• 제목/요약/키워드: Leading indicator

검색결과 124건 처리시간 0.023초

취업자 변동 단기예측을 위한 고용선행지수 작성과 활용 (Make and Use of Leading Indicator for Short-term Forecasting Employment Fluctuations)

  • 박명수
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.87-116
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    • 2014
  • 노동시장 위기관리 시스템의 일환으로 국내외 경제상황 변동으로 야기되는 고용변화를 사전에 감지하는 단기고용변동의 상시적 예측이 요구된다. 이를 위해 본 논문은 경기선행지수 작성방식을 준용하여 비농림 민간부문 임금근로자 변동을 단기적으로 예측하는 고용선행지수를 개발하였다. 고용선행지수는 고용수준 그 자체보다 고용 동향의 국면 및 전환 시점, 변동 속도등 고용의 변화 방향을 조기 탐지하는 것에 중점을 두어 작성되었다. 개발된 지수에 대해 국면 전환 선행성 평가와 고용수준 변동 예측에 대한 모의실험을 통해 검증하고 활용방안을 제시한다.

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Developing Airport Safety Performance Indicators and Index - The Case of Incheon Airport Airside -

  • In Kie Na;Yu-Jin Choi
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2023
  • An indicator system is an effective way to monitor ongoing safety status. Current aviation safety measurements account for many qualitative technical and lagging indicators. Conversely, quantitative and leading indicators have only a tiny proportion. This research added more quantitative leading indicators and reviewed them to harmonize lagging and leading indicators to measure airport safety and provide an index. The South Korean national gate, Incheon International Airport's indicators, were applied as primary data to verify this research practically. Then, examples from International and national authorities were reviewed and extracted for use. Fifty-five safety specialists participated in the focus group discussion and three rounds of the Delphi survey. Finally, 51 sub-indicators were newly chosen. After this process, weights for each indicator could be assigned using the AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process) to provide an integrated index. The result of the simulation with newly added indicators in the past five years (2020-2022) reliable trend showed in indicators and integrated index. Moreover, this allows monitoring the status of the details of indicators and holistic insight. This study considered that it is more suitable for a single company or service provider to use it according to the exact situation than in a macro- and general-purpose at the country or regional level.

합류식 하수관거 월류수의 지표미생물 배출 특성 (Discharge Characteristics of the Indicator Microorganisms of Combined Sewer Overflows)

  • 김건하
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.627-635
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    • 2006
  • Combined sewer overflow (CSOs) is a primary diffuse source degrading water quality of urban streams. In this study, CSOs caused by 5 different rainfall events at an urban watershed located in Daejeon city were monitored for the indicator microorganism concentrations. Event mean concentration (EMC) of the indicator microorganisms were: total coliform = $2.46{\times}10^6CFU/100mL$; fecal coliform = $1.01{\times}10^6CFU/100mL$; E.coli = $5.20{\times}10^5CFU/100mL$; and Fecal Streptococci = $6.08{\times}10^5CFU/100mL$. In addition, coliform concentrations were well correlated with suspended solid concentrations and the first flush effects were identified. Settling tests were carried out to estimate removal rate of indicator organisms by sedimentation from CSOs. As microorganisms are discharged in association with suspended solid, ten minutes of settlement can lower 44% of indicator microorganism leading.

국가상 혁신기업선정을 위한 정성지표의 개발 (Qualitative Indicator Development of National Award for Innovation Leading Company)

  • 이재하
    • 융합정보논문지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.48-57
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 정부에서 수여하는 국가 상(償)에 도전하는 혁신선도기업을 평가 및 선정하기 위한 정성지표개발에 초점을 맞추고 있다. 혁신선도기업을 지나치게 계량적으로 평가함에 따라 제품이나 기술, 서비스 등의 혁신성이나 가치 등이 평가가 절하되는 측면을 보완하는 것이 본 연구의 목적이기도 하다. 기존의 국가상 평가지표는 장점도 있지만 평가 항목이 너무 많아 혁신선도기업의 평가에는 적합하지 않은 측면이 있었다. 연구의 접근방법은 선행연구와 TF토의를 바탕으로 정성지표개발을 위한 항목을 선정하는 것으로 하였다. 기본적으로 투입-과정-산출-효과로 이어지는 일련의 흐름으로 지표항목의 체계를 갖추도록 하였다. 최종적으로 창의성, 시스템우수성, 고객가치, 기업성과, 파급효과 등의 5개 정성 지표항목이 선정되었다. 선정된 5개 지표항목에 대해서는 개념적 정의와 평가시 주안점 등을 서술하였다. 그리고 시스템 수준평가와 ADLI 접근방식도 제시하였다. 부록에는 본 연구에서 제시한 정성지표를 활용하여 실제기업을 정성적, 정량적 양식에 따라 평가한 사례도 수록하였다. 그러나 본 연구는 혁신선도기업을 정성적인 접근방식으로 평가하는 것으로 설계되어 있어, 평가자의 수준과 관점에 따라 평가결과가 변동되는 가능성을 갖는 한계점이 내포하고 있다. 향후에는 정성지표로 활용될 수 있는 후보지표들에 대한 세부연구와 혼합지표(정량, 정성)의 개발에 대한 연구가 지속되기를 기대한다.

