• Title/Summary/Keyword: Information acceptance

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보다 정확한 동적 상황인식 추천을 위해 정확 및 오류 패턴을 활용하여 순차적 매칭 성능이 개선된 상황 예측 방법 (Context Prediction Using Right and Wrong Patterns to Improve Sequential Matching Performance for More Accurate Dynamic Context-Aware Recommendation)

  • 권오병
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 2009
  • Developing an agile recommender system for nomadic users has been regarded as a promising application in mobile and ubiquitous settings. To increase the quality of personalized recommendation in terms of accuracy and elapsed time, estimating future context of the user in a correct way is highly crucial. Traditionally, time series analysis and Makovian process have been adopted for such forecasting. However, these methods are not adequate in predicting context data, only because most of context data are represented as nominal scale. To resolve these limitations, the alignment-prediction algorithm has been suggested for context prediction, especially for future context from the low-level context. Recently, an ontological approach has been proposed for guided context prediction without context history. However, due to variety of context information, acquiring sufficient context prediction knowledge a priori is not easy in most of service domains. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to propose a novel context prediction methodology, which does not require a priori knowledge, and to increase accuracy and decrease elapsed time for service response. To do so, we have newly developed pattern-based context prediction approach. First of ail, a set of individual rules is derived from each context attribute using context history. Then a pattern consisted of results from reasoning individual rules, is developed for pattern learning. If at least one context property matches, say R, then regard the pattern as right. If the pattern is new, add right pattern, set the value of mismatched properties = 0, freq = 1 and w(R, 1). Otherwise, increase the frequency of the matched right pattern by 1 and then set w(R,freq). After finishing training, if the frequency is greater than a threshold value, then save the right pattern in knowledge base. On the other hand, if at least one context property matches, say W, then regard the pattern as wrong. If the pattern is new, modify the result into wrong answer, add right pattern, and set frequency to 1 and w(W, 1). Or, increase the matched wrong pattern's frequency by 1 and then set w(W, freq). After finishing training, if the frequency value is greater than a threshold level, then save the wrong pattern on the knowledge basis. Then, context prediction is performed with combinatorial rules as follows: first, identify current context. Second, find matched patterns from right patterns. If there is no pattern matched, then find a matching pattern from wrong patterns. If a matching pattern is not found, then choose one context property whose predictability is higher than that of any other properties. To show the feasibility of the methodology proposed in this paper, we collected actual context history from the travelers who had visited the largest amusement park in Korea. As a result, 400 context records were collected in 2009. Then we randomly selected 70% of the records as training data. The rest were selected as testing data. To examine the performance of the methodology, prediction accuracy and elapsed time were chosen as measures. We compared the performance with case-based reasoning and voting methods. Through a simulation test, we conclude that our methodology is clearly better than CBR and voting methods in terms of accuracy and elapsed time. This shows that the methodology is relatively valid and scalable. As a second round of the experiment, we compared a full model to a partial model. A full model indicates that right and wrong patterns are used for reasoning the future context. On the other hand, a partial model means that the reasoning is performed only with right patterns, which is generally adopted in the legacy alignment-prediction method. It turned out that a full model is better than a partial model in terms of the accuracy while partial model is better when considering elapsed time. As a last experiment, we took into our consideration potential privacy problems that might arise among the users. To mediate such concern, we excluded such context properties as date of tour and user profiles such as gender and age. The outcome shows that preserving privacy is endurable. Contributions of this paper are as follows: First, academically, we have improved sequential matching methods to predict accuracy and service time by considering individual rules of each context property and learning from wrong patterns. Second, the proposed method is found to be quite effective for privacy preserving applications, which are frequently required by B2C context-aware services; the privacy preserving system applying the proposed method successfully can also decrease elapsed time. Hence, the method is very practical in establishing privacy preserving context-aware services. Our future research issues taking into account some limitations in this paper can be summarized as follows. First, user acceptance or usability will be tested with actual users in order to prove the value of the prototype system. Second, we will apply the proposed method to more general application domains as this paper focused on tourism in amusement park.

