• 한국어류학회지
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.260-266
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• 2016

능성어, Epinephelus septemfasciatus의 우량 수정란을 생산할 수 있는 어미 선별기준을 설정하기 위하여 해상가두리에서 6년간 키운 시험어의 현태적 특징을 관찰하고 호르몬 처리하여 난질을 관찰 분석하였다. 시험어는 4개의 체중 범위(3.0~4.0, 4.0~5.0, 5.0~6.0, 6.0~7.0 kg)와 뒷지느러미를 기준으로 복부팽만한 정도를 I~IV 단계로 나눈 후 산란빈도, 채란량, 부상률, 수정률, 난발생 생존율 및 부화율을 조사하고, 수정란과 유구의 크기를 측정하였다. 또한 생식소 발달을 확인하기 위하여 복부팽만도 단계별 생식소 중량지수(GSI)를 구하고, 조직학적으로 관찰하였다. 그 결과 어체중이 5.0 kg 이상일 때 모든 개체에서 배란이 유도되었다. 또한 복부팽만도 I, II 단계에서는 배란이 유도되지 않고, III, IV 단계에서만 배란이 유도되었다. 난질은 III 단계가 우수하였고 그 때의 GSI는 $4.68{\pm}0.40%$였다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2020년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.204-205
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• 2020

Construction Standard Unit Price is the unit price calculated based on the market price for work items in construction projects that have already been conducted. It is used as basic data for calculating the budget price of public construction projects. In the Construction Standard Unit Price Book implemented in the second half of 2020, there are 1,810 types of unit prices. Since 2017, 100-150 construction standard unit prices have been revised semiannually (on January 1 and July 1 of each year) through Construction Site Surveys. Other work items have been set based on the rate of inflation during the corresponding period. Later in 2020, this procedure was changed, with on-site survey period extended to one year to strengthen the construction standard unit price investigation. The revisions previous announced during the second half of the year were changed only to reflect the price inflation rates. With such changes in the revisions to construction standard unit prices, one important issue that was raised: The timing of announcing the revisions during the second half of the year (reflecting the price inflation rates). The market unit wage, which is the unit price standard of labor cost that takes up a large part of the construction cost, is announced in January and September. The figures announced in September is reflected on the construction standard unit price four months later in January, but the market unit wage announced in January is reflected only six months after in July, which causes a timing issue. As such, the current study analyzed problems rising from the changed timing of the announcements of the construction standard unit price during the second half of the year, in addition to analyzing their impact on public construction projects.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.697-712
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• 2010

이 연구의 목적은 우리나라 생명보험사들의 보험계약대출(약관대출) 수요에 대한 통계적 분석과 그 예측을 위한 확률모형을 개발하는 데 있다. 이를 위해, 먼저 대출 금리가 정책적 변화를 거친 1999~2008 기간 동안 우리나라 보험계약대출의 수요계열에 대한 추세, 주기성, 종속성 등 확률 및 통계적 특성을 파악하였다. 다음에, 교차상관분석을 통해 대출수요와 인과관계를 가질 수 있는 경제변수들과의 상호관련성을 밝히고, 특히 소비자 물가지수가 보험계약대출 수요를 선도하고 있음을 밝혔다. 마지막으로, 이러한 결과를 기초로 보험계약대출 수요의 예측을 위한 단변수모형 그리고 선도변수계열을 이용한 전이함수모형을 각각 완성하고 그 효과를 비교 평가하였다. 마지막으로 유도된 확률모형을 이용하여 보험계약대출 수요예측의 통계적 절차를 제안하였다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.117-156
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• 2012

본 논문은 간단한 동태적 확률 일반균형(DSGE) 모형과 탄력적 추세를 고려한 비관측인자모형을 결합하여, DSGE 모형의 추정과 추세/순환변동분의 분해를 동시에 시도하였다. 이를 통해 추정된 GDP 순환변동분은 공식 경기순환 국면과 상당 정도 부합하는 등 전반적으로 경기순환을 잘 반영하는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만 변동성과 지속성의 측면에서 통상적 필터링 방법을 이용한 경우와는 적지 않은 차이가 있었으며, 특히 GDP의 추세분은 상당한 변동성을 보이며 경기순응적 모습을 보였다. 추정된 순환변동분의 성격을 변수별로 살펴보면, GDP와 이자율의 경우는 HP 필터의 결과와 유사한 반면, 인플레이션의 경우는 (불규칙 변동분을 추가로 제외한 경우) BK 필터를 이용한 결과와 상대적으로 더 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 분석대상 변수들에 임의의 단일한 필터링 방법을 적용할 경우, 경기순환분의 성격이 잠재적으로 왜곡되어 추출될 우려가 있음을 보여준다. 습관 및 가격연동을 포함한 확장모형을 고려한 경우, 습관은 경기변동의 지속성을 설명함에 있어 중요한 요소인 것으로 평가된 반면, 가격연동은 그 중요성이 제한적인 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 모형의 개별 요소들에 대한 평가 결과는, 사전 필터링된 자료를 이용하여 추정한 경우와 적지 않은 차이를 보여, 자료의 필터링과 모형의 추정을 분리하여 고려하는 일반적인 DSGE 모형의 추정 및 분석은 잠재적으로 오류의 가능성이 있음을 시사한다. 마지막으로 결과에 대한 다양한 민감도 분석 결과, (i) 순환변동 충격과 추세 충격이 상관관계를 가지는 경우, 추세 충격의 성격에 따라 추정된 GDP갭의 성격이 상당 부분 달라지기도 했으며, (ii) 불규칙 변동분의 포함 여부가 추정된 인플레이션갭의 성격 및 필립스 곡선의 기울기 등에 중요한 함의를 지니는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 (iii) 경기변동분을 VAR로 모형화한 경우, DSGE 모형을 이용한 경우에 나타나는 경기변동의 비대칭성을 제대로 나타내지 못하는 것으로 나타났다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제46권1호
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• pp.91-129
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• 2024

