• Title/Summary/Keyword: Human error probability

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A Study on Human Error Assesment in Gas Industies (가스산업시설에서 인적 오류 평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Park Myung Seop;Kim Sung Bin;Ko Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.4 no.2 s.10
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    • pp.52-57
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    • 2000
  • This paper suggests the evaluation sheet to ensure the objective and detailed information based on a classification table of PIF (Performance Influencing Factor). And this paper shows the results of HEP(Human Error Probability), using a quantitative method with the evaluated data as a result of estimating the likelihood of . human errors in the gas industry facility together with the evaluation sheet. Finally, these results are programmed to be operated in personal computer so that field workers an apply it in easy and convenient manner. The results of this study offer two key benefits; sharing reliable information on human errors with the Data Base and establishing a strategy to reduce human errors as well as to improve working proficiency.

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Optimal Inspection Periods of Safety System of Wolsung Nuclear Power Plant Unit 1 with Human Error Consideration (인간실수를 고려한 월성 원자력발전소 안전계통의 최적점검주기에 관한 연구)

  • Mok, Jin-Il;Seong, Poong-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 1994
  • The engineered safeguards of Wolsung nuclear power plant unit 1 contain redundant systems of 2-out-of-3 logic which are not operating under normal conditions but are called upon to act when emergency conditions develop. To ensure their operability, the systems are periodically tested. In this work, we develop the unavailability formulae for 2-out-of-3 logic configurations which take into account the failure probability of the channels tested due to human error in the simultaneous testing scheme. We also develop the model for the probability that the reactor is tripped during the surveillance test due to either system failure or human error. We determined the optimal inspection periods of safety systems, taking into account both the unavailability of the safety system and the probability that the reactor is tripped during the surveillance test. We compared the results with the inspection periods currently used at Wolsung NPP Unit 1. As a result, the inspection periods obtained using a minimum human error (8.24 $\times$ 1$^{-6}$ ) are shorter than those currently used in Wolsung NPP unit 1 whereas the inspection periods obtained using a maximum human error are (4.44 $\times$ 10$^{-4}$ ) longer than those used in Wolsung NPP unit 1.

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A Case Study of Marine Accident Investigation and Analysis with Focus on Human Error (해양사고조사를 위한 인적 오류 분석사례)

  • Kim, Hong-Tae;Na, Seong;Ha, Wook-Hyun
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.137-150
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    • 2011
  • Nationally and internationally reported statistics on marine accidents show that 80% or more of all marine accidents are caused fully or in part by human error. According to the statistics of marine accident causes from Korean Maritime Safety Tribunal(KMST), operating errors are implicated in 78.7% of all marine accidents that occurred from 2002 to 2006. In the case of the collision accidents, about 95% of all collision accidents are caused by operating errors, and those human error related collision accidents are mostly caused by failure of maintaining proper lookout and breach of the regulations for preventing collision. One way of reducing the probability of occurrence of the human error related marine accidents effectively is by investigating and understanding the role of the human elements in accident causation. In this paper, causal factors/root causes classification systems for marine accident investigation were reviewed and some typical human error analysis methods used in shipping industry were described in detail. This paper also proposed a human error analysis method that contains a cognitive process model, a human error analysis technique(Maritime HFACS) and a marine accident causal chains, and then its application to the actual marine accident was provided as a case study in order to demonstrate the framework of the method.

Reliability assessment of RC shear wall-frame buildings subjected to seismic loading

  • Tuken, Ahmet;Dahesh, Mohamed A.;Siddiqui, Nadeem A.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.719-729
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    • 2017
  • A considerable research is available on the seismic response of Reinforced Concrete (RC) shear wall-frame buildings, but the studies on the reliability of such buildings, with the consideration of human error, are limited. In the present study, a detailed procedure for reliability assessment of RC shear wall-frame building subjected to earthquake loading against serviceability limit state is presented. Monte Carlo simulation was used for the reliability assessment. The procedure was implemented on a 10-story RC building to demonstrate that the shear walls improve the reliability substantially. The annual and life-time failure probabilities of the studied building were estimated by employing the information of the annual probability of earthquake occurrence and the design life of the building. A simple risk-based cost assessment procedure that relates both the structural life-time failure probability and the target reliability with the total cost of the building was then presented. The structural failure probability (i.e., the probability of exceeding the allowable drift) considering human errors was also studied. It was observed that human error in the estimation of total load and/or concrete strength changes the reliability sharply.

