• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.514-522
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this parer, Goel-Okumoto and Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed, proposes the Burr distribution reliability model, which making out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE, AIC statistics and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure using real data set for the sake of proposing shape parameter of the Burr distribution was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the Burr distribution model and the existing model(using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests) is presented.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.7-16
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• 2020

Tree size distribution modelling is an integral part of forest management. Most distribution yield systems rely on some flexible probability models. In this study, a simple finite mixture of two components two-parameter Weibull distribution was compared with complex four-parameter distributions in terms of their fitness to predict tree size distribution of teak (Tectona grandis Linn f) plantations. Also, a system of equation was developed using Seemingly Unrelated Regression wherein the size distributions of the stand were predicted. Generalized beta, Johnson's SB, Logit-Logistic and generalized Weibull distributions were the four-parameter distributions considered. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and negative log-likelihood value were used to assess the distributions. The results show that the simple finite mixture outperformed the four-parameter distributions especially in stands that are bimodal and heavily skewed. Twelve models were developed in the system of equation-one for predicting mean diameter, seven for predicting percentiles and four for predicting the parameters of the finite mixture distribution. Predictions from the system of equation are reasonable and compare well with observed distributions of the stand. This simplified mixture would allow for wider application in distribution modelling and can also be integrated as component model in stand density management diagram.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.139-158
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• 2002

As the telecommunication market becomes mature in Korea, severe competition has already begun on the market. While service providers struggled for the last couple of years to acquire as many new customers as possible, nowadays they are making more efforts on retaining the current customers. The churn management by analyzing customers' demographic and transactional data becomes one of the key customer retention strategies which most companies pursue. However, the customer data analysis has still remained at the basic level in the industry, even though it has considerable potential as a tool for understanding customer behavior. This paper develops several churn prediction models using data mining techniques such as logistic regression, decision trees, and neural networks. For model-building, real data were used which were collected from one of the major telecommunication companies in Korea. This paper explores various ways of comparing model performance, while the hit ratio was mainly focused in the previous research. The comparison criteria used in this study include gain ratio, Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics, distribution of the predicted values, and explanation ability. This paper also suggest some guidance for model selection in applying data mining techniques.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.193-204
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• 1996

Overflow queuing models are ofter analyzed by explicitly solving a large sparse singular linear systems arising from Kolmogorov balance equation. The system is often converted into an eigenvalue problem the dominant eigenvector of which is the desired null vector. In this paper we convert an overflow queuing problem the dominant eigenvector of which is the desired null vector. In this paper we convert an overflow queuing problem into an overflow queuing problem into an eigen-value problem into an eigen-value problem of size 1/2 of the original. Then we devise an orthogonal projector that enhances its convergence by removing unsanted eigen-components effectively. Numerical result with some suggestion is given at the end.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.159-163
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• 2013

Background: This study used Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) pancreatic cancer data to identify predictive models and potential socio-economic disparities in pancreatic cancer outcome. Materials and Methods: For risk modeling, Kaplan Meier method was used for cause specific survival analysis. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov's test was used to compare survival curves. The Cox proportional hazard method was applied for multivariate analysis. The area under the ROC curve was computed for predictors of absolute risk of death, optimized to improve efficiency. Results: This study included 58,747 patients. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 7.6 (10.6) months. SEER stage and grade were strongly predictive univariates. Sex, race, and three socio-economic factors (county level family income, rural-urban residence status, and county level education attainment) were independent multivariate predictors. Racial and socio-economic factors were associated with about 2% difference in absolute cause specific survival. Conclusions: This study s found significant effects of socio-economic factors on pancreas cancer outcome. These data may generate hypotheses for trials to eliminate these outcome disparities.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.255-260
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• 2015

