• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.79-90
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• 2018

This study aims to provide the system to help decision making by finding key indicators used in land supply and demand surveys, and by developing storage priority areas and projects. As problems arose such as the rising cost of public projects or disruptions to business progress due to the rapid rise in land prices and the cost of compensation for public projects in the past, a new land policy was adopted and the land reserve system was established in 2009. At that time, The bank's goal was to conserve 2 trillion won of land per year, but the result was sluggish as it accumulated a total of 1.6 trillion won from 2009 to 2015. The reason for this sluggish result is that the type and quantity of indicators are still extensive and the survey of land supply and demand has a problem of poor utilization. In order to make up for the sluggishness, we made key indicators used in land supply and demand surveys using the question investigation, and analyzed the priority of the project areas. This study provide the system to help decision making by finding key indicators used in land supply and demand surveys, and the priorities of project areas.

• 농촌계획
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.37-51
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• 2008

This study aims to build a model dealing with the location decision of new manufacturing firms and their land demand. The model is composed with 1) the binary logit model structure identifying a future probability of manufacturing firms to locate in a city and their land demand; and 2) the land use suitability of the land demand. The model was empirically tested in the case of Anseong City. We used establishment-level data for the manufacturing industry from the Report on Mining and Manufacturing Survey. 48 industry groups were scrutinized to find the location probability in the city and their land demand via logit model with the dependent variables: number of employment, land capital, building capital, total products, and value-added for a new industry since 2001. It is forecasted that the future land areas (to 2025) for the manufacturing industries in the city are $5.94km^2$ and additional land demand for clustering the existing industries scattered over the city is $2.lkm^2$. Five industrial complex locations were identified through the land use suitability analysis.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.261-273
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• 2022

본 연구는 시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용하여 성남시의 토지이용수요를 예측하고 가족구조 변화와 토지이용밀도 조정정책이 토지이용수요에 미치는 영향을 모의실험하는데 연구의 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 분석모형을 설계하고 시뮬레이션 결과를 통해 시간의 흐름에 따른 토지이용수요의 변화를 살펴보았다. 분석결과에 의하면, 2035년 기준으로 주거용지는 2.08km², 상업용지는 1.36km²의 추가 공급이 필요하고, 공업용지는 현재 공급면적으로 수요를 충족할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 기본 모형에서 변수값을 변경하여 세가지 정책실험을 실시하였다. 첫 번째 정책실험에서는 가구원수가 기본 모형에 비해 급격히 감소할 경우에는 주거용지가 최대 7.99km² 추가공급이 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 두 번째 정책실험에서는 아파트 용적율이 200%에서 300%로 상향하면 현재의 성남시 주거지역 공급면적으로 주거용지 수요 충족이 가능하였다. 세 번째 정책실험에서는 상업지역 평균층수를 4층에서 5층 상향하고 상업지역 건폐율을 80%에서 85%로 상향하더라도 상업용지의 수요가 성남시 상업지역 공급면적을 초과하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 시스템 다이내믹스를 활용하여 토지이용수요 예측의 새로운 분석모형을 제시하고, 성남시의 실제 도시계획 현황 및 통계치를 적용하여 모형을 실증하였다는데 연구의 의의가 있다. 향후 성남시 토지이용수요 예측 및 분석 모형의 정교화를 위한 후속연구가 이루어져야 할 것이다.

• 한국토양비료학회지
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.201-210
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• 1976

Only 22.7% of total land area is arable land in Korea, it is anticipated that the increased land utilization of present arable land and enlargement of arable land through the reclamation of hillside and tidal land will be of great importance for the support of increased population in the future. Followings are the prediction of increased land utilization ratios, increased arable land through the reclamation of hillside and tidal land, and the increase] in fertilizer demand up to the year of 2000. 1. On the assumption that irrigation facilities, farm mechanization, and cropping systems would be improved remarkably by the year of 2000, the land utilization ratios of paddy land and upland are estimated to be 179% and 193% respectively. 2. Increments of fertilizer demand due to increased land utilization ratios, are estimated to be 2, 290 M/T in 1980, 70, 611 M/T in 1990, and 153, 619 M/T in 2000, when the amounts of fertilizers per unit area are fixed at present lrevels. 3. Increments of fertilizer demand due to the expansion of arable land through the reclamation of 516,330 ha of hillside land and 160,568 ha of tidal land, which are the present estimation of the reclaimable areas, are estimated as 32,960 M/T in 1980, 136,320 M/T in 1990, and 366,861 M/T in 2000. 4. Total increments of fertilizer demand due to the increased land utilization of arable land and the expansion of arable land through the reclamation of hillside and tidal lands in 2000's are estimated as 196,285 M/T for N, 147,351 M/T for $P_2O_5$, and 176,844 M/T for $K_2O$.