사용자환경의 메타포가 스마트폰 애플리케이션 사용의도에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Metaphors in the Interface of Smartphone Applications on Users' Intention to Use)

  • 정원진;홍석기
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.255-279
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    • 2014
  • It is not too much to say that smartphones have become an essential part of our lives due to their versatility. Nevertheless, they still have less overall capabilities than their desktop counterparts. Specifically, they have small screens and low resolutions, which make their applications difficult to have a usable interface. To account for these limitations, the interface of smartphone applications should be designed carefully and properly. Good interface design to any application is critical. However, a comprehensive information systems (IS) literature review found that there has been little research on the user interface design of smartphone applications. More specifically, there has been little empirical evidence and understanding about how metaphors, an imaginative way of describing objects and concepts, in the user interface of smartphone applications affect users' intention to use the applications. Thereby, the research goals of this study are to examine 1) the effects of the metaphors in the user interface of smartphone applications on the interaction between users and applications and 2) the effects of mediating variables including the interaction between users and applications, users' beliefs and attitudes, on users' intention to use the applications. A survey was conducted to collect data. University students and practitioners participated in the survey. A 24-item questionnaire was developed on a 5-point Likert-type scale. The measurement items were mostly adapted from the previous studies in the IS literature and modified to fit the context of this study. First, a principal component factor analysis was performed to explore the inter-relationships among a set of variables. The analysis showed that most of the items loaded quite strongly on the six components. The analysis also revealed the six components with eigenvalues exceeding 1, explaining a total of 70.7 per cent of the variance. The reliabilities of the items were also checked. Most Cronbach alpha values were above 0.8, so the scales were considered reliable. In sum, the results of the analysis support the decision to retain the six factors for further investigation. Next, the structural model was analyzed with AMOS structural equation modeling. The values of GFI, AGFI, NFI, TLI, CFI, and RMSEA were checked. The values showed that the research model considerably have a good fit in general. Next, the convergent and discriminant validities of all constructs were examined. The values for the standardized regression weights and critical ration (CR) indicated sufficient convergent validity for all constructs. In addition, the square root of the average variance extracted (AVE) of each construct was compared with its correlations with all other constructs. The results supported discriminant validity for all constructs. In sum, the results of analysis demonstrated adequate convergent and discriminant validities for all constructs. Finally, path coefficients between the variables were examined. Methphor was found to have an impact on interaction (${\beta}$ = .457, p = .000). There were also significant effects of the interaction on perceived usefulness (${\beta}$ = .273, p = .000) and ease of use (${\beta}$ = .405, p = .000). User attitude was significantly influenced by these two beliefs, perceived usefulness (${\beta}$ = .386, p = .000) and ease of use (${\beta}$ = .347, p = .000) respectively. Further, the results of analysis found that users' intention to use smartphone applications was significantly influenced by user attitude (${\beta}$ = .567, p = .000). Based upon the analyses, all hypotheses were supported. This study found that the metaphors used in the interface of smartphone applications affect not only the interaction between users and applications, but also users' intention to use the applications through the mediating variables, perceived usefulness and ease of use. These findings imply that if the metaphors used in the user interface of application are easy enough to understand for smartphone users, then the application can be perceived useful and easy to use, which in turn make users to have an intention to use the application. In conclusion, this study contributed not only to validate and extend Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) partially, but also to develop the construct of metaphor in smartphone settings. However, since a single empirical study cannot be enough to validate the findings, some limitations should be considered.

