• 대한교통학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.81-88
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• 2008

장래교통수요에 대한 예측은 기본적으로 4단계 수요추정방법을 통해 이루어지지만, 각 단계마다의 변화가 최종수요예측 결과에 미치는 영향에 대해서는 고려되지 못하고 있다. 즉, 장래에 대한 예측이 많은 변동성을 내포하고 있음에도 수요예측분석과정은 점 추정치(point-estimation)의 값을 입력자료로 분석하여 최종결과물 또한 점추정값으로 제시하고 있어 교통수요의 가변성 및 탄력성을 반영하지 못하고 있다. 하지만 교통 상황이 급속히 변화는 우리나라의 현실을 볼 때 교통수요가 갖고 있는 가변성과 탄력성을 반영하여 결과를 분석할 수 있는 구간추정방식(Interval-estimation)의 방법론에 대한 연구가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 장래교통수요 예측 과정의 가장 초기단계인 통행발생단계의 회귀분석모형 적용시 구간추정방식을 적용하여 상한값과 하한값을 함께 산출하였다. 상한값과 하한값에 의한 발생 도착량에 대해 4단계 교통모형을 적용하여 발생량-도착량에 대한 Balancing, 통행분포, 통행배정의 4단계과정을 적용하였고 수요분석 각 단계에서의 도출된 결과에 대해 비교하였다. 최종적으로, 통행배정 된 교통량의 변화비율을 링크특성과 함께 비교분석하였다. 본 연구를 통해 수요분석 시 입력 자료의 불확실성이 가져오는 영향을 파악하였으며 신뢰구간에 의한 결과를 비교분석함으로써 수요추정의 가변성이 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 또한 수요분석의 가변성에 따른 링크교통량의 탄력성을 평가할 수 있는 방법을 제시함으로써 교통수요 추정시 분석방법의 가변성 및 탄력성을 고려할 수 있다고 판단된다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권18호
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• pp.7569-7573
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• 2014

The main objective of this study was to analyze the mortality trends of female breast cancer in Turkey between the years 1987-2008. The rates per 100,000 age-standardized to the European standard population were assessed and time trends presented using joinpoint regression analysis. Average annual percent change (AAPC), anual percent change (APC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated. Nearly 23,000 breast cancer deaths occurred in Turkey during the period 1987-2008, with the average annual age-standardized mortality rate (ASR) being 11.9 per 100,000 women. In the last five years, significant increases were observed in all age groups, but there was no significant change over the age of 65. In this period, the biggest significant increase was in the 45-54 age group (AAPC=4.3, 95%CI=2.6 to 6.0).

• 정신신체의학
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.11-16
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• 2021

연구목적 항정신병약물로 인한 QTc간격연장은 심각한 심실성 부정맥을 초래할 가능성 때문에 주의가 필요한 부작용이다. 하지만 현재까지 국내에서 항정신병약물에 의한 QTc간격연장에 대한 연구는 많지 않았다. 본 연구는 조현병 환자에서 QTc간격연장에 영향을 주는 인구학적 및 임상적 변수를 알아보고자 한다. 방 법 일 병원에 입원치료를 받았던 441명 조현병 환자들의 의무기록을 후향적으로 검토하여 QTc간격과 인구학적 및 임상적 변수들을 파악하였다. QTc간격에 영향을 주는 변수를 알아보기 위해 QTc간격을 종속변수로 하여 위계적 중다회귀분석을 수행하였다. 결 과 평균 QTc간격은 417.2±28.4 ms였다. 위계적 중다회귀분석 결과 항정신병약물 단기작용주사제의 사용이 QTc간격연장의 가장 강한 예측인자였다. 결 론 본 연구는 조현병 환자에서 항정신병약물 단기작용주사제 사용이 QTc간격연장에 영향을 줄 수 있으며 조현병 환자의 치료 시 항정신병약물 단기작용주사제 사용에 보다 주의를 기울여야 함을 시사한다.

