• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제55권1호
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• pp.85-97
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• 2022

본 연구에서는 위험도를 나타내는 침수예상도와 취약도를 나타내는 재해취약지수를 동시에 고려한 통합 리스크 지도 작성 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 한 장의 지도에 다양하고 구체적인 정보를 제공함으로서, 대피계획을 동반한 실제 상황에서 활용 가능한 새로운 재해지도를 작성하였다. 재해지도에 인문·사회·경제적인 요소를 고려하기 위해, 연구유역을 노출성, 취약성, 대응성, 복구성 인자로 구분하였다. 그리고 각각의 인자들에 대한 7가지 지표를 GIS 도구를 이용하여 추출하였다. 각 지표별로 추출된 자료를 1~5등급으로 등급화 하였으며, 각 등급화된 자료를 재해취약지수로 선정하여 통합 리스크 분석 및 인자별 리스크 지도 작성에 활용하였다. 침수예상도와 재해취약지수 인자를 중첩한 인자별 리스크 지도는 인구, 자산, 건물 등을 포함한 지역별 상황을 반영하여 대피계획 수립에 활용하였다. 또한, 서로 다른 단위와 성질을 가진 재해취약지수 인자들의 표준화를 통해 하나의 취약도로 환산하고, 위험도를 동시에 고려한 통합 리스크 분석 방안도 제안하였다. 이는 재해지도 작성시 침수 위험도와 사회·인문·경제적인 요인을 동시에 고려한 구체적이고 다양한 정보를 제공할 수 있어 재해에 대한 대비·대응·복구 계획 수립에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Architectural research
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.105-112
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to establish a method for assessing a building's risk against disaster, tentatively named the Korean integrated disaster evaluation simulator (K-IDES). Based on previous studies, FEMA's risk management series and FEMA IRVS are selected as case studies for developing a frame work of K-IDES, through the comparative analysis of domestic building design guides, codes, and special acts related to disasters, in order to develop a risk assessment methodology for quantitative results. The assessment method consists of a classification system and calculating risk, and a simulation applying the developed checklist in K-IDES to similar types of high-rise buildings will be conducted to validate its accuracy. The final goal is to systemize an integrated risk management in a high-rise building against disasters for the purpose of recognizing vulnerable areas from the beginning of the design process and reinforcing it from potential threats after construction.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제50권5호
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• pp.627-638
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• 2018

This article describes an integrated Level 1-Level 2 probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) methodology to evaluate the radiological risk during postulated accident scenarios initiated during the decommissioning phase of a typical Mark I containment boiling water reactor. The fuel damage scenarios include those initiated while the reactor is permanently shut down, defueled, and the spent fuel is located into the spent fuel storage pool. This article focuses on the integrated Level 1-Level 2 PRA aspects of the analysis, from the beginning of the accident to the radiological release into the environment. The integrated Level 1-Level 2 decommissioning PRA uses event trees and fault trees that assess the accident progression until and after fuel damage. Detailed deterministic severe accident analyses are performed to support the fault tree/event tree development and to provide source term information for the various pieces of the Level 1-Level 2 model. Source terms information is collected from accidents occurring in both the reactor pressure vessel and the spent fuel pool, including simultaneous accidents. The Level 1-Level 2 PRA model evaluates the temporal and physical changes in plant conditions including consideration of major uncertainties. The goal of this article is to provide a methodology framework to perform a decommissioning Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA), and an application to a real case study is provided to show the use of the methodology. Results will be derived from the integrated Level 1-Level 2 decommissioning PSA event tree in terms of fuel damage frequency, large release frequency, and large early release frequency, including uncertainties.

• 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국원자력학회 2005년도 춘계학술발표회
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• pp.793-794
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• 2005

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1414-1418
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• 2009

International construction projects typically manifest difficult, complex, and varied types of risk exposures; because of this, there is a need for accurate evaluation of risk-integrated performances during the timeframe of project execution. Given the financial crisis currently affecting the world economy recession, risk management has become a more crucial part for the success of international project management. However, the majority of risk management approaches, particularly for overseas projects, are focused primarily on simple forms of checklists, formalization of risk variables affecting project performance for a specific phase, or more complicated computational methods that restricting practical utilization in real-world projects; moreover, these methods lack the conceptual basis to broadly visualize the level of risk over all phases of a project. This study suggests an efficient, yet simple risk-integrated total index to successfully assess the risk levels of overseas construction projects. To this end, this paper first investigates the life cycles and key processes of decision-making for a given project and then derives formulas to represent the total risk index (TRI) along the key decision-making processes. In addition, the study examines the relationships between TRI and performance levels based on the analysis of 126 real-world project samples. Validations using the proposed TRI showed a high correlation to project performance, signifying the usefulness of the proposed approach for construction firms when investigating the level of risks and key areas for management focus.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.66-71
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• 2007