중국 일간지의 "한류" 보도에 나타난 프레임 분석: 2001~2010년 기간에 보도된 기사 분석을 중심으로 (Analysis of the "Korean Wave" News Frame of Chinese Daily Newspapers: Based on the Analysis of Articles Reported between 2001 and 2010)

  • 유세경;이석;정지인
    • 한국언론정보학보
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    • 제57권
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    • pp.202-226
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 중국에서 한국 대중문화 수용과 확산에 대해 어떻게 인식하고 있는가를 분석하기 위해 중국 일간지에 보도된 한류관련 기사의 프레임을 분석하였다. 분석 결과 세 일간지 모두 한류 관련 이벤트나 한국 드라마, 영화의 열풍, 한류 스타의 인기 등 특정 이슈에 따라 연도별로 기사 게재 건수에 큰 차이를 보였다. 이러한 보도경향은 기사의 구성방식에서도 나타나는데 세 일간지 모두 한류 현상을 심층적으로 분석하고, 해석하는 주제 중심적 프레임보다 단편적인 한류 현상이나 인물 정보를 감성적으로 전달하는 일화 중심적 프레임을 주로 사용하였다. 구체적인 기사 내용을 살펴보기 위해 귀납적 접근방법을 활용하여 지배적 뉴스 틀을 분석한 결과 한류를 '한국 대중문화에 대한 흥미와 관심'이라는 문화적 흥미 프레임으로 구성하여 긍정적인 평가를 내리는 프레임이 가장 많았고, 경제적 관점에서 한류를 설명한 경제 프레임과 중국 정부 당국의 시점에서 바라본 정책 프레임 기사의 순으로 나타났다. 이러한 뉴스내용의 틀은 일간지의 발행목적에 따라 다소 다르게 나타났다. 공산당 기관지인 ${\ll}$인민일보${\gg}$는 중국 정부의 정책을 보도하는 정책 프레임을 많이 다루고, ${\ll}$인민일보(해외판)${\gg}$는 대외적인 시각에서 경제 프레임을 많이 다루었고 상업지 성격이 강한 경화일보는 한류를 새로운 문화현상으로 다루는 문화적 흥미 프레임이 많았다. 전체적으로 중국일간지에 보도된 한류 관련 기사는 대부분 긍정적이고 호의적인 프레임의 뉴스가 많으며 한국 대중문화를 문화적인 관점뿐만 아니라 경제적인 교류의 관점, 한국과 중국 간의 교류를 활성화하기 위한 정책적인 관점등 비교적 다양한 관점에서 보도하고 있음을 알 수 있다.

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소비자 분쟁처리시스템 지속사용의도에 대하여 IT기업과 비IT기업 간의 차이분석에 관한 연구 -한국 중소기업을 중심으로 (A Study on the Analysis of Difference between IT and Non-IT Companies on the Consumer Dispute Resolution System's Continuous Use Intention -Focusing on Korean Small and Medium Enterprises)

  • 정수용;신용태;한정훈;이성훈
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 중소기업을 위한 소비자분쟁처리시스템의 지속사용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대해 분석하였다. 소비자분쟁처리시스템은 중소기업들이 소비자와의 분쟁에서, 인터넷을 통해 정확하고 신속하게 피해처리 방법 및 법률서비스를 지원받을 수 있도록 하는 서비스이다. 소비자분쟁처리시스템을 사용하는 중소기업 사용자들 대상으로 소비자분쟁처리 시스템의 정보품질, 시스템품질, 환경요인이 지각된 사용용이성, 지각된 유용성에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지에 대해 알아보고 최종적으로 지속사용의도에 영향을 미치는지 알아보았다. 소비자분쟁시스템의 정확성, 편리성, 비용은 지각된 사용 용이성에 긍정적인 영향을 미쳤고, 정확성, 편리성 또한 지각된 유용성에 긍정적인 영향을 미쳤다. 또한 소비자분쟁처리시스템의 지각된 사용용이성, 지각된 사용 유용성은 지속사용의도에 최종적으로 긍정적인 영향관계가 있음을 검증하였다. 마지막으로 IT기업과 비IT기업 간의 소비자분쟁처리시스템 지속사용의도에 관하여 차이분석을 하였고 두 집단간의 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구 결과를 토대로 소비자분쟁처리시스템에 대한 각각의 품질을 우선순위에 맞게 보완 및 유지한다면 기존의 시스템보다 더욱 향상된 시스템으로 유지, 발전이 있을 것으로 기대된다.