• 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.49-54
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• 2000

It is important to identify modifiable risk factors for breast cancer, because the breast cancer is one of the major causs of mortality among women. Some reported that obesity is a risk factor for breast cancer, but the results are not constant. Many risk factors are related to the duration of estrogenic stimulation of the breast. In general, early menarche and late menopause are positive risk factors. Human breast cancer has different characteristics according to the status of menopause(premenopause and postmenopause). In premenopausal women, about 60% of circulating estrogen is from the ovaries in the form of estradiol, and the remaining 40% is estrogen formed primarily in the adipose(fat) tissue via aromatization of androstenedion from the adrenal glands. After menopause this adipose cell production of estrone is the main source of estrogens and the level of estrone is maintained approximately at premenopausal levels. This study was undertaken to determine the role of body size and body mass index by status of menopause in development of breast cancer using retrospective case/control study. From March 1991 to February 1997 at the Wonkwang University Hospital, the breast cancer cases(n=72) and controls(n=86) were selected. By statistical analysis method, regression analysis, paired T-test and multiple logistic regression were done to estimate the influenced factors same as height, weight, BMI, age at menarche and age at menopause. The following results were obtained : 1. In premenopausal women, age at menarche was showed comparatively high correlation coefficients and BMI was described prominently highly in postmenopause. 2. At the results of multiple regression analysis, age at monarch, BMI and weight were showed as significant variables. In this method, critical factor ($R^2$) was 0.054. 3. Paired samples T-test was undertaken to test mean difference between two groups of cases and controls. The result of test performance showed a significant difference. 4. In comparison with women whose weight less than 50 kg, the ORs for the upper 5th group was 1.82(95% confidence interval). The heaviest women had a higher risk(OR=1.14, 95% confidence interval $1.12{\sim}1.31$, p=0.005). Higher body mass index was significantly associated with increased risk of premenopausal breast cancer (OR=1.01, 95% confidence interval $1.08{\sim}l.18$, p=0.05).

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.567-576
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• 1996

The multiprocess dynamic survival model is proposed for the application of the regression model on the analysis of survival data with time-varying effects of covariates : where the survival data consists of numbers of deaths at certain time-points. The algorithm for the recursive estimation of a time-varying parameter vector is suggested. Also the algorithm of forecasting of numbers of deaths of each group in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the end of current time interval is suggested.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.160-165
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• 2007

Dispersion parameters for the number of piglets born alive were estimated using a repeatability and random regression model. Six sow breeds/lines were included in the analysis: Swedish Landrace, Large White and both crossbred lines between them, German Landrace and their cross with Large White. Fixed part of the model included sow genotype, mating season as month-year interaction, parity and weaning to conception interval as class effects. The age at farrowing was modelled as a quadratic regression nested within parity. The previous lactation length was fitted as a linear regression. Random regressions for parity on Legendre polynomials were included for direct additive genetic, permanent environmental, and common litter environmental effects. Orthogonal Legendre polynomials from the linear to the cubic power were fitted. In the repeatability model estimate of heritability was 0.07, permanent environmental effect as ratio was 0.04, and common litter environmental effect as ratio was 0.01. Estimates of genetic parameters with the random regression model were generally higher than in the repeatability model, except for the common litter environmental effect. Estimates of heritability ranged from 0.06 to 0.10. Permanent environmental effect as a ratio increased along a trajectory from 0.03 to 0.11. Magnitudes of common litter effect were small (around 0.01). The eigenvalues of covariance functions showed that between 7 and 8 % of genetic variability was explained by individual genetic curves of sows. This proportion was mainly covered by linear and quadratic coefficients. Results suggest that the random regression model could be used for genetic analysis of litter size.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.162-168
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• 2017

Background: Pelvic ring fractures (PRFs) may influence the daily activities and quality of life of the injured. The aim of this retrospective study was to explore the functional outcomes and factors related to return to work (RTW) after PRF. Methods: During the years 2003-2012, 282 injured individuals aged 20-55 years on the date of the accident, were hospitalized and treated for PRFs in a large tertiary hospital in Athens, Greece. One hundred and three patients were traced and contacted; 77 who were on paid employment prior to the accident gave their informed consent to participate in the survey, which was conducted in early 2015 through telephone interviews. The questionnaire included variables related to injury, treatment and activities, and the Majeed pelvic score. Univariate and multiple regression analyses were used for statistical assessment. Results: Almost half of the injured (46.7%) fully RTW, and earning losses were reported to be 35% after PRF. The univariate analysis confirmed that RTW was significantly related to accident site (labor or not), the magnitude of the accident's force, concomitant injuries, duration of hospitalization, time to RTW, engagement to the same sport, Majeed score, and complications such as limp and pain as well as urologic and sexual complaints (p < 0.05 for all). On multiple logistic regression analysis, the accident sustained out of work (odds ratio: 6.472, 95% confidence interval: 1.626-25.769) and Majeed score (odds ratio: 3.749, 95% confidence interval: 2.092-6.720) were identified as independent predictive factors of full RTW. Conclusion: PRFs have severe socioeconomic consequences. Possible predictors of RTW should be taken into account for health management and policies.