한국은행은 금융위기 이후인 2011년 법 개정을 통해 기존의 물가안정 이외에 금융안정 책무를 추가로 부여받았는데, 그 이후 장기간에 걸쳐 가계신용이 소득 여건에 비해 빠르게 증가해 온 결과 최근의 가계부채 상황은 소비와 성장을 제약하고 부정적 경제충격발생 시 위기 발생 가능성을 높일 수 있다는 우려가 제기되고 있다. 현재의 금융불균형 누증 상황이 앞으로 우리 금융·경제의 안정적 흐름을 제약하지 않도록 정부와 중앙은행이 더욱 유의해야 할 시기인 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 BIS가 중장기 경제안정화를 위해 거시·금융안정(macro financial stability)을 모색하고자 제안한 정책운용 체계인 통합적 물가안정목표제(IIT)의 국내 적용 가능성을 점검해 보고, 정책적 시사점을 도출해 보았다. 우선 VAR 모형을 통해 통화정책의 주택가격, 가계부채 파급효과를 살펴본 결과, 금융위기 이후 금리 인하에 따른 위험선호 경향이 뚜렷하게 증대된 것으로 나타났다. 또한 DSGE 모형을 통해 2000년 이후 2021년까지 약 20여 년간의 통화정책 운영 행태를 분석해 본 결과, 한국은행은 기준금리 결정 시 물가와 성장을 종합적으로 고려하면서, 가계신용 증가에도 일부 대응한 것으로 나타나 약한 형태의 IIT를 운영한 것으로 분석되었다. 다만, 금리평활화 계수가 매우 높게 추정되어 금리 조정에 상당히 신중했던 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 중앙은행 손실함수를 최소화하는 최적 금리준칙을 추정해 본 결과, 물가와 성장을 균형적으로 감안하면서, 경제 여건 변화에 대응하여 기준금리를 보다 적극적으로 조정하고, 소득 여건에 비해 가계부채가 빠르게 증가하는 경우에는 가계신용 상황에도 유의하는 정책이 바람직한 정책방안으로 분석되었다. 이 같은 연구결과를 고려할 때 BIS가 제안한 통합적 물가안정목표제는 중장기시계에서 우리 경제의 안정적 성장을 뒷받침할 수 있는 정책체계 대안으로 고려해 볼 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.33-39
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• 2016

This study empirically evaluates the impact of exchange rate volatility, foreign direct investment, terms of trade, inflation, and industrial production and foreign exchange reserves on Pakistani trade volume over the period of 1975-2010 using quarterly data set. The study employs financial econometrics methods such as Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test GARCH (1, 1) technique and Almon Polynomial Distributed Lag (APDL) models to estimate the relationship of variables. Findings of the study are in accordance with theoretical relationships presented by Clark, Tamirisa, Wei, Sadikov, & Zeng (2004), McKenzie (1999), Dellas & Zilberfarb (1993) and Côté (1994). These findings are also in accordance with the empirical studies which support positive relationship of exchange rate volatility and exports presented by Hsu & Chiang (2011), Chit (2008), Feenstra & Kendall (1991), Esquivel & Larraín (2002) and Onafowora & Owoye (2008). Findings of the study in terms of imports are supported by the studies such as Lee (1999), Alam & Ahmad (2011) and Arize (1998). The study also recommends some very important policy prescriptions.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권12호
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• pp.909-917
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• 2020

The research aims to analyze the firm-specific and macroeconomic factors that affect insurance company's financial performance. The research explores the variables that influence the financial performance of the United Arab Emirates (UAE)' insurance companies. The analysis for determining financial performance considers the following variables: the firm's age, retention ratio, capital adequacy, underwriting risk/loss ratio, financial-leverage, reinsurance dependency, and macro-economic factors such as GDP per capita, inflation rate considered as independent factors. The return-on-asset (ROA) is the key measuring indicator; it is regarded as the dependent variable for financial performance measures. The research focuses on secondary information obtained from insurance companies' financial statements. The researcher targeted 18 insurance companies listed on the UAE stock exchanges for study purposes. The research examines the overall factors that influence the financial performance of an insurance company. For analysis of data, software package of social sciences (SPSS version 20) is used. The studies used correlation and multiple linear regression analysis to determine financial performance and their effects. The analysis suggests that there are important and constructive relationships between the size, capital adequacy, and reinsurance dependency, while loss ratio, retention ratio, and financial leverage indicate a major negative relationship. And there's no link between GDP per capita and inflation.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권8호
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• pp.325-334
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• 2021

