• 제목/요약/키워드: Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

검색결과 47건 처리시간 0.023초

APPLICATION OF LIKELIHOOD RATIO MODEL FOR LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING USING GIS AT LAI CHAU, VIETNAM

  • LEE SARO;DAN NGUYEN TU
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.314-317
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study was to evaluate the susceptibility from landslides in the Lai Chau region of Vietnam, using Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing data, focusing on the relationship between tectonic fractures and landslides. Landslide locations were identified from an interpretation of aerial photographs and field surveys. Topographic and geological data and satellite images were collected, processed, and constructed into a spatial database using GIS data and image processing techniques, and a scheme of the tectonic fracturing of the crust in the Lai Chau region was established. In this scheme, Lai Chau was identified as a region with low crustal fractures, with the grade of tectonic fracture having a close relationship with landslide occurrence. The factors found to influence landslide occurrence were: topographic slope, topographic aspect, topographic curvature, distance from drainage, lithology, distance from a tectonic fracture and land cover. Landslide prone areas were analyzed and mapped using the landslide occurrence factors employing the probability-likelihood ratio method. The results of the analysis were verified using landslide location data, and these showed a satisfactory agreement between the hazard map and existing landslide location data.

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APPLICATION OF LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS VALIDATION FOR LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING USING GIS AND REMOTE SENSING DATA AT PENANG, MALAYSIA

  • LEE SARO
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.310-313
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the hazard of landslides at Penang, Malaysia, using a Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing. Landslide locations were identified in the study area from interpretation of aerial photographs and from field surveys. Topographical and geological data and satellite images were collected, processed, and constructed into a spatial database using GIS and image processing. The factors chosen that influence landslide occurrence were: topographic slope, topographic aspect, topographic curvature and distance from drainage, all from the topographic database; lithology and distance from lineament, taken from the geologic database; land use from TM satellite images; and the vegetation index value from SPOT satellite images. Landslide hazardous area were analysed and mapped using the landslide-occurrence factors by logistic regression model. The results of the analysis were verified using the landslide location data and compared with probabilistic model. The validation results showed that the logistic regression model is better prediction accuracy than probabilistic model.

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Assessing landslide susceptibility along the Halong - Vandon expressway in Quang Ninh province, Vietnam: A comprehensive approach integrating GIS and various methods

  • Nguyen-Vu Luat;Tuan-Nghia Do;Lan Chau Nguyen;Nguyen Trung Kien
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.135-147
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    • 2024
  • A GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) was carried out using frequency ratio (FR), modified frequency ratio (M-FR), analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and modified analytic hierarchy process (M-AHP) methods to identify and delineate the potential failure zones along the Halong - Vandon expressway. The thematic layers of various landslide causative factors were generated for modeling in GIS, including geology, rainfall, distance to fault, distance to road, slope, aspect, landuse, density of landslide, vertical relief, and horizontal relief. In addition, a landslide inventory along the road network was prepared using data provided by the management department during the course of construction and operation from 2017 to 2019, when many landslides were documented. The validation results showed that the M-FR method had the highest AUC value (AUC = 0.971), which was followed by the FR method with AUC = 0.961. The AUC values were 0.939 and 0.892 for the M-AHP and AHP methods, respectively. The generated LSM obtained from M-FR method classified the study area into five susceptibility classes: very low (0), low (0-1), moderate (1-2), high (2-3), and very high (3-4) classes, which could be useful for various stakeholders like planners, engineers, designers, and local public for future construction and maintenance in the study area.

베이지안 예측모델을 활용한 농업 및 인공 인프라의 산사태 재해 위험 평가 (Landslide Risk Assessment of Cropland and Man-made Infrastructures using Bayesian Predictive Model)

  • 알-마문;장동호
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of cropland and man-made infrastructures in a landslide-prone area using a GIS-based method. To achieve this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared based on aerial photograph analysis as well as field observations. A total of 550 landslides have been counted in the entire study area. For model analysis and validation, extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two groups. The landslide causative factors such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in the analysis. Moreover, to identify the correlation between landslides and causative factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. A landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a bayesian predictive model (BPM) based on the entire events. In the cross validation process, the landslide susceptibility map as well as observation data were plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve then the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and tried to extract a success rate curve. The results showed that, the BPM produced 85.8% accuracy. We believed that the model was acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis of the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, monetary value (local) and vulnerability scale were added for each social thematic data layers, which were then converted into US dollar considering landslide occurrence time. Moreover, the total number of the study area pixels and predictive landslide affected pixels were considered for making a probability table. Matching with the affected number, 5,000 landslide pixels were assumed to run for final calculation. Based on the result, cropland showed the estimated total risk as US $ 35.4 million and man-made infrastructure risk amounted to US $ 39.3 million.