프랜차이즈 기업의 지식경영 전략 : 파리바게뜨 사례를 중심으로 (Knowledge Management Strategy of a Franchise Business : The Case of a Paris Baguette Bakery)

  • 조준상;김보영
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제10권6호
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    • pp.39-53
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    • 2012
  • 기업에 경쟁우위를 가져다주는 많은 자원들 중에서 특히 지식(knowledge)은 생산 활동을 위해 다른 자원을 변화시키거나 확보할 수 있도록 만드는 중요한 자원으로 알려져 있다. 이러한 조직 내 지식은 다양한 형태로 존재하고, 다양한 장소나 개인에게 산재해 있기 때문에, 이를 통합하고 체계적으로 활용하기 위한 기업의 전사적 관리 활동이 필요하다. 특히 지식관리시스템(KMS: knowledge management systems)은 조직 내 지식을 창조하고, 공유하고, 적절히 사용함으로써 지식관리 프로세스를 지원하고 조직이 가진 지식자원의 가치를 극대화하여 기업의 학습조직화와 성과 증진을 이끌 수 있다. 이에 본 연구는 국내 대표적인 프랜차이즈 기업인 파리바게뜨의 성공적인 지식관리시스템운영 사례를 분석하여 프랜차이즈 기업들의 지식경영을 강화 및 지식관리시스템(KMS) 구축과 개선을 위한 구체적인 시사점을 제안하고자 하였다. 결과적으로 최고경영층의 관심과 지원, 능동적인 지식 공유와 활용을 위한 학습조직 문화, 네트워크 활성화를 통한 지식의 변환, 정보기술, 지식경영의 내재화를 위한 촉진제도와 보상이라는 5가지 주요 요인이 프랜차이즈 기업의 지식관리시스템의 성공적 운영을 위해 반드시 고려되어야 하는 요인임을 밝혀낼 수 있었다.

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조직구성원의 정보기술 인적역량과 개인 업무만족 및 업무성과 간의 관계: 목표지향성 관점 (Relationships Among Employees' IT Personnel Competency, Personal Work Satisfaction, and Personal Work Performance: A Goal Orientation Perspective)

