• Title/Summary/Keyword: Index of Consumer Sentiment

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Correlation Analysis between Consumer Sentiment Index and Real Estate Consumer Sentiment Index (소비자 심리지수와 부동산시장 소비심리지수의 상관관계 분석)

  • Seon Ho Choi;Jin Hui Jeong;Hyon Hee Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2024.05a
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    • pp.563-564
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    • 2024
  • 부동산시장은 경제의 중심 요소 중 하나로, 거래량과 가격 변동 등이 직접적인 영향을 미친다. 특히, 부동산시장은 경제 지표 외에도 정책이나 심리에 따라 변동하는 경향이 있어 심리적 요인의 변화와 분석에 대한 요구가 지속된다. 본 연구는 소비자 심리지수(CCSI)와 부동산시장 소비심리지수(REI) 간 상관관계를 분석하여 부동산시장의 건정성 유지 및 효율성 향상에 기여하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 선형 회귀분석 및 상관분석을 통해 소비자 심리지수와 부동산시장 소비심리지수 간 연관성 연구를 진행했다. 경제적 상황 및 소비자 심리 변화가 부동산시장 소비심리지수에 영향을 미친다는 것을 보여주며, 이는 부동산시장의 예측과 전략 수립에 중요한 역할을 할 것으로 기대된다.

A Study of Korean Consumers on Dietary Satisfaction to Sentiment Index about Food Safety : Focusing on Moderating Effects of Reliance to Food Safety Information (소비자 식품안전 체감도에 따른 식생활만족도에 관한 연구 : 식품안전정보 신뢰의 조절효과 중심으로)

  • Lin, Hai Bo;Lee, Seung Sin
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2016
  • Food is a kind of unconditional element for the health and survival of humanity. Eating is the most principle desire for humans among others, which can make humans feel stability and pleasure when the desire is well satisfied. The attention to food safety is increasing and food safety accidents are happening constantly, which makes the anxiety to food safety become more serious. Especially after the WTO, the floating of food hazards between countries are increasing, which makes the problems of food safety not just limited to inland but has become a matter of common interest internationally in this liberalization era. Therefore, institutional preparation and persistent management and supervision are necessary for increasing dietary life satisfaction as well as securing food safety. Meanwhile, the consumers also need to understand and trust the food safety information, and have the ability of personally pursuing a safe diet. In this study, sentiment index about food safety and dietary satisfaction were centered on Korean consumers and the factors having an effect on dietary satisfaction were analyzed. Moreover, whether the reliance to food safety information had a moderating effect on the sensory level of food safety and satisfaction to dietary food was also confirmed. The main results were different with those concluded by J. Yun and S. Joo (2014). The sensory level of food safety was decided by the reliance to food production distribution provision safety, anxiety to food varieties, and food token. The reliance to food production distribution provision safety was lower than the average level. The anxiety to food varieties was slightly higher than the average level. The reliance to food safety information was generally lower than the medium level which showed the distrust to food safety information. The satisfaction of diet by the consumers showed a slightly lower level than the average level. In addition, the reliance to food safety information had a moderating effect on the sentiment index about food safety and dietary satisfaction. Therefore, the consumer organizations or the government should actively expand various consumer education related to food safety in order to apprehend the concrete variables which can have effects on the satisfaction of diet and transform the precise information into accurate knowledge.

Study on the Causality and Lead-lag relationship between Size of House sub market and the Consumer Sentiment Survey (아파트 규모별 하위시장과 소비심리지수의 선행성 및 인과성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gu-Hoi;Kim, Ki-Hong;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.682-691
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the causal and precedence relationships between the housing sub-market and the results of a consumer sentiment survey about the housing market. This study investigates the relationships between the survey results and an apartment deal price index by size and bidding price rate in apartment auctions by extending research related to consumer sentiment surveys. We surveyed the Seoul Metropolitan Area and analyzed the results using a unit root test, cointegration test, Granger causality test, and cross-correlation test. It was confirmed that causality exists between the survey results and apartment deal price index by size and bidding price rate, and it was also confirmed that there are correlation and precedence relationships between them.

