• Title/Summary/Keyword: Leverage Effects

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Modeling Stock Price Volatility: Empirical Evidence from the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Cuong Thanh;NGUYEN, Manh Huu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to measure stock price volatility on Ho Chi Minh stock exchange (HSX). We apply symmetric models (GARCH, GARCH-M) and asymmetry (EGARCH and TGARCH) to measure stock price volatility on HSX. We used time series data including the daily closed price of VN-Index during 1/03/2001-1/03/2019 with 4375 observations. The results show that GARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1) models are the most suitable models to measure both symmetry and asymmetry volatility level of VN-Index. The study also provides evidence for the existence of asymmetric effects (leverage) through the parameters of TGARCH model (1,1), showing that positive shocks have a significant effect on the conditional variance (volatility). This result implies that the volatility of stock returns has a big impact on future market movements under the impact of shocks, while asymmetric volatility increase market risk, thus increase the attractiveness of the stock market. The research results are useful reference information to help investors in forecasting the expected profit rate of the HSX, and also the risks along with market fluctuations in order to take appropriate adjust to the portfolios. From this study's results, we can see risk prediction models such as GARCH can be better used in risk forecasting especially.

Regional Strategic Industry (RSI) Promotion Projects and Their Impact on Regional Economic Growth: Focused on Chungbuk Province Cases (지역전략산업육성사업과 지역경제성장 파급효과: 충북 사례를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee;Jo, Byung-Seol;Ahn, Yoo-Jeong;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.5-29
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    • 2013
  • This study tries to measure the direct and indirect effects of the Regional Strategic Industry (RSI) promotion projects in Chungbuk Province in Korea. In specific, it critically examines whether there exists policy consistency and connectivity between the hardware-oriented Stage I (2002~2007) and the software-centered Stage II (2008~2012) RSI promotion projects. Applying System Dynamics (SD) techniques, this study examines complex system characteristics of RSI promotion projects, all of which have been derived from the causal and stock-flow models and their simulated results. Major findings are as follows: Firstly, 'the continuous investment' is regarded as the most crucial policy leverage for the strategic industry promotion and regional economic growth. Secondly, without exceptions, the RSI promotion projects should switch their evaluation criteria to performance-oriented ones. Thirdly, in selecting their subprojects, the RSI promotion projects should pay due attention to evaluating technology value and marketability. Fourthly, it should put policy priority in strengthening cluster networking and interconnectivity among projects, inevitably supporting a selective number of virtuous network systems. Fifthly, auxiliary projects such as marketing, technology aid, and knowledge-based services should not be overlooked.

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Impact of Working Capital Management on Firm's Profitability: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Anh Huu;PHAM, Huong Thanh;NGUYEN, Hang Thu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates the impact of working capital management on the firm's profitability. The research sample includes 119 non-financial listed companies on Vietnam stock market over a period of 9 years from 2010 to 2018. Two statistical approaches include Ordinary least squares (OLS) and fixed effects model (FEM) are employed to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. The empirical results show the negative and significant impacts of the working capital management, which measured by cash conversion cycle (CCC) and three components of the CCC including accounts receivable turnover in days (ARD), inventory turnover in days (INVD), and accounts payable turnover in days (APD) on the firm's profitability measured by return on assets (ROA) and Tobin's Q. It implies that firms can increase profitability by keeping the optimization of the working capital management measured by the CCC, which includes shortening the time to collect money from clients, accelerating inventory flow and hold the low payment time to creditors. Besides, the profitability of firms was impacted by the sale growth rate, firm size, leverage, and age. Therefore, this paper provides a new insight to managers on how to improve the firm's profitability with working capital management.

Determinants and Effects of Environmental Investments (환경투자활동의 동기와 효과)

  • Yook, Keun-Hyo
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.33-57
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    • 2013
  • This paper test the relationship among determinants of environmental investments, level of environmental investments, eco-efficiency (carbon productivity). The results show that profitability, leverage and R&D costs have a negative impact on environmental investments, and controlling ownership have a positive impact on environmental investments as well as environmental protection costs. The analysis also show that firms increasing environmental investments are able to gain superior environmental performance ($CO_2$ emission), but are negatively relationship with financial performance. Finally, the findings prove that differences exist in the relationship between determinants and effect of environmental investments when grouped by industry characteristics.

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The Consumer Satisfaction and Repurchase Intention according to Apparel Store types. - Focusing on Product Quality and Service Quality - (패션 점포 유형별 소비자 만족과 재구매의도 -의류 제품품질 및 서비스 품질의 영향을 중심으로-)

  • 김성희
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 2001
  • This study is designed to examine the consumer behaviors affected by the product quality and the service quality in the garment industry. First of all, it is researched to recognize the differences in the mean of perceived product quality variables and the service quality variables in apparel stores. Secondly, the variables of the product quality and the service qualify are also investigated to see the casual effects in the consumer satisfaction and consumer repurchase intention, respectively. The 522 data, surveyed from the female college students, were analaysed with SPSS 8.0 version. Cronbach $\alpha$Frequency, Factor analysis, one-way ANOVA, Scheffe test, stepwise regression were applied. In conclusion, there are significant differences in the mean of the product quality variables and the service quality variables in the apparel stores. They are the product quality variables such as physical attribute and instrumental performances and the service quality variables regarding sales staff, VMD, store policy, and customer convenience in the apparel stores. The variables of the product quality and the service quality directly have leverage in the consumer satisfaction and repurchase intention.

