• 제목/요약/키워드: Incubation period

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COVID-19 바이러스 잠복 시간 분포 추정과 치사율 추정을 위한 생존 분석의 적용 (Statistical analysis of estimating incubation period distribution and case fatality rate of COVID-19)

  • 기한정;김지은;김소희;박주원;이주행;김양진
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.777-789
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    • 2020
  • COVID-19는 지난 2019년 12월부터 중국에서 발생하여 전세계적으로 확산된 대유행병이 되었다. 본 연구에서는 한국 질병 관리 본부에서 공개한 오픈 자료를 이용하였으며 시각화 기법을 통해 확진자의 남녀별 지역별 추세를 조사하였다. 또한 평균 바이러스 잠복기간을 추정하기 위해 감염원이 알려진 두 감염 그룹의 증상 발현 시점과 양성 확진 시점을 활용하였다. 하지만 양성 확진자 중 86%가 무증상으로 정확한 증상 발현시점을 알 수 없었다. 또한 주어진 자료에서는 감염시점도 알려져 있지 않아 감염시점과 증상 발현 시점차로 정의되는 잠복기간은 정확하게 측정하기가 어렵다. 이에 생존 분석의 한 기법인 구간 중도 절단을 적용하여 잠복기간의 분포를 추정하였다. 여러가지 모수 분포를 적용한 결과 최적의 분포하에서 평균 잠복 기간은 5.4일 (95% 신뢰구간 (4.70,6.01)일)이었다. 본 분석에서는 확진자 표본을 이용하여 치사율과 치유율을 구하기 위해 경쟁 위험 모형을 적용하였다. 분석 결과 50대이상의 치사 위험률은 50대미만 그룹의 30배이상이며 남성 양성 확진자가 사망할 확률이 더 높았다. 또한 여성이고 나이가 젊고 무증상일 때 치유될 가능성이 더 높았다.

Ruminal microbial responses in fermentation characteristics and dry matter degradability to TDN level of total mixed ration

  • Lee, Seung-Uk;Jo, Jin-Ho;Park, Sung-Kwon;Choi, Chang-Weon;Jeong, Jun;Chung, Ki-Young;Chang, Sun-Sik;Li, Xiang Zi;Choi, Seong-Ho
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.80-86
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    • 2016
  • An in vitro trial was conducted to examine the effects of total mixed rations (TMR) on fermentation characteristics and effective degradability (ED) by rumen microbes. Three TMR diets were growing period TMR (GR-TMR, 67% TDN), early fattening period TMR (EF-TMR, 75.4% TDN) and late fattening TMR (LF-TMR, 80% TDN). Three TMR diets (3 g of TMRs in each incubation bottles) was added to the mixed culture solution of stained rumen fluid with artificial saliva (1:1, v/v) and incubated anaerobically for 48 hours at $39^{\circ}C$. The pH in all incubation solutions tended to decrease up to 48h, but the opposite results were found in concentration of total gas production, ammonia-N and total VFA in all incubations.The total gas production (p<0.05) in LF-TMR was highest compared with those of other diets. Also, concentration of total VFA was tended to increase in LF-TMR compared with other TMR diets in all incubations. The EDDM in both EF-TMR and LF-TMR was tended to high compared with GR-TMR (p=0.100). In this in vitro trials, concentration of propionate in all incubation solution was not affected by increased concentration of TDN. The results of the present in vitro study indicate that TMR may provide more favorable condition for nutrient digestion both in the rumen.