Human error is one of the major contributors to the railway accidents or incidents. In order to develop an effective countermeasure to remove or reduce human errors, a systematic analysis should be preferentially performed to identify their causes, characteristics, and types of human error induced in accidents or incidents. This paper introduces a case study for human error analysis of the railway accidents and incidents. For the case study, more than 1,000 domestic railway accidents or incidents that happened during the year of 2004 have been investigated and a detailed error analysis was performed on the selected 90 cases, which were obviously caused by human error. This paper presents a classification structure for human error analysis, and summarizes the analysis results such as causes of the events, error modes and types, related worker, and task type.

• 한국엔터테인먼트산업학회논문지
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.19-31
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• 2021

본 연구의 목적은 국내 엔터테인먼트 기업의 CSR 활동, 리스크 관리, 프로듀싱 능력에 대한 소비자 평가가 통합 브랜드 자산 인식에 어떤 영향을 미치는지 살펴보는 것이다. 4년제 대학교에 재학 중인 대학생들을 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였고, 총 423개의 데이터가 분석에 사용되었다. 연구결과, 첫째, 경제적 활동과 자선적 활동에 대한 소비자 평가가 통합 브랜드 자산 인식과 정적 인과관계를 나타냈다. 둘째, 국내 엔터테인먼트 기업에 대한 리스크 관리와 프로듀싱 능력 평가가 높을수록 통합 브랜드 자산 인식을 긍정적으로 하는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 4개 기업은 공통적으로 프로듀싱 능력의 주효과가 유의미하게 나타났다. 또한 CSR 활동과 리스크 관리에 대한 평가 수준에 관계없이 프로듀싱 능력 평가가 높은 집단은 낮은 집단에 비해 통합 브랜드 자산 인식이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.203-210
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• 2012

Traffic accident risk of young drivers(less than 25) is reported to have 8 times as high as that of middle aged drivers(between 30 and 49). Despite the rise of traffic accident risk, few have been attempted to take a look into driving characteristics of young drivers. The purpose of this paper is to analyze age-specific risks of young driver by means of database of insurance and vehicle inspection, thereby collecting data such as age, vehicle mileage, injuries and so on. We conducted Data-Mining(CART) and Portfolio analysis according to age groups(every 10 years). The conclusions which can be drawn from this empirical study are as follows: (1) Despite the fact that young drivers have low vehicle mileage, the rate of fatality is relatively high. (2) Being concerned of vehicle mileage, 24,000km of driving experience is thought to be critical in differing in fatality rate. Having annual average mileage fewer than 24,169 km, accident frequency is relatively lower than that exceeding 24,169 km(1,571 cases). Backed upon these, some recommendations about driver's license system for young driver to improve are given.

• Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.285-298
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• 2002

In Korea, no CRA (comparative risk analysis) studies have been undertaken, nor have their methodologies of such studies been established. Therefore, the objectives of this study were to establish the framework of CRA consisting of health risk, economic risk and perceived risk, and to estimate and compare these risks among the three environmental problems of air pollution, indoor air pollution and drinking water contamination, which are themselves subject to the eight sub -problems of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs), regulated pollutants (representative as PM 10) and dioxins (PCDDs/PCDFs) in air pollution, indoor air pollutants (IAPs) and radon in indoor air pollution, and drinking water pollutants (DWPs), disinfection by -products (DBPs) and radionuclides in drinking water contamination in Seoul, Korea. After which, the priorities of these problems were set by individual and integrated risk. From the results, the rankings of both health risk and economical risk were in the following order: radon, PM10, IAPs, HAPs, DWPs, dioxins, DBPs, and radionuclides among the eight sub problems. On the contrary, the ranking of perceived risk was in the following order: HAPs, dioxins, radionuclides, PM10, DWPs, IAPs, Radon and then DBPs among the eight sub-problems.

• Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.24-29
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• 2016

This paper elaborates the significance of scenario planning in risk management, and presents an integrated approach which takes into account the 'Risk Events' derived from scenario planning for risk prioritisation. This research integrates scenario planning with Risk Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (RFMEA) through examples from construction litigations of project schedule and cost overrun cases as a simplified approach to project risk management. The proposed methodology incorporates scenarios developed from realistic events of dispute and arbitration cases from construction projects, and thereby increasing potential to foresee risks and their effects well in advance. The results from this methodology shall be validated against outcome of survey study conducted by KPMG-PMI (2013) on project schedule and cost overruns that was based on Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) Project Monitoring data for 2012-13.