The Analysis of Factors which Affect Business Survey Index Using Regression Trees (회귀나무를 이용한 기업경기실사지수의 영향요인 분석)

  • Chang, Young-Jae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2010
  • Business entrepreneurs reflect their views of domestic and foreign economic activities on their operation for the growth of their business. The decision, forecasting, and planning based on their economic sentiment affect business operation such as production, investment, and hiring and consequently affect condition of national economy. Business survey index(BSI) is compiled to get the information of business entrepreneurs' economic sentiment for the analysis of business condition. BSI has been used as an important variable in the short-term forecasting models for business cycle analysis, especially during the the period of extreme business fluctuations. Recent financial crisis has arised extreme business fluctuations similar to those caused by currency crisis at the end of 1997, and brought back the importance of BSI as a variable for the economic forecasting. In this paper, the meaning of BSI as an economic sentiment index is reviewed and a GUIDE regression tree is constructed to find out the factors which affect on BSI. The result shows that the variables related to the stability of financial market such as kospi index(Korea composite stock price index) and exchange rate as well as manufacturing operation ratio and consumer goods sales are main factors which affect business entrepreneurs' economic sentiment.

The Relationship between the Fashion Industry and Macro Variables - Focus on Fashion Listed Company - (패션산업과 거시 변수들간의 관계 -패션 상장기업 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Ki Yong;Choo, Ho Jung
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.38-54
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the time causal relationship between the operation profit of the listed fashion companies and the macro variables. Operating profit data of 36 listed fashion companies from 2000 to 2017 has been used. Macro variables include household income, household expenditure, number of Korean overseas travelers, number of foreigner travelers and sentiment index. The study results are as follows. First, the number of outbound travelers from Korea has a negative effect on the operating profit of listed fashion companies; however the number of foreigner visiting Korea has a positive effect at 0 time lag. Second, the consumer sentiment index had a positive effect on the sales and the operating profits of the listed fashion companies with a time difference between the 3rd and the 4th quarter. Third, a disposable income has a positive effect on the operating profit of listed fashion companies. Last, educational expenses have a negative effect on operating profit with a time lag between the first and the second quarter. The findings can be used as useful information to analyze the fashion industry and help fashion companies improve their financial performances.

Effects of Real Estate Policy on Apartment Price Index in Seoul (부동산 정책에 따른 서울시 아파트 가격지수 변화방향에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Song-Hee;Lee, Hyun-Jeong
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.285-289
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    • 2011
  • he purpose of this study is to assess the effects of real estate policy on apartment price index in Seoul. To meet the research goal, this research reviewed real estate policy of the government from January of 1986 to August of 2010, and then it collected monthly apartment price index in 25 local districts of Seoul from January of 2003 to August of 2010. After 25 districts were grouped into 2 areas (14 districts in Gangnam and 11 districts in Gangbuk), the data of two areas were analyzed by using the SAS program, Cluster analysis with Ward method showed 3 clusters on each area, and with 6 clusters in total, the effects of real estate policy in the period were examined by using residual analysis. The analysis indicated two major shocks (one was from May to October of 2003, and the other was from March of 2006 to January of 2007), and the results showed that the intervention of government in the market had the asymmetric effects in bullish and bearish times. It implies that the market volatility is substantially influenced by irrational sentiments. Thus, it's suggested to devise the consumer sentiment index suitable in real estate market.

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Exploring the Predictive Variables of Government Statistical Indicators on Retail sales Using Machine Learning: Focusing on Pharmacy (머신러닝을 이용한 정부통계지표가 소매업 매출액에 미치는 예측 변인 탐색: 약국을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Gwang-Su
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to explore variables using machine learning and provide analysis techniques suitable for predicting pharmacy sales whether government statistical indicators built to create an industrial ecosystem based on data, network, and artificial intelligence affect pharmacy sales. Therefore, this study explored predictive variables and performance through machine learning techniques such as Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost using analysis data from January 2016 to December 2021 for 28 government statistical indicators and pharmacies in the retail sector. As a result of the analysis, economic sentiment index, economic accompanying index circulation change, and consumer sentiment index, which are economic indicators, were found to be important variables affecting pharmacy sales. As a result of examining the indicators MAE, MSE, and RMSE for regression performance, random forests showed the best performance than XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost. Therefore, this study presented variables and optimal machine learning techniques that affect pharmacy sales based on machine learning results, and proposed several implications and follow-up studies.

A Method of Predicting Service Time Based on Voice of Customer Data (고객의 소리(VOC) 데이터를 활용한 서비스 처리 시간 예측방법)

  • Kim, Jeonghun;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.197-210
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    • 2016
  • With the advent of text analytics, VOC (Voice of Customer) data become an important resource which provides the managers and marketing practitioners with consumer's veiled opinion and requirements. In other words, making relevant use of VOC data potentially improves the customer responsiveness and satisfaction, each of which eventually improves business performance. However, unstructured data set such as customers' complaints in VOC data have seldom used in marketing practices such as predicting service time as an index of service quality. Because the VOC data which contains unstructured data is too complicated form. Also that needs convert unstructured data from structure data which difficult process. Hence, this study aims to propose a prediction model to improve the estimation accuracy of the level of customer satisfaction by combining unstructured from textmining with structured data features in VOC. Also the relationship between the unstructured, structured data and service processing time through the regression analysis. Text mining techniques, sentiment analysis, keyword extraction, classification algorithms, decision tree and multiple regression are considered and compared. For the experiment, we used actual VOC data in a company.

