• 분석과 대안
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.35-77
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• 2023

This study aims to solve the entangled loop between demographic transition (DT) and economic growth by analyzing cross-country data. We undertake a national-level group analysis to verify the compressed transition of demographic variables over time. Assuming that the LA (latecomer advantage) on DT over time exists, we verify that the DT of the latecomer is compressed by providing a formal proof of LA on DT over income. As a DT has the double-kinked functions of income, we check them in multiple aspects: early maturation, leftward threshold, and steeper descent under a contour map and econometric methods. We find that the developing countries (the latecomer) have speedy DT (CDT, compressed DT) as well as speedy income such that DT of the latecomers starts at lower levels of income, lasts for a shorter period, and finishes at the earlier stage of economic development compared to that of developed countries (the early mover). To check the balance of DT, we classify countries into four groups of DT---balanced, slow, unilateral, and rapid transition countries. We identify that the main causes of rapid transition are due to the strong family planning programs of the government. Finally, we check the effect of latecomer's CDT on economic growth inversely: we undertake the simulation of the CDT effect on economic growth and the aging process for the latecomer. A worrying result is that the CDT of the latecomer shows a sharp upturn of the working-age population, followed by a sharp downturn in a short period. Compared to early-mover countries, the latecomer countries cannot buy more time to accommodate the workable population for the period of demographic bonus and prepare their aging societies for demographic onus. Thus, we conclude that CDT is not necessarily advantageous to developing countries. These outcomes of the latecomer's CDT can be re-interpreted as follows. Developing countries need power sources to pump up economic development, such as the following production factors: labor, physical and financial capital, and economic systems. As for labor, the properties of early maturation and leftward thresholds on DTs of the latecomer mean that demographic movement occurs at an unusually early stage of economic development; this is similar to a plane that leaks fuel before or just before take-off, with the result that it no longer flies higher or farther. What is worse, the property of steeper descent represents the falling speed of a plane so that it cannot be sustained at higher levels, and then plummets to all-time lows.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.1-19
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• 2004

This paper focuses on the significant issues of technological capability development of latecomer firms, and government policies enabling such firms to attain certain level of technological capability. The survey and case studies of manufacturing firms in Thailand were conducted to substantiate and investigate the process of technological capability development of latecomer firms. The analysis portrays a dynamic view of technological capability development that comprises three key elements namely strategic capability, internal capability, and external linkage capability. The paper, subsequently, discusses and suggests a tentative taxonomy of government policies and measures to support firms' technological capability development.

• Journal of East Asia Management
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.43-64
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• 2022

Exploring innovations for latecomers to catch up has been a popular concern in industry and academia. Over the last decade, more and more East Asian latecomer firms have moved beyond imitation and are delivering innovative products and services to the market. However, the semiconductor latecomers from China have limited success in catching up with more mature semiconductor firms. Our study examines how semiconductor latecomers to break through the latecomer's dilemma by innovation and achieve catch-up. We use a single-case approach for the Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) vertical development process to analysis its innovation path of catching up. The study's results showed that SMIC relied on the government's policy and funding support, and based on the strategic endurance of entrepreneurs, it persisted in technology R&D investment and independent innovation for 20 years. SMIC finally smashed the dilemma of latecomers and successfully achieved catch-up. With these findings, we believe that the path of catching up innovation for semiconductor latecomers should be equipped with independent innovation of technology, strategic leadership of entrepreneurs and support of government policies. As these factors are combined, latecomer firms' position is expected to rise and catch-up will become visible. Our study contributes to some enlightenment on the innovation path for latecomers in China and global semiconductors to achieve their catch-up.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.23-43
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• 2005

