• Title/Summary/Keyword: K-Flood

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Development of flood forecasting system on city·mountains·small river area in Korea and assessment of forecast accuracy (전국 도시·산지·소하천 돌발홍수예측 시스템 개발 및 정확도 평가)

  • Hwang, Seokhwan;Yoon, Jungsoo;Kang, Narae;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.225-236
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    • 2020
  • It is not easy to provide sufficient lead time for flood forecast in urban and small mountain basins using on-ground rain gauges, because the time concentration in those basins is too short. In urban and small mountain basins with a short lag-time between precipitation and following flood events, it is more important to secure forecast lead times by predicting rainfall amounts. The Han River Flood Control Office (HRFCO) in South Korea produces short-term rainfall forecasts using the Mcgill Algorithm for Precipitation-nowcast by Lagrangian Extrapolation (MAPLE) algorithm that converts radar reflectance of rainfall events. The Flash Flood Research Center (FFRC) in the Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT) installed a flash flood forecasting system using the short-term rainfall forecast data produced by the HRFCO and has provided flash flood information in a local lvel with 1-hour lead time since 2019. In this study, we addressed the flash flood forecasting system based on the radar rainfall and the assessed the accuracy of the forecasting system for the recorded flood events occurred in 2019. A total of 31 flood disaster cases were used to evaluate the accuracy and the forecast accuracy was 90.3% based on the probability of detection.

Estimation of Flood Discharge and Forecasting of Flood Stage in Small-Medium Urban Basin (중소도시유역의 홍수량산정 및 홍수위 예측)

  • Kim, min-jeong;Kim, byeong-chan;Lee, jong-seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.432-436
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    • 2009
  • Recently, damage of flood is increased because of a short of time of concentration by development and a rise in runoff discharge by frequently heavy rain. The increase of runoff discharge is resulted in not only rise of water level but also damage of lives and property around river. Therefore, it is should be the first to estimate the exact runoff discharge. And based on the estimated flood discharge, flood damage is prevented by estimating inundated area of flood. In this study, flood stage is forecasted using HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS for Namdae-stream. The peak discharges were determinated by probability rainfall with the return period. The peak discharges obtained from HEC-HMS were inputted boundary conditions for the channel routing. Flood stages were evaluated using HEC-RAS.

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A Study on Flood Area Typology Using the Inundation Trace Map - A Case Study of Busan Metropolitan City - (침수흔적도를 활용한 침수지역 유형화에 관한 연구 -부산광역시를 사례로-)

  • Yoo, Chang;Hong, Soon Heon;Choi, Hyun;Nam, Kwang Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.393-400
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    • 2013
  • Recently, expected casuality or property damage, such as flood damage, environmental destruction, etc, is increased because of the local heavy rain or flood by climatic changes. Especially, there are lots of property damages caused by increase of flood frequency and expansion of flood area because impervious rate is increased by urban sprawling development. Therefore, this research intends to analyze reasons of flood damage by each form and suggest protective measures through the typology of flood area for Haeundae-gu, Suyoung-gu, Saha-gu in Busan Metropolitan City with Busan's inundation trace map which has made from 2009. To achieve them, flood area was divided into water flooding type, river flooding type and seawater flooding type. And, protective measures focusing on previous prevention gave the relationship by dividing into managing system aspect, infrastructure building aspect and system aspect, so it approached flooding problems more objectively and scientifically. And, this research intends to suggest vitalizing measures for the utilization of inundation trace map in the future.

The probabilistic estimation of inundation region using a multiple logistic regression analysis (다중 Logistic 회귀분석을 통한 침수지역의 확률적 도출)

  • Jung, Minkyu;Kim, Jin-Guk;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2020
  • The increase of impervious surface and development along the river due to urbanization not only causes an increase in the number of associated flood risk factors but also exacerbates flood damage, leading to difficulties in flood management. Flood control measures should be prioritized based on various geographical information in urban areas. In this study, a probabilistic flood hazard assessment was applied to flood-prone areas near an urban river. Flood hazard maps were alternatively considered and used to describe the expected inundation areas for a given set of predictors such as elevation, slope, runoff curve number, and distance to river. This study proposes a Bayesian logistic regression-based flood risk model that aims to provide a probabilistic risk metric such as population-at-risk (PAR). Finally, the logistic regression model demonstrates the probabilistic flood hazard maps for the entire area.

