• 산업공학
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.408-419
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• 2011

R&D is a foundation for new business chance and productivity improvement leading to enormous expense and a long-term multi-step process. During the R&D process, decision-makers are confused due to the various future uncertainties that influence economic and technical success of the R&D projects. For these reasons, several decision-making models for R&D project investment have been suggested; they are based on traditional methods such as Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Decision Tree Analysis (DTA) and Real Option Analysis (ROA) or some fusion forms of the traditional methods. However, almost of the models have constraints in practical use owing to limits on application, procedural complexity and incomplete reflection of the uncertainties. In this study, to make the constraints minimized, we propose a new model named Real Option Decision Tree Model which is a conceptual combination form of ROA and DTA. With this model, it is possible for the decision-makers to simulate the project value applying the uncertainties onto the decision making nodes.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.205-225
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• 2012

The purpose of this study is to examine negative IT performances produced by irrational fashion-mimic IT investments in firms. Since most studies have been carried out on the assumption of rational investment decisions, many of them have revealed positive investment process and performances in firms. However, fashion-mimic investments to follow the paths of market leaders rather than rational investment decisions have been of frequent occurrence in many firms. This study divided types of mimic investments into subgroups where one subgroup has fashion-mimic properties and the other subgroup retains rational-mimic properties. We compared differences in performance of these subgroups to investigate effects of irrational investments in IT projects. The results indicated that there are differences in performance between fashion-mimic and rational-mimic investments. Additional analysis also revealed differences in performance at the presence of CEO control in the case of fashion-mimic investment subgroup.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.121-130
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• 2010

In today's uncertain economic environment, economic risk is inherent in making large investments on manufacturing facilities. It is, therefore, practically meaningful to divide investment over multiple periods, reducing the risk of investment. Then, the cash-flow over the entire planning horizon would comprise positive inflow and negative outflow. In this case, in general, evaluation by internal rate of return (IRR) is not feasible, because multiple IRRs are involved. This paper deals with a problem of evaluating profitability, as well as risk, of investment alternatives made in multiple times of investment over the entire horizon. Typically, an additional investment is required after the initial one, for expanding manufacturing capacity or other reasons. The paper pays attention to a unit cash-flow over two periods, decomposing the total cash-flow into a series of unit cash-flow patterns. It is easy to evaluate profitability of a unit cash-flow by using IRR. The total cash-flow can be decomposed into the series of two types of unit cash-flows: an investment type one (negative-positive) and the borrowing type one (positive-negative). This paper, therefore, proposes a method in which only the borrowing type unit cash-flow is eliminated in the series by converting total cash-flow using capital interest rate. Then, a unique IRR can be obtained and the profitability is evaluated. Thus, the paper extends the method of IRR so that it may help decision making in complicated cash-flow pattern observed in practice.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.143-156
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• 2012

누구나 뉴스와 주가 사이에는 밀접한 관계를 있을 것이라 생각한다. 그래서 뉴스를 통해 투자기회를 찾고, 투자이익을 얻을 수 있을 것으로 기대한다. 그렇지만 너무나 많은 뉴스들이 실시간으로 생성 전파되며, 정작 어떤 뉴스가 중요한지, 뉴스가 주가에 미치는 영향은 얼마나 되는지를 알아내기는 쉽지 않다. 본 연구는 이러한 뉴스들을 수집 분석하여 주가와 어떠한 관련이 있는지 분석하였다. 뉴스는 그 속성상 특정한 양식을 갖지 않는 비정형 텍스트로 구성되어있다. 이러한 뉴스 컨텐츠를 분석하기 위해 오피니언 마이닝이라는 빅데이터 감성분석 기법을 적용하였고, 이를 통해 주가지수의 등락을 예측하는 지능형 투자의사결정 모형을 제시하였다. 그리고, 모형의 유효성을 검증하기 위하여 마이닝 결과와 주가지수 등락 간의 관계를 통계 분석하였다. 그 결과 뉴스 컨텐츠의 감성분석 결과값과 주가지수 등락과는 유의한 관계를 가지고 있었으며, 좀 더 세부적으로는 주식시장 개장 전 뉴스들과 주가지수의 등락과의 관계 또한 통계적으로 유의하여, 뉴스의 감성분석 결과를 이용해 주가지수의 변동성 예측이 가능할 것으로 판단되었다. 이렇게 도출된 투자의사결정 모형은 여러 유형의 뉴스 중에서 시황 전망 해외 뉴스가 주가지수 변동을 가장 잘 예측하는 것으로 나타났고 로지스틱 회귀분석결과 분류정확도는 주가하락 시 70.0%, 주가상승 시 78.8%이며 전체평균은 74.6%로 나타났다.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제27권
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• pp.183-213
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• 2005