천연 고분자-칼슘 포스페이트 복합 박막 제조 (Preparation of Natural Polymer-CaP Composite Films)

  • 김가은;모만진;이우걸
    • 공업화학
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.112-116
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는 생체재료 표면개질의 방법으로 유-무기 박막 형성에 관한 방법을 연구하였다. Collagen의 분해 시 얻어진 gelatin을 polystyrene 배양접시에 2 h 동안 흡착시켜 gelatin 흡착층을 형성하였다. Gelatin 흡착중에 calcium과 phosphorus 과포화 이온용액을 주입하여 calcium phosphate (CaP) 박막을 제조하였다. 박막 형성 초기에 박막의 핵들이 나타나는 것을 관찰하였다. 처리시간에 따라 CaP 박막에 성장하여 배양접시의 바닥표면 전체에 형성된 것을 볼 수 있었다. 형성된 gelatin/CaP 복합 박막의 특징은 3차원 공간에서 다공성이 높은 표면 구조를 형성하였다. Attenuated total reflectance Fourier transform infra-red spectroscopy (ATR-FTIR)을 이용하여 CaP 박막의 화학적 성질을 분석한 결과, 박막 형성 초기에는 무결정 형태의 박막이 형성되고, 시간이 경과됨에 따라 결정성이 약간 증가하지만, 결정성이 낮은 CaP에서 나타나는 흡수피크의 존재 등을 통하여 본 연구에서 제조한 CaP 박막은 poorly crystalline CaP 박막임을 확인하였다.

RUMINAL SOLUBILIZATION OF MACROMINERALS IN SELECTED PHILIPPINE FORAGES

  • Serra, S.D.;Serra, A.B.;Ichinohe, T.;Fujihara, T.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 1996
  • The dry matter (DM) disappearance and ruminal solubility of calcium (Ca), phosphorus (P), magnesium (Mg) and potassium (K) in eight Philippine forages were studied. The forages were: paragrass (Brachiaria mutica (Forsk.) Stapf), stargrass (Cynodon plectostachyum Pilger), napiergrass (Pennisetum purpureum Schumach), clopo (Calopogonium mucconoides Desv.), centrocema (Centrocema pubescens Benth.), gliricidia (Gliricidia sepium (Jacq.) Walp.), leucaena (Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit.) and sesbania (Sesbania grandiflora (L.) Poir. Nylon bags with samples were incubated for 0, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48 and 72 h in rumen cannulated sheep. The 0-h bags were washed with deionized water. For the 0-h samples, 20.4, 17.2, 50.7, 52.2 and 80.1% of the DM, Ca, P, Mg and K was solubilized, respectively. At 3-h incubation period, DM disappearance was 10 percentage units higher than that of 0-h incubation whereas mineral disappearance increased by 43, 21, 30 and 13% for Ca, P, Mg and K, respectively. At 72-h incubation period, greater proportion of DM, Ca, especially in P, Mg and K was solubilized with a value of 73.8, 71.5, 85.6, 91.4 and 98.2%, respectively. The average particulate passage rate obtained in the present study was 1.9%/h where as the range of disappearance rates of various mineral elements were : 0.4 to 1.2%/h for Ca, 0.1 to 1.6%/h for P, 0.7 to 2%/h for Mg and 0.1 to 2%/h for K. The effective ruminal solubilization (ERS) of the macrominerals was calculated where particulate passage rate and disappearance rate of the various elements were included in the equation. The ERS of Ca, P, Mg and K was 50.0, 72.6, 83.9 and 94.5%, respectively. Species differences (p<0.05) on the various mineral solubilities were also observed. This study shows that ruminal solubility of macrominerals in selected Philippine forages is K > Mg > P > Ca.

The Effect of Bacteriocin Produced by Lactobacillus plantarum on the Growth of Listeria monocytogenes