Estimation of Flood Quantile in Ungauged Watersheds for Flood Damage Analysis Based on Flood Index of Natural Flow (미계측 유역의 홍수피해분석을 위한 자연유량의 홍수지표 기반 확률홍수량 산정)

  • Chae, Byung Seok;Choi, Si Jung;Ahn, Jae Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 2018
  • In this study, flood quantiles were estimated at ungauged watersheds by adjusting the flood quantiles from the design rainfall - runoff analysis (DRRA) method based on regional frequency analysis. Comparing the flood frequency analysis (FFA) and DRRA, it was found that the flood quantiles estimated by the DRRA method were overestimated by 52%. In addition, a practical method was suggested to make an flood index using natural flows to apply the regional frequency analysis (RFA) to ungauged watersheds. Considering the relationships among DRRA, FFA, and RFA, we derived an adjusting formula that can be applied to estimate flood quantiles at ungauged watersheds. We also employed Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation scheme and skill score to verify the method proposed in this study. As a result, the proposed model increased the accuracy by 23.2% compared to the existing DRRA method.

Estimation of the Flood Area Using Multi-temporal RADARSAT SAR Imagery

  • Sohn, Hong-Gyoo;Song, Yeong-Sun;Yoo, Hwan-Hee;Jung, Won-Jo
    • Korean Journal of Geomatics
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2002
  • Accurate classification of water area is an preliminary step to accurately analyze the flooded area and damages caused by flood. This step is especially useful for monitoring the region where annually repeating flood is a problem. The accurate estimation of flooded area can ultimately be utilized as a primary source of information for the policy decision. Although SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) imagery with its own energy source is sensitive to the water area, its shadow effect similar to the reflectance signature of the water area should be carefully checked before accurate classification. Especially when we want to identify small flood area with mountainous environment, the step for removing shadow effect turns out to be essential in order to accurately classify the water area from the SAR imagery. In this paper, the flood area was classified and monitored using multi-temporal RADARSAT SAR images of Ok-Chun and Bo-Eun located in Chung-Book Province taken in 12th (during the flood) and 19th (after the flood) of August, 1998. We applied several steps of geometric and radiometric calculations to the SAR imagery. First we reduced the speckle noise of two SAR images and then calculated the radar backscattering coefficient $(\sigma^0)$. After that we performed the ortho-rectification via satellite orbit modeling developed in this study using the ephemeris information of the satellite images and ground control points. We also corrected radiometric distortion caused by the terrain relief. Finally, the water area was identified from two images and the flood area is calculated accordingly. The identified flood area is analyzed by overlapping with the existing land use map.

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A Channel Flood Routing by Muskingum Method Incorporating Lateral Inflows (측방 유입수를 고려한 자연 하도의 Muskingum 홍수추적)

  • 강인주;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 1990
  • Three-parameter Muskingum flood routing model which incorporated the inflows alongside the river channel is applied for the Waegwan-Jeukpogyo reach of the Nakdong River using the flood data of 12 selected flood events experienced in this reach. The flood routing equations for three-parameter model were expressed as a system of finite difference equations and the routing constants were directly computed by matrix inversion method. Then, the three parameters, which consist of the storage constants(K), weighting fator(x), and lateral inflow parameter(α), were determined from the computed routing constants. The results of the present study showed that the model can predict with a fair accuracy the flood discharges at the downsteam end of the reach. The parameters K and x were seen as channel parameters which have close relations with the flood magnitude, whereas the lateral inflow parameter was shown to be strongly governed by the rainfall characteristics of the tributary watersheds contributing to the lateral inflows.

