• 대한가정학회지
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• 제37권9호
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• pp.39-56
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• 1999

Households have experienced economic instability since Korea economic crisis in 1997. This study attempts to explore the financial management behavior by the types of economic instability classified considering the two aspects of the employment and the income instability of the households. The specific objectives of this study are : 1) to classify households’economic instability in terms of employment and income instability. 2) to examine whether the financial management behavior is different between households experiencing the different types of the economic instability. The sample consisted of 792 married women living in Seoul. The statistical methods used for analysis included Reliability, Frequencies, Percent, Mean, Standard Deviation, Analysis of Covariance, one-way Anova, DMR-test. The major results can be summarized as following : 1) The economic instability experienced by houeholds can be classified into the 4 types employment-income instability, employment instability income stability, employment stability$.$income instability, and employment$.$income stability. 2) There are statistically significant differences in the levels of financial management behavior between households having the different types of economoc instability. The results of this study could be needed for development of the employment policies and the financial education programs.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.81-88
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• 2013

Purpose - This paper analyzes the influence of the RMB internationalization on the KRW/dollar exchange rate using an autoregressive distributed lag model. Comparing the parameter estimators from the sample period before and after the global financial crisis, we found that the RMB/dollar exchange rate has increasingly become more influential on the KRW/dollar exchange rate. Moreover, for the past several years, the Chinese government has actively utilized the financial service FTA negotiation as a measure for the RMB internationalization. This paper simultaneously considers RMB internationalization and financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. The purpose of this paper is to explicitly suggest a direction for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA considering the effects of RMB internationalization. Research design, data, and methodology - The research plan of this paper has two parts. First, for an empirical study, this paper uses the daily exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against the currencies of the ASEAN5, Taiwan,and Korea. By using an autoregressive distributed lag model, this paper studies the influence of the change in the RMB/dollar exchange rate on changes in the local currency/dollar exchange rate in seven economies neighboring China. Our sample periods are 06/2005 - 07/2008 and 06/2010 -02/2013. During these periods, China was under the multi-currency basket system. We exempted the period of 08/2008 - 05/2010 from the analysis because there was nearly no RMB/dollar exchange rate fluctuation during those months. Second, after analyzing the recent financial service liberalizations and deregulations in China, we recommend a direction for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. In the past several years,the main Chinese financial policy agenda has surrounded the RMB internationalization. Therefore, it is crucial to understand this in the search for strategies for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. This paper employs an existing literature survey and examines the FTA protocols in its research methodology. Results and Conclusions - After the global financial crisis, the Chinese government wanted to break away from the dollar influence and pursued independent RMB internationalization in order to continue the growth and stability of its economy. Hence, every neighboring economy of China has been strategically impacted by RMB internationalization. Nevertheless, there is little empirical study on the influence of RMB internationalization on the KRW/dollar exchange rate. This paper is one of the few studies to analyze this problem comprehensively. By using a relatively simple estimation model, we can confirm that the coefficient of the RMB/dollar exchange rate has become more significant, except in the case of Indonesia. Although Korea is not under the multi-currency basket system but under the weakly controlled floating exchange rate system, its coefficient appears as large as that of the ASEAN5. This is the basis of the currency cooperation that has grown from the expansion of trade between the two countries. These empirical results suggest that the Korean government should specifically consider the RMB internationalization in the Korean-Chinese FTA negotiations.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.138-160
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• 2009

IMF 위기로 위축되었던 도시 주택시장은 당시 정부의 경기부양 정책과 더불어 대규모 도시개발 및 부동산 관련금융의 팽창으로 활성화되면서 주택가격의 폭등으로 이어졌고, 지난 정부의 부동산 규제 강화 정책에 의해 겉으로 어느 정도 안정되었다. 그러나 주택시장에 내재된 문제점들과 2008년 중반 이후 국제금융위기의 영향으로, 한국 특히 서울을 중심으로 수도권의 주택시장은 금융위기 및 실물경제 위기와 맞물려 붕괴될 우려를 자아내게 되었고, 현 정부는 이에 대한 강력한 규제완화 정책을 펴고 있다. 이와 같은 도시 주택시장의 역동성은 기본적으로 자본축적을 위한 지속적인 대규모 도시(재)개발, 주거지분화와 독점적 자산이득(즉 독점지대)의 전유, 그리고 부동산의 금융자본화 및 부동산 시장과 금융시장의 결합에 기인한다. 이러한 상황에서 현재 도시 주택가격이 완만한 하향세를 보이고 있지만, 이로 인한 국내 금융위기 발생의 우려를 명분으로 현 정부는 각종 탈규제정책을 시행하고 있다. 그러나 이러한 탈규제정책들은 오히려 부동산 투기와 주택가격의 폭등을 초래할 가능성을 가진다. 따라서 현재와 같은 완만한 가격하락은 부동산 시장, 나아가 사회경제 전반에 긍정적인 효과를 가져 올 것임을 전제로, 대안적 정책이 수립되어야 할 것이다.

