• 제목/요약/키워드: Huff method

검색결과 79건 처리시간 0.025초

로지스틱 회귀에 의한 도시 침수발생의 한계강우량 산정 (Computation of Criterion Rainfall for Urban Flood by Logistic Regression)

  • 김현일;한건연
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제39권6호
    • /
    • pp.713-723
    • /
    • 2019
  • 기후변화와 다양한 강우 패턴에 의하여 도시 유역 별 침수발생 기준을 산정하기에 어려움이 있다. 이에 도시 유역의 상세 지형, 배수체계 그리고 다양한 강우 시나리오를 고려하여 침수해석을 실시 및 결과를 검토할 필요가 있으며, 동일 지역에 대한 실측 강우에 따른 침수 사상을 조사할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 서울시 효자 배수분구의 침수 발생에 영향을 미치는 강우 특성을 파악하기 위해 확률론적 빈도 분석과 Huff 분포를 고려한 다양한 강우 시나리오를 생성하였으며, 1차원 도시유출해석을 위한 SWMM (Storm Water Management Model)과 2차원 침수해석 모형을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 사용된 SWMM 모형은 침수흔적도와 유전자 알고리즘을 통해 최적화 되었다. 최적화 된 1차원 모형을 2차원 침수해석과 연계하여 기존의 침수흔적도와 73.6 %의 적합도를 나타낼 수 있었다. 각 강우량에 따른 침수 발생 유무를 파악하였으며, 로지스틱 회귀 곡선을 통하여 침수발생 한계강우량을 산정할 수 있었다. 1-2차원 침수해석 결과와 2010~2018년 AWS (Automated Weather System)자료와 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System)를 반영한 결과, 지속시간 1시간의 경우 침수발생 한계강우량은 72.04 mm, 2시간의 경우 146.83 mm, 3시간의 경우 203.06 mm으로 산정되었다. 산정된 한계강우량은 지속적으로 관측되는 강우 자료의 입력을 통하여 갱신될 수 있을 것으로 보인다. 본 연구에서 제시되는 방법론을 통해 도시 배수분구별 정량적 한계강우량을 제시할 수 있을 것으로 보이며, 이는 도시 유역에서 홍수 예·경보 발령을 위한 기초자료를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

변형확률모델을 활용한 소매업의 상권분석 방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Trade Area Analysis with the Use of Modified Probability Model)

  • 진창범;윤명길
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제15권6호
    • /
    • pp.77-96
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose - This study aims to develop correspondence strategies to the environment change in domestic retail store types. Recently, new types of retails have emerged in retail industries. Therefore, trade area platform has developed focusing on the speed of data, no longer trade area from district border. Besides, 'trade area smart' brings about change in retail types with the development of giga internet. Thus, context shopping is changing the way of consumers' purchase pattern through data capture, technology capability, and algorithm development. For these reasons, the sales estimation model has been shown to be flawed using the notion of former scale and time, and it is necessary to construct a new model. Research design, data, and methodology - This study focuses on measuring retail change in large multi-shopping mall for the outlook for retail industry and competition for trade area with the theoretical background understanding of retail store types and overall domestic retail conditions. The competition among retail store types are strong, whereas the borders among them are fading. There is a greater need to analyze on a new model because sales expectation can be hard to get with business area competition. For comprehensive research, therefore, the research method based on the statistical analysis was excluded, and field survey and literature investigation method were used to identify problems and propose an alternative. In research material, research fidelity has improved with complementing research data related with retail specialists' as well as department stores. Results - This study analyzed trade area survival and its pattern through sales estimation and empirical studies on trade areas. The sales estimation, based on Huff model system, counts the number of households shopping absorption expectation from trade areas. Based on the results, this paper estimated sales scale, and then deducted modified probability model. Conclusions - In times of retail store chain destruction and off-line store reorganization, modified Huff model has problems in estimating sales. Transformation probability model, supplemented by the existing problems, was analyzed to be more effective in competitiveness business condition. This study offers a viable alternative to figure out related trade areas' sale estimation by reconstructing new-modified probability model. As a result, the future task is to enlarge the borders from IT infrastructure with data and evidence based business into DT infrastructure.