  • Kim Sang-Hyun;Lee Jong-Gab;Lee Myung-Suk
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 1998
  • The inhibitory effect of Lactobacillus plantarum (Lb. plantarum) which is bacteriocin­producing strain against the growth of Listeria monocytogenes (L. monocytogenes) was examined in trypticase soy broth (TSB). TSB was inoculated with 104 cells/me L. monocytogenes and then with different numbers $(10^6\;10^4\;and\;10^2\;cells/ml)$ of Lb. plantarum. The mixed cultures were incubated at 37, 25 and $4^{\circ}C$. The most effective inhibition of was found at $37^{\circ}C$ and a less inhibition at $25^{\circ}C$. However, there was no significant change in the cell numbers of both L. monocytogenes and Lb. plantarum at $4^{\circ}C$. At same incubation temperature, the higher initial inoculum level of Lb. plantarum, the better inhibitory effect against L. monocytogenes. In addition, TSB was inoculated with L. monocytogenes at different initial inoculum levels of $10^6,\;10^4$ and $10^2$ cells/me and then supplemented with 0, 30, 60 and 100 AU/ml of bacteriocin produced by Lb. plantarum. The mixed cultures were incubated at 37, 25 and $4^{\circ}C$. L. monocytogenes of three different initial inoculum levels began to be inhibited in the presence of more than 60 AU/ml of bacteriocin at $37^{\circ}C$. In TSB containing more than 60 AU/me of bacteriocin and incubated at $25^{\circ}C$, L. monocytogenes decreased by 2 log-units during the period of 12 hrs incubation and thereafter remained steady. At $4^{\circ}C$, L. monocytogenes decreased by 1.5 log-units in the presence of 60 AU/ml bacteriocin during the period of 4 days incubation and dropped to the non-detectable level in TSB with 100 AU/ml bacteriocin.

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논 토양(土壤)에서 볏짚시용시(施用時) 시용질소(施用窒素)의 유기화(有機化)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) (Effects of Rice Straw Application on the Immobilization of Applied Nitrogen in a Submerged Soil)

  • 이상규
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.368-371
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    • 1983
  • 논 토양(土壤)에서 볏짚시용량(施用量)을 달리했을 때 시용(施用)된 질소비료(窒素肥料)의 무기(無機) 및 유기화(有機化) 과정(過程)을 알기 위하여 실내(室內)에서 항온(恒溫) 시험(試驗)한 결과(結科)를 요약(要約)하면 다음과 같다. 1. 토양미생물(土壤微生物) 이용가능(利用可能) 탄소원(炭素源)이 풍부(豊富)한 볏짚시용시(施用時) 시용질소(施用窒素)의 유기화(有機化) 과정(過程)은 볏짚시용량(施用量)이 많을 수록 질소(窒素) 유기화(有機化) 속도(速度)가 빨랐음. 2. 볏짚시용시(施用時) 시용질소(施用窒素)의 90%이상(以上)이 항온(恒溫)20일경(日傾) 유기화(有機化) 되었음. 3. 시용질소(施用窒素)의 무기화량(無機化量)은 볏짚시용량(施用量)에 관계(關係)없이 항온(恒溫) 10일이후(日以後) 토양무기태(土壤無機態) 질소(窒素)까지 유기화(有機化)시켰음. 4. 볏짚시용시(施用時) 시용(施用)된 질소(窒素)는 항온(恒溫) 50일(日)까지 재(再) 무기화(無機化)되지 않했음.

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Inoculum Sources to Generate High Mechanical Transmission of Barley yellow mosaic virus

  • Jonson, Gilda;Kim, Yang-Kil;Kim, Mi-Jung;Park, Jong-Chul;Hyun, Jong-Nae;Kim, Jung-Gon
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.103-105
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    • 2007
  • Mechanical transmission of barley seedlings with barley yellow mosaic virus (BaYMV) is generally inefficient and is the major constraint for testing cultivar resistance to the virus. To explore mechanical transmission, BaYMV-infected barley plants were grown at different conditions and used as inoculum sources to seedlings of susceptible barley cultivar Baegdong. Extracts prepared from BaYMV-infected Baegdong plants at 47, 53, 74, and 90 days after symptom appearance (DASA) and grown at 10 and $12^{\circ}C$ gave 10, 30, 68 and 76% infection, respectively on inoculated susceptible barley cv. Baegdong seedlings. While Jinyangbori, another susceptible cultivar obtained 95% infection rate inoculated with extracts from 90 DASA disease source and grown at $10/12^{\circ}C$. However, low infection rates were obtained when the virus sources were grown in a greenhouse at $15-18^{\circ}C$. Our results indicate that longer incubation period and lower temperature are required for virus accumulation and stability.

