• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrological model

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Future water quality analysis of the Anseongcheon River basin, Korea under climate change

  • Kim, Deokwhan;Kim, Jungwook;Joo, Hongjun;Han, Daegun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2019
  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) predicted that recent extreme hydrological events would affect water quality and aggravate various forms of water pollution. To analyze changes in water quality due to future climate change, input data (precipitation, average temperature, relative humidity, average wind speed and sunlight) were established using the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario suggested by the AR5 and calculated the future runoff for each target period (Reference:1989-2015; I: 2016-2040; II: 2041-2070; and III: 2071-2099) using the semi-distributed land use-based runoff processes (SLURP) model. Meteorological factors that affect water quality (precipitation, temperature and runoff) were inputted into the multiple linear regression analysis (MLRA) and artificial neural network (ANN) models to analyze water quality data, dissolved oxygen (DO), biological oxygen demand (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended solids (SS), total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorus (T-P). Future water quality prediction of the Anseongcheon River basin shows that DO at Gongdo station in the river will drop by 35% in autumn by the end of the $21^{st}$ century and that BOD, COD and SS will increase by 36%, 20% and 42%, respectively. Analysis revealed that the oxygen demand at Dongyeongyo station will decrease by 17% in summer and BOD, COD and SS will increase by 30%, 12% and 17%, respectively. This study suggests that there is a need to continuously monitor the water quality of the Anseongcheon River basin for long-term management. A more reliable prediction of future water quality will be achieved if various social scenarios and climate data are taken into consideration.

Analysis of the Linkage Effect by Component Technology in Low Impact Development Facilities (저영향개발 시설의 요소기술별 연계 효과 분석)

  • Baek, Jongseok;Lee, Sangjin;Shin, Hyunsuk;Kim, Jaemoon;Kim, Hyungsan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2019
  • Urbanization has led to extreme changes in land use on urban watersheds. Most cities are becoming residential, commercial and industrial areas, making infiltration and storage of rainfall less favorable. The demand for LID (Low Impact Development) technology is increasing in order to mitigate this water cycle distortion and return to existing hydrological conditions. The LID technique is effective in reducing runoff by permeating the urban impervious area. However, considering the limit of the installation area and the financial requirement of the installation, there is not much research on the linkage of each LID component technology for optimum efficiency according to the appropriate scale. In this study, the effects of the LID facilities applied to the target site were simulated using the SWMM model, suggesting the optimal linkage method considering interconnectivity, and applying the effects as an existing installation of individual facilities. The water balance at the time of application of the LID technology, short-term and long-term rainfall event were compared. Also, the individual application and the linkage application were compared with each other. If each component technology has sufficient processing size, then linkage application is more effective than individual application.

Water resource vulnerability assessment of South Korea using hydrological model (수문 모형의 활용을 통한 국내 수자원 취약성 평가)

  • Won, Kwang Jai;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Soo Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.264-264
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    • 2015
  • 최근 기후변화는 우리 삶에 다양한 영향을 미치고 있으며, 이에 따른 수문순환 변화 역시 자명하게 받아들이고 있다. 이에 따라 수자원 취약성 평가 및 대책에 관한 연구는 다양하게 진행되고 있는 실정이다. 하지만 국내의 경우 전체 유역에 대한 수자원 취약성 평가 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국내 총 12 수계인 한강, 안성천, 금강, 삽교천, 영산강, 섬진강, 탐진강, 만경강, 동진강, 낙동강, 태화강, 형산강 유역에 대한 수자원 취약성 평가를 실시하였다. 평가 방법으로는 장기간에 걸친 다양한 토양의 특징, 토지이용, 관리상태의 변화에 따른 크고 복잡한 유역의 유출량을 추정하기 위해 개발된 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 이용하여 수문 모형을 구축하였고, 유출 관련 매개변수 최적화 작업은 SWAT-CUP 모형을 이용하였다. 최적화된 매개변수의 적용을 통해 각 유역별 유출량을 산정하였다. 그 결과 2009년과 2011년은 한강, 낙동강, 금강, 영산강순 이였으며, 2010년은 낙동강, 한강, 금강, 영산강순 이였다. 면적별 유출량인 비유량(specific discharge)을 산정한 결과, 2009년에는 영산강, 낙동강, 금강, 한강순 이며, 2010년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이였으며, 2011년에는 금강, 한강, 영산강, 낙동강 순을 보였다. 또한, 인구당 유출량 산정 결과 2009년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이며, 2010년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이며, 2011년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이었다. 이를 바탕으로 국내 총 12 수계에 대한 수자원 취약성을 산정해보았다. 대응변수는 이수의 수요 및 공급적인 측면에서 구분하였으며, 사회/경제, 물 이용, 환경, SWAT으로 구성하였습니다. 수자원 취약성 평가를 위해 다기준의사결정기법(MCDM, Multi-Criteria Decision Making) 중 하나인 TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)기법을 사용하였다. 산정 결과 삽교천, 동진강, 형산강, 안성천, 섬진강, 만경강, 낙동강, 영산강, 태화강, 금강, 한강, 탐진강 순 이였다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 다중 공간에 구축한 고해상도 모형을 통해 국내 수문상황 진단 및 고해상도 미래 수문 시나리오 생산을 통한 수자원 관리에도 활용될 전망이며, 기후변화 취약성 평가를 위한 지표 개발에 이용될 예정이다.