• 한국의류학회지
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• 제36권12호
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• pp.1285-1296
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• 2012

This study investigates the effects of changes in price, total consumption expenditures and economic sitations on Korean household demands for clothing and footwear using time-series data. The clothing and footwear category was reclassified as clothing, footwear and clothing services items for the demand analysis. This study utilized the Linearized Almost Ideal Demand System (LAIDS) model to analyze household demand. The results indicate that price and total consumption expenditures are significantly related to Korean household consumption expenditure allocations for clothing and footwear items. The effects of the IMF bailout crisis in 1997 and the global financial crisis in 2008 on household expenditure shares for clothing and footwear items were very weak and statistically insignificant. All the demand elasticities were estimated with respect to total consumption expenditures and prices. Clothing was expenditure elastic (greater than one) and other items were classified as inelastic. All the own price elasticities of demands were negative (other than clothing). Through the estimations of cross price elasticity the relationships between the demands for items and other item prices were evaluated (i.e., substitutes and complements).

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제16권11호
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• pp.321-329
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• 2016

본 연구는 금융위기 이후 새로운 질서로 부상되고 있는 뉴 노멀 시대 하 한국경제의 R&D투자가 생산성 성장에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 이를 위해 R&D자본 및 기타자본의 집약도 및 총요소생산성이 노동생산성에 미치는 효과를 전 기간(1970~2014), IMF외환위기 이전 까지 기간 (1970~1997), 그리고 그 이후 기간(1999~2014)로 구분하여 추정하였다. 그 결과 R&D자본과 기타자본의 집약도 변화율 모두 노동생산성 변화에 매우 높은 유의성을 보였으며, 특히, 이들 변수 모두 IMF외환위기 이전의 계수보다 외환위기 이후 기간의 추정계수가 더 높게 나타났다. 또한 연구개발투자의 한계생산성이 총요소생산성 성장에 미치는 영향을 역시 3개 기간으로 나누어 추정하였다. 결과 전 기간 모두 연구개발투자의 한계생산성은 통계적으로 유의성이 높게 나타났으며 또한 외환위기 이후의 한계생산성 계수(0.3873)가 전기의 기간보다 높게(0.2243) 나타났다. 이 같은 결과는 IMF 외환위기 이후 한국경제에 있어서 R&D 투자의 증가가 총요소생산성 성장에 더 긍정적으로 작용해 오고 있음을 의미한다고 할 수 있다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제50권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2017

Objectives: By the end of the 2000s, the economic situation in many European countries started to deteriorate, generating financial uncertainty, social insecurity and worse health status. The aim of the present study was to investigate how the recent financial crisis has affected the lifestyle health determinants and behaviours of older adults living in the Mediterranean islands. Methods: From 2005 to 2015, a population-based, multi-stage convenience sampling method was used to voluntarily enrol 2749 older adults (50% men) from 20 Mediterranean islands and the rural area of the Mani peninsula. Lifestyle status was evaluated as the cumulative score of four components (range, 0 to 6), that is, smoking habits, diet quality (MedDietScore), depression status (Geriatric Depression Scale) and physical activity. Results: Older Mediterranean people enrolled in the study from 2009 onwards showed social isolation and increased smoking, were more prone to depressive symptoms, and adopted less healthy dietary habits, as compared to their counterparts participating earlier in the study (p<0.05), irrespective of age, gender, several clinical characteristics, or socioeconomic status of the participants (an almost 50% adjusted increase in the lifestyle score from before 2009 to after 2009, p<0.001). Conclusions: A shift towards less healthy behaviours was noticeable after the economic crisis had commenced. Public health interventions should focus on older adults, particularly of lower socioeconomic levels, in order to effectively reduce the burden of cardiometabolic disease at the population level.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.34-56
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• 2021

Purpose - This study presents strategies to overcome the COVID-19-induced crisis in Korea's meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) industry. It aims to quantitatively identify the environmental factors affecting the industry and their degree of influence, and derive optimal countermeasures. Design/methodology - The study applied the SWOT-AHP-TOWS framework. An AHP analysis was first performed within the SWOT frame, and then a TOWS analysis was conducted using the results of the SWOT-AHP analysis. In the AHP analysis, the number of pairwise comparison questions was limited to four for each SWOT factor to increase the consistency of responses by reducing the burden on respondents. Findings - The plunge in demand (threats factor) has had an overwhelming impact on the MICE industry, more than any other environmental factor. To overcome the crisis, the ST alternative that takes advantage of dynamic pop culture to minimize the business damage caused by the plunge in demand was the top priority measure. Based on the results, this study presents suggestions for overcoming the crisis in the MICE industry. First, the industry should develop profitable business models to supplement scarce financial resources by exploiting Korea's success with quarantine management. Second, the government must provide emergency relief funds or bailout support to protect MICE facilities and employees. Originality/value - Unlike previous work on the MICE industry, this study utilized the SWOT-AHPTOWS framework to derive quick research results in an abnormal situation. This approach can be expanded to other countries with different industrial environments and situations. Additionally, when applying this method to MICE sub-sectors, countermeasures should be tailored to each field.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.1-32
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• 2018