Development of a Leading Performance Indicator from Operational Experience and Resilience in a Nuclear Power Plant

  • Nelson, Pamela F.;Martin-Del-Campo, Cecilia;Hallbert, Bruce;Mosleh, Ali
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.114-128
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    • 2016
  • The development of operational performance indicators is of utmost importance for nuclear power plants, since they measure, track, and trend plant operation. Leading indicators are ideal for reducing the likelihood of consequential events. This paper describes the operational data analysis of the information contained in the Corrective Action Program. The methodology considers human error and organizational factors because of their large contribution to consequential events. The results include a tool developed from the data to be used for the identification, prediction, and reduction of the likelihood of significant consequential events. This tool is based on the resilience curve that was built from the plant's operational data. The stress is described by the number of unresolved condition reports. The strain is represented by the number of preventive maintenance tasks and other periodic work activities (i.e., baseline activities), as well as, closing open corrective actions assigned to different departments to resolve the condition reports (i.e., corrective action workload). Beyond the identified resilience threshold, the stress exceeds the station's ability to operate successfully and there is an increased likelihood that a consequential event will occur. A performance indicator is proposed to reduce the likelihood of consequential events at nuclear power plants.

Construction of an Economic Sentiment Indicator for the Korean Economy

  • Moon, Hye-Jung
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.745-758
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    • 2011
  • An Economic Sentiment Indicator(ESI) is a composite indicator of business survey indices(BSI) and consumer survey indices(CSI). The ESI designed to reflect economic agents' (this includes producers and consumers) overall perceptions of economic activity in a one-dimensional index. The European Commission has published an ESI since 1985. This paper demonstrates the construction of an ESI for the Korean economy. The BSI and CSI components (having a high correlation and a leading feature with respect to GDP) are selected to construct the ESI and they are aggregated using a weighted average and then scaled to have a long-term average of 100 and a standard deviation of 10. Thus values greater than 100 indicate an above-average economic sentiment and vice versa. The newly constructed Korean ESI that extends to January 2003 shows a good tracking performance of GDP and adequately reflects the overall perception of economic activity.

청소년의 월경 장애 (Adolescent menstrual disorders)

  • 홍창호
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제49권12호
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    • pp.1257-1262
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    • 2006
  • The age of puberty represents a very critical time in the life history of every young woman. The menarche stands as primary indicator of the onset of sexual maturation in females. By late adolescence, 75% of girls experience some problem associated with menstruation. Delayed, irregular, painful, and heavy menstrual bleeding are leading reasons for physician office visits by adolescents, and dysmenorrhea is the leading reason for school absenteeism among girls. This article discusses normal menstrual function during adolescence, then reviews the clinical presentation, evaluation, and management of adolescent dysmenorrhea, dysfunctional uterine bleeding, amenorrhea, and polycystic ovary syndrome.

안전문화 선행지표 개발을 위한 사건보고율 측정 (Measurement of Incident-reporting Rate for Developing a Leading Indicator of Safety Culture)

  • 김범수;진상은;장성록
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2018
  • Various leading indicators of safety culture have been advocated for proactive actions as lagging indicators have limitations in reflecting the attitudes and behaviors due to their reactivity and low sensitivity. This study proposes a model of incident-reporting culture (IRC) and determines the influence of the components on incident-reporting rate (IRR) in order to develop proactive indicators of safety culture. A questionnaire survey was administered to 614 workers at a chemical company in Korea, and the internal psychological aspects were explored by using perceptions, attitude, and backgrounds. The relationship between these factors and IRR was quantitatively confirmed. The workers are more reluctant to report injury than property damage, the perception of severity is the most influencing factor, and most property damages are reported regardless of worker's willingness. These features should be prioritized when improving IRC, and the criteria of IRC need to be aligned with safety culture.

Counting What Will Count: How to Empirically Select Leading Performance Indicator

  • Pauwels, Koen;Joshi, Amit
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.1-35
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    • 2011
  • Facing information overload in today's complex environments, managers look to a concise set of marketing metrics to provide direction for marketing decision making. While there have been several papers dealing with the theoretical aspects of dashboard creation, no research creates and tests a dashboard using scientific techniques. This study develops and demonstrates an empirical approach to dashboard metric selection. In a fast moving consumer goods category, this research selects leading indicators for national-brand and store-brand sales and revenue premium performance from 99 brand-specific and relative-to-competition variables including price, brand equity, usage occasions, and multiple measures of awareness, trial/usage, purchase intent, and liking/satisfaction. Plotting impact size and wear-in time reveals that different kinds of variables predict sales at distinct lead times, which implies that managerial action may be taken to turn the metrics around before performance itself declines.

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