  • 허명숙;천면중
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.63-104
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    • 2011
  • The study examines the relationships among employee's goal orientation, IT personnel competency, personal effectiveness. The goal orientation includes learning goal orientation, performance approach goal orientation, and performance avoid goal orientation. Personal effectiveness consists of personal work satisfaction and personal work performance. In general, IT personnel competency refers to IT expert's skills, expertise, and knowledge required to perform IT activities in organizations. However, due to the advent of the internet and the generalization of IT, IT personnel competency turns out to be an important competency of technological experts as well as employees in organizations. While the competency of IT itself is important, the appropriate harmony between IT personnel's business capability and technological capability enhances the value of human resources and thus provides organizations with sustainable competitive advantages. The rapid pace of organization change places increased pressure on employees to continually update their skills and adapt their behavior to new organizational realities. This challenge raises a number of important questions concerning organizational behavior? Why do some employees display remarkable flexibility in their behavioral responses to changes in the organization, whereas others firmly resist change or experience great stress when faced with the need to alter behavior? Why do some employees continually strive to improve themselves over their life span, whereas others are content to forge through life using the same basic knowledge and skills? Why do some employees throw themselves enthusiastically into challenging tasks, whereas others avoid challenging tasks? The goal orientation proposed by organizational psychology provides at least a partial answer to these questions. Goal orientations refer to stable personally characteristics fostered by "self-theories" about the nature and development of attributes (such as intelligence, personality, abilities, and skills) people have. Self-theories are one's beliefs and goal orientations are achievement motivation revealed in seeking goals in accordance with one's beliefs. The goal orientations include learning goal orientation, performance approach goal orientation, and performance avoid goal orientation. Specifically, a learning goal orientation refers to a preference to develop the self by acquiring new skills, mastering new situations, and improving one's competence. A performance approach goal orientation refers to a preference to demonstrate and validate the adequacy of one's competence by seeking favorable judgments and avoiding negative judgments. A performance avoid goal orientation refers to a preference to avoid the disproving of one's competence and to avoid negative judgements about it, while focusing on performance. And the study also examines the moderating role of work career of employees to investigate the difference in the relationship between IT personnel competency and personal effectiveness. The study analyzes the collected data using PASW 18.0 and and PLS(Partial Least Square). The study also uses PLS bootstrapping algorithm (sample size: 500) to test research hypotheses. The result shows that the influences of both a learning goal orientation (${\beta}$ = 0.301, t = 3.822, P < 0.000) and a performance approach goal orientation (${\beta}$ = 0.224, t = 2.710, P < 0.01) on IT personnel competency are positively significant, while the influence of a performance avoid goal orientation(${\beta}$ = -0.142, t = 2.398, p < 0.05) on IT personnel competency is negatively significant. The result indicates that employees differ in their psychological and behavioral responses according to the goal orientation of employees. The result also shows that the impact of a IT personnel competency on both personal work satisfaction(${\beta}$ = 0.395, t = 4.897, P < 0.000) and personal work performance(${\beta}$ = 0.575, t = 12.800, P < 0.000) is positively significant. And the impact of personal work satisfaction(${\beta}$ = 0.148, t = 2.432, p < 0.05) on personal work performance is positively significant. Finally, the impacts of control variables (gender, age, type of industry, position, work career) on the relationships between IT personnel competency and personal effectiveness(personal work satisfaction work performance) are partly significant. In addition, the study uses PLS algorithm to find out a GoF(global criterion of goodness of fit) of the exploratory research model which includes a mediating variable, IT personnel competency. The result of analysis shows that the value of GoF is 0.45 above GoFlarge(0.36). Therefore, the research model turns out be good. In addition, the study performs a Sobel Test to find out the statistical significance of the mediating variable, IT personnel competency, which is already turned out to have the mediating effect in the research model using PLS. The result of a Sobel Test shows that the values of Z are all significant statistically (above 1.96 and below -1.96) and indicates that IT personnel competency plays a mediating role in the research model. At the present day, most employees are universally afraid of organizational changes and resistant to them in organizations in which the acceptance and learning of a new information technology or information system is particularly required. The problem is due' to increasing a feeling of uneasiness and uncertainty in improving past practices in accordance with new organizational changes. It is not always possible for employees with positive attitudes to perform their works suitable to organizational goals. Therefore, organizations need to identify what kinds of goal-oriented minds employees have, motivate them to do self-directed learning, and provide them with organizational environment to enhance positive aspects in their works. Thus, the study provides researchers and practitioners with a matter of primary interest in goal orientation and IT personnel competency, of which they have been unaware until very recently. Some academic and practical implications and limitations arisen in the course of the research, and suggestions for future research directions are also discussed.

클라우드 컴퓨팅 서비스의 도입특성이 조직의 성과기대 및 사용의도에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 혁신확산 이론 관점 (A Study on the Effect of the Introduction Characteristics of Cloud Computing Services on the Performance Expectancy and the Intention to Use: From the Perspective of the Innovation Diffusion Theory)