GIS 및 원격탐사를 이용한 2002년 강릉지역 태풍 루사로 인한 산사태 연구(II)-확률기법을 이용한 강릉지역 산사태 취약성도 작성 및 교차 검증 (Study on Landslide using GIS and Remote Sensing at the Kangneung Area(II)-Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Cross-Validation using the Probability Technique)

  • 이사로;이명진;원중선
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구의 목적은 강릉지역에 대해 산사태 취약성을 GIS와 원격탄사를 이용하여 평가하는 것이다. 이를 위해 산사태 위치는 위성영상 해석 및 현지 조사를 통해 확인되었고, GIS와 원격탐사를 이용하여 지형도, 토양도, 지질도, 선구조도, 토지피복도 등이 수집되고, 처리된 후 공간 데이터베이스로 구축되었다. 확률 기법인 빈도비 모델을 이용하여 산사태와 경사, 경사방향, 곡률, 수계, 지형종류, 토질, 토양모재, 토양배수, 유효토심, 임상종류, 임상경급, 임상영급, 임상밀도, 암상, 토지피복도, 선구조도 등 산사태 발생 요인들과의 관계를 계산하여 빈도비를 구하였다. 그리고 이러한 빈도비를 모두 더하여 산사태 취약성 지수를 계산하였으며, 이러한 취약서 지수를 모두 더하여 취약성도를 작성하였다. 그 결과는 실제 산사태 위치자료를 이용하여 검증 및 교차 검증되었고, 그 검증 결과는 산사태 취약성도와 산사태 위치와 밀접한 관계가 있었다.

공간 예측 모델을 이용한 산사태 재해의 인명 위험평가 (Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster Using Spatial Prediction Model)

  • 장동호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.373-383
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    • 2006
  • The spatial mapping of risk is very useful data in planning for disaster preparedness. This research presents a methodology for making the landslide life risk map in the Boeun area which had considerable landslide damage following heavy rain in August, 1998. We have developed a three-stage procedure in spatial data analysis not only to estimate the probability of the occurrence of the natural hazardous events but also to evaluate the uncertainty of the estimators of that probability. The three-stage procedure consists of: (i)construction of a hazard prediction map of "future" hazardous events; (ii) validation of prediction results and estimation of the probability of occurrence for each predicted hazard level; and (iii) generation of risk maps with the introduction of human life factors representing assumed or established vulnerability levels by combining the prediction map in the first stage and the estimated probabilities in the second stage with human life data. The significance of the landslide susceptibility map was evaluated by computing a prediction rate curve. It is used that the Bayesian prediction model and the case study results (the landslide susceptibility map and prediction rate curve) can be prepared for prevention of future landslide life risk map. Data from the Bayesian model-based landslide susceptibility map and prediction ratio curves were used together with human rife data to draft future landslide life risk maps. Results reveal that individual pixels had low risks, but the total risk death toll was estimated at 3.14 people. In particular, the dangerous areas involving an estimated 1/100 people were shown to have the highest risk among all research-target areas. Three people were killed in this area when landslides occurred in 1998. Thus, this risk map can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy decision-makers, and subsequently can be used as useful data in preventing disasters. In particular, drafting of maps on landslide risk in various steps will enable one to forecast the occurrence of disasters.

GIS 및 RS기법을 활용한 산사태 취약성 평가 (Evaluation of Landslide Susceptibility Using GIS and RS)

  • 김경태;정성관;박경훈;오정학
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 금호강 유역을 대상으로 GIS와 원격탐사기법을 활용하여 산사태 취약성의 예측과 지도화를 수행하고자 한다. 산사태 영향인자인 사면경사, 사면방향, 지질, 토지이용도, 식생지수(NDVI)의 공간데이터베이스는 $30m{\times}30m$ 해상도로 구축하였다. 산사태 취약성은 중첩분석과 합산 평가 매트릭스 방법으로 예측하였고, 6개 범주(안정, 매우 낮음, 낮음, 중간, 높음, 매우 높음)로 구분한 산사태 취약성 지도를 제작하였다. 분석결과에 따르면, 산사태 취약성이 '매우높은' 지역은 전체 대상지의 약 0.3% 정도를 차지하며 이들 지역은 주로 높은 경사도와 낮은 식생지수를 가지는 산림지역에 분포하는 것으로 나타났다.