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Effect of Installing a Selective Withdrawal Structure for the Control of Turbid Water in Soyang Reservoir (탁수조절을 위한 소양호 선택취수설비 설치 효과 분석)

  • Chung, Se Woong;Park, Hyung Seok;Yoon, Sung Wan;Ryu, In Gu
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.743-753
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    • 2011
  • One of the most important water management issues of Soyang Reservoir, located in North Han River in Korea, is a long term discharge of turbid water to downstream during flood season. Installation of a selective withdrawal structure (SWS) is planned by the reservoir management institute as a control measure of outflow water quality and associated negative impacts on downstream water use and ecosystem. The objective of the study was to explore the effectiveness of the SWS on the control of outflow turbidity under two different hydrological years; one for normal flood year and another for extreme flood year. A two-dimensional (2D), laterally averaged hydrodynamic and water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2) was set up and calibrated for the reservoir and used to evaluate the performance of the proposed SWS. The results revealed that the SWS can be an effective method when the ${\Theta}$ value, the ratio between the amount of turbid water that containing suspended sediment (SS) greater than 25 mg/L and the total storage of the reservoir, is 0.59 during the normal flood year. However, the effectiveness of the SWS could be marginal or negative in the extreme flood year when ${\Theta}$ was 0.83. The results imply that the SWS is an effective alternative for the control of turbid water for moderate flood events, but not a sufficient measure for large flood events that are expected to happen more often in the future because of climate change.

Estimation of CN-based Infiltration and Baseflow for Effective Watershed Management (효과적인 유역관리를 위한 CN기법 기반의 침투량 산정 및 기저유출량 분석)

  • Kim, Heewon;Sin, Yeonju;Choi, Jungheon;Kang, Hyunwoo;Ryu, Jichul;Lim, Kyoungjae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.405-412
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    • 2011
  • Increased Non-permeable areas which have resulted from civilization reduce the volume of groundwater infiltration that is one of the important factors causing water shortage during a dry season. Thus, seeking the efficient method to analyze the volume of groundwater in accurate should be needed to solve water shortage problems. In this study, two different watersheds were selected and precipitation, soil group, and land use were surveyed in a particular year in order to figure out the accuracy of estimated infiltration recharge ratio compared to Web-based Hydrograph Analysis Tool (WHAT). The volume of groundwater was estimated considering Antecedent soil Moisture Condition (AMC) and Curve Number (CN) using Long Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model. The results of this study showed that in the case of Kyoung-an watershed, the volume of both infiltration and baseflow seperated from WHAT was 46.99% in 2006 and 33.68% in 2007 each and in Do-am watershed the volume of both infiltration and baseflow was 33.48% in 2004 and 23.65% in 2005 respectively. L-THIA requires only simple data (i.e., land uses, soils, and precipitation) to simulate the accurate volume of groundwater. Therefore, with convenient way of L-THIA, researchers can manage watershed more effectively than doing it with other models. L-THIA has limitations that it neglects the contributions of snowfall to precipitation. So, to estimate more accurate assessment of the long term hydrological impacts including groundwater with L-THIA, further researches about snowfall data in winter should be considered.

