• Title/Summary/Keyword: International Supply and Value Chain

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An Application of Machine Learning in Retail for Demand Forecasting

  • Muhammad Umer Farooq;Mustafa Latif;Waseem;Mirza Adnan Baig;Muhammad Ali Akhtar;Nuzhat Sana
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.210-216
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    • 2023
  • Demand prediction is an essential component of any business or supply chain. Large retailers need to keep track of tens of millions of items flows each day to ensure smooth operations and strong margins. The demand prediction is in the epicenter of this planning tornado. For business processes in retail companies that deal with a variety of products with short shelf life and foodstuffs, forecast accuracy is of the utmost importance due to the shifting demand pattern, which is impacted by an environment of dynamic and fast response. All sectors strive to produce the ideal quantity of goods at the ideal time, but for retailers, this issue is especially crucial as they also need to effectively manage perishable inventories. In light of this, this research aims to show how Machine Learning approaches can help with demand forecasting in retail and future sales predictions. This will be done in two steps. One by using historic data and another by using open data of weather conditions, fuel, Consumer Price Index (CPI), holidays, any specific events in that area etc. Several machine learning algorithms were applied and compared using the r-squared and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) assessment metrics. The suggested method improves the effectiveness and quality of feature selection while using a small number of well-chosen features to increase demand prediction accuracy. The model is tested with a one-year weekly dataset after being trained with a two-year weekly dataset. The results show that the suggested expanded feature selection approach provides a very good MAPE range, a very respectable and encouraging value for anticipating retail demand in retail systems.

LEAN CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT OF BPIMT(BUILDIN-CONSTRUCTION PROCESS INNOVATION MANAGEMENT TOOLS & TECHNIQUES) THAT BASED VSM &TACT

  • Sang-Hyuk Lee;Chul-Woo Lim;Chang-duk Kim;Sang-Wook Suh;Yoon-Ki Choi;Jae-Youl Chun;Jung-Ho Yu
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.1089-1093
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    • 2005
  • Proving the effect of lean construction has yet to be done for its staying poor basic building though there has been efforts and wants to introduce the theory and concept of lean construction in practical site. Therefore, we need to specify the methods of productivity improvement and construction process through various adaptations in the site. Also, to apply such improvement methods systematically, we need active participation of owners, contractors and supply chain members in relation to construction industry and are also require appropriate methods to adapt. At first, this study thinks over the techniques of lean construction that has been verified through studies carried before. For second, it selects the technique of lean construction with the practicality in the construction site. For third, it is aimed to make a manual of lean process management by the use of TACT and V.S.M. For fifth, it will show the method of management for repeated activity and develop a guide-line and procedure that applies the concept of work sequence and resource equalization to each phase of process management. At last, it will show methods of reflecting V.S.M. to improve and grasp the waste factor from the step of managing an activity process and develop the form to analyze the waste in construction site by mapping the value flow.

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The Effect of E-Business on Firm's Growth and Profitability in the Distribution Industry (e-비즈니스의 유통기업 성장성 및 수익성 기여 효과분석)

  • Baek, Chul-Woo
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - This research aims to examine the effect of e-business adoption on firm's growth and profitability in the distribution industry. The value added from the distribution industry acts as the cost of other industries. As the distribution industry develops, its stage becomes shorter and the distribution margin becomes smaller. Therefore, e-business is expected to have a different effect on the distribution industry than other industries. Research design, data and methodology - The previous research generally used e-business adoption as an independent variable and firm's performance as a dependent variable. This study elaborated the model using a dynamic panel model that includes the performance variable of the previous year as an independent variable. By employing system GMM (Generalized Method of Moments), the endogeneity problem in the dynamic panel model can be solved. For the analysis, I extracted the distribution companies as the raw data in the National Statistical Office's Business Activity Survey over the period 2006 to 2012. Results - The growth rate of firms adopting e-business was 0.299%p higher than that of the non-adopter. However, only ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning), KMS (Knowledge Management System) and SCM (Supply Chain Management) contributed positively to the growth rate. In the case of profitability, it was 0.04%p higher than the distribution companies that did not adopt e-business. ERP and LMS (Learning Management System) improve profitability, while SCM reduces profitability. Consequently, while ERP improves both growth and profitability, SCM improves growth but reduces profitability. In addition, KMS improves firm's growth only, and LMS does only profitability, showing that each e-business has a differentiated effect. Conclusions - Since the distribution industry has different characteristics from manufacturing and other service industries, the introduction of e-business may not guarantee the growth and profitability of distribution companies. Careful introduction considering the characteristics of the distribution industry is required. In particular, it is necessary to select an e-business meeting the characteristics and needs of a distribution company, and thereafter, it is required for the company's own efforts to internalize it within the system.

Research on the Relationship Between Social Capital and Enterprise Performance in Supply Chain Environment

  • Li, Jian;Lee, Sang-Chun;Jeong, Ha-Eun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.34-48
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - The rapid rise of e-commerce enterprises has led to the development of the logistics industry. At the same time, some enterprises are motivated by the interests to start reducing costs and inputs, which on the contrary leads to low quality of service, thus reducing customer satisfaction. In recent years, vicious competition, violent express delivery and lack of professionalism in the logistics market have led to high annual customer complaint rate, which has resulted in the company losing many loyal customers, but also unable to obtain new customers. Therefore, to pay attention to and understand the psychological needs of customers and improve the quality of logistics distribution service has become a pressing problem for Every express company. Design/methodology - By analyzing the problems existing in logistics distribution of express companies, this paper explores various factors affecting customer satisfaction and takes consumer sentiment as a mediating variable. Through questionnaires to collect relevant data, put forward hypotheses for empirical analysis, use two different software including SPSS 21.0 and AMOS 21.0 to analyze the information, draw conclusions and make recommendations. Findings - According to the above research results, the reliability, convenience, efficiency, professional can have a positive impact on customer satisfaction through the mediating effect of their sentiment, convenience and professional on consumer sentiment and satisfaction are more significant. Originality/value - This paper the establishment of distribution service indicators related to customer satisfaction and empirical analysis can not only enrich and supplement the distribution service quality indicator system studied by the former, but also provide a theoretical basis for future research.

Estimation of Demand for and Proper Capacity of Ro-Ro Berths in Korea-Japan Trade (한일간 Ro-Ro 부두 수요 및 적정 규모 추정)

  • Kim, Yul-Seong;Lee, Kyung-Nam;Kang, Dal-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.107-120
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    • 2015
  • International logistics systems for cross-border trading aim not only to reduce costs and time, but also to maximize added value. For accuracy of shipping time, cost reduction, rapidity, and safety improvement, demand for Ro-Ro shipping as a global supply chain operating system has increased. To anticipate these demands, this study estimates the optimal demand and scale of Ro-Ro berth construction by analyzing shipping volumes between Korea and Japan. Based on Ro-Ro shipping speeds and distances between Korea and Japan, the shipping volume (container and general cargo) of Busan port is sorted into two separate zones. After analyzing the ratio of items that have great potential benefits from using Ro-Ro shipping, we estimate possible shipping volumes using Ro-Ro berth provision. The results reveal that two berths for 20,000t vessels are additionally required to accommodate the estimated volume. Results suggest the construction of an exclusive Ro-Ro berth in Busan port. This would not only accommodate the demand between Korea and Japan, but also provide a way to avoid the lean-to-one-side port policy.