• 한국관개배수논문집
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2014

The purpose of this study is to calculate agricultural water demand as considering landuse plan of the farm land on the Saemangeum tidal land reclamation project. This study based on the farm landuse plan(2012) and considered some items which did not included previous work like prevention water for resalinization for paddy and upland and muli-purpose water for upland. This study showed that the agricultural water demand estimated $145.123Mm^3/yr$, which is needed as much $14.792Mm^3/yr$ as more water than previous work. The difference comes from the change of unit water demand. Water demand is possible to be changed if guidelines are improved and detailed design work is completed through further study. Especially, the more studies for prevention water for resalinization in a tidal reclaimed farmland and water demand for a horticulture are needed.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제7권6호
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• pp.1277-1283
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• 2006

우리나라의 주민 소득수준 향상에 따른 토지수요는 수도권을 중심으로 꾸준히 증가할 것으로 예상되나 수도권에서의 가용토지는 한정되어 있고 토지공급 체계가 합리적이지 않아 토지수급에 문제가 제기되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 수도권에서의 인구변화를 기초로 주택수를 판단하여 토지수요를 예측하고 토지공급체계를 분석하여 토지 공급 개선방향을 제시하는데 목적이 있다. 연구결과 수도권에서는 2010년까지 신규 택지개발사업에 의한 주택수요량 127만호로 예측되며 이를 위해 $293km^2$ (8,855만평)의 토지수요가 있는 것으로 나타났으나 수도권에서의 토지의 용도전환이 엄격하게 제한되어 도시용 토지공급이 원활치 못한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 수도권에서는 도시용지 공급의 중복규제 정비, 토지이용관련 규제합리화, 정부 부처간의 긴밀한 협조체제 구축, 개발용도지역과 보전용도지역의 경계조정, 농업진흥지역과 보전산지의 개념 재정립 등을 통하여 합리적인 토지공급체계 운용이 요구된다.

• 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.92-105
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• 2018

In this study, the projected land use area in 2030 for major crop production was estimated in Jeju Island using land cover map, and corresponding agricultural water demand for 40 sub-regions was quantitatively assessed using the future climate change scenario (RCP 4.5). Estimated basic unit of water demand in 2030 was the highest in the western region, and the lowest in the eastern region. Monthly maximum agricultural water demand analysis revealed that water demand in August of 2030 substantially increased, suggesting the climate of Jeju Island is changing to a subtropical climate in 2030. Agricultural water demand for sub-region in 2030 was calculated by multiplying the target area of the water supply excluding the area not in use in winter season by the basic unit of water demand, and the maximum and minimum values were estimated to be $306,626m^3/day$ at Seogwipo downtown region and $77,967m^3/day$ at Hallim region, respectively. Consequently, total agricultural water demand in Jeju Island in 2030 was estimated to be $1,848,010m^3/day$.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.185-185
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• 2023

Agricultural water demand is considered as the major sector of water withdrawal due to irrigation. The majority part of the global agricultural field depends on various irrigation techniques. Therefore, a timely and sufficient supply of water is the most important requirement for agriculture. Irrigation is implemented in different ways in various land surface models, it can be modeled empirically based on observed irrigation rates or by calculating water supply and demand. Certain models can also calculate the irrigation demand as per the soil water deficit. In these implementations, irrigation is typically applied uniformly over the irrigated land regardless of crop types or irrigation techniques. Whereas, the latest version of Community Land Model (CLM) in the Community Terrestrial Systems Model (CTSM) uses a global distribution map of irrigation with 64 crop functional types (CFTs) to simulate the irrigation water demand. It can estimate irrigation water withdrawal from different sources and the amount or the areas irrigated with different irrigation techniques. Hence, we set up the model for the simulation period of 16 years from 2000 to 2015 to analyze the global irrigation demand at a spatial resolution of 1.9° × 2.5°. The simulated irrigation water demand is evaluated with the available observation data from FAO AQUASTAT database at the country scale. With the evaluated model, this study aims to suggest new sustainable scenarios for the ratios of irrigation water withdrawal, high depending on the withdrawal sources e.g. surface water and groundwater. With such scenarios, the CFT maps are considered as the determining factor for selecting the areas where the crop pattern can be altered for a sustainable irrigation water management depending on the available withdrawal sources. Overall, our study demonstrate that the scenarios for the future sustainable water resources management in terms of irrigation water withdrawal from the both the surface water and groundwater sources may overcome the excessive stress on exploiting the groundwater in major river basins globally.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제54권2호
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• pp.77-86
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• 2012

This study was aim to predict future land-cover changes and to analyze regional land-cover changes in irrigation areas and agricultural reservoir watersheds under climate change scenario. To simulate the future land-cover under climate change scenario - A1B of the SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios), Dyna-CLUE (Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects) was applied for modeling of competition among land-use types in relation to socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors. For the study areas, 8 agricultural reservoirs were selected from 8 different provinces covering all around nation. The simulation results from 2010 to 2100 suggested future land-cover changes under the scenario conditions. For Madun reservoir in Gyeonggi-do, total decrease amount of paddy area was a similar amount of 'Base demand scenario' of Water Vision 2020 published by MLTMA (Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs), while the decrease amounts of paddy areas in other sites were less than the amount of 'High demand scenario' of Water Vision 2020. Under A1B scenario, all the land-cover results showed only slight changes in irrigation areas of agricultural reservoirs and most of agricultural reservoir watersheds will be increased continuously for forest areas. This approach could be useful for evaluating and simulating agricultural water demand in relation to land-use changes.

• 한국관개배수논문집
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.236-244
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• 2007

Agricultural water demand in North Korea must be considered for the near-future investment in agricultural consolidation projects and to prepare for the future unification. Thus, the objective of this study is to estimate the agricultural water demand of paddy fieldss in North Korea. GIS data including land cover classification map, Thiessen network and administration maps of North Korea, and meteorological data were synthesized. In order to estimate paddy water demand for a 10-year return period, the FAO Blaney-Criddle method and the fixed effective rainfall ratio method were used. The results showed that 4.77 billion $\beta$(c)/year paddy water demand is required for the 512,400 ha of paddy fieldss. Paddy water demand in the three major regions - Hwanghaedo, Pyeongando, Hamgyeongnamdo - was estimated chargong 81.7 percent of total paddy water demand in North Korea.