Assessing Irrigation Water Supply from Agricultural Reservoir Using Automatic Water Level Data of Irrigation Canal (관개용수로의 자동수위측정 자료를 활용한 농업용 저수지 공급량 산정 및 분석)

  • Bang, Jehong;Choi, Jin-Yong;Yoon, Pureun;Oh, Chang-Jo;Maeng, Seung-Jin;Bae, Seung-Jong;Jang, Min-Won;Jang, Taeil;Park, Myeong Soo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2021
  • KRC (Korea Rural Community Corporation) is in charge of about 3,400 agricultural reservoirs out of 17,240 agricultural reservoirs, and automatic water level gauges in reservoirs and canals were installed to collect reservoir and canal water level data from 2010. In this study, 10-minute water level data of 173 reservoir irrigation canals from 2016 to 2018 are collected, and discharge during irrigation season was calculated using rating curves. For estimation of water supply, irrigation water requirement was calculated with HOMWRS (Hydrological Operation Model for Water Resources System), and the summation of reservoir water storage decrease was calculated with daily reservoir storage data from RAWRIS (Rural Agricultural Water Resource Information System). From the results, the total yearly amount of irrigation water supply showed less than 10% difference than the irrigation water requirement. The regional analysis revealed that reservoirs in Jeollanam-do and Chungcheongnam-do supply greater irrigation water than average. On the contrary, reservoirs in Gyeongsangnam-do and Chungcheongbuk-do supply less than others. This study was conducted with a limited number of reservoirs compared to total agricultural reservoirs. Nevertheless, it can indicate irrigation water supply from agricultural reservoirs to provide information about agricultural water use for irrigation.

Probabilistic Monitoring of Effect of Meteorological Drought on Stream BOD Water Quality (기상학적 가뭄이 하천 BOD 수질에 미치는 영향의 확률론적 모니터링)

  • Jiyu Seo;Jeonghoon Lee;Hosun Lee;Sangdan Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2023
  • Drought is a natural disaster that can have serious social impacts. Drought's impact ranges from water supply for humans to ecosystems, but the impact of drought on river water quality requires careful investigation. In general, drought occurs meteorologically and is classified as agricultural drought, hydrological drought, and environmental drought. In this study, the BOD environmental drought is defined using the bivariate copula joint probability distribution model between the meteorological drought index and the river BOD, and based on this, the environmental drought condition index (EDCI-BOD) was proposed. The results of examining the proposed index using past precipitation and BOD observation data showed that EDCI-BOD expressed environmental drought well in terms of river BOD water quality. In addition, by classifying the calculated EDCI-BOD into four levels, namely, 'attention', 'caution', 'alert', and 'seriousness', a practical monitoring stage for environmental drought of BOD was constructed. We further estimated the sensitivity of the stream BOD to meteorological drought, and through this, we could identify the stream section in which the stream BOD responded relatively more sensitively to the occurrence of meteorological drought. The results of this study are expected to provide information necessary for river BOD management in the event of meteorological droughts.

Future changes in runoff characteristics of an estuarine reservoir watershed using CMIP6 multi-GCMs (CMIP6 다중 GCMs을 적용한 담수호 유역의 미래 유출특성 변화)

  • Sinae Kim;Seokhyeon Kim;Hyunji Lee;Jihye Kwak;Jihye Kim;Moon-Seong Kang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.419-419
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    • 2023
  • 하천의 최종 유출부와 해양이 만나는 지점을 하구라고 하며, 우리나라는 주로 서해안 지역에 하구 방조제 건설에 따른 담수호가 조성되어 다양한 목적으로 수자원이 활용되고 있다. 이러한 하구 담수호는 바다로 유입되기 직전의 물을 저류시켜 수자원 확보에 긍정적이나, 일반적으로 유역의 최하류에 위치해 있어 오염물질 유입, 부영양화, 염분 침출로 인한 오염물질 용출 등에 취약하다. 따라서 담수호의 회복탄력성 향상과 지속가능한 수자원 관리를 위해서는 미래 기후변화에 따른 영향 분석이 필수적이다. 특히 기후변화는 거대규모의 홍수과 같은 자연재난, 농업가뭄 및 식생가뭄 등의 증가로 이어질 수 있으므로, 이에 효과적으로 대비하기 위해서는 미래 기후조건에 따른 하천의 미래 유출량 변화 예측이 수행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 불확실한 미래 수문변화를 예측하기 위해 CMIP6(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) GCMs(Global Climate Models)의 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 시나리오를 유역 유출모델에 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 미래 유출특성의 변화를 예측하였다. 충청남도 서산시에 위치한 간월호 유역을 대상유역으로 선정하고, HSPF(Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN) 모형을 적용하여 상류유역의 과거 및 미래 장기유출량 모의를 수행하였다. 모의된 시나리오별 유출량을 기반으로 최빈유량곡선법을 적용하여 미래의 기준유량 발생시점 및 지속기간의 변화를 분석하였으며, CVDs(Center-of-volume dates)의 변화를 통해 기후변화에 따른 홍수기의 시기적 변화 양상을 파악하고자 하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 미래 유역 환경변화를 고려한 담수호의 수자원 보전관리계획 수립에 있어 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Hydrological impact assessment of anthropogenic climate change: Pakistan flood in 2022 (인간 활동에 의한 기후변화의 수문학적 영향 평가: 2022년 파키스탄 홍수)

