• Title/Summary/Keyword: Latin Hypercube method

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Pitching Moment Coefficient Modeling of KF-16 using Adaptive Design of Experiments with cost consideration (실험비용을 고려한 적응적 실험설계법 기반 KF-16 피칭모멘트계수 모델링)

  • Lee, Don-Goo;Jin, Hyeon;Ahn, Jaemyung;Lee, Yeongbin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.537-543
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    • 2016
  • A new approach to systematically model aerodynamic coefficients using an adaptive sampling based wind tunnel testing considering cost is proposed. The Latin Hypercube design is used for selecting initial test points. The Gaussian Process (GP) is iteratively used during the experiment to determine additional experimental points that minimizes the uncertainty reduction per incremental cost. A numerical simulation based experiment was conducted using the static aerodynamic coefficient database a fighter aircraft, which demonstrated the validity of the proposed method.

Application of Probabilistic Health Risk Analysis in Life Cycle Assessment -Part I : Life Cycle Assessment for Environmental Load of Chemical Products using Probabilistic Health Risk Analysis : A Case Study (전과정평가에 있어 확률론적 건강영향분석기법 적용 -Part II : 화학제품의 환경부하 전과정평가에 있어 건강영향분석 모의사례연구)

  • Park, Jae-Sung;Choi, Kwang-Soo
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.203-214
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    • 2000
  • Health risk assessment is applied to streamlining LCA(Life Cycle Assessment) using Monte carlo simulation for probabilistic/stochastic exposure and risk distribution analysis caused by data variability and uncertainty. A case study was carried out to find benefits of this application. BTC(Benzene, Trichloroethylene, Carbon tetrachloride mixture alias) personal exposure cases were assumed as production worker(in workplace), manager(in office) and business man(outdoor). These cases were different from occupational retention time and exposure concentration for BTC consumption pattern. The result of cancer risk in these 3 scenario cases were estimated as $1.72E-4{\pm}1.2E+0$(production worker; case A), $9.62E-5{\pm}1.44E-5$(manger; case B), $6.90E-5{\pm}1.16E+0$(business man; case C), respectively. Portions of over acceptable risk 1.00E-4(assumed standard) were 99.85%, 38.89% and 0.61%, respectively. Estimated BTC risk was log-normal pattern, but some of distributions did not have any formal patterns. Except first impact factor(BTC emission quantity), sensitivity analysis showed that main effective factor was retention time in their occupational exposure sites. This case study is a good example to cover that LCA with probabilistic risk analysis tool can supply various significant information such as statistical distribution including personal/environmental exposure level, daily time activity pattern and individual susceptibility. Further research is needed for investigating real data of these input variables and personal exposure concentration and application of this study methodology.

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High-Efficiency Design of a Ventilation Axial-Flow Fan by Using Weighted Average Surrogate Models (가중평균대리모델을 이용한 환기용 축류송풍기의 고효율 최적설계)

  • Kim, Jae-Woo;Kim, Jin-Hyuk;Lee, Chan;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.763-771
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    • 2011
  • An optimization procedure for the design of a ventilation axial-flow fan is presented in this paper. Flow analyses of the preliminary fan are performed by solving three-dimensional Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations via a finite-volume solver with the shear-stress transport turbulence model as a turbulence closure. Three variables, the hub-to-tip ratio and the stagger angles at the mid and tip spans, are selected for the optimization. The Latin-hypercube sampling method as a design-of-experiments technique is used to generate twenty-five design points within the design space. and the weighted average surrogate models, WTA1, WTA2, and WTA3, are applied for find optimal designs. The results show that the efficiency is considerably enhanced.

A Case Study on the Cost Effectiveness Analysis of Depot Maintenance Using Simulation Model and Experimental Design (시뮬레이션 모형과 실험설계법을 활용한 창정비 비용대 효과 분석 사례)

  • Kim, Sung-Kon;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2017
  • This paper is to study the simulation model of depot maintenance system that analyzes logistics supportability such as component availability and cost of target equipment. A depot maintenance system could repair or maintain multiple components simultaneously. The key performance indicators of this system are component availability, repair cycle time, and maintenance cost. The simulation model is based on the engine maintenance process of army aviation depot. This study combines the NOLH(Nearly Orthogonal Latin Hypercube) experimental design method, to composes 33 scenarios, with a multiple regression analysis to find out major factors that influence on key performance indicators. This study is significant in providing a cost-effectiveness analysis on depot maintenance system that is capable of maintaining multiple components at the same time.