Among many optimal threshold criteria from ROC curve, the closest-to-(0,1) and amended closest-to-(0,1) criteria are considered. An ROC curve that passes close to the (0,1) point indicates that two models are well classified. In this case, the ROC curve is located far from the (1,0) point. Hence we propose two criteria: the farthest-to-(1,0) and amended farthest-to-(1,0) criteria. These criteria are found to have a relationship with the KolmogorovSmirnov statistic as well as some optimal threshold criteria. Moreover, we derive that a definition for the proposed criteria with more than two dimensions and with relations to multi-dimensional optimal threshold criteria.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.41 no.6
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• pp.33-43
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• 1999

Drought is a serious diaster in agriculutre, especially to upland crops. Hence, the Agricultural Drought Analysis Model (ADAM) that is integratable with GIS was applied to analyae agriculture drought in upland. ADAM is composed of two sub-models , one is a Soil Water Balance Model (SWBM) and the other is a Drougth Analysis Model (DAM) that is based on the Runs theory. The ADAM needs weather data, rainfall data and soil physical characteristics data as input and calculates daily soil moisture contents. GIS was integrated to the ADAM for the calculation of regional soil moisture using digitized landuse map, detaile dsoil map, thiessen network and district boundary . For the agriculutral drought analysis, the ADAM adapt the Runs theory for analyzing drought duration, severity and magnitude . Log-Pearson Type-III probability distribution function and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test were used to test the fitness of good of the model. The integration of ADAM with GIS was successfully implemented and would be operated effectively for the regional drought analysis.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.29-50
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• 2004

A total life model was developed to assess the service life of aging aircraft. The primary focus of this paper is the development of crack growth life projection using the response surface method. Crack growth life projection is a necessary component of the total life model. The study showed that the number of load cycles N needed for a crack to propagate to a specified size can be linearly related to the geometric parameter, material, and stress level of the component considered when all the variables are transformed to logarithmic values. By the Central Limit theorem, the ln N was approximated by Gaussian distribution. This Gaussian model compared well with the histograms of the number of load cycles generated from simulated crack growth curves. The outcome of this study will aid engineers in designing their crack growth experiments to develop the stochastic crack growth models for service life assessments.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.19-31
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• 2022

In Machine learning, we usually divide the entire data into training data and test data, train the model using training data, and use test data to determine the accuracy and generalization performance of the model. In the case of models with low generalization performance, the prediction accuracy of newly data is significantly reduced, and the model is said to be overfit. This study is about a method of generating training data based on central limit theorem and combining it with existed training data to increase normality and using this data to train models and increase generalization performance. To this, data were generated using sample mean and standard deviation for each feature of the data by utilizing the characteristic of central limit theorem, and new training data was constructed by combining them with existed training data. To determine the degree of increase in normality, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov normality test was conducted, and it was confirmed that the new training data showed increased normality compared to the existed data. Generalization performance was measured through differences in prediction accuracy for training data and test data. As a result of measuring the degree of increase in generalization performance by applying this to K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Logistic Regression, and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), it was confirmed that generalization performance was improved for KNN, a non-parametric technique, and LDA, which assumes normality between model building.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.11
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• pp.955-967
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• 2022

Existing particle tracking models predict vertical displacement of particles based on the terminal settling velocity in the stagnant water. However, experimental results of the present study confirmed that the settling velocity of particles is influenced by the turbulence effects in turbulent flow, consistent with the previous studies. The settling velocity of particles and turbulent characteristics were measured by using PTV and PIV methods, respectively, in order to establish relationship between the particle settling velocity and the ambient turbulence. It was observed that the settling velocity increase rate starts to grow when the particle diameter is of the same order as Kolmogorov length scale. Compared with the previous studies, the present study shows that the graphs of the settling velocity increase rate according to the Stokes number have concave shapes for each particle density. In conclusion, since the settling velocity in the natural flow is faster than in the stagnant water, the existing particle tracking model may estimate a relatively long time for particles to reach the river bed. Therefore, the results of the present study can help improve the performance of particle tracking models.