• 제목/요약/키워드: Key risk

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A rapid modeling method and accuracy criteria for common-cause failures in Risk Monitor PSA model

  • Zhang, Bing;Chen, Shanqi;Lin, Zhixian;Wang, Shaoxuan;Wang, Zhen;Ge, Daochuan;Guo, Dingqing;Lin, Jian;Wang, Fang;Wang, Jin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2021
  • In the development of a Risk Monitor probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) model from the basic PSA model of a nuclear power plant, the modeling of common-cause failure (CCF) is very important. At present, some approximate modeling methods are widely used, but there lacks criterion of modeling accuracy and error analysis. In this paper, aiming at ensuring the accuracy of risk assessment and minimizing the Risk Monitor PSA models size, we present three basic issues of CCF model resulted from the changes of a nuclear power plant configuration, put forward corresponding modeling methods, and derive accuracy criteria of CCF modeling based on minimum cut sets and risk indicators according to the requirements of risk monitoring. Finally, a nuclear power plant Risk Monitor PSA model is taken as an example to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed modeling method and accuracy criteria, and the application scope of the idea of this paper is also discussed.

Risk Factors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma - Current Status and Perspectives

  • Gao, Jing;Xie, Li;Yang, Wan-Shui;Zhang, Wei;Gao, Shan;Wang, Jing;Xiang, Yong-Bing
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.743-752
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    • 2012
  • Hepatocellular carcinoma is a common disorder worldwide which ranks 5th and 7th most common cancer among men and women. In recent years, different incidence trends have been observed in various regions, but the reasons are not completely understood. However, due to the great public efforts in HCC prevention and alternation of lifestyle, the roles of some well documented risk factors played in hepatocarcinogenesis might have changed. This paper summarizes both the environmental and host related risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma including well established risk factors such as hepatitis virus infection, aflatoxin and alcohol, as well as possible risk factors such as coffee drinking and other dietary agents.

동승석 에어백 핵심 성능 인자 및 상해위험도 예측 기법 개발에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Key Performance Factors of Passenger Airbag and Injury Risk Prediction Technique Development)

  • 박동규
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2013
  • Until now, passenger airbag design is based on the referred car design and many repetitive crash tests have been done to meet the crash performance. In this paper, it was suggested a new design process of passenger airbag. First, key performance factors were determined by analyzing the injury risk effectiveness of each performance factor. And it was made a relationship between injury risk and performance factor by using the response surface model. By using this one, it can be predicted the injury risk of head and neck. Predicted injury risk of optimal design was obtained through this injury risk prediction model and it was verified by FE analysis result within 18% error of head and 9% error of neck. It was shown that a target crash performance can be met by controlling the key performance factors only.

TOTAL RISK INDEX FOR ASSESSING RISK LEVELS OF OVERSEAS CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

  • Du Yon Kim;Seung Heon Han;Heedae Park
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1414-1418
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    • 2009
  • International construction projects typically manifest difficult, complex, and varied types of risk exposures; because of this, there is a need for accurate evaluation of risk-integrated performances during the timeframe of project execution. Given the financial crisis currently affecting the world economy recession, risk management has become a more crucial part for the success of international project management. However, the majority of risk management approaches, particularly for overseas projects, are focused primarily on simple forms of checklists, formalization of risk variables affecting project performance for a specific phase, or more complicated computational methods that restricting practical utilization in real-world projects; moreover, these methods lack the conceptual basis to broadly visualize the level of risk over all phases of a project. This study suggests an efficient, yet simple risk-integrated total index to successfully assess the risk levels of overseas construction projects. To this end, this paper first investigates the life cycles and key processes of decision-making for a given project and then derives formulas to represent the total risk index (TRI) along the key decision-making processes. In addition, the study examines the relationships between TRI and performance levels based on the analysis of 126 real-world project samples. Validations using the proposed TRI showed a high correlation to project performance, signifying the usefulness of the proposed approach for construction firms when investigating the level of risks and key areas for management focus.

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Current Evidence on the Association between rs3757318 of C6orf97 and Breast Cancer Risk: a Meta-Analysis

  • Hong, Yuan;Chen, Xue-Qin;Li, Jiao-Yuan;Liu, Cheng;Shen, Na;Zhu, Bei-Bei;Gong, Jing;Chen, Wei
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권19호
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    • pp.8051-8055
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    • 2014
  • Background: A common genetic variant rs3757318, located in intron of C6orf97, was firstly identified to be associated with breast cancer (BC) risk by a genome-wide association (GWA) study. However, subsequent validation studies with different ethnicities have yielded conflicting results. Materials and Methods: We performed a meta-analysis to synthesize all available data for evaluating the precise effect of this variant on BC susceptibility. Results: A total of 8 articles containing 11 studies with 62,891 cases and 65,635 controls were included in this meta-analysis. When compared to the G allele, the rs3757318-A allele was significantly associated with BC risk with the pooled OR of 1.21 (95% CI=1.15 - 1.29, P<0.001) but with obvious between-study heterogeneity (P=0.040). Stratified analysis suggested that diversity of ethnicity along with control source may explain part of the heterogeneity. Similarly, significant associations were also identified in heterozygote, homozygote, dominant and recessive genetic models. Sensitivity and publication bias analyses indicated robust stability of our results. Conclusions: Our present meta-analysis demonstrated that the variant rs3757318 is associated with increased BC risk. Nevertheless, further studies are needed to clarify the underlying biological mechanisms.