  • 임재수;오재인
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.99-124
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    • 2012
  • Our society has long been talking about necessity for innovation. Since companies in particular need to carry out business innovation in their overall processes, they have attempted to apply many innovation factors on sites and become to pay more attention to their innovation. In order to achieve this goal, companies has applied various information technologies (IT) on sites as a means of innovation, and consequently IT have been greatly developed. It is natural for the field of IT to have faced another revolution which is called cloud computing, which is expected to result in innovative changes in software application via the Internet, data storing, the use of devices, and their operations. As a vehicle of innovation, cloud computing is expected to lead the changes and advancement of our society and the business world. Although many scholars have researched on a variety of topics regarding the innovation via IT, few studies have dealt with the issue of could computing as IT. Thus, the purpose of this paper is to set the variables of innovation attributes based on the previous articles as the characteristic variables and clarify how these variables affect "Performance Expectancy" of companies and the intention of using cloud computing. The result from the analysis of data collected in this study is as follows. The study utilized a research model developed on the innovation diffusion theory to identify influences on the adaptation and spreading IT for cloud computing services. Second, this study summarized the characteristics of cloud computing services as a new concept that introduces innovation at its early stage of adaptation for companies. Third, a theoretical model is provided that relates to the future innovation by suggesting variables for innovation characteristics to adopt cloud computing services. Finally, this study identified the factors affecting expectation and the intention to use the cloud computing service for the companies that consider adopting the cloud computing service. As the parameter and dependent variable respectively, the study deploys the independent variables that are aligned with the characteristics of the cloud computing services based on the innovation diffusion model, and utilizes the expectation for performance and Intention to Use based on the UTAUT theory. Independent variables for the research model include Relative Advantage, Complexity, Compatibility, Cost Saving, Trialability, and Observability. In addition, 'Acceptance for Adaptation' is applied as an adjustment variable to verify the influences on the expected performances from the cloud computing service. The validity of the research model was secured by performing factor analysis and reliability analysis. After confirmatory factor analysis is conducted using AMOS 7.0, the 20 hypotheses are verified through the analysis of the structural equation model, accepting 12 hypotheses among 20. For example, Relative Advantage turned out to have the positive effect both on Individual Performance and on Strategic Performance from the verification of hypothesis, while it showed meaningful correlation to affect Intention to Use directly. This indicates that many articles on the diffusion related Relative Advantage as the most important factor to predict the rate to accept innovation. From the viewpoint of the influence on Performance Expectancy among Compatibility and Cost Saving, Compatibility has the positive effect on both Individual Performance and on Strategic Performance, while it showed meaningful correlation with Intention to Use. However, the topic of the cloud computing service has become a strategic issue for adoption in companies, Cost Saving turns out to affect Individual Performance without a significant influence on Intention to Use. This indicates that companies expect practical performances such as time and cost saving and financial improvements through the adoption of the cloud computing service in the environment of the budget squeezing from the global economic crisis from 2008. Likewise, this positively affects the strategic performance in companies. In terms of effects, Trialability is proved to give no effects on Performance Expectancy. This indicates that the participants of the survey are willing to afford the risk from the high uncertainty caused by innovation, because they positively pursue information about new ideas as innovators and early adopter. In addition, they believe it is unnecessary to test the cloud computing service before the adoption, because there are various types of the cloud computing service. However, Observability positively affected both Individual Performance and Strategic Performance. It also showed meaningful correlation with Intention to Use. From the analysis of the direct effects on Intention to Use by innovative characteristics for the cloud computing service except the parameters, the innovative characteristics for the cloud computing service showed the positive influence on Relative Advantage, Compatibility and Observability while Complexity, Cost saving and the likelihood for the attempt did not affect Intention to Use. While the practical verification that was believed to be the most important factor on Performance Expectancy by characteristics for cloud computing service, Relative Advantage, Compatibility and Observability showed significant correlation with the various causes and effect analysis. Cost Saving showed a significant relation with Strategic Performance in companies, which indicates that the cost to build and operate IT is the burden of the management. Thus, the cloud computing service reflected the expectation as an alternative to reduce the investment and operational cost for IT infrastructure due to the recent economic crisis. The cloud computing service is not pervasive in the business world, but it is rapidly spreading all over the world, because of its inherited merits and benefits. Moreover, results of this research regarding the diffusion innovation are more or less different from those of the existing articles. This seems to be caused by the fact that the cloud computing service has a strong innovative factor that results in a new paradigm shift while most IT that are based on the theory of innovation diffusion are limited to companies and organizations. In addition, the participants in this study are believed to play an important role as innovators and early adapters to introduce the cloud computing service and to have competency to afford higher uncertainty for innovation. In conclusion, the introduction of the cloud computing service is a critical issue in the business world.