A Study on the Relationship between Economic Change and Air Passenger Demand: Focus on Incheon International Airport (경제환경 변화와 항공여객 수요 간의 관계 분석: 인천국제공항을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Seok;Shin, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.52-64
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on air passenger demand and provide useful information to airport managers and policymakers. Therefore, using the quarterly macroeconomic indicators from 2002 to 2017, the relationship with air passenger demand was demonstrated by multiple regression analysis. In the previous studies, they used GDP, Korea Treasury Bond, KOSPI index, USD/KRW Exchange Rate, and WTI Crude Oil Price variables. In this study, we used the Coincident Composite Index, Employment Rate, Consumer Sentiment Index, and Private Consumption Rate used as additional variables. It has confirmed that if the consumption of research results expands or the economic environment is right, it will affect the increase in international passengers. In other words, it confirmed that the overall economic situation acts as the main factor determining air passenger demand. It confirmed that the economic environment at the past has a significant impact on air passenger demand.

Smart Store in Smart City: The Development of Smart Trade Area Analysis System Based on Consumer Sentiments (Smart Store in Smart City: 소비자 감성기반 상권분석 시스템 개발)

  • Yoo, In-Jin;Seo, Bong-Goon;Park, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.25-52
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    • 2018
  • This study performs social network analysis based on consumer sentiment related to a location in Seoul using data reflecting consumers' web search activities and emotional evaluations associated with commerce. The study focuses on large commercial districts in Seoul. In addition, to consider their various aspects, social network indexes were combined with the trading area's public data to verify factors affecting the area's sales. According to R square's change, We can see that the model has a little high R square value even though it includes only the district's public data represented by static data. However, the present study confirmed that the R square of the model combined with the network index derived from the social network analysis was even improved much more. A regression analysis of the trading area's public data showed that the five factors of 'number of market district,' 'residential area per person,' 'satisfaction of residential environment,' 'rate of change of trade,' and 'survival rate over 3 years' among twenty two variables. The study confirmed a significant influence on the sales of the trading area. According to the results, 'residential area per person' has the highest standardized beta value. Therefore, 'residential area per person' has the strongest influence on commercial sales. In addition, 'residential area per person,' 'number of market district,' and 'survival rate over 3 years' were found to have positive effects on the sales of all trading area. Thus, as the number of market districts in the trading area increases, residential area per person increases, and as the survival rate over 3 years of each store in the trading area increases, sales increase. On the other hand, 'satisfaction of residential environment' and 'rate of change of trade' were found to have a negative effect on sales. In the case of 'satisfaction of residential environment,' sales increase when the satisfaction level is low. Therefore, as consumer dissatisfaction with the residential environment increases, sales increase. The 'rate of change of trade' shows that sales increase with the decreasing acceleration of transaction frequency. According to the social network analysis, of the 25 regional trading areas in Seoul, Yangcheon-gu has the highest degree of connection. In other words, it has common sentiments with many other trading areas. On the other hand, Nowon-gu and Jungrang-gu have the lowest degree of connection. In other words, they have relatively distinct sentiments from other trading areas. The social network indexes used in the combination model are 'density of ego network,' 'degree centrality,' 'closeness centrality,' 'betweenness centrality,' and 'eigenvector centrality.' The combined model analysis confirmed that the degree centrality and eigenvector centrality of the social network index have a significant influence on sales and the highest influence in the model. 'Degree centrality' has a negative effect on the sales of the districts. This implies that sales decrease when holding various sentiments of other trading area, which conflicts with general social myths. However, this result can be interpreted to mean that if a trading area has low 'degree centrality,' it delivers unique and special sentiments to consumers. The findings of this study can also be interpreted to mean that sales can be increased if the trading area increases consumer recognition by forming a unique sentiment and city atmosphere that distinguish it from other trading areas. On the other hand, 'eigenvector centrality' has the greatest effect on sales in the combined model. In addition, the results confirmed a positive effect on sales. This finding shows that sales increase when a trading area is connected to others with stronger centrality than when it has common sentiments with others. This study can be used as an empirical basis for establishing and implementing a city and trading area strategy plan considering consumers' desired sentiments. In addition, we expect to provide entrepreneurs and potential entrepreneurs entering the trading area with sentiments possessed by those in the trading area and directions into the trading area considering the district-sentiment structure.