• 제목/요약/키워드: Journal Price

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아파트 매매가격 및 전세가격의 지역별 파급효과: GVAR 모형 접근법 (An Analysis on Regional Ripple Effects of the Sale and Chenosei Prices of the Apartments: A GVAR Approach)

  • 윤재형
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.343-359
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    • 2022
  • We analyze the regional ripple effects of both the sale prices and cheonsei prices using the global VAR(GVAR) model. The interest rate shock causes the regional sale prices to fall. Moreover, the greatest responses to the shock are those of Gangnam-gu, etc. because of there were many transactions for investment purpose. When interest rate rose, the cheonsei price in Gangnam-gu reacted greatly. Conversely, if interest rates fall, the cheonsei demand to live in Gangnam-gu increases. Furthermore, the response of sale price to the interest rate shock are greater than those of the cheonsei prices. Whereas, a positive shock on the sale price in Gangnam-gu increases the sale price there. It also raises the sale prices of the surrounding area in a similar pattern. The shock on the sale price in Gangnam-gu also increases the cheonsei price in Gangnam-gu. In addition, an increase in the sale price in Gangnam-gu leads to increases of cheonsei prices in other regions. Therefore, the recent rise of the base rate can negatively affect the sale prices, and thus a decrease in the sale price spreads to the surrounding areas. Accordingly, it is time for policy alternatives to make a soft landing in sale prices.

협력적 가격차별 수단으로서의 일시적 가격할인 (Temporal Price Reduction as Cooperative Price Discrimination)

  • 송재도
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.135-154
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    • 2010
  • 이 연구는 교체비용이 존재하는 상황에서 복점기업간 경쟁을 다룬다. 분석에서는 일시적 가격할인 현상이 순수전략균형(Pure Strategy Equilibrium)의 결과일 수 있음을 보인다. 이는 기존 대다수 연구들에서 일시적 가격할인 현상을 혼합전략균형(Mixed Strategy Equilibrium)의 결과로 해석해왔던 것과 구별된다. 본 연구에서 구해진 일시적 가격할인의 순수전략균형 하에서 기업들은 정규가격만을 제공하는 경우보다 높은 이윤을 얻게 되며, 이러한 현상은 일시적 가격할인이 충성가입자와 비충성 가입자간 가격차별의 역할을 수행하는 것에 기인한다. 한편 본 연구에서는 기업들이 정규가격과 할인가격을 적절히 조정함으로써 충성가입자들의 수를 통제할 수 있음을 가정하고 있다. 이를 통해 기업들은 정규가격 수준을 일정 수준 이상으로 유지함으로써 충성가입자들의 수를 지나치게 늘리지 않으려는 유인이 있음을 보인다.

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Regional Relative Price Disparities and Their Driving Forces

  • Chang, Eu Joon;Kim, Young Se
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.201-230
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    • 2017
  • This paper studies the long-run behavior of relative price dispersion among cities in Korea with a special emphasis on heterogeneous transitional patterns of price level dynamics. Formal statistical tests indicate considerable evidence for rejecting the null of relative price level convergence among the majority of cities over the sample period of 1985-2015. The analysis of gravity model suggests that the effect of transportation costs on intercity price level differentials is limited, while other socioeconomic factors, such as income, input factor prices, demographic structure, and housing price growth, play key roles in accounting for persistent regional price level disparities. Individual price levels are found to be better explained by a multiple-component model, and the deviations from PPP may be attributed to distinct stochastic common trends that are characterized by income and demographic structure.

Asset Price, the Exchange Rate, and Trade Balances in China: A Sign Restriction VAR Approach

  • Kim, Wongi
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.371-400
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    • 2018
  • Although asset price is an important factor in determining changes in external balances, no studies have investigated it from the Chinese perspective. In this study, I empirically examine the underlying driving forces of China's trade balances, particularly the role of asset price and the real exchange rate. To this end, I estimate a sign-restricted structural vector autoregressive model with quarterly time series data for China, using the Bayesian method. The results show that changes in asset price affect China's trade balances through private consumption and investment. Also, an appreciation of the real exchange rate tends to deteriorate trade balances in China. Furthermore, forecast error variance decomposition results indicate that changes in asset price (stock price and housing price) explain about 20% variability of trade balances, while changes in the real exchange rate can explain about 10%.

