• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inundation time

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Establishment of Inundation Probability DB for Forecasting the Farmland Inundation Risk Using Weather Forecast Data (기상예보 기반 농촌유역 침수 위험도 예보를 위한 침수 확률 DB 구축)

  • Kim, Si-Nae;Jun, Sang-Min;Lee, Hyun-Ji;Hwang, Soon-Ho;Choi, Soon-Kun;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2020
  • In order to reduce damage from farmland inundation caused by recent climate change, it is necessary to predict the risk of farmland inundation accurately. Inundation modeling should be performed by considering multiple time distributions of possible rainfalls, as digital forecasts of Korea Meteorological Administration is provided on a six-hour basis. As building multiple inputs and creating inundation models take a lot of time, it is necessary to shorten the forecast time by building a data base (DB) of farmland inundation probability. Therefore, the objective of this study is to establish a DB of farmland inundation probability in accordance with forecasted rainfalls. In this study, historical data of the digital forecasts was collected and used for time division. Inundation modeling was performed 100 times for each rainfall event. Time disaggregation of forecasted rainfall was performed by applying the Multiplicative Random Cascade (MRC) model, which uses consistency of fractal characteristics to six-hour rainfall data. To analyze the inundation of farmland, the river level was simulated using the Hydrologic Engineering Center - River Analysis System (HEC-RAS). The level of farmland was calculated by applying a simulation technique based on the water balance equation. The inundation probability was calculated by extracting the number of inundation occurrences out of the total number of simulations, and the results were stored in the DB of farmland inundation probability. The results of this study can be used to quickly predict the risk of farmland inundation, and to prepare measures to reduce damage from inundation.

Effects of Duration and Time Distribution of Probability Rainfall on Paddy Fields Inundation (설계강우의 지속시간 및 시간분포에 따른 배수개선 농경지 침수 영향 분석)

  • Jun, Sang-Min;Kim, Kwi-Hoon;Lee, Hyunji;Kang, Ki-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Choi, Jin-Yong;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.2
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2022
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the effect of the duration and time distribution of probability rainfall on farmland inundation for the paddy fields in the drainage improvement project site. In this study, eight drainage improvement project sites were selected for inundation modeling. Hourly rainfall data were collected, and 20- and 30-year frequency probability rainfalls were estimated for 14 different durations. Probability rainfalls were distributed using Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) and Huff time distribution methods. Design floods were calculated for 48 hr and critical duration, and IDF time distribution and Huff time distribution were used for 48 hr duration and critical duration, respectively. Inundation modeling was carried out for each study district using 48 hr and critical duration rainfalls. The result showed that six of the eight districts had a larger flood discharge using the method of applying critical duration and Huff distribution. The results of inundation depth analysis showed similar trends to those of design flood calculations. However, the inundation durations showed different tendencies from the inundation depth. The IDF time distribution is a distribution in which most of the rainfall is concentrated at the beginning of rainfall, and the theoretical background is unclear. It is considered desirable to apply critical duration and Huff time distribution to agricultural production infrastructure design standards in consideration of uniformity with other design standards such as flood calculation standard guidelines.

Development of a Grid Based Two-Dimensional Numerical Method for Flood Inundation Modeling Using Globally-Available DEM Data (범용 DEM 데이터를 이용한 2차원 홍수범람 모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Seung-Soo;Lee, Gi-Ha;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.659-663
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    • 2010
  • In recent, flood inundation damages by hydraulic structure failures have increased drastically and thus a variety of countermeasures were needed to minimize such damages. A real-time flood inundation prediction technique is essential to protect and mitigate flood inundation damages. In the context of real time flood inundation modeling, this study aims to develop a grid based two-dimensional numerical method for flood inundation modeling using globally-available DEM data: SRTM with $90m{\times}90m$ spatial resolution. The newly-developed model guarantees computational efficiency in terms of geometric data processing by direct application of DEM for flood inundation modeling and also have good compatibility with various types of raster data when compared to a commercial model such as FLUMEN. The model, which employed the leap-frog algorithm to solve shallow water and continuity equations, can simulate inundating flow from channel to lowland and also returning flow from lowland to channel by comparing water levels between channel and lowland in real time. We applied the model to simulate the BaekSan levee break in the Nam river during a flood period from August 10 to 13, 2002. The simulation results had good agreements with the field-surveyed data in terms of inundated area and also showed physically-acceptable velocity vector maps with respect to inundating and returning flows.

