• 대기
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.359-369
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• 2024

This study evaluates the performance of various soil moisture reanalysis datasets over the East Asian region to identify the most suitable product for climate and hydrological studies. The analysis includes land reanalysis products generated by the Noah, VIC, and Catchment land surface models (LSMs), driven by GLDAS2.0 near-surface atmospheric forcing, alongside MERRA2 and ERA5-land datasets. The 62 in-situ soil moisture measurements observed from 1980 to 2014 are used to validate the modeled data across the entire study period, while 58 of these measurements are used for the May to September (MJJAS) period. Results indicate that, when driven by the same atmospheric forcing, the Noah and Catchment models outperform VIC, and MERRA2 shows lower errors compared to ERA5-land. Seasonal soil moisture variability, primarily driven by the East Asian monsoon, peaks in September, with MERRA2 providing the most realistic simulation of seasonal phase and amplitude. Daily soil moisture variations are better captured by MERRA2 and ERA5-land than by GLDAS2.0-based products. Overall, MERRA2 emerges as the most reliable reanalysis dataset for evaluating both the climatological mean and variability of soil moisture in East Asia. Additionally, multi-model mean analysis reveals a long-term trend of drying soil moisture and enhanced land-atmosphere coupling in northern East Asia.

• 대기
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.307-317
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• 2023

This study investigates the physical mechanisms that contributed to the 2022 European record-breaking heatwave throughout May-August (MJJA). The European climate has experienced surface warming and drying in the recent decade (1979~2022) which influences the development of the 2022 European heatwave. Since its spatial pattern resembles the 2003 European heatwave which is a well-known case developed by the strong coupling of near-surface conditions to land surface processes, the 2022 heatwave is compared with the 2003 case. Understanding heatwave development is carried out by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5) and daily maximum surface temperature released by NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) CPC (Climate Prediction Center). The results suggest that the persistent high pressure along with clear sky tends to increase the downward shortwave radiation which leads to enhanced sensible heat flux with the land surface dryness. Terrestrial Coupling Index (TCI), a process-based multivariate metric, is employed to quantitatively measure segmented feedback processes, separately for the land, atmosphere, and two-legged couplings, which appears to the development of the 2022 heatwave, can be viewed as an expression of the recent trends, amplified by internal land-atmosphere interactions.

• Ocean Science Journal
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2006

Total sea surface temperature (SST) in a coupled GCM is diagnosed by separating the variability into signal variance and noise variance. The signal and the noise is calculated from multi-decadal simulations from the COLA anomaly coupled GCM and the interactive ensemble model by assuming both simulations have a similar signal variance. The interactive ensemble model is a new coupling strategy that is designed to increase signal to noise ratio by using an ensemble of atmospheric realizations coupled to a single ocean model. The procedure for separating the signal and the noise variability presented here does not rely on any ad hoc temporal or spatial filter. Based on these simulations, we find that the signal versus the noise of SST variability in the North Pacific is significantly different from that in the equatorial Pacific. The noise SST variability explains the majority of the total variability in the North Pacific, whereas the signal dominates in the deep tropics. It is also found that the spatial characteristics of the signal and the noise are also distinct in the North Pacific and equatorial Pacific.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제56권12호
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• pp.883-893
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• 2023

2020년 기준 한국의 곡물자급률은 20.2%에 불과하지만 곡물수출국에서 발생하는 가뭄이 국내에 미치는 영향은 아직 면밀히 분석되지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 증발산 기반 가뭄지수인 Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)를 이용해 세계 주요 곡물생산지역의 농업가뭄의 발생빈도, 장기추세, 자연진동과의 상관성을 분석하였다. 또한 국제 곡물거래가격과 작물생산지역의 가뭄면적을 비교하여 해외에서 발생한 가뭄이 한국 경제에 미치는 영향을 정성적으로 평가하였다. ERA5 기후재분석자료로 산정된 ESI는 전지구적으로 토양수분과 강한 상관성을 보였으며 특히 작물재배 지역에서의 둘의 상관성이 매우 강하게 나타났다. 작물재배지역에서의 높은 상관성은 강한 지면-대기결합을 의미하며, 이 때문에 작은 토양수분 부족이 상대적으로 큰 수확량 손실로 연결될 가능성이 크다. 1991-2022 기간 작물재배지역에서 ESI는 뚜렷한 감소추세를 보였으며 지구온난화와 함께 가뭄면적이 증가할 가능성이 있다. 2012년과 2022년에 급격히 상승한 국제곡물가격은 수출국에서 발생한 대규모 가뭄과 밀접한 관계가 있는 것으로 분석되었으며 한국의 생산자물가지수를 상승시킨 주요 원인 중 하나로 판단된다. 본 연구는 해외지역에서 일어나는 가뭄의 영향을 줄이기 위해 감시와 위험관리 전략이 필요함을 시사한다.