• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inflation risk

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Selecting Marketing Variables for the Overseas Expansion of a Foodservice Company (해외진출 외식기업의 시장고려 변수 선정)

  • Shin, Sun-Hwa;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.755-763
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to select market variables that a foodservice company should consider when expanding overseas and to regional market analysis by variables. Twenty-three different variables were derived from 17 previous studies. These were: population, urbanization rate, women employed, enrollment in tertiary education, gross domestic product, value added by service, total number of mobile cellular telephone subscribers, number of internet users, total Asian highway, inward foreign direct investment, total service imports, inflation rate, international tourist arrivals, energy use by industry, growth rates of the food consumer price index, access to urban sanitation, per capita total expenditure on health, male life expectancy at birth, adult literacy rate, contributing women family workers, passenger car, and country risk assessment. The selected variables were collected as secondary data from the UN, Asian Development Bank, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and Michigan State University.

Influence Analysis of Investor Preference for Investment Satisfaction Degree on Decision Making of Real Estate Investment (부동산 투자의사결정에 있어 투자자 선호특성이 투자만족도에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Paek, Jun-Seok;Kim, Gu-Hoi;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.553-562
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    • 2016
  • Then, it investigated the investment preference through the previous studies to analyze the influence factor of investment satisfaction and demonstrated the effects through the PLS (Partial Least Squares) regression. In addition, it separated the target type to institutional investors and retail investors and carried out the survey for comparing the investment preference of investor type. The result of analysis found out that institutional investors emphasis on investment preference such as the Inflation hedge, Early payback, Financial stability, Leverage risk and etc. Then, general investors emphasis on investment preference such as the Rental income, Facilities and Equipment, Business area and population, Ease of use, Leverage risk, Early payback and etc. In addition, common investment preferences are the Leverage risk, Early payback and Facility accessibility.

Optimal Monetary Policy System for Both Macroeconomics and Financial Stability (거시경제와 금융안정을 종합 고려한 최적 통화정책체계 연구)

  • Joonyoung Hur;Hyoung Seok Oh
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.91-129
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    • 2024
  • The Bank of Korea, through a legal amendment in 2011 following the financial crisis, was entrusted with the additional responsibility of financial stability beyond its existing mandate of price stability. Since then, concerns have been raised about the prolonged increase in household debt compared to income conditions, which could constrain consumption and growth and increase the possibility of a crisis in the event of negative economic shocks. The current accumulation of financial imbalances suggests a critical period for the government and central bank to be more vigilant, ensuring it does not impede the stable flow of our financial and economic systems. This study examines the applicability of the Integrated Inflation Targeting (IIT) framework proposed by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) for macro-financial stability in promoting long-term economic stability. Using VAR models, the study reveals a clear increase in risk appetite following interest rate cuts after the financial crisis, leading to a rise in household debt. Additionally, analyzing the central bank's conduct of monetary policy from 2000 to 2021 through DSGE models indicates that the Bank of Korea has operated with a form of IIT, considering both inflation and growth in its policy decisions, with some responsiveness to the increase in household debt. However, the estimation of a high interest rate smoothing coefficient suggests a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments. Furthermore, estimating the optimal interest rate rule to minimize the central bank's loss function reveals that a policy considering inflation, growth, and being mindful of household credit conditions is superior. It suggests that the policy of actively adjusting the benchmark interest rate in response to changes in economic conditions and being attentive to household credit situations when household debt is increasing rapidly compared to income conditions has been analyzed as a desirable policy approach. Based on these findings, we conclude that the integrated inflation targeting framework proposed by the BIS could be considered as an alternative policy system that supports the stable growth of the economy in the medium to long term.

Bank Capital Adequacy Ratio and Bank Performance in Vietnam: A Simultaneous Equations Framework

  • DAO, Binh Thi Thanh;NGUYEN, Kieu Anh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2020
  • Playing an important role in developing the economy and overall developments of the country, commercial banks have to be aware of their crucial presence in order to perform well and contribute significantly. At the same time, as a place to receive deposits, banks are required to be in safe situations to avoid bankruptcy or deal with financial crises. This research seeks to identify the determinants of Capital Adequacy Ratio and Banks' performance as well as the relationship between these two dependent variables. The paper uses 128 observations of 16 Vietnamese commercial banks during the period from 2010 to 2017, with two simultaneous dependent variables CAR and ROE, and independent variables including Return on Assets, Tobin Q, Credit growth, GDP growth, Equity to Deposits, Loans to Deposits, Bank size, Cost to Income, Liquidity risk, Provision for Loan loss ratio, Non-performing loans and Inflation. The results reveal that Capital Adequacy Ratio and Banks' Performance have statistically significant relationship and Credit growth, GDP growth, Equity-to-Deposit ratio and Cost-to-Income ratio all have significant effects on two dependent variables. The findings of this study suggest that commercial banks should control the respective elements in order to maintain adequate level of capital and also create effective performance.