This study is achieving overseas investment to be kept and manages important position in business scope because Korean Company achieves business in major market in world and goes forward. under proposition that development(foreign direct investment) previous engagement can not but differ with advanced nation enterprise's model in over sea direct investment achievement. Grasp ramification(pattern change substance) of overseas direct investment since the 1990 to korean manufacture Firm(enterprise). Seek political consultation by analyzing change of factor and investment decision factor by year in dimension by industry investment winter season by year affecting in oversea direct investment and was attained in purpose to verify existent theory's explanation power connected with investment previous engagement. This is that can develop and procure competitive advantage of enterprise peculiarity by making overseas direct investment adversely with existent theory that can make foreign country direct investment though there is high position of enterprise characteristic's competitive advantage and move of knowledge and information is important in korean firm's overseas direct investment in globalization roadbed in at least own field through change and renovation establish experiment model under proposition that should grope more active previous engagement than advanced nation enterprise and arranged subject of study if it is korean's firm that wish to become universal guidance enterprise. and examine trend of direct investment and actual conditions invested first in the foreign countries as examples by investment department, by investment industry inside of investment scale etc..., establish korean firm's invest area selection and decision and investment very important person and effect analysis Circumstance-model that is based in strategic adaptedness by year. Circumstance-variable have influenced how in overseas direct investment and decision and what variable will be considered first in over sea direct investment did Empirical analysis in here after

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.33-45
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• 2018

Recently, many South Korean firms have suffered financial losses and damaged corporate images from the data breaches. Accordingly, a firm should manage their IT assets securely through an information security investment. However, the difficulty of measuring the return on an information security investment is one of the critical obstacles for firms in making such investment decisions. There have been a number of studies on the effect of IT investment so far, but there are few researches on information security investment. In this paper, based on a sample of 76 investment announcements of firms whose stocks are publicly traded in the South Korea's stock market between 2001 and 2017, we examines the market reaction to information security investment by using event study methodology. The results of the main effects indicate that self-developed is significantly related to cumulative average abnormal returns (CAARs), while no significant effect was observed for discloser, investment characteristics and firm characteristics. In addition, we find that the market reacts more favorably to the news announced by the subject of investment than the vendor, in case of investments with commercial exploitation. One of main contributions in our study is that it has revealed the factors affecting the market reaction to announcement of information security investment. It is also expected that, in practice, corporate executives will be able to help make an information security investment decision.

• 정보기술과데이타베이스저널
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.137-159
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• 2001

This study provides a thorough methodology for IT Investment evaluation. A software tool to support the evaluation process was introduced along with a case study. The software supports the methodology that consists of 7 phases : Target analysis, ldentifying IT measures, Measuring IT impact, Assessing business value, Analyzing the decree of realization, Cost-benefit analysis, and Reporting. The case study showed that the software (CAFA) was a very useful tool supporting both decision-making and post-implementation reviews of IT investment.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.367-386
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• 2005

The purpose of this is to analyze environment of foreign direct investment and Act in Korea and to find invitation and extension of foreign direct investment into Korea. Investment incentives, simplification of investment procedures, image improvement, increased public relations and investment support services are all factors which can be enhanced in the short term to positively influence investors decision-making in where to invest. Since the enactment of the Foreign Investment Promotion Act in November of 1998, there has been a signification improvement in Korea's investment environment in terms of policies and systems. It is expected that the foreign direct investment environment in Korea will continue to improve through the improvement in political stability, labor-management relations and easing of political tensions between the North and South, in the long term, as well as through improvements in investment incentives, investment procedures and public relations activities, in the short term.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제14D권1호
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• pp.107-120
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• 2007

IT 투자는 기업의 일반적인 투자와는 달리 직접적인 효과를 계량화하기 어려운 부분이 있기 때문에 경영자가 IT에 투자 의사결정을 내리기가 어렵다. IT 투자에 대한 타당성을 입증하기 위해서는 정보 제공자와 수혜자가 공감할 수 있는 객관적인 평가 체제의 수립과 신규 IT 투자에 대한 경제적 효과에 대한 계량적인 척도 및 측정 방법을 포함한 정량적인 분석 틀을 제시하는 것이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문은 기존의 투자에 대한 타당성을 입증하기 위한 모델들의 장점을 수용하고 단점을 보완한 IT 투자와 그 투자에서 얻어지는 IT 효과를 분석하여 투자타당성을 입증할 수 있는 IT ROI 방법론을 개발하여 5개 업종 21개 기업에 적응한 결과를 반영한 IT ROI 시스템을 구축하였다. 이 시스템에 의해 정보시스템이 기업의 활동에 기여하는 효과에 대한 객관적인 타당성을 확보하여 IT 투자 의사결정을 도와주고, IT 투자를 보다 합리적으로 결정할 수 있어 효율적인 IT 투자가 이루어질 수 있는 체계를 제시한다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제43권4호
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• pp.229-235
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• 2020

Investors aim to maximize the return rate for their own investment, utilizing various information as possible as they can access. However those investors, especially individual investors, have limitations of interpretation of the domain-specific information or even the acquisition of the information itself. Thus, individual investors tend to make decision affectively and frequently, which may cause a loss in returns. This study aims to analyze analysts' target price and to suggest the strategy that could maximize individual's return rate. Most previous literature revealed that the optimistic bias exists in the analysts' target price and it is also confirmed in this study. In this context, this study suggests the upper limit of target rate of returns and the optimal value named 'alpha(α)' which performs the adjustment of proposed target rate to maximize excess earning returns eventually. To achieve this goal, this study developed an optimization problem using linear programming. Specifically, when the analysts' proposed target rate exceeds 30%, it could be adjusted to the extent of 59% of its own target rate. As apply this strategy, the investors could achieve 1.2% of excess earning rate on average. The result of this study has significance in that the individual investors could utilize analysts' target price practically.