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비트코인 가격 변화에 관한 실증분석: 소비자, 산업, 그리고 거시변수를 중심으로 (Empirical Analysis on Bitcoin Price Change by Consumer, Industry and Macro-Economy Variables)

  • 이준식;김건우;박도형
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.195-220
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 비트코인 가격 변화량에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 실증 분석을 수행하였다. 기존 연구들은 암호화폐와 관련해 블록체인 시스템의 보안성, 암호화폐가 불러일으키는 경제적 파급효과 및 법적 시사점, 소비자 수용 및 사용 의도와 사회현상을 중심으로 이루어졌다. 그러나 암호화폐 가격 변화가 급등과 급락을 반복하면서 많은 사회적 문제를 야기했음에도 불구하고 암호화폐의 가격 변화에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 실증적 연구는 부족하다. 때문에 본 연구에서 암호화폐 가격 변화에 미치는 영향 요인을 도출하기 위해 암호화폐 중 가장 대표적인 비트코인을 중심으로 분석을 진행하였다. 분석을 위해 소비자, 산업, 거시경제 세 가지 차원에서 가설을 수립, 각 차원의 변수에 대한 시계열 데이터를 수집하였다. 단위근 검정을 통해 시계열 데이터에 대한 가성 회귀를 제거하고 안정성을 검증한 후, 비트코인 가격 변화량에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 요인들에 대한 회귀 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 비트코인 가격 변화량은 비트코인 거래 금지에 대한 검색 트래픽, 미국 달러지수 변화량과는 음의 상관관계를, GPU 벤더의 주가 변화량, 원유 가격 변화량과는 양의 상관관계를 갖는 것을 확인했다. 그 이유로는 비트코인 거래 금지는 비트코인 존폐와 관련해 투자심리에 부정적 영향을 미친 것으로 판단되며, GPU 벤더 주가는 비트코인 생산 단가 증가와 관련해 비트코인 가격에 영향을 미친 것으로 해석된다. 미국 달러지수와는 반대로 움직임으로서 비트코인이 금의 성격을 갖고 있음을 확인하였으며, 원유 가격과의 관계를 통해 원자재와 같은 투자 자산의 역할도 갖고 있음을 확인하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 통해 비트코인이 가진 성격을 규명하였으며, 비트코인 가격 변화 요인에 대한 실증 검증을 통해, 그 동안 부족했던 비트코인 가격 변화 요인을 규명하였고, 해당 요인들을 통해 실무적으로 소비자나 금융기관, 정부 기관에 대해 비트코인에 대한 전략적인 접근방법에 대한 가이드를 제공할 수 있다는 점에서 의의가 있다.

시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 온라인 쇼핑몰의 전략에 관한 연구 : 소비자의 구매 및 재구매 행동을 중심으로 (A Study for Strategy of On-line Shopping Mall: Based on Customer Purchasing and Re-purchasing Pattern)

