• Title/Summary/Keyword: Investment bank

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Inventory Investment and Business Cycle: Asymmetric Dynamics of Inventory Investment over the Business Cycle Phases (재고투자와 경기변동: 재고투자 동학의 경기국면별 비대칭성)

  • Seo, Byeongseon;Jang, Keunho
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.1-36
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    • 2018
  • When it comes to explaining the relationship between inventory investment and business fluctuations, the production smoothing theory and the stock-out avoidance theory take contradictory stances. Decision-making related to inventory investments of corporations is thought to be influenced by both motives, but the relative sizes or directions of their respective influences can differ depending upon the phase of the business cycle. Against this backdrop, this paper differs from existing studies in that it theoretically tests the relative significances of the production smoothing and stock-out avoidance motives in the inventory investment dynamics, while placing its analytical focus on determining the existence and patterns of the asymmetric dynamics of inventory investment over the business cycle phases. To this end this paper sets up a non-linear model that is expanded from the existing linear inventory investment model, and checks whether its predictive power is better than that of the existing model. The results of analysis confirm the nature of the asymmetric dynamics of inventory investment over the business cycle phases. A stock-out avoidance motive appears but there is no significant production smoothing motive in boom times. In downturns, in contrast, the stock-out avoidance motive is insignificant, but a quality of asymmetric dynamics in which changes in inventory cause the deepening of recessions, due to the non-convexity of production costs proposed by Ramey (1991), is detected. This paper confirms that a model considering the asymmetric dynamics of inventory investment can have better predictive power than one that does not consider it, through within-sample and out-of-sample predictions and various predictive power tests. These research results are expected to be useful for economic forecasting, through their enhancement of the understandings of the inventory investment dynamics and of the nature of its business cycle destabilization.

Foreign Remittances, Banking Sector Development and Private Sector Investment

  • GITHAIGA, Peter Nderitu
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.7-18
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    • 2020
  • Purpose- This study seeks to investigate the impact of foreign remittances on private sector investment and the moderating role of banking sector development in Sub-Saharan African Countries. Research design, data, and methodology-The study has used a sample of 15 Sub-Saharan African countries and data for the years 1986 - 2017. Data was obtained from the World Bank Development Indicator (WDI) Database. Panel data diagnostic tests were conducted to ascertain the suitability of the data for regression analysis. The data was analyzed through descriptive and inferential statistics, while the hypothesis was tested through hierarchical regression analysis. Results- The finding of this study indicates that foreign remittances and banking sector development had a significant and positive effect on private investment in Sub-Saharan Africa. Besides, the banking sector development significantly moderated the foreign remittances and private sector investment relationship. Conclusions- Based on the results, the study concludes that banking sector development has an important influence on foreign remittances and private sector investment nexus. Due to the antagonistic interaction between foreign remittance and banking sector development, the study recommends the use of alternative ways of channeling remittances to private investment such as; issuance of diaspora bonds and appeal for direct investment by citizens living abroad.

Conservative Loan Loss Allowance and Bank Lending

  • TAKASU, Yusuke;NAKANO, Makoto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relation between conservative loan loss accounting practice of banks, defined as accounting behavior that increases loan loss allowances against expected credit losses, and bank lending. Furthermore, we specify the macroeconomic conditions reflecting debtors' borrowing environments and analyze how these conditions affect the relation between conservative loan loss allowances and bank lending. Although existing literature reports that accounting conservatism has a direct effect on non-financial firms' investment behavior, there is little evidence about an effect of conservatism on banks' lending behavior. By exploiting data showing the links between individual Japanese firms and their individual lenders to control both loan demand and supply, we estimate OLS regressions to test the relationships among conservative loan loss allowance, bank lending, and macroeconomic conditions using a unique dataset containing bank-firm-year observations between 2001 and 2013. We find banks that have conservative loan loss allowances tend to provide fewer loans to firms with financing needs when macroeconomic conditions are good and these conservative banks are likely to provide more loans to firms when macroeconomic conditions are bad. Our findings suggest that reflecting expected credit loss into loan loss allowances can mitigate the procyclical behavior of banks.