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An Estimation of Flood Quantiles at Ungauged Locations by Index Flood Frequency Curves (지표홍수 빈도곡선의 개발에 의한 미 계측지점의 확률 홍수량 추정)

  • Yoon, Yong-Nam;Shin, Chang-Kun;Jang, Su-Hyung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2005
  • The study shows the possible use of the index flood frequency curves for an estimation of flood quantiles at ungauged locations. Flood frequency analysis were made for the annual maximum flood data series at 9 available stations in the Han river basin. From the flood frquency curve at each station the mean annual flood of 2.33-year return period was determined and the ratios of the flood magnitude of various return period to the mean annual flood at each station were averaged throughout the Han river basin, resulting mean flood ratios of different return periods. A correlation analysis was made between the mean annual flood and physiographic parameters of the watersheds i.e, the watershed area and mean river channel slope, resulting an empirical multiple linear regression equation over the whole Han river basin. For unguaged watershed the flood of a specified return period could be estimated by multiplying the mead flood ratio corresponding the return period with the mean annual flood computed by the empirical formula developed in terms of the watershed area and river channel slope. To verify the applicability of the methodology developed in the present study the floods of various return periods determined for the watershed in the river channel improvement plan formulation by the Ministry of Construction and Transportation(MOCT) were compared with those estimated by the present method. The result proved a resonable agreement up to the watershed area of approximately 2,000k $m^2$. It is suggested that the practice of design flood estimation based on the rainfall-runoff analysis might have to be reevaluated because it involves too much uncertainties in the hydrologic data and rainfall-runoff model calibration.

Assessment of Flood Probability Based on Temporal Distribution of Forecasted-Rainfall in Cheongmicheon Watershed (예보강우의 시간분포에 따른 청미천 유역의 홍수 확률 평가)

  • Lee, Hyunji;Jun, Sang Min;Hwang, Soon Ho;Choi, Soon-Kun;Park, Jihoon;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study was to assess the flood probability based on temporal distribution of forecasted-rainfall in Cheongmicheon watershed. In this study, 6-hr rainfalls were disaggregated into hourly rainfall using the Multiplicative Random Cascade (MRC) model, which is a stochastic rainfall time disaggregation model and it was repeated 100 times to make 100 rainfalls for each storm event. The watershed runoff was estimated using the Clark unit hydrograph method with disaggregated rainfall and watershed characteristics. Using the peak discharges of the simulated hydrographs, the probability distribution was determined and parameters were estimated. Using the parameters, the probability density function is shown and the flood probability is calculated by comparing with the design flood of Cheongmicheon watershed. The flood probability results differed for various values of rainfall and rainfall duration. In addition, the flood probability calculated in this study was compared with the actual flood damage in Cheongmicheon watershed (R2 = 0.7). Further, this study results could be used for flood forecasting.

The Construction of GIS-based Flood Risk Area Layer Considering River Bight (하천 만곡부를 고려한 GIS 기반 침수지역 레이어 구축)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Yu, Byeong-Hyeok;Park, Jin-Hyeog;Lee, Eul-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2009
  • Rapid visualization of flood area of downstream according to the dam effluent in flood season is very important in dam management works. Overlay zone of river bight should be removed to represent flood area efficiently based on flood stage which was modeled in river channels. This study applied drainage enforcement algorithm to visualize flood area considering river bight by coupling Coordinate Operation System for Flood control In Multi-reservoir (COSFIM) and Flood Wave routing model (FLDWAV). The drainage enforcement algorithm is a kind of interpolation which gives to advantage into hydrological process studies by removing spurious sinks of terrain in automatic drainage algorithm. This study presented mapping technique of flood area layer considering river bight in Namgang-Dam downstream, and developed system based on Arcobject component to execute this process automatically. Automatic extraction system of flood area layer could save time-consuming efficiently in flood inundation visualization work which was propelled based on large volume data. Also, flood area layer by coupling with IKONOS satellite image presented real information in flood disaster works.

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