  • 이상근;민석기;강민철
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.91-121
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    • 2008
  • Electronic commerce, commonly known as e-commerce or eCommerce, has become a major business trend in these days. The amount of trade conducted electronically has grown extraordinarily by developing the Internet technology. Most electronic commerce has being conducted between businesses to customers; therefore, the researches with respect to e-commerce are to find customer's needs, behaviors through statistical methods. However, the statistical researches, mostly based on a questionnaire, are the static researches, They can tell us the dynamic relationships between initial purchasing and repurchasing. Therefore, this study proposes dynamic research model for analyzing the cause of initial purchasing and repurchasing. This paper is based on the System-Dynamic theory, using the powerful simulation model with some restriction, The restrictions are based on the theory TAM(Technology Acceptance Model), PAM, and TPB(Theory of Planned Behavior). This article investigates not only the customer's purchasing and repurchasing behavior by passing of time but also the interactive effects to one another. This research model has six scenarios and three steps for analyzing customer behaviors. The first step is the research of purchasing situations. The second step is the research of repurchasing situations. Finally, the third step is to study the relationship between initial purchasing and repurchasing. The purpose of six scenarios is to find the customer's purchasing patterns according to the environmental changes. We set six variables in these scenarios by (1) changing the number of products; (2) changing the number of contents in on-line shopping malls; (3) having multimedia files or not in the shopping mall web sites; (4) grading on-line communities; (5) changing the qualities of products; (6) changing the customer's degree of confidence on products. First three variables are applied to study customer's purchasing behavior, and the other variables are applied to repurchasing behavior study. Through the simulation study, this paper presents some inter-relational result about customer purchasing behaviors, For example, Active community actions are not the increasing factor of purchasing but the increasing factor of word of mouth effect, Additionally. The higher products' quality, the more word of mouth effects increase. The number of products and contents on the web sites have same influence on people's buying behaviors. All simulation methods in this paper is not only display the result of each scenario but also find how to affect each other. Hence, electronic commerce firm can make more realistic marketing strategy about consumer behavior through this dynamic simulation research. Moreover, dynamic analysis method can predict the results which help the decision of marketing strategy by using the time-line graph. Consequently, this dynamic simulation analysis could be a useful research model to make firm's competitive advantage. However, this simulation model needs more further study. With respect to reality, this simulation model has some limitations. There are some missing factors which affect customer's buying behaviors in this model. The first missing factor is the customer's degree of recognition of brands. The second factor is the degree of customer satisfaction. The third factor is the power of word of mouth in the specific region. Generally, word of mouth affects significantly on a region's culture, even people's buying behaviors. The last missing factor is the user interface environment in the internet or other on-line shopping tools. In order to get more realistic result, these factors might be essential matters to make better research in the future studies.

그린기술 채택에의 디지털 지식풍부성의 역할: 디지털 옵션 이론 관점에서 (The Role of Digital Knowledge Richness in Green Technology Adoption: A Digital Option Theory Perspective)

  • 유호선;이남연;권오병
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.23-52
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    • 2015
  • 연구 목적 본 연구의 목적은 그린 기술의 채택 현상을 디지털 지식의 제공 여부로 이해하는 것이다. UTAUT2를 이론적 기반으로 하되 디지털 옵션 이론과 결합하였다. 특히 일반적인 UTAUT2 관련 연구들이 IT자체에 대한 수용 현상을 설명하기 위해 사용된 것과는 달리 본 연구에서는 IT의 산물인 디지털지식이 그린 기술이라는 대상을 채택하는데 긍정적인 영향을 주는지에 대해서 초점을 두었다. 연구설계/방법론/접근법 UTAUT2를 근거로 하되 그린 기술의 채택 현상을 설명하는데 유용한 요인들을 파악하기 위하여 내용분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과로 본 연구에서는 그린기술을 위한 수정된 UTAUT2 모형을 개발하였으며 그에 맞는 36개의 설문 문항을 개발하였다. 각 문항의 측정은 리커트 7점 척도를 채택하였다. 한 기관의 패널 자료로부터 총402명의 유효한 설문을 획득하였다. 사전 검증을 마치고 획득한 설문결과를 PLS 2.0M3와 SPSS 20.0을 이용하여 분석하였으며 가설검증을 위해 구조방정식 분석을 수행하였다. 결과 통계분석 결과 개발된 UTAUT2 수정 모형은 수요자들의 그린기술 채택 현상을 적절히 설명하는 것으로 실증분석 결과 나타났다. 사회적 영향은 전통적인 UTAUT나 UTAUT2에서 사용하는 효용가치나 쾌락가치보다 그린기술의 채택하는 맥락 하에서의 수용 행위를 더 잘 설명하고 있었다. 또한 디지털 지식과 그린기술의 채택, 즉 환경 친화적 제품에 대한 태도에 영향을 주는 요인들 사이의 인과관계는 유의한 것으로 판정되었다. 아울러 디지털 지식은 어떤 잠재적 사용자들이 그린기술을 잘 활용하고 있는 그들의 동료들로부터 학습하기 위해서 유용한 매체인 것으로 밝혀졌다.