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A Study on Prediction of Inundation Area considering Road Network in Urban Area (도시지역 도로 네트워크를 활용한 침수지역 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Ah Long;Kim, Byunghyun;Han, Kun Yeon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.307-318
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    • 2015
  • In this study, the efficiency of two-dimensional inundation analysis using road network was demonstrated in order to reduce the simulation time of numerical model in urban area. For this objective, three simulation conditions were set up: Case 1 considered only inundation within road zone, while Case 2 and 3 considered inundation within road and building zone together. Accordingly, Case 1 used grids generated based on road network, while Case 2 and 3 used uniform and non-uniform grids for whole study area, respectively. Three simulation conditions were applied to Samsung drainage where flood damage occurred due to storm event on Sep. 21, 2010. The efficiency of suggested method in this study was verified by comparison the accuracy and simulation time of Case 1 and those of Case 2 and 3. The results presented that the simulation time was fast in the order of Case 1, 2 and 3, and the fit of inundation area between each case was more than 85% within road zone. Additionally, inundation area of building zone estimated from inundation rating index gave a similar agreement under each case. As a result, it is helpful for study on real-time inundation forecast warning to use a proposed method based on road network and inundation rating index for building zone.

Study on Application of Diffusion Wave Inundation Analysis Model Linked with GIS (GIS와 연계한 확산파 침수해석 모형의 적용에 대한 연구)

  • Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeon;Choi, Seung-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.88-100
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    • 2009
  • An inundation analysis was performed on Hwapocheon, one of the tributaries of Nakdong River, which was inundated by heavy rain in August, 2002 with overtopping and levee break. The results of the developed model, 2D diffusion wave inundation analysis model, was compared with inundation trace map as well as inundation depth in terms of time and maximum inundated area calculated from FLUMEN model for the assessment of model applicability. The results from the developed model showed high fitness of 88.61% in comparison with observed data. Also maximum inundated area and spatial distribution of inundation zone were also found to be consistent with the results of FLUMEN model. Therefore, inundation zone and maximum inundation area calculated over a period of time by adopting 2D diffusion wave inundation analysis model can be used as a database for identifying high risk areas of inundation and establishing flood damage reduction measures.

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Analysis of Inundation Area in the Agricultural Land under Climate Change through Coupled Modeling for Upstream and Downstream (상·하류 연계 모의를 통한 기후변화에 따른 농경지 침수면적 변화 분석)

  • Park, Seongjae;Kwak, Jihye;Kim, Jihye;Kim, Seokhyeon;Lee, Hyunji;Kim, Sinae;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2024
  • Extreme rainfall will become intense due to climate change, increasing inundation risk to agricultural land. Hydrological and hydraulic simulations for the entire watershed were conducted to analyze the impact of climate change. Rainfall data was collected based on past weather observation and SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathway)5-8.5 climate change scenarios. Simulation for flood volume, reservoir operation, river level, and inundation of agricultural land was conducted through K-HAS (KRC Hydraulics & Hydrology Analysis System) and HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Center - River Analysis System). Various scenarios were selected, encompassing different periods of rainfall data, including the observed period (1973-2022), near-term future (2021-2050), mid-term future (2051-2080), and long-term future (2081-2100), in addition to probabilistic precipitation events with return periods of 20 years and 100 years. The inundation area of the Aho-Buin district was visualized through GIS (Geographic Information System) based on the results of the flooding analysis. The probabilistic precipitation of climate change scenarios was calculated higher than that of past observations, which affected the increase in reservoir inflow, river level, inundation time, and inundation area. The inundation area and inundation time were higher in the 100-year frequency. Inundation risk was high in the order of long-term future, near-term future, mid-term future, and observed period. It was also shown that the Aho and Buin districts were vulnerable to inundation. These results are expected to be used as fundamental data for assessing the risk of flooding for agricultural land and downstream watersheds under climate change, guiding drainage improvement projects, and making flood risk maps.