도시 하수도망의 수문학적인 평가와 설계확률유량의 점대화 성향에 관한 연구(제1보) (A Study on Hydrologic Analysis and Some Effects of Urbanization on Design Flow of Urban Storm Drainage Systems (1))

  • 강관원;서병하;윤용남
    • 물과 미래
    • /
    • 제14권4호
    • /
    • pp.27-34
    • /
    • 1981
  • The design flow of the urban strom drainage systems has been assessed largely on a basis of empirical relations between rainfall and runoff, and the rational formula has been widely used for the cities in our country. In order to estimate it more accurately, the urban runoff simulation model based on the RRl method has been developed and applied to the sample basin in this study. The rainfall hyetograph of the design stromfor the design flow has been obtained by the determination of the total rainfall and the temporal distributions of that rainfall. The total rainfall has been assessed from the empirical formula of rainfall intensity and the temporal distribution of that rainfall determined on the basis of Huff's method from the historical rainfall data of the basin. The virtual inflow hydrograph to each inlet of the basin has been constructed by computing the series of discharges in each time increment, using design strom hyetograph and time-area diagram. The actual runoff hydrograph at the basin outlet has been computed from the virtual inflow hydrographs by developing a relations between discharge and storage for the watershed. The discharge data for verification of the simulated runoff hydrograph are not available in the sample basin and so the sensitivity analysis of the simulation model has not been possible. The peak discharge for the design of drainage systems has been estimated from the computed runoff hydrograph at the basin outlet and compared to thatl obtained form the rational formula.

  • PDF

중규모 하천유역에서 설계강우의 임계지속기간에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Critical Duration of Design Rainfall in Midsize Catchment)

  • 박종영;신창동;이정식
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제37권9호
    • /
    • pp.695-706
    • /
    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 실측자료가 확보된 중규모 하천유역에서 최대 첨두유량을 발생시키는 설계강우의 시간분포모형을 밝혀내고, 결정된 시간분포모형을 바탕으로 하여 유역특성과 임계지속기간의 관계를 규명하는 것이다. 50-5,000$\textrm{km}^2$의 44개 유역을 통하여 수문분석을 실시하였으며, SCS 유효우량 산정방법으로 결정된 유효우량을 사용하여 최대 첨두유량을 발생시키는 시간분포모형은 Huff의 4분위 시간분포모형으로 나타났다. 유역면적 50-600$\textrm{km}^2$인 유역에서는 24시간 강우지속기간의 첨두유량과 임계지속기간의 첨두유량은 유사한 값을 보이며, 유역면적 600-5,000$\textrm{km}^2$인 유역에서는 48시간 강우지속기간의 첨두유량과 임계지속기간의 첨두유량이 유사한 값을 보였다. AMC III 조건의 유효우량에 대하여 높은 상관성을 지니는 유역면적과 임계지속기간의 관계식을 유도하였으며, 유역면적 50-5,000$\textrm{km}^2$이 중규모 하천유역에서 임계지속기간을 결정하는데 유용한 식으로 이용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 또한, 단위도 특성치를 이용한 무차원 회귀식을 유도하였다.

HEC-HMS 모델을 이용한 산지 소하천유역의 홍수유출량 산정 (Flood Runoff Computation for Mountainous Small Basins using HEC-HMS Model)

  • 장인수
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제7권3호
    • /
    • pp.281-288
    • /
    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to propose a methodology of the flood runoff analysis in steep mountainous basins and the analysis basin is the Jasa valley basin in Chungju city Analyzing the spatial pattern of the rainfall in 1994. 6 30~7.1, the seasonal rainy front was tied up in the whole central district, and the rainfall center was moving from the northern Chungbuk province to the northern Kyongbuk province and caused heavy storm. Analyzing the temporal pattern with the Huff method, the 52.5% of the rainfall was concentrated on the 3rd quartile. Rainfall frequency analysis is accomplished by five distribution types; 2-parameter Lognomal, 3-parameter Lognomal, Pearson Type III, Log-Pearson Type III and Extremal Type I distribution Rainfall-runoff analysis in Jasa valley basin was made using HEC-HMS model. Jasa valley basin was divided into 3 sub-basins and the analysis point was 3 points{A, B and C point) With the rainfall data measured by the 10 minutes, the flood runoff also was calculated by as many minutes. SCS CN model, Clark UH model and Muskingum routing model in HEC-HMS model were used to simulate the runoff volume using selected rainfall event.

  • PDF

HYDROLOGIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF LAND COVER CHANGES BY 2002 TYPHOON RUSA USING LANDSAT IMAGES AND STORM RUNOFF MODEL

  • Lee, Mi-Seon;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
    • /
    • pp.539-542
    • /
    • 2006
  • To investigate the streamflow impact of land cover changes by a typhoon, WMS HEC-1 storm runoff model was applied by using land cover information before and after the typhoon. The model was calibrated with three storm events of 1985 to 1988 based on 1985 land cover condition for a 192.7 $km^2$ watershed in northeast coast of South Korea. After the model was tested, it was run to estimate impacts of land cover change by the typhoon RUSA occurred in 2002 (31 August - 1 September) with 897.5 mm rainfall. The land covers before and after the typhoon were prepared using Landsat 7 ETM+ of September 11 of 2000 and Landsat 5 TM of September 29 of 2002 respectively. For the 6.9 $km^2$ damaged area (3.6 % of the watershed), the peak runoff and total runoff by the changed land cover condition increased 12.5 % and 12.7 % for 50 years rainfall frequency and 1.4 % and 1.8 % for 500 years rainfall frequency respectively based on AMC (Antecedent Moisture Condition)-I condition.

