• 기술경영경제학회:학술대회논문집
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• 기술경영경제학회 1999년도 제16회 동계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.328-347
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• 1999

The substitution of Electronic Commerce(EC) for the traditional transactions triggers the changes of the industry structures and promotes the cost reductions of the firms in the areas of distributions and other administrative operations associated with purchase via EC. Our study clarifies the changes of the environments attributable to EC which are faced inter-and-externally by firms and try to exhibit the trend of EC market growth through such descriptions. Regardless of the rapid spread of EC, recent studies do not show appropriately its impact on the relevant industries and our domestic economy. Therefore, our study focuses on the forecasting of the impacts of EC on the domestic productions and imports. To this end, we develop an analytic framework using the existing data in Input/Output Analysis and the estimations of the EC market growth in the future. We, finally, identify the industrial sectors whose productions and imports are estimated to be accelerated by the extension of EC and forecast the whole effects of EC on domestic productions and imports.

• Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.131-141
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• 2004

The FTA(Free Trade Agreements) are loading the world trade liberalization. Entering into FTA with Chile on 1 Apr 2004, Korea is trying to tie with Singapore and Japan in FTA. It also has a long-term plan for free-trading with China, USA, ASEAN, Canada and India. The portion of the dairy products imported from Chile, Japan and Singapore is under 1% of total dairy product imports. However, in the long run the conclusion of FTA with dairy product exporting countries such as USA, Australia, New Zealand and Netherlands will give a big impact on the dairy industry with abrupt increment in dairy product imports. Especially, whole and skim milk powder imports which are imported on the high tariff rate expect to increase. Furthermore mixed milk powder(Food preparations of goods and other whey powders) imports which domestic price is higher than world market also will dramatically increase. The milk powder stocks have increased since 2002. That made the government carry out some policies. Those include slaughtering milking cow(2002) and terminating the dairy farm enterprise and decreasing in milk production(2003). Also the case of artificial insemination by a Hanwoo fertilized egg has increased with the rise of Hanwoo farm price in 2003. By those reason, it is forecasted that the downward trend in the number of cow will be continued in 2004. It is also forecasted that the raw milk production in 2004 will decrease 4.4% compared to last year due to decreasing in the number of milking cow and raw milk collecting quota.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.905-916
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• 2018

The purpose of this study was to analyze factors affecting US beef consumption intention in the future, to identify the causes of US beef import growth and to derive implications and strategies for domestic beef producers. Since the KORUS FTA was signed in 2012, US beef imports in 2017 totaled 379,064 tons, an annual increase of 3.5 percent. US beef imports have been steadily increasing due to cuts in FTA tariffs and changes in consumer preferences. The data used in this study utilized a sample of 3,290 grocery purchasers from the Korea Rural Economic Institute's 2016 Food Consumption Behavior Survey. The analytical method used the Ordered Logit Model to analyze what factors influence a consumer's subjective evaluation. As a result, the major factors affecting US beef consumption intention in the future are price, taste and safety. In particular, it has to do with the recent surge in U.S. imports of good-tasting chilled meat. Because chilled meat does not differentiate the market from Hanwoo beef produced in Korea, it is necessary to have differentiated taste and low price through cost reduction. By age and family group, people aged 30 - 40 years and single-person households are the main consumption group. As a result of this study, it is necessary to establish marketing strategies for producers such as rational pricing, safety, taste promotion, and small-scale sales to extend the demand for Hanwoo beef in the younger generation to enhance the competitiveness of the domestic beef market.

• 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국기술혁신학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.254-269
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• 2004

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.55-88
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• 2019

Our paper contributes to existing literature by empirically investigate the trade structure and trade performance between Korea and ASEAN. Overall, trade activities between Korea and almost major ASEAN economies have significantly focused on capital goods, medium and high technology goods, while the remaining ASEAN countries' exports over Korea have been mainly primary and low technology goods. There has been a higher complementarity in between Korea's exports and ASEAN's imports compared with between ASEAN's exports and Korea's imports. Estimation results show that ASEAN's GDP and income have larger impacts than those of Korea on aggregate trade flows as well as sectoral level between two sides. Additionally, geographical conditions are critical factors impeding Korea-ASEAN trade. Meanwhile, other factors in the estimation model have mixed impacts on components of Korea-ASEAN trade structure. Finally, there is a significant room for Korea's trade expansion with ASEAN, particularly new and less developed members in future.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.185-198
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• 2014

