• Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.177-184
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• 2014

Flight safety analyses concerned with Launch Vehicle are performed to measure the risk to the people, ship and aircraft using impact point and impact dispersion area of debris generated by on-trajectory failures and malfunction turns. Predictions of impact point and impact dispersion area are essential for launch vehicle's flight safety analysis. Usually, impact dispersion area can be estimated in using Monte-Carlo simulation. However, Monte-Carlo method requires more several hundreds of iterative calculations which requires quite some time to produce impact dispersion area. Herein, we check the possibility of applying JU(Julier Uhlmann) transformation and Taguchi method instead of Monte-Carlo method and we propose a best method in terms of compuational time to produce impact dispersion area by comparing the results of the three methods.