Multi-condition optimization and experimental verification of impeller for a marine centrifugal pump

  • Wang, Kai;Luo, Guangzhao;Li, Yu;Xia, Ruichao;Liu, Houlin
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2020
  • In order to improve the performance of marine centrifugal pump, a centrifugal pump whose specific speed is 66.7 was selected for the research. Outlet diameter D2, outlet width b2, blade outlet angle β2, blade wrap φ and blade number z of the impeller were chosen as the variables. The maximum weighted average efficiency and the minimum vibration intensity at the base were calculated as objectives. Based on the Latin Hypercube method, the impeller was numerically optimized. The numerical results show that after optimization, the amplitudes of pressure fluctuation on the main frequency at different monitoring points decrease in varying degrees. The radial force on impeller decreases obviously under off-design flow rates and is more symmetrical during the operation of the pump. The variation of the axial force is relatively small, which has no obvious relationship with the rotating angle of the impeller. The energy performance and vibration experiment was performed for verifying. The test results show that the weighted average efficiency under 0.8Qd, 1.0Qd and 1.2Qd increases by 4.3% after optimization. The maximal vibration intensity at M1-M4 on the pump base reduced from 0.36 mm/s to 0.25 mm/s, decreasing by 30.5%. In addition, the vibration velocities of bracket in pump side and outlet flange also have significant reductions.

Study on the influence of structural and ground motion uncertainties on the failure mechanism of transmission towers

  • Zhaoyang Fu;Li Tian;Xianchao Luo;Haiyang Pan;Juncai Liu;Chuncheng Liu
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.311-326
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    • 2024
  • Transmission tower structures are particularly susceptible to damage and even collapse under strong seismic ground motions. Conventional seismic analyses of transmission towers are usually performed by considering only ground motion uncertainty while ignoring structural uncertainty; consequently, the performance evaluation and failure prediction may be inaccurate. In this context, the present study numerically investigates the seismic responses and failure mechanism of transmission towers by considering multiple sources of uncertainty. To this end, an existing transmission tower is chosen, and the corresponding three-dimensional finite element model is created in ABAQUS software. Sensitivity analysis is carried out to identify the relative importance of the uncertain parameters in the seismic responses of transmission towers. The numerical results indicate that the impacts of the structural damping ratio, elastic modulus and yield strength on the seismic responses of the transmission tower are relatively large. Subsequently, a set of 20 uncertainty models are established based on random samples of various parameter combinations generated by the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method. An uncertainty analysis is performed for these uncertainty models to clarify the impacts of uncertain structural factors on the seismic responses and failure mechanism (ultimate bearing capacity and failure path). The numerical results show that structural uncertainty has a significant influence on the seismic responses and failure mechanism of transmission towers; different possible failure paths exist for the uncertainty models, whereas only one exists for the deterministic model, and the ultimate bearing capacity of transmission towers is more sensitive to the variation in material parameters than that in geometrical parameters. This research is expected to provide an in-depth understanding of the influence of structural uncertainty on the seismic demand assessment of transmission towers.

Suggestions for Enhancing Sampling-Based Approach of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (샘플링기반 지진 확률론적 리스크평가 접근법 개선을 위한 제언)

  • Kwag, Shinyoung;Eem, Seunghyun;Choi, Eujeong;Ha, Jeong Gon;Hahm, Daegi
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2021
  • A sampling-based approach was devised as a nuclear seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) method to account for the partially correlated relationships between components. However, since this method is based on sampling, there is a limitation that a large number of samples must be extracted to estimate the results accurately. Thus, in this study, we suggest an effective approach to improve the existing sampling method. The main features of this approach are as follows. In place of the existing Monte Carlo sampling (MCS) approach, the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method that enables effective sampling in multiple dimensions is introduced to the SPRA method. In addition, the degree of segmentation of the seismic intensity is determined with respect to the final seismic risk result. By applying the suggested approach to an actual nuclear power plant as an example, the accuracy of the results were observed to be almost similar to those of the existing method, but the efficiency was increased by a factor of two in terms of the total number of samples extracted. In addition, it was confirmed that the LHS-based method improves the accuracy of the solution in a small sampling region.

Uncertainty Calculation Algorithm for the Estimation of the Radiochronometry of Nuclear Material (핵물질 연대측정을 위한 불확도 추정 알고리즘 연구)