• 산업융합연구
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• 제18권6호
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• pp.75-83
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• 2020

본 연구는 혈액원 노동자들의 건강한 근무환경 개선을 위한 토대를 제공하고자 작성된 서술적 조사연구이다. 설문지는 2020년 9월 8일부터 10월 31일까지 215부가 수집되었다. SPSS 19.0 통계 프로그램으로 카이제곱검정 및 피셔정확검정(Chi-squared test or Fisher's extract test), 독립표본 t-test, 다중로지스틱회귀분석(Mutiple Logistic Regression)을 하였다. 관련 요인 보정 후 긍정심리자본 및 직무스트레스와 주관적 건강 상태와의 관련성을 평가하기 위해 다중로지스틱회귀분석을 시행한 결과, 일반적 특성 및 업무특성과 주관적 건강 상태와는 관련성이 없었으며, 불건강군과 건강군의 긍정심리자본과 직무스트레스는 유의미한 평균 차이를 각각 보였다(p<.001, p<.001). 긍정심리자본이 한 단위 증가할수록 주관적 건강 상태의 양호한 건강군의 오즈비는 1.1배[95% confidence interval (CI): 1.0-1.1] 유의하게 증가 하였고, 직무스트레스가 한 단위 증가할수록 주관적 건강 상태의 양호한 건강군의 오즈비는 0.9배로[95% confidence interval (CI): 0.8-0.9] 유의하게 감소하는 결과를 보였다.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제16권8호
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• pp.1093-1101
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• 2003

Reproductive data, such as numbers of days to the first estrus and A.I. service postpartum, number of days to conception, number of A.I. services required for conception, interval between the first estrus and first A.I. service and the average interval of A.I. service in Thai native-Friesian crossbred and pure Friesian dairy cows, were compiled in the National Dairy Training and Applied Research Institute in Chiang Mai, Thailand. The data were analyzed statistically and the effect of milk production on these reproductive traits was investigated. The reproductive efficiency of purebred cows was obviously inferior when compared with crossbred animals, in spite of special care being given to the purebred only in order to alleviate the effect of a tropical climate and provide better feeding. However, the regression analysis between reproductive and lactational parameters revealed a definite antagonistic effect of lactation on reproduction, especially in the purebred cows, which had a larger amount of milk production and longer lactation period. If these effects of lactation were eliminated, there would be no evident difference in reproductive efficiency between purebred and crossbred cows in the conditions of this study. Among the reproductive parameters examined, the number of days to the first estrus and interval between the first estrus and first A.I. service were less affected by breed difference and the magnitude of lactation than other reasons.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제61권1호
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• pp.9-20
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• 2019

The primary objective of this study was to analyze the delivery ratio using Hydrological Simulation Program - Fortran (HSPF) in Okdong-cheon watershed. Model parameters related to hydrology and water quality were calibrated and validated by comparing model predictions with the 8-day interval filed data collected for ten years from the Korea Ministry of Environment. The results indicated that hydrology and water quality parameters appeared to be reasonably comparable to the field data. The pollutant delivery loads of the watershed in 2015 were simulated using the HSPF model. The delivery ratios of each subwatershed were also estimated by the simple ratio calculation of pollutant discharge load and pollutant delivery load. Coefficients of the regression equation between the delivery ratio and specific discharge were also computed using the delivery ratio. Based on the results, multiple regression analysis was performed using the discharge and the physical characteristics of the subwatershed such as the area. The equation of delivery ratio derived in this study is only for the Okdong-cheon watershed, so the larger studies are needed to apply the findings to other watersheds.