• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제34권7호
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• pp.553-558
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• 2010

This study presents the optimization design process of a segment ball valve that involves the reduction of the flow resistance coefficient and the satisfaction of the strength requirement. Numerical analysis of fluid flow and structural analysis have been performed to predict the flow resistance coefficient and the maximum stress of a segment ball valve. In this study, a segment ball valve incorporating the advantages of a ball valve and a butterfly valve has been devised. In general, ball valves are installed in a pipe system where tight shut off is required. Butterfly valves having smaller end-to-end dimension than ball valve can be installed in narrow spaces in a pipe system. The metamodels for the shape design of a segment ball valve are built by the response surface method and the Kriging interpolation model.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.684-689
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• 2006

강우자료는 수문시스템 해석에 있어 가장 기본이 되는 입력자료이며, 강우측정시에는 다양한 원인에 의해 결측이 발생하게 된다 따라서, 이러한 자료를 보정하기 위한 다양한 방법들이 제시되어 있으나 적용성이나 오차정도에 대한 평가 없이 사용되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기존에 사용중인 산술평균법, 정상연강우량법, 수정정상연강우량법, 역거릭법, 선형계획법, 크리깅방법 등의 강우량 보정방법을 비교 평가하였다.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.45-67
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• 1991

An overview is given on stochastic techniques with which remotely sensed data may be used together with ground measurements for purposes of state estimation and prediction. They can explicitly account for spatiotemporal differences in measurement characteristics between ground measurements and remotely sensed data, and are suitable for highly variant space or space-time processes, such as atmosperic processes, which may be viewed as (containing) a random process. For state estimation of static ststems, optimal linear estimation is described. As alternatives, various co-kriging estimation techniques are also described, including simple, ordinary, universal, lognormal, disjunctive, indicator, and Bayesian extersion to simple and lognormal. For illustrative purposes, very simple examples of optimal linear estimation and simple co-kriging are given. For state estimation and prediction of dynamic system, distributed-parameter kalman filter is described. Issues concerning actual implemention are given, and with application potential are described.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제13권6호
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• pp.463-474
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• 1997

Metallic elements in dustfall have been known as notable air pollutants directly or indirectly influencing human health and wealth. The first aim of this study was to obtain precise spatial distribution patterns of 5 elements (Pb, Zn, K, Cr, and Al) in dustfall around Suwon area. To predict isometric lines of metal fluxes deposited on unsupervised random sites, the study has applied both spatial statistics as a receptor model and a GIS (geographic information system). Total of 31 sampling sites were selected in the study area (roughly 3 by 3 km grid basis) and dustfall samples were then collected monthly basis by the British deposit gauges from Dec., 1995 to Nov., 1996. The metallic elements in the dustfall were then analyzed by an atomic absorption spectrometer (AAS). On the other hand, a base map overlapped by 7 layers was constructed by using the AutoCAD R13 and ARC/INFO 3.4D. Four different spatial interpolation and expolation techniques such as IDW (inverse distance weighted averaging), TIN (triangulated irregular network), polynomial regression, and kriging technique were examined to compare spatial distribution patterns. Each pattern obtained by each technique was substantally different as varing pollutant types, land of use types, and topological conditions, etc. Thus, our study focused intensively on uncertainty analysis based on a concept of the jackknife and the sum of error distance. It was found that a kriging technique was the best applicalbe in this study area.

• Environmental Engineering Research
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.369-376
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• 2017

The trend analysis of the study was acquired by selecting multiyear monthly groundwater table data and monitors the wells in each sub-district under the study area. The intention of this research was to analyze the outcome of the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test at greater than the significance level which is 95% of groundwater level in Sylhet. The aptitude is effective at two conjunctures where the confidence bounds are 95% and it meets the estimate line of Sen's. To calculate and assess the spatial differences in the inanition of groundwater table, geostatistical methods was applied based on data from 27 groundwater wells during the period from January 1975 to December 2011 which were obtained from a secondary source, Bangladesh Water Development Board. The geographic information system was used to assess the spatial change in order to find the level of groundwater. Cross-validation errors were found within an advisable level in estimating the groundwater depth with different interpolation models of ordinary kriging methods. Finally, surface maps were generated with the best-fitted model. The southeast region was found highly vulnerable from groundwater level point of view. Northern region was detected highest hazard prone area for diverge groundwater using kriging method.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 1993년도 사면안정
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• pp.19-44
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• 1993

사면등의 토공구조물의 안정해석에 있어서, 지반변수의 최적추정을 위해 추계학적이론(stochastical concepts)을 도입했다. 지반의 방향에 따른 최대의 시추간격과 점추정뿐만 아니라 구역추정이 가능케 했으며 또한 그 추적치의 신뢰도를 구할 수 있도록 했다. 해석상의 정확도의 증명과 실무에서의 적용의 편이성 비교를 위해 실제상황에 대한 몇가지의 예를 들고 각각 산술평균 이용법과 FDM, FEM, 역거리법, 역거리자승법, Kriging 법을 도입 결과들을 서로 비교검토하였다. 추정치의 비교분석 결과 Kriging 법이 가장 신뢰성이 크고 또한 방법들과는 달리 추정자의 정확도 즉 신뢰도를 산정할 수 있다. 한편으로 토공구조물의 형상에 따른 지반변수를 추정할 수 있게 하였다.