The Social Security Pension Reform Debate between the World Bank and the ILO/ISSA (World Bank와 ILO/ISSA의 사회보장연금 민영화 논쟁에 관한 연구)

  • Won, Seok-Jo
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.46
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    • pp.290-318
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    • 2001
  • In 1981, Chile has fundamentally reformed the public pension system from the pay-as-you-go system (PAYGs) to the full funding defined contribution system managed by the private funding companies. The Chilean privatization reform influenced not only the neighbor South American countries but also the advanced countries. The United Kingdom contracted out the state earning related pension system. Australia and Sweden recently introduced the private investment accounts system. And now the hot debates on the privatization of the social security pension is going on in the United States of America. This wind of privatizing the public pension system is being backed up by the New Liberalism, the nowadays' strongest ideology. Besides, the theoretical and idealogical debate between the World Bank and the ILO/ISSA was happened in the middle of 1990s. The World Bank, the supporter of the international financial capital, insisted the introducing of the full funding individual accounts system and the abolition of the existing PAYGs. The ILO/ISSA apposed the World Bank's policies and advocated the moderate reform of the PAYGs. In this paper, I reviewed the Chilean reform, the World Bank's report and the opposing argument of the ILO/ISSA against it, and analysed the core issues of the two sides. Also, I tried to present the suggestions to the Korean public pension systems. Through the discussing the debate, we made certain of the importance of the basic issues in the social security system like equity vs. adequacy, inter-generational redistribution vs. intra-generational redistribution and welfare vs. economy, once again.

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Corporate Investment Behavior and Level of Participation in the Global Value Chain: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach

  • KUANTAN, Dhaha Praviandi;SIREGAR, Hermanto;RATNAWATI, Anny;JUHRO, Solikin M.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2021
  • This study was conducted to comprehensively identify factors that potentially influence corporate investment behavior, including micro, macro, and sectoral variables. Furthermore, investment behavior was studied across nations based on their participation in the global value chain (GVC), which was evaluated based on commodities, limited manufacturing, advanced manufacturing, and innovative activities. The study uses the dynamic panel data analysis and Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) estimation for a sample of 800 corporations, with data spanning over 2000-2019. The study result shows that in all types of countries, the coefficient lag indicator of capital expenditure statistically has a significant effect on capital expenditure. Sales growth, exchange rate, and GDP have a significant positive effect on corporate investment growth, while DER has a negative effect. In commodity countries, corporate investment is influenced by sales growth, exchange rate, and FCI. The variables that influence corporate investment in manufacturing countries are the FCI, exchange rate, sales growth, GDP, and DER. In innovative countries, variables that significantly affect capital expenditure are DER, GDP, and Tobin Q. In each type of country, the interaction terms between exchange rate and commodity price are positive and statistically significant.

The Impact of IT Project Size and Types on IT Investment Decision Criteria (IT프로젝트 규모와 유형에 따른 IT투자 의사결정기준의 차이)

  • Lee Kukhie
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.191-211
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    • 2005
  • This study investigates the decision criteria used in the context of IT investment decision making and empirically analyzes the impact of IT project size and types on the importance of decision criteria. 5 criteria which have been extracted from the previous studies and industry practices are budget, financial benefits. strategic value. risk, and the degree of proposer's eagerness. Data of 120 IT project proposals have been collected from 5 companies including bank, insurance. and stock trading company. As results of ANOVA test. 7 out of 10 hypothesis have been accepted statistically. That is. the bigger the project size. the higher the evaluation weight of project budget and risk criteria and the lower the weight of proposer's eagerness. And in case of the infrastructure investment type. the emphasis is placed more on strategic value and risk criteria and less on financial benefit and proposer's eagerness. These findings provide insights for both IT practitioners and researchers.