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Impact of Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosures on Bankruptcy Risk of Vietnamese Firms

  • NGUYEN, Soa La;PHAM, Cuong Duc;NGUYEN, Anh Huu;DINH, Hung The
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the nexus between the level of Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosures (CSRD) and Risk of Bankruptcy of companies that are listing in the Stock Exchanges of Vietnam. To investigate that relationship, this study collected secondary data from annual audited financial statements from 2014 to 2018 of listing companies. Applying two different regression models with two dependent variables and six independent and control variables, we find out that Vietnamese firms with higher level of CSRD performance can rapidly reduce their risk of bankruptcy. This phenomenon happens in the current year and in the coming years in all firms in the research sample. This result may be that the disclosures of social responsibility information can bring financial and non-financial benefits to the firms. In addition, the results also point out that there is a difference in risk of bankruptcy between the group of companies, which discloses and the one which does not disclose corporate social responsibility on their annual reports. This might be from the effects of various factors such as business size, financial leverage, market to book ratio, return on assets, cash flow from operations, etc. Our research results can be applied to other firms in Vietnam and in other similar jurisdictions.

Development of the FMEA-based Backdoor Transaction Improvement Model (FMEA를 활용한 뒷문거래 개선모델 개발)

  • Ryou, Sungkook;Kim, Sunho;Kim, Chongman
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes the FMEA-based model to avoid backdoor transactions when purchasers select suppliers for products and services. In the model, backdoor transactions consist of two categories: backdoor selling and maverick buying. Both of which influence negative effects on cost savings due to not only uncompetitive advantage but also unusable purchasing leverage by unethical and misbehavior of purchase requestors. For the risk evaluation based on FMEA, three and five risk types of backdoor selling and maverick buying are identified respectively. Current risk priority numbers(RPN) based on those risk types are calculated by three categories: occurrence, detection and severity. Six risk mitigation strategies and fourteen mitigation tactics are identified to improve current RPN. In order to validate the model, questionnaires are collected from fifteen companies and statistically analyzed. The analysis result shows that the model reduces backdoor transaction risks and has no differences in reduction of backdoor transaction risks regardless of the type of purchasing organization units and existence of purchasing procedures in the organization.

Leverage Strategy to National R&D Investment in Korea: A System Dynamics Approach (국가 연구재발 투자시스템의 레버리지 전략: 시스템 다이내믹스 접근)

  • 박헌준;오세홍;김상준
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2004.02a
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    • pp.19-52
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    • 2004
  • This study aims to grasp invisible yet dynamic systemic structure that influences the general procedure of national R&D investment system in Korea using "system dynamic methods and to suggest policy lever. Various conflicting situations, 'R&D investment paradoxes' in myopia investment and principal-agent problems etc, arise when the government decides R&D investment area and makes indispensable choice. Difficulty in the decision can be amplified due to misalignments among decision on adequate amount of R&D investment ("strategic loop"), R&D system ("structural loop") and acceptance and realization by R&D laboratories and theirs researcher ("efficacy loop"). Results of modeling and simulation of korea national R&D investment system with consideration of three causal loops show the switching pattern dynamically, in which form of technologies shifts from one to another stage like paradigm shift, when the R&D investment reaches a certain stork. R&D investment increases are directly not liked to R&D productivities because of delays and side effects during transition periods between different stages of technology development. Thus, It is necessary to develope strategies in order to enhance efficiency of technological development process by perceiving the switching pattern.

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Expiration-Day Effects on Index Futures: Evidence from Indian Market

  • SAMINENI, Ravi Kumar;PUPPALA, Raja Babu;MUTHANGI, Ramesh;KULAPATHI, Syamsundar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2020
  • Nifty Bank Index has started trading in futures and options (F&O) segment from 13th June 2005 in National Stock Exchange. The purpose of the study is to enhance the literature by examining expiration effect on the price volatility and price reversal of Underlying Index in India. Historical data used for the current study primarily comprise of daily close prices of Nifty Bank which is the only equity sectoral index in India which is traded in derivatives market and its Future contract value is derived from the underlying CNX Bank Index during the period 1st January 2010 till 31st March 2020. To check stationarity of the data, Augmented Dicky Fuller test was used. The study employed ARMA- EGARCH model for analysing the data. The empirical results revealed that there is no effect on the mean returns of underlying Index and EGARCH (1,1) model furthermore shows there is existence of leverage effect in the Bank Index i.e., negative shocks causes more fluctuations in the Index than positive news of similar magnitude. The outcome of the study specifies that there is no effect on volatility on the underlying sectoral index due to expiration days and also observed no price reversal effect once the expiration days are over.

Efficient Multicasting Mechanism for Realtime Mobile Computing Environment (태양광 발전시스템에서의 모바일용 리얼타임 모니터링 시스템)

  • Kim, Jung-Ki;Kim, Chang-Joon;Jang, Kyung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.1010-1012
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    • 2015
  • Interest in fossil fuels, alternative energy development in the world has increased significantly. That interest in solar systems increase significant and technology for efficiency and effective operation of PV technology, we expect to continue. This section provides the necessary information to users, and introduce the client system for mobile monitoring real-time solar system information, without the constraints of location or time, and leverage real-time information transmitted tell me about the expected effects that you can get to evaluate.

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