A Study on Price Reduction under CISG and Issues

  • HAN, Ki-Moon
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제69권
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    • pp.45-62
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    • 2016
  • Price reduction under CISG Art. 50 is advantageous to a buyer because it is a self-help remedy to the buyer. It is the buyer that has the option and the power to reduce the price paid or to be paid to the seller. Price reduction is indispensable in such cases where the seller is relieved of liability. In such cases the remedy of price reduction is the only one giving the buyer monetary relief. Another special role of price reduction is to determine how much the buyer owes the seller for non-conforming goods when special circumstances relieve the seller of liability for damages. In any event, price reduction has been designed both as an alternative to damages and for cases where the non-performing party is excused from liability for damages. The price reduction remedy however leaves several issues for clarification and application in several respects.

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Proposed Method for Determining Price Cap in the Korean Electricity Market Applicable to TWBP

  • Kang Dong-Joo;Moon Young-Hwan;Kim Balho H.
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • 제5A권2호
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    • pp.199-203
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes the level of price cap in the TWBP(Two- Way Bidding Pool) market in Korea for which the draft of market design has been prepared by KPX. Max - GMCP(Maximum Generation Market Clearing Price) and APC(Administered Price Cap) would be separately applied as individual price caps for a normal period and a Price Capping period in TWBP. The level of price cap is determined for inducing optimal investment in the Korean Electricity Market considering the 'electricity resource baseline plan' published by the Korean government in 2002 for maintaining government-leading resource planning in Korea. In this regard, Max - GMCP is calculated from the equilibrium condition of investment based on reliability standard and fixed cost of the peaking plant. For verifying the propriety of the proposed price cap, this paper compares the proposed value with the estimated VoLL(Value of Lost Load) based on Korea's GDP(Gross Domestic Product).

The effect of international oil price on LNG price in South Korea and Japan

  • Kwon, Hyukdong;Cho, Hong Chong
    • Geosystem Engineering
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.297-308
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we investigate the differences between LNG price of South Korea and Japan. Although S. Korean and Japanese LNG markets have similar structures, there are some differences in the price formation. From DCC-MGARCH, we confirm that Japan LNG price have less persistence of disturbance on time than S. Korean LNG price. The conditional correlation also shows linkage effects between LNG prices and impacts of S-curve and DS-curve. Moreover, ARDL estimation result shows that there is co-integration in all models and that impacts of Fukushima accident and LNG volumes are responsible for the increase in Japanese LNG price. Also, adjustment speed of error correction term shows that Japan's deviation from long-run equilibrium disappears faster than S. Korea does, indicating relatively strong Japanese linkage between LNG price and oil price.

资产价格波动对中国宏观经济风险的影响 (Asset Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Risk in China)

  • Jishi, Piao;Mengjiao, Liu
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.135-157
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    • 2019
  • The linkages between asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes are long-standing issue to both economists and monetary authorities. This paper explores the impact of asset prices on output and price in China. It focuses on the impacts of asset prices on the low quantiles of GDP gap and high quantiles of price gaprespectively. The main findings are the following: the influence of stock price gap, stock returns, and money growth on the different quantile of GDP gap and price gap are noticeable different, and there are significant impacts on the left tail of GDP gap distribution and on the right tail of price gap distribution. This implies that the results coming from simple regression will underestimate the economic risk imposed by asset price volatility. Moreover, these results also provide the caveat that one should cautiously distinguish the meaning of asset price gap and asset price growth rate and use them, through their contents are similar in some sense. One implication for monetarypolicy is that authority should interpret the relationship between asset prices and macro-economy in wider perspectives, and make the policy decision taking the impacts of asset prices on the tails of economy.