Industrial clusters are geographical concentrations of interconnected companies, specialised suppliers, service providers, firms in related industries, and associated institutions (for example, universities, standard agencies, and trade associations) that combine to create new products and/or services in specific lines of business. At present, the concept of industrial cluster becomes very popular worldwide, policy makers at national, regional and local levels and business people in both forerunner and latecomer countries are keen to implement the cluster concept as an economic development model. Though understanding of clusters and related promoting policies varies from one place to another, the underlying benefits of clusters from collective learning and knowledge spillovers between participating actors strongly attract the attention of these people. In Thailand, a latecomer country in terms of technological catching up, the cluster concept has been used as a means to rectify weakness and fragmentation of its innovation systems. The present Thai government aspires to apply the concept to promote both high-tech manufacturing clusters, services clusters and community-based clusters at the grass-root level. This paper analyses three very different clusters in terms of technological sophistication and business objectives, i.e., hard disk drive, software and chili paste. It portrays their significant actors, the extent of interaction among them and the evolution of the clusters. Though are very dissimilar, common characteristics attributed to qualified success are found. Main driving forces of the three clusters are cluster intermediaries. Forms of these organizations are different from a government research and technology organization (RTO), an industrial association, to a self-organised community-based organization. However, they perform similar functions of stimulating information and knowledge sharing, and building trust among participating firms/individuals in the clusters. Literature in the cluster studies argues that government policies need to be cluster specific. In this case, the best way to design and implement cluster-specific policies is through working closely with intermediaries and strengthening their institutional especially in linking member firms/individuals to other actors in clusters such as universities, government R&D institutes, and financial institutions.

• 에너지공학
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.267-277
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• 2011

후발국에서의 신재생에너지기술의 개발은 어떤 힘에 의해서 추동될까? 후발국의 '녹색 성장'은 '녹색'의 가치 실현을 위해서 추동되는가 아니면 '성장'을 지속하기 위한 새로운 분야의 개척인가? 본 연구는 한국의 신재생에너지 기술개발사업 사례 분석을 통해 후발국 신재생에너지기술개발의 동력에 대한 이해를 돕고자 한다. 환경문제와 기술개발, 기술개발과 '사회기술연맹' 그리고 후발국 '권위주의적 발전국가론'에 대한 기존의 논의를 통해 기술 개발의 동력은 사회기술연맹의 구성에서 찾을 수 있다는 것에 착안하여 연구의 틀을 구성하였고 이를 토대로 선발국 덴마크와 독일의 사례를 분석한 후 한국의 신재생에너지기술개발사업 사례를 분석하였다. 한국은 선진국과는 다르게 산업계와 정부 주도의 성장동맹을 바탕으로 신재생에너지기술개발이 추진되었고 환경시민단체는 정부의 시민단체 국정 참여 정책에 힘입어 신재생에너지정책협의회에 참여함으로써 사회기술연맹을 구성하였다. 따라서 한국의 신재생에너지 사회기술연맹은 '녹색'의 가치 실현보다는 '성장'중심이라는 한계를 갖는다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.119-131
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• 2015

후발산업국인 한국 K-Pop의 인기는 독특하다. 추격이론의 관점에서 K-Pop의 등장을 분석한다면 창조산업의 전략적 방향설정에 도움이 될 수 있음에도 불구하고 관련 연구가 부족한 것이 사실이다. 이점에 착안해 본 연구는 K-Pop기업의 내부역량, 시장공략방향 그리고 제품전략을 기존에 연구되었던 제조기업 추격전략과 비교 분석할 것이다. 연구를 통해 첫째, K-Pop기업이 음악생산에서의 인하우스(수직통합) 시스템도입과 기업규모 확장을 통해 앨범제작이라는 비연속적 프로젝트를 효과적으로 수행하는 프로젝트 실행역량을 구축했음을 확인했다. 둘째, K-Pop기업들은 일찍부터 해외시장에 진출했고, 글로벌 시장에서 상품성을 검증받은 장르를 중심으로 기회의 창을 적절히 활용했다. 마지막으로, K-Pop기업은 앨범시장에서 점진적 혁신을 적극 활용했다. 이것은 한국 제조기업의 추격전략과도 유사점이 많기 때문에 앞으로 K-Pop기업들은 성장과정에서 한국 제조기업의 경험을 적극적으로 검토할 필요가 있을 것이다.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.435-450
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• 2006