Study on evacuation simulation for tsunami using the characteristics of Imwon Port (임원항의 지형특성을 고려한 지진해일 피난 수치모형 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Min;Sim, Joo-Yeol;Cho, Young-Sik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.221-223
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    • 2008
  • It is the best way that to make an inundation map and distribute it to inhabitants for the purpose of decreasing damage of tsunami. To make an inundation map, tsunami which broughthuge damage to Korea should be properly investigated and maximum inundation zonewas selected by simulating tsunami phenomenan. An inundation map must involve the location of shelters and evacuation routes. New evacuation simulation program connected evacuation simulation procedure and tsunami inundation procedure to get inhabitants' evacuation states in real-time.

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Applicability of Inundation Simulation with the Coupled Tide-Surge Model (조석-해일 결합모형의 범람 적용성)

  • Park, Seon-Jung;Kang, Ju-Whan;Yoon, Jong-Tae;Jung, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.270-278
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    • 2010
  • Applicability of the MIKE21 model as a real time coupled tide-surge model had been examined at the previous study. In this study, another applicability of the model as an inundation model is also examined. Prior to real cases, effect of artificial structures on the inundation is analyzed. The results show that inundation depth is not altered, while inundation area is lessened as a result of decreased inundation speed. Comparative study between the coupled model and an uncoupled storm surge model is also carried out at the Masan coastal zone, which shows the coupled model is considered to be plausible at the time to maximum inundation, while both models show similar results at the inundation area and inundation depth.

Estimating Real-time Inundation Vulnerability Index at Point-unit Farmland Scale using Fuzzy set (Fuzzy set을 이용한 실시간 지점단위 농경지 침수위험 지수 산정)

  • Eun, Sangkyu;Kim, Taegon;Lee, Jimin;Jang, Min-Won;Suh, Kyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2014
  • Smartphones change the picture of data and information sharing and make it possible to share various real-time flooding data and information. The vulnerability indicators of farmland inundation is needed to calculate the risk of farmland flood based on changeable hydro-meteorological data over time with morphologic characteristics of flood-damaged areas. To find related variables show the vulnerability of farmland inundation using the binary-logit model and correlation analysis and to provide vulnerability indicators were estimated by fuzzy set method. The outputs of vulnerability indicators were compared with the results of Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) for verification. From the result vulnerability indicators are applicable to mobile_based information system of farmland inundation.

Suitability Assessment for Flood Disaster Shelters of Jinju City (진주시 홍수재해용 대피소 적합성 평가)

  • Yoo, Hwan Hee;Son, Se Ryeon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2012
  • Jinju city is operating by selecting 8 places as the flood inundation risk area and by designating shelters on this area targeting districts damaged by typhoon and heavy rain, in the past. This study selected the research area as Nabul district and Sangpyeong district where are located in the town and that has high population density out of districts with inundation risk. The network analysis of GIS was applied to the suitability assessment on location of shelter by calculating the moving speed and the arriving time after dividing it into children, general adults, and aged people in consideration of the evacuation condition in inundation disaster. As a result, it was indicated that optimal evacuation plan time for children and aged people exceeded in getting to the shelter because of evacuation time excess and that even general adults outrun the prescribed evacuation time in some districts. Accordingly, a problem for evacuation time was improved by additionally designating 1-2 shelters to existing shelters in Nabul and Sangpyeong districts. A countermeasure is needed to reduce life and property damage in disaster occurrence by implementing the evacuation warning and the age-based evacuation plan more specifically in the future.