• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.9 no.7
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• pp.1569-1574
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• 2005

In this paper, I propose an intelligent credit rating system using a bankruptcy prediction model based on support vector machines (SVMs). SVMs are promising methods because they use a risk function consisting of the empirical error and a regularized term which is derived from the structural risk minimization principle. This study examines the feasibility of applying SVM in Predicting corporate bankruptcies by comparing it with other data mining techniques. In addition. this study presents architecture and prototype of intelligeht credit rating systems based on SVM models.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.125-135
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• 2000

Many different statistical and artificial intelligent techniques have been applied to improve the predictability of credit rating. Hybrid models and systems have also been developed by effectively combining different modeling processes or combining the outcomes of individual models. In this paper, we introduced the rough set theory and developed a hybrid credit rating system that combines individual outcomes in terms of rough set theory. An experiment was conducted to compare the prediction capability of the system with those of other methods. The proposed system based on rough set method outperformed the others.

• Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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• 1999.10a
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• pp.347-354
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• 1999

The credit rating represents an assessment of the relative level of risk associated with the timely payments required by the debt obligation. In this paper, we present a new approach to credit rating of customers based on the rough set theory. The concept of a rough set appeared to be an effective tool for the analysis of customer information systems representing knowledge gained by experience. The customer information system describes a set of customers by a set of multi-valued attributes, called condition attributes. The customers are classified into groups of risk subject to an expert's opinion, called decision attribute. A natural problem of knowledge analysis consists then in discovering relationships, in terms of decision rules, between description of customers by condition attributes and particular decisions. The rough set approach enables one to discover minimal subsets of condition attributes ensuring an acceptable quality of classification of the customers analyzed and to derive decision rules from the customer information system which can be used to support decisions about rating new customers. Using the rough set approach one analyses only facts hidden in data, it does not need any additional information about data and does not correct inconsistencies manifested in data; instead, rules produced are categorized into certain and possible. A real problem of the evaluation of the evaluation of credit rating by a department store is studied using the rough set approach.

• Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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• 2005.11a
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• pp.571-578
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• 2005

Corporate credit rating analysis has drawn a lot of research interests in previous studies, and recent studies have shown that machine learning techniques achieved better performance than traditional statistical ones. This paper applies support vector machines (SVMs) to the corporate credit rating problem in an attempt to suggest a new model with better explanatory power and stability. To serve this purpose, the researcher uses a grid-search technique using 5-fold cross-validation to find out the optimal parameter values of kernel function of SVM. In addition, to evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVM, the researcher compares its performance with those of multiple discriminant analysis (MDA), case-based reasoning (CBR), and three-layer fully connected back-propagation neural networks (BPNs). The experiment results show that SVM outperforms the other methods.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.51-61
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• 1999

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.1-22
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• 2023

Existing studies on mixed ratings that combine ESG ratings and credit ratings have been rare. Through meta-frontier analysis, this study examines the relationship between the prime and non-prime groups in ESG ratings, credit ratings, and mixed ratings that consider ESG ratings and credit ratings at the same time. Efficiency was compared. Meta-frontier analysis was used to compare the efficiency of 143 listed manufacturing companies in Korea between the prime and non-prime groups based on the ESG ratings assigned to them by KCGS and the credit ratings assigned by Korea's three major credit rating agencies. As a result of this study, first, the meta-efficiency of the prime mixed-grade group was statistically more efficient than the non-prime mixed-grade group under the variable return scale (VRS) assumption. Second, the prime ESG rating group had a relatively higher proportion of scale inefficiency than the non-prime ESG rating group. Third, in terms of economies of scale, the prime credit rating group had a higher proportion of diminishing returns to scale (DRS) than the non-prime credit rating group. This study will help companies interested in sustainability management to do ESG management.

• Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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• 2005.11a
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• pp.509-515
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• 2005

Recently, support vector machines (SVMs) are being recognized as competitive tools as compared with other data mining techniques for solving pattern recognition or classification decision problems. Furthermore, many researches, in particular, have proved it more powerful than traditional artificial neural networks (ANNs)(Amendolia et al., 2003; Huang et al., 2004, Huang et al., 2005; Tay and Cao, 2001; Min and Lee, 2005; Shin et al, 2005; Kim, 2003). The classification decision, such as a binary or multi-class decision problem, used by any classifier, i.e. data mining techniques is cost-sensitive. Therefore, it is necessary to convert the output of the classifier into well-calibrated posterior probabilities. However, SVMs basically do not provide such probabilities. So it required to use any method to create probabilities (Platt, 1999; Drish, 2001). This study applies a method to estimate the probability of outputs of SVM to bankruptcy prediction and then suggests credit scoring methods using the estimated probability for bank's loan decision making.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.99-121
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• 2009

Recently, there have been many studies that predict corporate bankruptcy using data mining techniques. Although various data mining techniques have been investigated, some researchers have tried to combine the results of each data mining technique in order to improve classification performance. In this study, we classify 4 types of data mining techniques via their characteristics and select representative techniques of each type then combine them using a genetic algorithm. The genetic algorithm may find optimal or near-optimal solution because it is a global optimization technique. This study compares the results of single models, typical combination models, and the proposed integration model using the genetic algorithm.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.49-64
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• 1999

본 연구는 백화점 고객이 신용 카드 신청 요구 시에 작성되는 가입 정보 및 사용되고 있는 고객의 거래 정보는 카드 사용 패턴으로 신용도를 예측하는 여러 방법론을 제시하고 성능을 비교하였다. 가입 정보를 분석하기 위해 역전파 신경망(Back-Propagation Neural Network, BPNN), 사례기반추론(Case-Based reasoning)을, 거래 정보를 분석하기 위해 역전파 신경망과 더불어 시간지연 신경망(Time-Delayed Neural Network, TDNN)을 각각 사용하여 그 결과를 비교하였다. 또한 전체시스템의 적중률을 높이기 위햐여, ID3와 신경망을 이용한 Meta-Leaning 방법을 제시하였으며, Meta-Learning 방법과 다른 방법들을 비교, 분석을 하였다. 본 연구에서는 모형 수립과 검증을 위하여 T백화점의 실제 신용 카드 가입 고객 데이터를 이용하여 실험하였다. 데이터의 성격에 따라 각 모델의 예측력에는 차이가 나타났으나, 신경망 모형의 예측력이 우수하였으며, 시간적 특성을 고려하는 시간지연 신경회로망 모형의 예측력은 더욱 우수하게 나타났다. 또한 Meta-Learning 모형을 사용하면 예측력이 더 높아진다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.1-21
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• 1998

귀납적 학습방법들의 분류성능을 비교 평가하기 위하여 대표적 분류문제의 하나인 신용평가 문제를 사용하였다. 분류기로서 사용된 귀납적 학습방법론들은 통계학의 다변량 판별분석(MDA), 기계학습 분야의 C4.5, 신경망의 다계층 퍼셉트론(MLP) 및 Cascade Correlation Network(CCN)의 4 가지이며, 학습자료로는 국내 3개 신용평가기관이 발표한 신용등급 및 공포된 재무제표를 사용하였다. 신용등급 예측의 정확도에 의한 분류성능을 평가하였는데 연도별 평가와 시계열 평가의 두 가지를 실시하였다. Cascade Correlation Network이 가장 좋은 분류성능을 보였지만 4가지 분류기들 사이에 통계적으로 유의한 차이는 발견되지 않았다. 이는 사용된 학습자료가 갖는 한계로 인한 것으로 추정되지만, 성능평가 과정에 있어 학습자료의 전처리 과정이 분류성과의 제고에 매우 유효함이 입증되었다.