이 논문은 대기업 조립업체가 혁신선도자로 발전하여 탈추격(post catch-up)단계로 넘어갈 때 그와 결부되어 나타나는 부품업체의 기술혁신 특성 변화를 사례연구를 통해 파악하는 연구이다. 조립 대기업이 선도자로 발전하면 부품의 기능과 품질에 대한 요구도 높아져서, 외국 부품을 국산화하는 수준을 법어 새로운 개념의 부품을 필요로 하게 된다. 이에 대응하기 위해서는 부품업체들도 선도자가 되어야 한다. 이러한 상황에서 나타난 부품업체 기술혁신 활동의 특성은, 부품업체임에도 불구하고 시스템 전체의 아키텍처에 대한 지식을 확보하고 부품기술개발을 수행했다는 것, 그리고 이 지식을 기반으로 부품업체와 조립업체들이 수평적인 공동개발을 수행해서 아키텍처 혁신을 이룩했다는 것이다.

• STI Policy Review
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.36-53
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• 2015

The rise of latecomer countries across the world directs academic attention to their catching-up and innovation processof seizing technological opportunities and combining internal and external knowledge. Different from the developed economies as well as the newly industrialized economies, China presents a special innovation environment, wherein its technology regime, market opportunities, and institutions are complex and the globalization trend affects competition in a broader way. In thiscontext, we clarify and extend the framework of "secondary innovation". This framework describes the dynamics of those with relatively poor resources and capabilities in their efforts to capture the values of mature/emerging technology or business models by acquiringthem from across borders and then adapting to catching-up contexts. Such processes, differentiated from original innovation that involves the whole process from R&D to commercialization, has become a prevailing regime during paradigm shifts. In particular, unlike the traditional catch-up literature that focuses more on technology, the secondary innovation framework inclusively contains both technology and business model innovation, and puts forward the co-evolution between the two elements, which is more applicable to China's context. In accordance, we also provide implications towards fulfilling the goal of building an innovation-driven nation.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.147-175
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• 2006

One of the biggest problems of Korean economy is polarization of firms for export and domestic demand and that of conglomerates and SME's achievement. One of the culprits lies weakness of intermediate industry such as machine tool. Since intermediate industry is important path where export performance affects domestic demand and whose actor usually is SMEs with high spill over effect in labor market. Especially, intermediate industry Is vulnerable because of industrial policy biased In backward linkage effect. However if a country fails to develop intermediate industry above some critical point, that country would fall in low-tech equilibrium without growth. In case of benign circle where final goods industry growth leads growth of intermediate industry and again it leads that of final goods industry, it can reach high-tech equilibrium. By contrast, in opposite case where in industrialization latecomer fails to link industries likewise above some critical point that country would fall in low-tech equilibrium without growth. Moreover, for several reasons, machine tool firms of Korea have difficulty in catching up technology above critical point. Firstly. Conglomerate demander neglects their product. Secondly, even after success of development overcoming difficulties they fail to get market share for response of dumping of foreign competitors. And the last one is patent litigation of foreign competitors that incapacitate the technology development. For these, Korean machine tool firms fell in 'middle-income country trap' itself, since they stuck in some extent when they technologically catch up. Consequently, for latecomer country in machine tool industry to leapfrog meaningfully policy support is necessary, Weak intermediate industry does not Induce domestic firms and remained fragile. Therefore, localization, policy should reflect condition of technological catch up more than before, in order to be effective and fruitful. There should be turning point over relationship between conglomerates, major demander of machine tool and SME's, for only with active purchasing of conglomerate Korean machine industry can grow.

• 한국태양광발전학회지
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.56-61
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• 2017

With the appearance of the climate change concerns, energy transition to renewable energy is accelerating over the world. Korea, a latecomer to the renewable energy sector, has also been unable to avoid energy transition. The government is promoting strong goals for expansion of renewable energy. However, switching from stable and controllable conventional generation to intermittent and uncontrollable renewable generation will be a big challenge for the electric power industry. Korea Power Exchange(KPX), which is responsible for the planning and operation of the electric power industry in Korea, is trying to improve measures in various fields such as the implementation of real-time unit commitment and additional real-time markets in order to cope with the volatility and intermittency of renewable energy.