seong Kang;Tae Young Ko
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.39-58
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    • 2024
  • Tunnel Boring Machines (TBM) use multiple disc cutters to excavate tunnels through rock. These cutters wear out due to continuous contact and friction with the rock, leading to decreased cutting efficiency and reduced excavation performance. The rock's abrasivity significantly affects cutter wear, with highly abrasive rocks causing more wear and reducing the cutter's lifespan. The Cerchar Abrasivity Index (CAI) is a key indicator for assessing rock abrasivity, essential for predicting disc cutter life and performance. This study aims to develop a new method for effectively estimating CAI using rock strength, petrological characteristics, linear regression, and machine learning. A database including CAI, uniaxial compressive strength, Brazilian tensile strength, and equivalent quartz content was created, with additional derived variables. Variables for multiple linear regression were selected considering statistical significance and multicollinearity, while machine learning model inputs were chosen based on variable importance. Among the machine learning prediction models, the Gradient Boosting model showed the highest predictive performance. Finally, the predictive performance of the multiple linear regression analysis and the Gradient Boosting model derived in this study were compared with the CAI prediction models of previous studies to validate the results of this research.

Spatiotemporal Assessment of the Late Marginal Heading Date of Rice using Climate Normal Data in Korea (평년 기후자료를 활용한 국내 벼 안전출수 한계기의 시공간적 변화 평가)

  • Lee, Dongjun;Kim, Junhwan;Kim, Kwang Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.316-326
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    • 2014
  • Determination of the late marginal heading date (LMHD), which would allow estimation of the late marginal seeding date and the late marginal transplanting date, would help identification of potential double cropping areas and, as a result, establishment of cropping systems. The objective of this study was to determine the LMHD at 51 sites in Korea. For these sites, weather data were obtained from 1971 to 2000 and from 1981 to 2010, which represent past and current normal climate conditions, respectively. To examine crop productivity on the LMHD, climatic yield potential (CYP) was determined to represent the potential yield under a given climate condition. The LMHD was calculated using accumulated temperature for 40 days with threshold values of $760^{\circ}C$, $800^{\circ}C$, $840^{\circ}C$ and $880^{\circ}C$. The value of CYP on a given LMHD was determined using mean temperature and sunshine duration for 40 days from the LMHD. The value of CYP on the LMHD was divided by the maximum value of CYP (CYPmax) in a season to represent the relative yield on the LMHD compared with the potential yield in the season. Our results indicated that the LMHD was delayed at most sites under current normal conditions compared with past conditions. Spatial variation of the LMHD differed by the threshold temperature. Overall, the minimum value of CYP/CYPmax was 81.8% under all of given conditions. In most cases, the value of CYP/CYPmax was >90%, which suggested that yield could be comparable to the potential yield even though heading would have occurred on the LMHD. When the LMHD could be scheduled later without considerable reduction in yield, the late marginal transplanting date could also be delayed accordingly, which would facilitate doublecropping in many areas in Korea. Yield could be affected by sudden change of temperature during a grain filling period. Yet, CYP was calculated using mean temperature and sunshine duration for 40 days after heading. Thus, the value of CYP/CYPmax may not represent actual yield potential due to change of the LMHD, which suggested that further study would be merited to take into account the effect of weather events during grain filling periods on yield using crop growth model and field experiments.

Quantification of Trans Fatty Acids in Processed Foods by Soxhlet Extraction Method (Soxhlet 추출법에 의한 가공 식품의 Trans 지방산 정량)

  • Noh, Kyung-Hee;Kim, So-Hee;Song, Young-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.33 no.9
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    • pp.1529-1536
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    • 2004
  • This study was designed to determine total trans fatty acids (tFAs) content of processed foods commonly consumed in the Korean diet and to prepare the database for the estimation of tFAs intake in Koreans. Total fat and tFAs content was determined by Soxhlet extraction method and attenuated total reflection infrared spectroscopy (ATR-IR), respectively. The tFAs positional isomers were analyzed using GC/MS spectrometer. In margarines, the content of tFAs ranged from 8.27% to 28.53%. Shortenings contained higher levels of tFAs (1.98~11.33%) than lards (1.83~1.96%). The content of tFAs in grilled confectioneries was wide (7.37~26.54%). Instant popcorns contained the highest amount of tFAs. Fried chickens had 0.44 to 14.85% of tFAs and french fries had 5.18 to 27.01% of tFAs. In fried snacks (crispy) and chocolates, tFAs were not detected. The amount of tFAs per serving size was the highest in instant popcorn, followed by french fries, fried snack (tortilla), doughnuts, and grilled confectioneries. TFAs isomer of margarines was mostly C18:1${\Delta}$9t. In shortenings and lards, the most abundant positional isomer of tFAs was C18:1${\Delta}$9t and C18:2${\Delta}$9t ${\Delta}$12t. Correlation coefficient of tFAs content between IR and GC/MS method was $r^2$=0.91.

Effects of Supplemental Levels of Spent Mushroom (Flammulina velutipes) Substrates on Chemical Composition and Quality of Whole Crop Sorghum Silage (팽이버섯 수확 후 배지의 첨가수준이 수수 사일리지의 화학적 조성과 품질에 미치는 영향)

  • Moon, Yea-Hwang;Lee, Sung-Sill;Kang, Tae-Won;Cho, Soo-Jeong
    • Journal of Mushroom
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.136-142
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    • 2012
  • This study was carried out to determine the supplemental level of spent mushroom (Flammulina velutipes) substrates as an energy source in manufacturing of high moisture sorghum whole crop silage. Whole crop sorghum was harvested at heading stage and ensiled with spent mushroom substrates of 20% (S-20), 40% (S-40) and 60% (S-60) as fresh matter basis. Each silage was manufactured in plastic buckets included vinyl bag by three replications and stored for 0, 3, 6 and 9 weeks, respectively. Fermentation characteristics and quality of sorghum silages manufactured by supplemental level of spent mushroom substrates were as follows. Moisture contents of whole crop sorghum and spent mushroom substrates were 83.85% and 54.3%, respectively, and that of silages was 78% for S-20, 71% for S-40 and 68% for S-60. Ether extracts content of silages was significantly (P<0.05) increased during the fermentation periods. The pH in silages fermented for 3 weeks and above ranged from 4.24 to 4.42, and the decrease of pH by fermentation was relatively greater in S-40 compare to the other treatments. The lactic acid content of silage inclined that the S-40 was higher compared to the other treatments and decreased with elongation of fermentation period of silage. The contents of acetic acid and propionic acid of silages were not influenced by treatments and fermentation period. Flieg's score for estimation of silage quality ranged from 60 to 83, and was relatively high quality in the S-40 fermented for 9 week, and was relatively low quality in the S-60 fermented for 9 week. From above results, we suggest that 40% supplementation of spent Flammulina velutipes mushroom substrates as an energy source is resonable level in manufacturing of high moisture sorghum whole crop silage.