PRA RESEARCH AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF RISK-INFORMED REGULATION AT THE U.S. NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION

  • Siu, Nathan;Collins, Dorothy
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.349-364
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    • 2008
  • Over the years, probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) research activities conducted at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) have played an essential role in support of the agency's move towards risk-informed regulation. These research activities have provided the technical basis for NRC's regulatory activities in key areas; provided PRA methods, tools, and data enabling the agency to meet future challenges; supported the implementation of NRC's 1995 PRA Policy Statement by assessing key sources of risk; and supported the development of necessary technical and human resources supporting NRC's risk-informed activities. PRA research aimed at improving the NRC's understanding of risk can positively affect the agency's regulatory activities, as evidenced by three case studies involving research on fire PRA, human reliability analysis (HRA), and pressurized thermal shock (PTS) PRA. These case studies also show that such research can take a considerable amount of time, and that the incorporation of research results into regulatory practice can take even longer. The need for sustained effort and appropriate lead time is an important consideration in the development of a PRA research program aimed at helping the agency address key sources of risk for current and potential future facilities.

Parallel Key-Insulated Signature Scheme without Random Oracles

  • Wan, Zhongmei;Li, Jiguo;Hong, Xuan
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.252-257
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    • 2013
  • To alleviate the damage caused by key exposures, Dodis et al. introduced the notion of key-insulated security where secret keys are periodically updated by using a physically insulated helper key. To decrease the risk of helper key exposures, Hanaoka et al. advocated parallel key-insulated mechanism where distinct helpers are independently used in key updates. In this paper, we propose the first parallel key-insulated signature scheme which is provably secure without resorting to the random oracle methodology. Our scheme not only allows frequent key updating, but also does not increase the risk of helper key exposures.

Isolation and Characterization of Bacillus sp. Producing Broad-Spectrum Antibiotics Against Human and Plant Pathogenic Fungi

  • Chen, Na;Jin, Min;Qu, Hong-Mei;Chen, Zhi-Qiang;Chen, Zhao-Li;Qiu, Zhi-Gang;Wang, Xin-Wei;Li, Jun-Wen
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.256-263
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    • 2012
  • A strain of bacterium producing antifungal antibiotic was isolated and identification of the strain was attempted. We could identify the bacterium as being a Bacillus sp., based on morphological observation, physiological characteristics, and 16S rDNA sequence analysis, thus leading us to designate the strain as Bacillus sp. AH-E-1. The strain showed potent antibiotic activity against phytopathogenic and human pathogenic fungi by inducing mycelial distortion and swelling and inhibiting spore germination. The antibiotic metabolite produced by the strain demonstrated excellent thermal and pH (2-11) stability, but was labile to autoclaving. From these results, we could find a broader antifungal activity of Bacillus genus. Isolation and characterization of the active agent produced by the strain are under progress.

객체 판독키를 적용한 방범 위험도 확률지도 생성기법 연구 (A Study on Crime Prevention Risk Probability Map Generation Methodology by using the Object Interpretation Key)

  • 김동현;박구락
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제14권11호
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 집단 주거지역이 있는 도시지역을 대상으로 방범에 관한 위험도 확률지도 제작 기법을 제안한 것이다. 과거 발생했던 방범 사례를 분석하여 해당지역의 지형, 시설물, 속성 정보 등 도시 공간정보를 구성하는 객체를 바탕으로 육안으로 판별할 수 있는 특징을 판독키 (interpretation key)로 정하였다. 이 판독키를 작성하여 다른 지역에 동일하게 적용하여 방범 및 방재 위험도 확률지도를 생성하는 기법을 제안하였다. 이때 도시공간정보 객체 판독키는 방범 유형에 따라 달라지는 크기의 셀(cell)로 나누고 그 셀에 해당하는 위험지수를 설정하게 된다. 이 때 만들어진 여러 계층의 위험도 확률 지도를 통합하여 종합 위험도 확률 지도를 생성하였다.

Prognostic Model Built on Blood-based Biomarkers in Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

  • He, Wen-Zhuo;Jiang, Chang;Yin, Chen-Xi;Guo, Gui-Fang;Rong, Ru-Ming;Qiu, Hui-Juan;Chen, Xu-Xian;Zhang, Bei;Xia, Liang-Ping
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권17호
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    • pp.7327-7331
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    • 2014
  • Background: We had previously showed that the neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), ${\gamma}$-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) are prognostic factors for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. In this study we developed a prognostic model based on these three indices. Materials and Methods: A total of 243 patients who were initially diagnosed as mCRC between 2005 and 2010 in the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were studied. The endpoint was overall survival (OS). Results: NLR>3, elevated GGT and elevated CEA were confirmed as independent risk factors which could predict poor prognosis. Patients could be divided into three groups according to the number of risk factors they had. Those with two or three were defined as the high risk group, individuals with one risk factor as the modest risk group and patients without risk factor as the low risk group. The OS values for these three groups were 16.2 months (2.80~68.8), 24.2 months (4.07~79.0), and 37.2 months (12.6~87.8), respectively (p<0.001). Conclusions: We developed a simple but useful model based on NLR, GGT and CEA to provide prognostic information to clinical practice in highly selected mCRC patients. Further prospective and multi-center studies are warranted to test our model.