  • JaeChan Park;TaeHoon Jeon;JungHo Song;MinSu Ju;JinYoung Chung;KiNam Kwon;WooChul Choi;JaeHak Cheong
    • Journal of Radiation Industry
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.345-357
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    • 2023
  • Nuclear forensics has been understood as a mendatory component in the international society for nuclear material control and non-proliferation verification. Radiochronometry of nuclear activities for nuclear forensics are decay series characteristics of nuclear materials and the Bateman equation to estimate when nuclear materials were purified and produced. Radiochronometry values have uncertainty of measurement due to the uncertainty factors in the estimation process. These uncertainties should be calculated using appropriate evaluation methods that are representative of the accuracy and reliability. The IAEA, US, and EU have been researched on radiochronometry and uncertainty of measurement, although the uncertainty calculation method using the Bateman equation is limited by the underestimation of the decay constant and the impossibility of estimating the age of more than one generation, so it is necessary to conduct uncertainty calculation research using computer simulation such as Monte Carlo method. This highlights the need for research using computational simulations, such as the Monte Carlo method, to overcome these limitations. In this study, we have analyzed mathematical models and the LHS (Latin Hypercube Sampling) methods to enhance the reliability of radiochronometry which is to develop an uncertainty algorithm for nuclear material radiochronometry using Bateman Equation. We analyzed the LHS method, which can obtain effective statistical results with a small number of samples, and applied it to algorithms that are Monte Carlo methods for uncertainty calculation by computer simulation. This was implemented through the MATLAB computational software. The uncertainty calculation model using mathematical models demonstrated characteristics based on the relationship between sensitivity coefficients and radiative equilibrium. Computational simulation random sampling showed characteristics dependent on random sampling methods, sampling iteration counts, and the probability distribution of uncertainty factors. For validation, we compared models from various international organizations, mathematical models, and the Monte Carlo method. The developed algorithm was found to perform calculations at an equivalent level of accuracy compared to overseas institutions and mathematical model-based methods. To enhance usability, future research and comparisons·validations need to incorporate more complex decay chains and non-homogeneous conditions. The results of this study can serve as foundational technology in the nuclear forensics field, providing tools for the identification of signature nuclides and aiding in the research, development, comparison, and validation of related technologies.

Reliability of mortar filling layer void length in in-service ballastless track-bridge system of HSR

  • Binbin He;Sheng Wen;Yulin Feng;Lizhong Jiang;Wangbao Zhou
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2023
  • To study the evaluation standard and control limit of mortar filling layer void length, in this paper, the train sub-model was developed by MATLAB and the track-bridge sub-model considering the mortar filling layer void was established by ANSYS. The two sub-models were assembled into a train-track-bridge coupling dynamic model through the wheel-rail contact relationship, and the validity was corroborated by the coupling dynamic model with the literature model. Considering the randomness of fastening stiffness, mortar elastic modulus, length of mortar filling layer void, and pier settlement, the test points were designed by the Box-Behnken method based on Design-Expert software. The coupled dynamic model was calculated, and the support vector regression (SVR) nonlinear mapping model of the wheel-rail system was established. The learning, prediction, and verification were carried out. Finally, the reliable probability of the amplification coefficient distribution of the response index of the train and structure in different ranges was obtained based on the SVR nonlinear mapping model and Latin hypercube sampling method. The limit of the length of the mortar filling layer void was, thus, obtained. The results show that the SVR nonlinear mapping model developed in this paper has a high fitting accuracy of 0.993, and the computational efficiency is significantly improved by 99.86%. It can be used to calculate the dynamic response of the wheel-rail system. The length of the mortar filling layer void significantly affects the wheel-rail vertical force, wheel weight load reduction ratio, rail vertical displacement, and track plate vertical displacement. The dynamic response of the track structure has a more significant effect on the limit value of the length of the mortar filling layer void than the dynamic response of the vehicle, and the rail vertical displacement is the most obvious. At 250 km/h - 350 km/h train running speed, the limit values of grade I, II, and III of the lengths of the mortar filling layer void are 3.932 m, 4.337 m, and 4.766 m, respectively. The results can provide some reference for the long-term service performance reliability of the ballastless track-bridge system of HRS.

LMU Design Optimization for the Float-Over Installation of Floating Offshore Platforms (부유식 해양구조물의 플로트오버 설치용 LMU 최적설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Seok;Park, Byoungjae;Sung, Hong Gun;Lee, Kangsu
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2021
  • A Leg Mating Unit (LMU) is a device utilized during the float-over installation of offshore structures that include hyperelastic pads and mating part. The hyperelastic pads absorb the loads, whereas the mating part works as guidance between topside and supporting structures during the mating sequence of float-over installation. In this study, the design optimization of an LMU for the float-over installation of floating-type offshore structures is conducted to enhance the performance and to satisfy the requirements defined by classification society regulations. The initial dimensions of the LMU are referred to the dimensions of those used in fixed-type float-over installation because only the location and the number of LMUs are known. The two-parameter Mooney-Rivlin model is adopted to describe the hyperelastic pads under given material parameters. Geometric variables, such as the thickness, height, and width of members, as well as configuration variables, such as the angle and number of members, are defined as design variables and are parameterized. A sampling-based design sensitivity analysis based on latin hypercube sampling method is performed to filter the important design variables. The design optimization problem is formulated to minimize the total mass of the LMU under maximum von Mises stress and reaction force constraints.