Determinants of Micro-, Small- and Medium-Sized Enterprise Loans by Commercial Banks in Indonesia

  • YUDARUDDIN, Rizky
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates, in a single equation framework, the effect of bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants on micro-, small- and medium-sized loans by commercial banks in Indonesia. This study uses a sample of 790 observations from 79 commercial banks in Indonesia over the years 2006-2015. This study uses two estimation methods for our panel regressions: static and dynamic generalized method of moments (GMM) panel estimator. In static relationships, the literature usually uses the least square methods on fixed effects (FE) or random effects (RE). I found evidence that all banks, bank profitability and size are positively and significantly related to micro-, small- and medium-sized loans, while the coefficients of liquidity are significantly positive in all specifications, except government banks which is significantly negative. The relationship between risk and credit growth is negative for non-government banks. All estimated equations show that the effect of the capital variable on lending banks to MSMEs is not important in government banks and non-government banks. Finally, macroeconomic variables, such as inflation and gross domestic product, clearly affect the lending of the banking sector particularly non-state banks. The findings have several policy implications to Indonesia government, regulatory authority and bank managers in order to improve bank profitability through bank lending.

Sellers' Economic Incentives to Disclose Negative Information in Online Markets

  • HUH, Seung
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study aims to verify sellers' economic incentives for voluntarily disclosing negative information in online markets and provide practical guidelines to online sellers in terms of whether, when, and how sharing low quality to buyers increase sales. Research design, data and methodology: Our model examines the number of bidders in Internet auctions to measure potential demand and uses count data analysis following previous studies that have also analyzed the number of bidders in auctions. After checking over-dispersion and zero-inflation in our data, we have run a Poisson regression to analyze the effect of sharing negative information on sales. Results: This study presents a counterintuitive result that low-quality sellers can increase their demand by fully disclosing negative information in an online market, if appropriate risk-reducing methods are employed. Our finding thus shows that there exists economic incentive for online sellers to voluntarily disclose negative information about their products, and that the context of transactions may affect this incentive structure as the incentive varies across product categories. Conclusions: As the positive impact of disclosing negative information has rarely been studied so far, this paper contributes to the literature by providing a unique empirical analysis on the impact of sellers' honesty on sales. By verifying economic incentives of disclosing low quality with actual online sales data, this study suggests practical implications on information disclosure strategy to many online sellers dealing with negative information.

A Study on the Analysis of TEB Local Planner Parameters to Improve the Target Reach Time of Autonomous Mobile Robot (자율주행 이동로봇의 목표 도달 시간을 개선하기 위한 TEB Local Planner 파라미터의 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Roh, Hyeong-Seok;Jung, Ui;Han, Jung-Min;Jeon, Jung-Hyeon;Jeon, Ho-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.853-859
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we analyzed the instantaneous trajectory generation capability and target arrival rate of a mobile robot by changing the parameter of the TEB (Timed Elastic Band) Local Planner among local planners that affect the instantaneous obstacle avoidance ability of the mobile robot using ROS (Robot Operating System) simulation and real experience. As a result, we can expect a decrease in the target arrival time of the mobile robot through a decrease in the parameter values of the TEB Local Planner's min_obstacle_dist, inflation_dist, and penalty_epsilon. However, if this parameter is reduced too much, the risk of obstacle collision of the moving robot is increases, so it is important to combine the appropriate values to construct the parameter.