The study investigates the effectiveness of the macroprudential policy on credit growth in Vietnam. The authors use the logic of the transmission mechanism of macroprudential policy on credit growth. Research variables include economic growth, inflation, interest rate, and quarterly bank-level data from 28 commercial banks in Vietnam during 2011-2018. The results reveal that: (i) GDP growth had a positive impact on credit growth of small banks but had no impact on large banks, (ii) Domestic Systemically Important Banks (D-SIBs) and small banks respond differently to macroprudential measures of imposing different credit growth targets for different bank groups, (iii) Restrictions on foreign currency loans are found to be effective in curbing credit growth for the full sample and small banks, (iv) Inflation and economic cycle have significantly impacted credit growth at bank-level in Vietnam and (v) Interestingly, a significant positive relationship between interest rates and credit growth is found for the full sample and D-SIBs in Vietnam. The findings suggest that a stable macroeconomic environment should be good conditions for financial stability, and monetary authority should pay more attention to small banks' behaviors than D-SIBs behavior, toward such "administration" tools since small banks tend to prefer "breaking the rules" to make profits.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.235-243
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• 2022

To help the industry, outsourcing was found to be the most efficient method. An extensive literature analysis was done to assess the macroeconomic factors associated with outsourcing to supplement the anxious parties' decision-making process with evidence-based comprehensive tools. As a theoretical framework for evaluating these issues, transaction cost economies and resource-based perspective theories are investigated. Outsourcing is proven to be a result of energy crises and political instability. The advantages of outsourcing assist major industries in the economy. To discover the key drivers behind outsourcing, we used the vector autoregressive (VAR model) and step-wise regression techniques for the period 1992 to 2016. This research adds to the literature in that it not only explains the energy issue but also discusses the dilemma of political instability in the country in the context of outsourcing. The findings indicate that labor cost and export tendency have a positive impact on outsourcing strategy, which confirms the study's third and fourth hypotheses. Customs tax, inflation, and the unemployment rate, on the other hand, have a negative impact on textile outsourcing in Pakistan, according to the study's fifth, sixth, and seventh hypotheses.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.221-237
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• 1992

The reasons for cost inflation in medical insurance expenditure are classified into demand pull inflation and cost push inflation. The former includes increase in the number of beneficiaries and utilization rate, while the latter includes increase in medical insurance fee and the charges per case. This study was conducted to analyze sources of increases of expenditure in medical insurance demonstration area by the period of 1982-1987 which was earlier than national health insurance and the period of national health insurance(1988-1990). The major findings were as follows: Medical expenditure in these areas increased by 9.4%(15.1%) annually between 1982 and 1990 on the basis of costant price(current price) and for this period, the yearly average increasing rate of expenses for outpatient care[10.5%(15.8%)] was higher than that of inpatient care [7.3%(12.6%)]. Medical expenditure increased by 6.3%(8.9%) annually between 1982 and 1987, the period of medical insurance demonstration, while it increased by 10.7%(18.9%) after implementing national health insurance(1988-1990). Medical expenditure increased by 35.9%(45.9%) between 1982 and 1987. Of this increase, 115.2%(92.1%) was attributable to the increase in the frequencies of utilization per beneficiary and 61.0%(68.1%) was due to the increase in the charges per case, but the expenditure decreased by 76.2%(60.2%) due to the reduction in the number of beneficiaries. Beteen 1988 and 1990, the period of national health insurance, medical expenditure increased by 21.2%(41.4%). Of this increase, 87.5%(46.4%) was attributable to the increase in the frequencies of utilization per beneficiary and 52.4%(73.4%) was due to the increase in the charges per case, and of the increase in the charges per case, 69.6%(40.8%) was attributable to the increase in the days of visit per case. Medical expenses per person in these areas increased by 78.2%(89.0%) between 1982 and 1987. Of this increase, 76.6%(69.1%) was attributable to the increase in the frequencies of utilization per beneficiary and 23.4%(30.9%) was due to the increase in the charges per case. For this period, demand-pull factor was the major cause of the increase in medical expenses and the expenses per treatment day was the major attributable factor in cost-push inflation. Betwee 1988 and 1990, medical expenditure per person increased by 31.2%(53.1%). Of this increase, 60.8%(37.2%) was attributable to the demand-pull factor and 39.2%(62.8%) was due to the increase in the charges per case which was one of cost-push factors. In current price, the attributalbe rate of the charges per case which was one of cost-push factors was higher than that of utilization rate in the period of national health insurance as compared to the period of medical insurance demonstration. In consideration of above findings, demand-pull factor led the increase in medical expenditure between 1982 and 1987, the period of medical insurance medel trial, but after implementing national health insurance, the attributable rate of cost-push factor was increasing gradually. Thus we may conclude that for medical cost containment, it is requested to examine the new reimbursement method to control cost-push factor and service-intensity factor.