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A Comparative Assessment of the Efficacy of Frequency Ratio, Statistical Index, Weight of Evidence, Certainty Factor, and Index of Entropy in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

  • Park, Soyoung;Kim, Jinsoo
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2020
  • The rapid climatic changes being caused by global warming are resulting in abnormal weather conditions worldwide, which in some regions have increased the frequency of landslides. This study was aimed to analyze and compare the landslide susceptibility using the Frequency Ratio (FR), Statistical Index, Weight of Evidence, Certainty Factor, and Index of Entropy (IoE) at Woomyeon Mountain in South Korea. Through the construction of a landslide inventory map, 164 landslide locations in total were found, of which 50 (30%) were reserved to validate the model after 114 (70%) had been chosen at random for model training. The sixteen landslide conditioning factors related to topography, hydrology, pedology, and forestry factors were considered. The results were evaluated and compared using relative operating characteristic curve and the statistical indexes. From the analysis, it was shown that the FR and IoE models were better than the other models. The FR model, with a prediction rate of 0.805, performed slightly better than the IoE model with a prediction rate of 0.798. These models had the same sensitivity values of 0.940. The IoE model gave a specific value of 0.329 and an accuracy value of 0.710, which outperforms the FR model which gave 0.276 and 0.680, respectively, to predict the spatial landslide in the study area. The generated landslide susceptibility maps can be useful for disaster and land use planning.

지리정보시스템(GIS) 및 베이지안 확률 기법을 이용한 보은지역의 산사태 취약성도 작성 및 검증 (Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Verification Using the GIS and Bayesian Probability Model in Boun)

  • 최재원;이사로;민경덕;우익
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.207-223
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구의 목적은 1998년 보은 지역에서 발생한 산사태와 관련 자료간의 공간적인 관련성을 밝히고, 이를 이용하여 산사태 취약성도를 작성 및 검증하는 것이다. 산사태 위치는 항공사진 및 현장조사를 통해 탐지되었고, 지형, 토양, 임상, 토지 피복 둥의 자료는 GIS를 이용하여 공간 DB로 구축되었다. 산사태 발생과 관련된 요인으로써, 경사, 경사방향, 지형곡률, 지형종류, 토질, 토양모재, 토양배수, 유효토심, 임상, 임상 영급, 임상 경급, 임상 밀도, 암상, 선구조로 부터의 거리, 토지 피복 등이 사용되었다. 산사태와 이러한 요인들간의 관계를 밝히기 위해, 베이지안 확률 기법인 weight of evidence 기법이 적용되어서 >$W^{+}$->$W^{-}$인 constrast값을 계산하였다. 그 constrast값을 모두 합하여 산사태 취약성 지수를 계산하였고, 그 지수값을 이용하여 산사태 취약성도를 작성하였다. 산사태 취약성도는 관련된 재해를 줄이고, 토지이용 및 건설 등을 계획하는데 사용될 수 있다.

Frequency Ratio와 Evidential Belief Function을 활용한 산사태 유발에 대한 환경지리적 민감성 분석과 검증 - 2013년 춘천 산사태를 중심으로 - (Analysis and Validation of Geo-environmental Susceptibility for Landslide Occurrences Using Frequency Ratio and Evidential Belief Function - A Case for Landslides in Chuncheon in 2013 -)

  • 이원영;성효현;안세진;박선기
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.61-89
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to characterize landslide susceptibility depending on various geo-environmental variables as well as to compare the Frequency Ratio (FR) and Evidential Belief Function (EBF) methods for landslide susceptibility analysis of rainfall-induced landslides. In 2013, a total of 259 landslides occurred in Chuncheon, Gangwon Province, South Korea, due to heavy rainfall events with a total cumulative rainfall of 296~721mm in 106~231 hours duration. Landslides data were mapped with better accuracy using the geographic information system (ArcGIS 10.6 version) based on the historic landslide records in Chuncheon from the National Disaster Management System (NDMS), the 2013 landslide investigation report, orthographic images, and aerial photographs. Then the landslides were randomly split into a testing dataset (70%; 181 landslides) and validation dataset (30%; 78 landslides). First, geo-environmental variables were analyzed by using FR and EBF functions for the full data. The most significant factors related to landslides were altitude (100~200m), slope (15~25°), concave plan curvature, high SPI, young timber age, loose timber density, small timber diameter, artificial forests, coniferous forests, soil depth (50~100cm), very well-drained area, sandy loam soil and so on. Second, the landslide susceptibility index was calculated by using selected geo-environmental variables. The model fit and prediction performance were evaluated using the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under Curve (AUC) methods. The AUC values of both model fit and prediction performance were 80.5% and 76.3% for FR and 76.6% and 74.9% for EBF respectively. However, the landslide susceptibility index, with classes of 'very high' and 'high', was detected by 73.1% of landslides in the EBF model rather than the FR model (66.7%). Therefore, the EBF can be a promising method for spatial prediction of landslide occurrence, while the FR is still a powerful method for the landslide susceptibility mapping.