Effects of Remote Ischemic Pre-Conditioning to Prevent Contrast-Induced Nephropathy after Intravenous Contrast Medium Injection: A Randomized Controlled Trial

  • Dihia Belabbas;Caroline Koch;Segolene Chaudru;Mathieu Lederlin;Bruno Laviolle;Estelle Le Pabic;Dominique Boulmier;Jean-Francois Heautot;Guillaume Mahe
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.1230-1238
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    • 2020
  • Objective: We aimed to assess the effects of remote ischemic pre-conditioning (RIPC) on the incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) after an intravenous (IV) or intra-arterial injection of contrast medium (CM) in patient and control groups. Materials and Methods: This prospective, randomized, single-blinded, controlled trial included 26 patients who were hospitalized for the evaluation of the feasibility of transcatheter aortic valve implantation and underwent investigations including contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT), with Mehran risk scores greater than or equal to six. All the patients underwent four cycles of five minute-blood pressure cuff inflation followed by five minutes of total deflation. In the RIPC group (n = 13), the cuff was inflated to 50 mm Hg above the patient's systolic blood pressure (SBP); in the control group (n = 13), it was inflated to 10 mm Hg below the patient's SBP. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of CIN. Additionally, variation in the serum levels of cystatin C was assessed. Results: One case of CIN was observed in the control group, whereas no cases were detected in the RIPC group (p = 0.48, analysis of 25 patients). Mean creatinine values at the baseline, 24 hours after injection of CM, and 48 hours after injection of CM were 88 ± 32 μmol/L, 91 ± 28 μmol/L and 82 ± 29 μmol/L, respectively (p = 0.73) in the RIPC group, whereas in the control group, they were 100 ± 36 μmol/L, 110 ± 36 μmol/L, and 105 ± 34 μmol/L, respectively (p = 0.78). Cystatin C values (median [Q1, Q3]) at the baseline, 24 hours after injection of CM, and 48 hours after injection of CM were 1.10 [1.08, 1.18] mg/L, 1.17 [0.97, 1.35] mg/L, and 1.12 [0.99, 1.24] mg/L, respectively (p = 0.88) in the RIPC group, whereas they were 1.11 [0.97, 1.28] mg/L, 1.13 [1.08, 1.25] mg/L, and 1.16 [1.03, 1.31] mg/L, respectively (p = 0.93), in the control group. Conclusion: The risk of CIN after an IV injection of CM is very low in patients with Mehran risk score greater than or equal to six and even in the patients who are unable to receive preventive hyperhydration. Hence, the Mehran risk score may not be an appropriate method for the estimation of the risk of CIN after IV CM injection.

A Study on The Asset Characterization of Bitcoin (비트코인의 자산성격에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Seong Il;Kim, Jeong Yeon
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2017
  • The increased national utilization of Bitcoin results in multiple complications. Therefore, there are continuous debates on the subject, the main point being how to characterize Bitcoin's asset nature. The following study bases, focusing on the function value, justifies Bitcoin's asset characterization. Using regression analysis to construct relations between gold and indexes such as CPI, DXY, and S&P500 as well as the relation between Bitcoin and the previously mentioned indexes, the question of whether gold and Bitcoin reacted in a similar fashion to the same indicators was examined. The results conclude that Bitcoin has similarities with gold, showing that it is risk averse and an investable commodity in lieu to profitability when it comes to inflation and currency value. When considered with price volatility, the main force behind the function of investment asset, categorizing Bitcoin as a high-risk financial investment asset rather than as a currency within the system would be more effective for management.

How to Use Financial Derivatives Wisely - A case study of KIKO -

  • Shin, Jungsoon;Lim, Yejin
    • Agribusiness and Information Management
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 2012
  • This case study investigates the KIKO currency option that has been a social issue in recent years among developing countries, especially Korea, where the financial derivatives market is in a state of rapid growth. The forward transaction which becomes a basis of derivatives is intended to hedge risks that may be caused by a future change in asset prices. Although it originates from a simple form of agricultural transactions, there currently exists a variety of derivatives in more sophisticated forms. In the Korean agricultural industry, the need to use such derivatives is great, as there is a huge risk of price fluctuation in agricultural products due to frequent adverse weather. In addition, many developing countries with export-led industrial structures similar to Korea's, of necessity must resort to currency hedging as a method of reducing relevant risk. However, in most cases, the lack of understanding about financial derivatives results in an inappropriate application of these derivatives. The KIKO in this study represents such cases. Since 2007, KIKO has been sold in Korea to many small- and medium-sized export companies for the purpose of currency hedging when the exchange rate between the Korean won and the U.S. dollar was in a downward spiral. The main focus of this study is a case which is most representative of KIKO. As inflation rapidly increased during the financial crisis in the U.S. at the end of 2007, derivatives became a hot issue in the courts rather than in the financial markets. This case study investigates what KIKO and the fierce legal debates over it imply, from the perspective of the option of value evaluation in order to suggest not only a direction in which companies can utilize financial derivatives, but also a roadmap for the future derivatives market.

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