• 제목/요약/키워드: Improved travel cost method(ITCM)

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해양레저관광단지의 개발가치 추정 (Estimation of Development Valuation at Marine Tourism complex)

  • 장운재;금종수
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 해양환경안전학회 2008년도 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 화원레저관광판지 개발에 따른 편익비용을 산출하였다. 편익비용 산출을 위해 본 연구에서는 개선된 여행자비용법과, 교통수단을 다양화하고, 설문응답자의 확신도 고려한 진전된 여행자비용법을 제안하였다. 그 결과 확신도 52%와 할인율 10%시 편익비용은 2928억 5백만원이고, GDP성장률 4%고려시 3045억 17백만원인 것으로 나타났다.

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가산자료모형을 이용한 송정 해수욕장의 경제적 가치추정: - 비수기 해수욕장의 가치추정 - (Estimating the Economic Value of the Songieong Beach Using A Count Data Model: - Off-season Estimating Value of the Beach -)

  • 허윤정;이승래
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.79-101
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Songieong Beach in Off-season, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). Songieong Beach is located in Busan but far away from city. These days, however, the increased rate of traffic inflow to the Songieong beach and the five-day working week are reflected in the trend analysis. Moreover, people have changed psychological value. For that reason, visitors are on the increase on the beach in off-season. The ITCM is applied to estimate non-market value or environmental Good like a Contingent Valuation Method and Hedonic Price Model etc. The ITCM was derived from the Count Data Model(i.e. Poisson and Negative Binomial model). So this paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. The data for the study were collected from the Songjeong Beach on visitors over the a week from November 1 through November 23, 2006. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 113. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. This paper analyzes the effects of determinants on visitors' demand for exhibition using a class of maximum-likelihood regression estimators for count data from truncated samples, The count data and truncated models are used primarily to explain non-negative integer and truncation properties of tourist trips as suggested by the economic valuation literature. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This paper is not the same as the others. One thing is that Estimating Value of the Beach in off-season. The other thing is this study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 199,754 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 1,288,680 Korean won.

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