Production of Soluble Crude Protein Using Cellulolytic Fungi on Rice Stubble as Substrate under Waste Program Management

  • Vibha, Vibha;Sinha, Asha
    • Mycobiology
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.147-149
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    • 2005
  • The investigation was undertaken to enhance the decomposition process by pre-treatment of rice stubble, having higher concentration of lignin. Air-dried rice stubble was treated with 1.8 liter of 1% NaOH and autoclaved. Six cellulolytic fungi, Trichoderma harzianum, Penicillium citrinum, Curvularia lunata, Aspergillus flavus and Alternaria alternata were grown in basal synthetic medium along with delignified rice-residue as carbon source for production of soluble crude protein. Though the loss of cellulose has been observed by all of them but having a considerable status in the presence of T. harzianum and T. harzianum yielded highest percentage of crude protein (27.99%) with biomass of 375 mg, whereas the lowest protein value (17.91%) was recorded in case of A. niger with biomass of 422 mg. Among the imperfect fungi, T. harzianum was the most potent. Effects of incubation period and nitrogen sources on soluble crude protein production by T. harzianum were also undertaken in this study. Fifth day of incubation period and potassium nitrate as nitrogen source among other nitrogen sources was found most appropriate for soluble crude protein production by the mentioned organism.

$Si_2H_6$$H_2$ 가스를 이용한 LPCVD내에서의 선택적 Si 에피텍시 성장에 미치는 산소의 영향 (The effects of oxygen on selective Si epitaxial growth using disilane ane hydrogen gas in low pressure chemical vapor deposition)

  • 손용훈;박성계;김상훈;이웅렬;남승의;김형준
    • 한국진공학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.16-21
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    • 2002
  • $Si_2H_6$가스를 이용한 LPCVD내에서의 실리콘의 선택적 에피텍시 성장을 $1000^{\circ}C$ 이하의 초청정 분위기하의 저온에서 수행하였다. HCI 첨가없이 초청정 공정으로 인한 양질의 에피텍시 Si층이 균일하게 얻어 졌으며, $SiO_2$위에 증착된 실리콘의 잠복기를 발견할 수 있었다. 단결정위의 에피텍시 층은 산화물 층위 보다 더 두껍게 증착되었다. 산소첨가로 잠복기가 20~30초간 증가하였다. 증착된 박막의 절단면과 표면 형상은 SEM으로 관찰되었으며, XRD를 통해 막질을 평가하였다.

Monitoring of petroleum hydrocarbon degradative potential of indigenous microorganisms in ozonated soil

  • 안영희;정해룡;;;최희철;김인수
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2003년도 추계학술발표회
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    • pp.152-157
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    • 2003
  • Diesel-contaminated soils were ozonated for different times (0 - 900 min) and incubated for 9 wk to monitor petroleum hydrocarbons (PH)-degradative potential of indigenous microorganisms in the soils. Increased ozonation time decreased not only concentration of PH but also number of microorganisms in the soils. Microorganisms in the ozonated soils increased during 9-wk incubation as monitored by culture- and nonculture-based methods. Higher (1-2 orders of magnitude) cell number was observed by quantitative analysis of soil DNA using probes detecting genes encoding 165 rRNA(rrn), naphthalene dioxygenase (nahA), toluene dioxygenase (todC), and alkane hydroxylase (alkB) than microbial abundance estimated by culture-based methods. Such PH-degraders were relatively a few or under detection limit in 900-min ozonated soil. Further PH-removal observed during the incubation period supported the presence of PH-degraders in ozonated soils. Highest reduction (25.4%) of total PH (TPH) was observed in 180-min ozonated soil white negligible reduction was shown in 900-min ozonated soil during the period, resulting in lowest TPH-concentration in 180-min ozonated soil among the ozonated soils. Microbial community composition in 9-wk incubated soils revealed slight difference between 900-min ozonated and unozonated soils as analyzed by whole cell hybridization using group-specific rRNA-targeted oligonucleotides. Results of this study suggest that appropriate ozonation and subsequent biodegradation by indigenous microorganisms may be a cost-effective and successful remediation strategy for PH-contaminated soils.

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