본 연구는 경제적으로 국내에 큰 영향을 주었던 글로벌 금융위기를 기반으로 총 10년의 연간 기업데이터를 이용한다. 먼저 시대 변화 흐름에 일관성있는 부도 모형을 구축하는 것을 목표로 금융위기 이전(2000~2006년)의 데이터를 학습한다. 이후 매개 변수 튜닝을 통해 금융위기 기간이 포함(2007~2008년)된 유효성 검증 데이터가 학습데이터의 결과와 비슷한 양상을 보이고, 우수한 예측력을 가지도록 조정한다. 이후 학습 및 유효성 검증 데이터를 통합(2000~2008년)하여 유효성 검증 때와 같은 매개변수를 적용하여 모형을 재구축하고, 결과적으로 최종 학습된 모형을 기반으로 시험 데이터(2009년) 결과를 바탕으로 딥러닝 시계열 알고리즘 기반의 기업부도예측 모형이 유용함을 검증한다. 부도에 대한 정의는 Lee(2015) 연구와 동일하게 기업의 상장폐지 사유들 중 실적이 부진했던 경우를 부도로 선정한다. 독립변수의 경우, 기존 선행연구에서 이용되었던 재무비율 변수를 비롯한 기타 재무정보를 포함한다. 이후 최적의 변수군을 선별하는 방식으로 다변량 판별분석, 로짓 모형, 그리고 Lasso 회귀분석 모형을 이용한다. 기업부도예측 모형 방법론으로는 Altman(1968)이 제시했던 다중판별분석 모형, Ohlson(1980)이 제시한 로짓모형, 그리고 비시계열 기계학습 기반 부도예측모형과 딥러닝 시계열 알고리즘을 이용한다. 기업 데이터의 경우, '비선형적인 변수들', 변수들의 '다중 공선성 문제', 그리고 '데이터 수 부족'이란 한계점이 존재한다. 이에 로짓 모형은 '비선형성'을, Lasso 회귀분석 모형은 '다중 공선성 문제'를 해결하고, 가변적인 데이터 생성 방식을 이용하는 딥러닝 시계열 알고리즘을 접목함으로서 데이터 수가 부족한 점을 보완하여 연구를 진행한다. 현 정부를 비롯한 해외 정부에서는 4차 산업혁명을 통해 국가 및 사회의 시스템, 일상생활 전반을 아우르기 위해 힘쓰고 있다. 즉, 현재는 다양한 산업에 이르러 빅데이터를 이용한 딥러닝 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있지만, 금융 산업을 위한 연구분야는 아직도 미비하다. 따라서 이 연구는 기업 부도에 관하여 딥러닝 시계열 알고리즘 분석을 진행한 초기 논문으로서, 금융 데이터와 딥러닝 시계열 알고리즘을 접목한 연구를 시작하는 비 전공자에게 비교분석 자료로 쓰이기를 바란다.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.211-223
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• 2001

This study analyzed the financial ratio change of self-employed households between 1997 and 1998. The data were drawn from Korean Households Panel Study and utilitze7 descriptive statistics such as frequency, percentile to investigate the differences between two period of time, 1997 and 1998. The sampe size in 1997 was 692 householdsand and 600 households in 1998. The mean of financial asset showed that in 1997, self-employed households had much less in liquidity assets, especially in bank-related income, stock, but had more in real-estate, Gye, and private loan than those in 1998. In cases of debt-owned, the self-employed tended to have more debt in non-bank related and it illustrates that the self-employed may experience the difficulties to access the financial assistance in economic depression. Using guideline of each ratios, for six financial ratios, self-employed could meet less proper level$ in 1998 compared to those in 1997. It proves that the economic crisis affect the stability of income and financial assets of self-employed households and types of financial assets changes because of the stability.

• 4차산업연구
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.19-32
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• 2022

Purpose - As new technologies that have led the 4th industrial revolution spread after the COVID-19 pandemic, the business crisis of existing financial institutions and the threat of employee jobs are growing, especially in the financial sector. The purpose of this study is to propose a human-technology convergence curriculum for creating high value-added in financial institutions and upskilling financial manpower. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study, a curriculum was designed to strengthen job competency for Private Bankers, high-quality employees of a bank dealing with high-net-worth owners. The focus of the design is that learners acquire skills to use robo-advisors as a tool and supplement artificial intelligence ethics. Result - The curriculum is organized into a total of 16 classes, and the main contents are changes in the financial environment and financial consumers, the core technology of robo-advisors and AI ethics, and establishment and evaluation of hyper-personalized asset management strategies using robo-advisors. To achieve the educational goal, two evaluations are performed to derive individual tasks and team project results. Conclusion - Human-centered upskilling convergence education will contribute to improving employee value and expanding corporate high value-added business areas by utilizing new technologies as tools. It is expected that the development and application of convergence curriculum in various fields will continue to be advanced in the future.