• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life Distribution

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A Study on Estimation of the Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Growth Life for Steels (강의 피로균열전파수명의 확률분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 김선진;윤성환;전창환;정규연;안석환
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.40-45
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    • 2000
  • Presented are the estimation of the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and reliability assessment of structures by simulating material resistance to fatigue crack growth along a crack path. The material resistance is treated as a Weibull stochastic process. A non-Gaussian stochastic fields simulation method proposed by Shimozuka, et al is applied with the statistical data obtained experimentally. Test results are obtained for $\Delta$K constant amplitude load in tension with stress ratio of R=0.2 and three specimen thicknesses of 6, 12 and 18mm. This simulation method is useful to estimate the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and the smallest life.

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A Study on Estimation of the Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Growth Life for Steels (강의 피로균열전파수명의 확률분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 김선진;윤성환;전창환;김일석
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2000
  • Presented are the estimation of the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and reliability assessment of structures by simulating material resistance to fatigue crack growth along a crack path. The material resistance is treated as a Weibull stochastic process. A non-Gaussian stochastic fields simulation method proposed by shimozuka, et al is applied with the statistical data obtained experimentally. Test results are obtained for $\delta K$ constant amplitude load in tension with stress ratio of R=0.2 and three specimen thicknesses of 6,12 and 18mm. This simulation method is useful to estimate the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and the smallest life.

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Shelf-life prediction of fresh ginseng packaged with plastic films based on a kinetic model and multivariate accelerated shelf-life testing

  • Jong-Jin Park;Jeong-Hee Choi;Kee-Jai Park;Jeong-Seok Cho;Dae-Yong Yun;Jeong-Ho Lim
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.573-588
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na2CO3-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R2 values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

A Comparison of Reliability Factors of Software Reliability Model Following Lifetime Distribution Dependent on Pareto and Erlang Shape Parameters (파레토 및 어랑 형상모수에 의존한 수명분포를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 대한 신뢰도 특성요인 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul;Moon, Song Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2017
  • Software reliability is one of the most elementary and important problems in software development In order to find the software failure occurrence, the instantaneous failure rate function in the Poisson process can have a constant, incremental or decreasing tendency independently of the failure time. In this study, we compared the reliability performance of the software reliability model using the parameters of Pareto life distribution with the intensity decreasing pattern and the shape parameter of Erlang life distribution with the intensity increasing and decreasing pattern in the software product testing. In order to identify the software failure environment, the parametric estimation was applied to the maximum likelihood estimation method. Therefore, in this paper, we compare and evaluate software reliability by applying software failure time data. The reliability of the Erlang and Pareto life models is shown to be higher than that of the Pareto lifetime distribution model when the shape parameter is higher and the Erlang model is more reliable when the shape parameter is higher. Through this study, the software design department will be able to help the software design by applying various life distribution and shape parameters, and providing basic knowledge using software failure analysis.

Prediction of Characteristics Life of the Rubber Gasket (가스켓용 고무소재의 특성수명 예측)

  • Park, Joon-Hyung;Lee, Se-Hee;Jang, Hyun-Duck;Kim, Gwang-Sub;Yang, Jeong-Sam
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.213-235
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we carried out an accelerated degradation test that is commonly used to predict characteristics life of rubber gaskets for a pole transformer. The potential failure mode applied for the test is rubber elongation and the corresponding failure mechanism is heat. From the result, we found that Weibull distribution is the fatigue life distribution in NBR and H-NBR. After estimating characteristics life in commonly used temperature, the average life span of $B_{50}$ in NBR is 7.7 years under $50^{\circ}C$ and the life span in H-NBR is 28 years.

Effect of Boundary Conditions on Reliability and Cumulative Distribution Characteristics of Fatigue Failure Life in Magnesium Alloy (마그네슘합금의 피로파손수명의 누적확률분포특성과 신뢰성에 미치는 경계조건의 영향)

  • Choi, Seon-Soon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.594-599
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, the effect of the boundary conditions on the reliability and the cumulative distribution characteristics of the fatigue failure life is analyzed in a magnesium alloy AZ31. The boundary conditions are specimen thickness, stress ratio, and maximum fatigue load. The statistical data of the fatigue failure life are obtained by fatigue crack propagation tests under the detail conditions for each boundary condition. The 3-parameter Weibull distribution is used to analyze a statistical characteristics of the fatigue failure life in magnesium alloy AZ31. It is found that the statistical fatigue failure life is long in the case of a thicker specimen, a larger stress ratio, and a smaller maximum fatigue load. Under the opposite cases, the reliability on the fatigue failure life is rapidly dropped.

On the Estimation of Parameters in ALT under Generalized Exponential Distribution

  • Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.923-931
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    • 2005
  • The two parameter generalized exponential distribution was recently introduced by Gupta and Kundu (1999). It is observed that the generalized exponential distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze skewed data set. This paper develops the accelerated life test model using generalized exponential distribution and considers maximum likelihood estimation of parameters under the tampered random variable model. To show the performance of proposed maximum likelihood estimates, some simulation will be performed. Using a real data set, an example will be given.

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The Distribution of Work-Life Integration against COVID-19 and its Implications: Focusing on Remote Work in Switzerland

  • CHOI, Choongik;LEE, Kwang-Hoon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to explore the distribution of work-life integration against COVID-19 and its Implications by analyzing remote work in Switzerland. Research design, data and methodology: The study performed literature review and descriptive analyses using various data such as perception surveys, statistics, and related documents. Results: The infectious disease was a turning point for many people in Switzerland by changing where and how people want to live. Since the COVID-19 crisis demonstrated that disease could be spread by proximity, negative perception about urban areas expanded, and rural areas are increasingly preferred due to fresh and clean air and a more ecological lifestyle. In addition, increased remote work, a change brought about by COVID-19, has subsequently led to changes in household habits and needs. Distance from work is no longer an important factor when someone chooses where to live. A trend is now emerging where households wanting to improve the quality of life leave the city center and move to the suburbs. Conclusions: Paradoxically, such trend accelerated by the COVID-19 crisis has an unintendedly positive impact on the distribution of work-life integration across society while providing more flexibility in terms of place and time management and lowering the burden on roads and infrastructure.

Noninformative Priors for Step Stress Accelerated Life Tests in Exponential Distribution

  • Lee, Woo-Dong;Pak, Hong-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with noninformative priors for such as Jeffres' prior, reference prior and probability matching prior for scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in multiple step stress accelerated life tests. We find the noninformative priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Using artificial data, we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors.

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Three level constant stress accelerated life tests for Weibull distribution

  • Moon, Gyoung Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the maximum likelihood estimators and confidence intervals for parameters of Weibull distribution are derived under three level constant stress accelerated life tests and the assumption that a log quadratic relationship exits between stress and the scale parameter ${\theta}$. The compound linear plan proposed by Kim (2006) is used to allocate the test units at each stress level, which performed nearly as good as the optimum quadratic plan and had the advantage of simplicity. Some simulation studies are given.