  • PDF

A Study on Commercial Power of Traditional Market

  • Baik, Key-Young;Youn, Myoung-Kil
    • 동아시아경상학회지
    • /
    • 제4권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study investigated commercial power theory of traditional market through the analysis of literature review. Consumers' store selection models are made up a theory based on normative hypothesis, theory of mutual reaction, utility function estimation model, and cognitive-behavioral model. Detailed models are as follows. Normative hypothesis based theory is divided into Reilly's retail gratification theory and Converse's revised retail g ratification theory. Interaction theory is composed of Huff's probability gratification theory, MCI model and Multi-nominal Logit Model (MNL model). There are four models in retail organization position theory such as central place theories, single store position theory, multi store position - assign model, and retail growth potential model. In case of single store position theory, theoretical and empirical techniques have developed for a decision to optimum single store position. Those are like these, a check list, the most simple and systematic method, analogy, and microanalysis technique. Aforementioned models are theoretical and mathematical commercial power measurement and/or model. The study has rather limitations because the variation factors included in formula are only a part of actual commercial power. Therefore, further study shall be made continuously to commercial power areas and variables.

Design of Detention Pond and Critical Duration of Design Rainfall in Seoul

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Yoon, Sei-Eui;Lee, Jae-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
    • /
    • 제5권
    • /
    • pp.33-43
    • /
    • 1994
  • This study is to determine the critical duration of design rainfall and to utilize it for the design of detention pond with pump station. To examine the effect of the duration and temporal distribytion of the design rainfall, Huff's quartile method is used for the 9 cases of durations (ranges from 20 to 240 minutes) with ten years return period, and the ILLUDAS model is used for runoff analysis. The storage ratio, which is the ratio of maximum storage amounts to total runoff volume, is introduced to determine the criticalduration of design rainfall. The duration which maximizes the storage ratio is adopted as the critical duration. This study is applied to 18 urban drainage watercheds with pump station in Seoul, of which the range of watershed area is 0.24~12.70$km^2$. The result of simulation shows that the duration which maximizes storage ratio is 30 and 60 minutes on the whole. It is also shown that the storage ratios of 2nd - and 3rd-quartile pattern are larger than those of 1st- and 4th-quartile pattern of temporal distribution. A simplified empirical formula for Seoul area is suggested by the regression analysis between the maximum storage ratio and the peak ratio. This formula can be utilized for the preliminary design and planning of detention pond with pump station.

  • PDF

Hydrologic Impact Assessment of land Cover Changes by 2002 Typhoon RUSA Using Landsat Images and Storm Runoff Model

  • Lee, Mi-Seon;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제22권5호
    • /
    • pp.407-413
    • /
    • 2006
  • To investigate the streamflow impact of land cover changes by a typhoon, HEC-l storm runoff model was applied by using land cover information before and after the typhoon. The model was calibrated with three storm events of 1985 to 1988 based on 1985 land cover condition for a $192.7km^{2}$ watershed in northeast coast of South Korea. After the model was tested, it was run to estimate impacts of land cover change by the typhoon RUSA occurred in 2002 (31 August-1 September) with 897.5 mm rainfall. The land covers before and after the typhoon were prepared using Landsat 7 ETM+ of September 11 of 2000 and Landsat 5 TM of September 29 of 2002 respectively. For the $6.9km^{2}$ damaged area (3.6 % of the watershed), the peak runoff and total runoff by the changed land cover condition increased 12.5 % and 12.7 % for 50 years rainfall frequency and 1.4 % and 1.8 % for 500 years rainfall frequency respectively based on AMC (Antecedent Moisture Condition)-I condition.

최근접 각도를 이용한 복수 레이저 영상 추적 방법 연구 (A Study on the Multi-Laser Image Tracking Method using the Latest Approach Angle)

  • 조진표;고호정;김정호
    • 사물인터넷융복합논문지
    • /
    • 제6권2호
    • /
    • pp.37-43
    • /
    • 2020
  • 본 논문은 스크린과 레이저 발사장치의 이격거리 변화에도 복수 개의 레이저 영상을 안정적으로 인식할 수 있는 최근접 각도 계산 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 레이저 패턴 각도의 거리를 이용하여 사로를 인식하는 방법으로 레이저의 각도 추출은 레이블링 알고리즘을 이용하여 획득된 영상으로부터 레이저 영상을 검출하고, 허프 변환을 수행하여 직선의 각도를 추출한다. 유사성 척도 중 유클리드 거리를 이용하여 추출한 레이저 영상의 각도와 기준 각도의 거리를 계산하고, 계산된 거리 결과값을 이용하여 사로를 인식한다. 이격 거리를 "200cm~400cm"로 변경하면서 실험한 결과, 모든 이격 거리에서 개별 사로를 100% 인식했다. 실험을 통해 제안한 방법의 신뢰성을 확인하였다.