An Application of the HRA Methodology in PSA: A Gas Valve Station (PSA의 인간신뢰도분석 모델의 적용)

  • 제무성
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.150-156
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, the human error contributions to the system unavailability are calculated and compared to the mechanical failure contributions. The system unavailability is a probability that a system is in the failed state at time t, given that it was the normal state at time zero. It is a function of human errors committed during maintenance and tests, component failure rates, surveillance test intervals, and allowed outage time. The THERP (Technique for Human Error Rate Prediction), generally called "HRA handbook", is used here for evaluating human error rates. This method treats the operator as one of the system components, and human reliability is assessed in the same manner as that of components. Based on the calculation results, the human error contribution to the system unavailability is shown to be more important than the mechanical failure contribution in the example system. It is also demonstrated that this method is very flexible in that it can be applied to any hazardous facilities, such as gas valve stations and chemical process plants.ss plants.

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An Investigation of Human Error Analysis Techniques in Various Industries with Implications for the Korean Railway Industry (인적오류 분석기법의 국내외 활용 현황 및 국내 철도 산업에의 적용 방안)

  • Baek, Dong-Hyun;Yoon, Wan-Chul;Kim, Dong-San
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.10 no.1 s.38
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2007
  • Since human errors are being recognized as one of the primary issues in railway safety, there is a definite need for human error analysis techniques that can identify the types of errors and their causes and derive effective countermeasures to help reduce their future probability. But, for some reasons, there are not yet systematic procedures or techniques for analyzing human errors in the Korean railway industry. This paper introduces several techniques that have been developed and utilized for analyzing human errors in Korean and overseas nuclear power aviation railway, offshore oil industry, etc., and summarizes the strengths and weaknesses of each technique. Based on the Investigation of the techniques, the paper also discusses the implications for the development of a human error analysis system for the Korean railway industry.

Human Operator Modeling and Input Command Shaping Design for Manual Target Tracking System (수동표적추적장치의 휴먼운용자 모델링 및 입력명령형성기 설계)

  • Lee, Seok-Jae;Lyou, Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2007
  • A practical method to design the input shaping which generates control command is proposed in this paper, We suggest an experimental technique considering human operator's target tracking error to improve aiming accuracy which significantly affects hit probability. It is known that stabilization performance is one of the most important factors for ground combat vehicle system. In particular, stabilization error of the manual target tracking system mounted on moving vehicle directly affects hit probability. To reduce this error, we applied input command shaping method using preprocessing filtering and functional curve fitting. First of all, we construct the human operator model to consider effects of human operator on our system. Input shaping curve is divided into several regions to get rid of the above problems and to improve the system performance. At example design part, we chose three steps of functional command curve and determine the parameters of the function by the proposed design method. In order to verify the proposed design method, we carried out the experiments with real plant of a fighting vehicle.

An Analysis of Human Reliability Represented as Fault Tree Structure Using Fuzzy Reasoning (Fault Tree구조로 나타낸 인간신뢰성의 퍼지추론적해석)

  • 김정만;이동춘;이상도
    • Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 1996
  • In Human Reliability Analysis(HRA), the uncertainties involved in many factors that affect human reliability have to be represented as the quantitative forms. Conventional probability- based human reliability theory is used to evaluate the effect of those uncertainties but it is pointed out that the actual human reliability should be different from that of conventional one. Conventional HRA makes use of error rates, however, it is difficult to collect data enough to estimate these error rates, and the estimates of error rates are dependent only on engineering judgement. In this paper, the error possibility that is proposed by Onisawa is used to represent human reliability, and the error possibility is obtained by use of fuzzy reasoning that plays an important role to clarify the relation between human reliability and human error. Also, assuming these factors are connected to the top event through Fault Tree structure, the influence and correlation of these factors are measured by fuzzy operation. When a fuzzy operation is applied to Fault Tree Analysis, it is possible to simplify the operation applying the logic disjuction and logic conjuction to structure function, and the structure of human reliability can be represented as membership function of the top event. Also, on the basis of the the membership function, the characteristics of human reliability can be evaluated by use of the concept of pattern recognition.

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A fuzzy reasonal analysis of human reliability represented as fault tree structure

  • 김정만;이상도;이동춘
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 1997
  • In conventional probability-based human reliability analysis, the basic human error rates are modified by experts to consider the influences of many factors that affect human reliability. However, these influences are not easily represented quantitatively, because the relation between human reliability and each of these factors in not clear. In this paper, the relation is expressed quantitatively. Furthermore, human reliability is represented by error possibilities proposed by Onisawa, which is a fuzzy set on the interval [0,1]. Fuzzy reasoning is used in this method in order to obtain error possibilities. And, it is supposed that many basic events affected by the above factors are connected to the top event through Fault Tree structure, and an estimate of the top event expressed by a member- ship function is obtained by using the fuzzy measure and fuzzy integral. Finally, a numerical example of human reliability analysis obtained by this method is given.

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