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Determinants of Economic Growth in ASEAN Countries (2002-2019)

  • Khin Theingi Aung
    • SUVANNABHUMI
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.215-244
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzes the effect of macroeconomic indicators such as foreign direct investment (FDI), domestic investment, trade, inflation, unemployment, population, and governance indicators on economic growth and points out the GDP growth rate in 2002- 2019 among ASEAN countries. Data were compiled from the Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) and the World Bank, and the effect of variables on GDP was predicted using the pooled ordinary least squares (POLS), fixed effects model (FEM), and random effects model (REM) methods. As a measure of growth, the GDP growth rate has been taken; FDI and domestic investment, trade, inflation, and governance indicators are positively connected and have an influence on economic growth in these ASEAN countries; domestic investment, population, and unemployment have a negative relationship to economic growth. The macroeconomic indicators and institutional stability of the nation have an effect on its economic growth. Comprehensive institutional stability and well-laid macroeconomic policies are required for growth to materialize.

An Analysis of Korean Firms' FDI Performance in Southeast Asia (동남아 현지법인을 대상으로 한 우리나라 해외직접투자의 성과분석)

  • Lee, Illjoo;Lee, Doowon
    • The Southeast Asian review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2009
  • In the global economy, Korean foreign direct investment (FDI) to Southeast Asian countries expands rapidly as the countries try to make attracting investment strategies and to improve their investment condition. This paper, using panel-data for 2004-2006 in Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaya which are the main countries of Korean FDI for last ten years, shows analysis of the Korean FDI performance in Southeast Asia and compares the Korean firms' achievement with the case of China. According to the forty nine firms' official sources in Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaya, presented to the Export-Import Bank of Korea, over fifty percent of FDI consists of M&A. And Korean FDI has concentrated in the manufacturing industry. In order to measure the FDI performance, the study sets a regression function; operating profit ratio is the dependent variable and the total sales, expert ratio and investment period are the independent variables representing firms' volume, purpose of FDI and firms' adaptation to the local countries.

An Analysis of the Relationship between Domestic and Overseas Investment Using a Regression Tree (회귀나무를 이용한 국내외 투자간 관계 분석)

  • Chang, Young-Jae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.455-464
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    • 2011
  • Overseas direct investment is constantly on the rise, while domestic investment has been slowing and has led to concerns that the expansion of overseas investment may be weakening domestic investment. Considering the change of environment as economic growth, this paper analyzes the relationship between domestic and overseas investment using a regression tree. The result shows that overseas investment substituted domestic investment in the past (before 1985); however, they compensated for each other during the rapid growth period based on exports (1986-1997). The relationship turns out to be insignificant after the Asian currency crisis(after 1998). In addition, this paper also examines the factors determining domestic facilities investment and overseas direct investment at each stage of the changes in their influence due to globalization. Taking into account the results, we need to re-evaluate the current pattern of corporate investment apart from the past restricted point of view to help domestic enterprises efficiently utilize the international production network and resources.

Analysing Decision Making Factors of IT Investment Projects (IT 프로젝트의 기본속성과 사전타당성 분석결과가 투자의사결정에 미치는 영향요인)

  • Koo, Bon-Jae;Lee, Kuk-Hie
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.161-189
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    • 2007
  • The purposes of this dissertation are to identify various factors affecting the outcomes of feasibility analysis and investment decision makings of new IT project plans and empirically analysis the relationships among them. 9 variables which have been drawn from prior studies and industry practices are the amount of the necessary resource such as development budget and time, the expect financial benefits, the degree of alignments between IT projects and the business strategy, the estimated risk, and the investment priority as the dependent variable. Data from 125 IT projects of K bank, the leading commercial bank in Korea, have been collected and Regression Analysis and ANOVA have been performed. As results, 5 out of 8 hypothesis have been accepted partially or totally.