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국제유가의 변동성이 한국 거시경제에 미치는 영향 분석 : EGARCH 및 VECM 모형의 응용 (A Study on the Impact of Oil Price Volatility on Korean Macro Economic Activities : An EGARCH and VECM Approach)

  • 김상수
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제11권10호
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - This study examines the impact of oil price volatility on economic activities in Korea. The new millennium has seen a deregulation in the crude oil market, which invited immense capital inflow into Korea. It has also raised oil price levels and volatility. Drawing on the recent theoretical literature that emphasizes the role of volatility, this paper attends to the asymmetric changes in economic growth in response to the oil price movement. This study further examines several key macroeconomic variables, such as interest rate, production, and inflation. We come to the conclusion that oil price volatility can, in some part, explain the structural changes. Research design, data, and methodology - We use two methodological frameworks in this study. First, in regards to the oil price uncertainty, we use an Exponential-GARCH (Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity: EGARCH) model estimate to elucidate the asymmetric effect of oil price shock on the conditional oil price volatility. Second, along with the estimation of the conditional volatility by the EGARCH model, we use the estimates in a VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). The study thus examines the dynamic impacts of oil price volatility on industrial production, price levels, and monetary policy responses. We also approximate the monetary policy function by the yield of monetary stabilization bond. The data collected for the study ranges from 1990: M1 to 2013: M7. In the VECM analysis section, the time span is split into two sub-periods; one from 1990 to 1999, and another from 2000 to 2013, due to the U.S. CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) deregulation on the crude oil futures that became effective in 2000. This paper intends to probe the relationship between oil price uncertainty and macroeconomic variables since the structural change in the oil market became effective. Results and Conclusions - The dynamic impulse response functions obtained from the VECM show a prolonged dampening effect of oil price volatility shock on the industrial production across all sub-periods. We also find that inflation measured by CPI rises by one standard deviation shock in response to oil price uncertainty, and lasts for the ensuing period. In addition, the impulse response functions allude that South Korea practices an expansionary monetary policy in response to oil price shocks, which stems from oil price uncertainty. Moreover, a comparison of the results of the dynamic impulse response functions from the two sub-periods suggests that the dynamic relationships have strengthened since 2000. Specifically, the results are most drastic in terms of industrial production; the impact of oil price volatility shocks has more than doubled from the year 2000 onwards. These results again indicate that the relationships between crude oil price uncertainty and Korean macroeconomic activities have been strengthened since the year2000, which resulted in a structural change in the crude oil market due to the deregulation of the crude oil futures.

우리나라 남성 흡연자의 금연의향 담배가격 분석 (Analysis of Willingness-to-Quit Cigarette Price among Korean Male Adults)

  • 정우진;이선미;신가영;임승지;조경숙
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.136-146
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    • 2008
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to estimate the willingness to quit cigarette price among Korean male adults, and to examine the factors affecting the willingness to quit cigarette price. Methods : The data was collected by a random digit dial telephone survey. 702 samples were analyzed by using t-tests, ANOVA and OLS regression analysis. To estimate the willingness to quit cigarette price, smokers were asked dichotomous questions with open-ended follow-up and the starting point of the price was randomized by one of 5 bid prices elicited from a pilot study. Results : The mean of the willingness to quit cigarette price was 4,287 Won per package, which was about 2,000 Won higher than the mean of the actual price the smokers now paid. About 41% of respondents were willing to quit smoking if the price of cigarette would be increased by 3,000 Won, and if the price would be increased by 20,000 Won, all respondents were willing to quit smoking. The factors associated with the willingness to quit cigarette price were the place of residence, the amount of smoking and the degree of exposure to smoking through the mass media. Conclusions : The results showed that to get people to quit smoking, increasing the cigarette price would obviously be effective and much higher prices have a greater effect. Furthermore, to enlarge the effect of increased cigarette prices, providing more cessation programs to small towns, reducing the amount of smoking and decreasing or prohibiting advertisements of cigarettes and smoking in the mass media will be efficient.