본 연구는 교육비 지출, 경제성장, 수출, 수입간의 인과관계 및 상호영향을 대하여 알아보았다. 우선 Granger causality test를 실시한 결과 교육비 지출은 수출입에 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났으며, 다른 변수들간에는 인과관계가 없다는 결과가 나타났다. 또한 충격반응함수로 본 교육비지출과 변수들간의 관계는 교육비 지출은 수출에 초기 (-)의 영향을 주나 일정시기가 지나면 (+)의 영향을 주는 것을 알 수가 있고, 수입의 경우에는 초기(-)의 영향을 주면, 차츰 0으로 수렴되는 경향이 있음을 알 수 있다. 마지막으로 교육비 지출은 GDP에 (+)의 영향을 주는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 따라서 본 연구를 통하여, 수출입이 증가함에 따라, 즉 개방이 가속하 됨으로 인하여 고급인력의 수요가 증가하여 교육에 대한 새로운 투자가 증가하는 것으로 판단되어지며, 이는 고급인력의 수요를 맞추기 위하여 정부가 외국어, 연구인력 등을 위한 교육투자가 선행되어져야 함을 알 수 있다.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.195-211
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• 2021

This paper measures the economic impacts of the U.S. port investment strategies coping with the Panama Canal expansion. Using secondary import data, negative and positive estimates of the impacts were presented in this study. Reduced port activities into the West Coast Customs Districts negatively affect transportation and warehousing industries, among other effects. Still, they have simultaneous positive effects in other states from increased imports resulting from modal shifts and changes in the entry port located in the South and East coasts. This study applied the supply-driven National Interstate Economic Model that measures all interstate trade among the U.S. states to divert foreign imports from 15 Pacific Rim countries. For this purpose, the following assumption was adopted: larger ships using the canal will lead to a redirection of seaborne trade among U.S. (and other) ports and result in secondary effects, e.g., using different freight modes and regional growth spillovers. This study also accounted for the entry point change and significant port investments for foreign trade under alternative scenarios. The choice of ports for international trade depends on decisions about how to minimize multimodal delivery costs. The total direct reduction of transportation and warehousing activities associated with foreign imports in the West Coast ports was estimated at $3.3 billion, leading to total negative effects of $5.8 billion. Total positive impacts from the shift of transportation modes with the choice of an entry port and new warehousing activities for foreign imports in the selected 12 states varied. As expected, states that involved an entry port had the most prominent benefits, but Texas, New York, and New Jersey may be benefited through all the port enhancement projects in the U.S. Also, except for Transportation and Postal, and Warehousing industries, Construction is another dominant positive affected industry of the Canal expansion in the U.S.

• 산업노동연구
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.197-220
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• 2017

본 논문은 비선형 해저드 모형을 이용해 산업별 수입침투율 상승이 개별 노동자의 일자리 중단 확률에 미친 영향을 실증적으로 분석한다. 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 수입침투율 상승은 일자리 안정성에 상당히 크고 통계적으로 유의한 부정적 영향을 미친다. 산업 총공급 대비 수입 비중이 1%p 증가하면 해당 산업에서 일하는 노동자들의 이직 확률은 4.5%p 증가한다. 둘째, 무역자유화의 효과는 수입과 수출 간에 비대칭적이다. 수입침투율의 경우와 달리 수출의존도가 일자리 안정성에 미치는 영향은 통계적으로 유의하지 않다. 셋째, 수입침투율이 일자리 안정성에 미치는 부정적 효과의 크기는 노동자 특성에 따라 다르다. 중소기업과 무노조 기업에 속한 노동자와 저학력 노동자가 더 큰 부정적 영향을 받는다.

• 한국기계연구소 소보
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• 통권12호
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• pp.73-82
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• 1984

• 월간포장계
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• 통권151호
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• pp.106-121
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• 2005