  • Jin Pak;Suyeon Moon;Yusuke Satoh;Hyungjun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2023
  • 인간 활동의 영향으로 인한 기후변화는 지구의 물 순환을 변화시키며 결과적으로 수문학적 재해의 발생빈도와 강도를 변화시킬 것으로 전망한다. 파키스탄은 기후변화에 대한 기여도가 적음에도 불구하고 기후변화로 인한 피해가 큰 나라 중 하나이다. 파키스탄은 2022년 여름 국가의 30% 이상의 지역이 침수되며 3300만명이 피해를 받은 기록적인 홍수를 겪은 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 하천 물리 모델인 Catchment based Macro-scale Floodplain (CaMa-Flood)를 사용하여 2022년 파키스탄에서 발생한 홍수에 대하여 인간 활동에 의한 기후변화 영향을 평가했다. 결합모델간 상호비교 프로젝트 (Coupled Model Intercomparision Project Phase 6, CMIP6)에 참여한 모형들 중, 일 유출량을 제공하는 4개의 전구기후모델 (CanESM5, CNRM-CM6-1, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, IPSL-CM6A-LR)을 선정하였다. 본 연구는 선정된 모델을 기반으로 지난 1950-2014년의 총 65년간, 인간의 영향을 제외한 hist-nat과 인간의 영향이 포함된 historical 시뮬레이션 결과를 비교하여 홍수에 대한 인간 활동의 기여도를 평가하였다. 각 hist-nat과 historical 시뮬레이션에서 산출된 일 유출량을 CaMa-Flood의 입력 자료로 사용하여, 파키스탄 지역의 자연 변동성 및 인위적 강제력이 영향을 미치는 하천 유량, 저수량, 범람 면적 및 수위 등을 계산하였다. 연구 결과, 인간 활동이 2022년 파키스탄 홍수의 하천 범람 면적 및 총 하천 유량 증가에 영향을 미쳤으며, 이는 자연 변동성만을 고려한 hist-nat 시뮬레이션과의 비교를 통해 차이를 확인하였다. 이는 향후 파키스탄 지역에서 발생하는 홍수 사례 전망 및 유엔 기후변화협약당사국총회(COP27)에서 의제로 채택된 기후변화로 인한 손실과 피해의 보상에 대한 구체적인 근거에 도움이 될 것으로 보인다.

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Estimating Nakdong Estuary Barrage outflow using upstream hydrograph (상류 수위를 활용한 낙동강 하구둑 유출량 추정)

  • Shim, Kyuhyun;Jung, Hahn Chul;Hwang, Do-hyun;Kim, Daesun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.165-171
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    • 2023
  • The Nakdong Estuary Barrage is a tidal river environment where freshwater and seawater meet. This requires systematic monitoring of both surface water discharged from the estuary barrage and submarine groundwater discharge. In this study, upstream hydrograph and water balance analysis were used to calculate the change in water storage and discharge of the Nakdong Estuary Barrage. Submarine groundwater discharge was also calculated based on remote sensing-based digital elevation model data and hydrological modeling data, and compared with the estimated surface water discharge for analysis. Our proposed method can be efficiently applied to water resource management by utilizing remote sensing-based altimeter data other than field measurement. Because submarine groundwater discharge plays a significant role on the coastal environment as well as surface water discharge from an estuary barrage, studies on groundwatersurface water interactions in a river estuary should be sufficiently considered in monitoring the ecosystem of the Nakdong Estuary Barrage.