• 호남수학학술지
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.87-103
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• 2004

A practical estimation method for groundwater contaminant concentration is introduced. Using geostatistical techniques and symmetry, experimental variograms show significant improved correlation compared with those from conventional techniques. Numrical experiments are performed using a field data set.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.432-442
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• 2011

기온, 강수와 같은 기후관측 자료들은 공간과 더불어 시간적인 변이를 동시에 나타낸다. 따라서 신뢰성 높은 시계열 분포도 작성을 위해 공간적 자기상관성만을 고려하는 기존 공간 내삽 기법에 시공간적 자기상관성 정보를 반영할 필요가 있다. 이 연구에서는 시계열 기온 분포도 제작을 위해 1개월 동안 1시간 간격으로 획득된 기온 관측소 자료를 대상으로 시공간 크리깅을 적용하였다. 우선 기온자료를 결정론적 경향 성분과 확률론적 잔차 성분으로 분해한 후에, 경향 성분 모델링 과정에 기온과 연관성이 높은 고도 자료를 부가 자료로 통합하여 지형 효과를 반영하는 경향 성분을 모델링하였다. 잔차 성분에 대한 시공간 베리오그램 모델링에는 곱-합 모델을 적용하여 시간과 공간 베리오그램의 상호 연관성을 반영하도록 하였다. 이러한 시공간 베리오그램 모델을 이용하여 시공간 정규 크리깅을 적용한 결과, 기존 공간적 자기상관성만을 고려하는 정규 크리깅과 고도 자료를 부가 자료로 이용하는 회귀분석 크리깅에 비해 상대적으로 높은 예측 능력을 보였다. 이러한 결과는 고도 자료와 더불어 시공간 자기상관성 정보의 이용이 중요함을 지시한다. 따라서 공간적으로 가용할 수 있는 자료의 수가 한계가 있지만 시계열적으로 자료 획득이 가능한 변수를 분석할 때, 시공간 크리깅이 유용한 내삽 방법론으로 적용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제81권4호
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• pp.429-441
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• 2022

A probabilistic assessment of the seismic-excited buildings with a multiple-tuned-mass-damper (MTMD) system is carried out in the presence of uncertainties of the structural model, MTMD system, and the stochastic model of the seismic excitations. A free search optimization procedure of the individual mass, stiffness and, damping parameters of the MTMD system based on the snap-drift cuckoo search (SDCS) optimization algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of the MTMD system. Considering a 10-story structure in three cases equipped with single tuned mass damper (STMS), 5-TMD and 10-TMD, sensitivity analyses are carried out using Sobol' indices based on the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. Considering different seismic performance levels, the reliability analyses are done using MCS and kriging-based MCS methods. The results show the maximum structural responses are more affected by changes in the PGA and the stiffness coefficients of the structural floors and TMDs. The results indicate the kriging-based MCS method can estimate the accurate amount of failure probability by spending less time than the MCS. The results also show the MTMD gives a significant reduction in the structural failure probability. The effect of the MTMD on the reduction of the failure probability is remarkable in the performance levels of life safety and collapse prevention. The maximum drift of floors may be reduced for the nominal structural system by increasing the TMDs, however, the complexity of the MTMD model and increasing its corresponding uncertainty sources can be caused a slight increase in the failure probability of the structure.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제74권2호
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• pp.157-173
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• 2020

In the finite element modelling of long-span cable-stayed bridges, there are a lot of uncertainties brought about by the complex structural configuration, material behaviour, boundary conditions, structural connections, etc. In order to reduce the discrepancies between the theoretical finite element model and the actual static and dynamic behaviour, updating is indispensable after establishment of the finite element model to provide a reliable baseline version for further analysis. Traditional sensitivity-based updating methods cannot support updating based on static and dynamic measurement data at the same time. The finite element model is required in every optimization iteration which limits the efficiency greatly. A convenient but accurate Kriging surrogate model for updating of the finite element model of cable-stayed bridge is proposed. First, a simple cable-stayed bridge is used to verify the method and the updating results of Kriging model are compared with those using the response surface model. Results show that Kriging model has higher accuracy than the response surface model. Then the method is utilized to update the model of a long-span cable-stayed bridge in Hong Kong. The natural frequencies are extracted using various methods from the ambient data collected by the Wind and Structural Health Monitoring System installed on the bridge. The maximum deflection records at two specific locations in the load test form the updating objective function. Finally, the fatigue lives of the structure at two cross sections are calculated with the finite element models before and after updating considering the mean stress effect. Results are compared with those calculated from the strain gauge data for verification.