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GEMS BrO Retrieval Sensitivity Test Using a Radiative Transfer Model (복사전달모델을 이용한 GEMS 일산화브로민 산출 민감도 시험)

  • Chong, Heesung;Kim, Jhoon;Jeong, Ukkyo;Park, Sang Seo;Hong, Jaemin;Ahn, Dha Hyun;Cha, Hyeji;Lee, Won-Jin;Lee, Hae-jung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_1
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    • pp.1491-1506
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    • 2021
  • To estimate errors in GEMS retrievals for bromine monoxide (BrO) total vertical column densities(VCDs), we perform a sensitivity test using synthetic spectra generated by a radiative transfer model. Hourly synthetic data are produced for 00-07 UTC on the first day of every month in Jul 2013- Jun 2014. Solution errors estimated by the optimal estimation method tend to decrease with increasing air mass factors (AMFs) but increase when AMFs are larger than 5. Interference errors induced by formaldehyde (HCHO) absorption appear to be larger with smaller BrO AMFs. Total BrO retrieval errors estimated by combining solution and interference errors show an average of 26.74±30.18% for all data samples and 60.39±133.78% for those with solar zenith angles higher than 80°. Due to interfering spectral features and measurement errors not considered in thisstudy, errorsin BrO retrievals from actual GEMS measurements may have different magnitudes from our estimates. However, the variability of errors assessed in this study is still expected to appear in the actual BrO retrievals.

Assessment of artificial neural network model for real-time dam inflow prediction (실시간 댐 유입량 예측을 위한 인공신경망 모형의 활용성 평가)

  • Heo, Jae-Yeong;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1131-1141
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the artificial neural network model is applied for real-time dam inflow prediction and then evaluated for the prediction lead times (1, 3, 6 hr) in dam basins in Korea. For the training and testing the model, hourly precipitation and inflow are used as input data according to average annual inflow. The results show that the model performance for up to 6 hour is acceptable because the NSE is 0.57 to 0.79 or higher. Totally, the predictive performance of the model in dry seasons is weaker than the performance in wet seasons, and this difference in performance increases in the larger basin. For the 6 hour prediction lead time, the model performance changes as the sequence length increases. These changes are significant for the dry season with increasing sequence length compared to the wet season. Also, with increasing the sequence length, the prediction performance of the model improved during the dry season. Comparison of observed and predicted hydrographs for flood events showed that although the shape of the prediction hydrograph is similar to the observed hydrograph, the peak flow tends to be underestimated and the peak time is delayed depending on the prediction lead time.

Relationship Analysis of Reference Evapotranspiration and Heating Load for Water-Energy-Food Nexus in Greenhouse (물-에너지-식량 넥서스 분석을 위한 시설재배지의 기준작물증발산량과 난방 에너지 부하 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Kwihoon;Yoon, Pureun;Lee, Yoonhee;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Hur, Seung-Oh;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2019
  • Increasing crop production with the same amount of resources is essential for enhancing the economy in agriculture. The first prerequisite is to understand relationships between the resources. The concept of WEF (Water-Energy-Food) nexus analysis was first introduced in 2011, which helps to interpret inter-linkages among the resources and stakeholders. The objective of this study was to analyze energy-water nexus in greenhouse cultivation by estimating reference evapotranspiration and heating load. For the estimation, this study used the physical model to simulate the inside temperature of the agricultural greenhouse using heating, solar radiation, ventilated and transferred heat losses as input variables. For estimating reference evapotranspiration and heating load, Penman-Monteith equation and seasonal heating load equation with HDH (Heating Degree-Hour) was applied. For calibration and validation of simulated inside temperature, used were hourly data observed from 2011 to 2012 in multi-span greenhouse. Results of the simulation were evaluated using $R^2$, MAE and RMSE, which showed 0.75, 2.22, 3.08 for calibration and 0.71, 2.39, 3.35 for validation respectively. When minimum setting temperature was $12^{\circ}C$ from 2013 to 2017, mean values of evapotranspiration and heating load were 687 mm/year and 2,147 GJ/year. For $18^{\circ}C$, Mean values of evapotranspiration and heating load were 707 mm/year and 5,616 GJ/year. From the estimation, the relationship between water and heat energy was estimated as 1.0~2.6 GJ/ton. Though additional calibrations with different types of greenhouses are necessary, the results of this study imply that they are applicable when evaluating resource relationship in the greenhouse cultivation complex.

Analysis of Electric Vehicle's Environmental Benefits from the Perspective of Energy Transition in Korea (에너지 전환정책에 따른 전기자동차의 환경편익 추정연구)

  • Jeon, Hocheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.307-326
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    • 2019
  • The electric vehicle is a representative measure to reduce greenhouse gas and local air pollutants in the transportation sector. Most countries provide purchase subsidies and tax reductions to promote electric vehicle sales. The electric vehicles have been considered as zero-emission vehicles(ZEV) in light of the fact that there has been no pollutant emission during driving. However, recent studies have pointed out that the pollutant emitted from the process of generating electricity used for charging the electric vehicles need to be treated as emissions of the electric vehicles. Furthermore, the environmental benefits of electric vehicle replacing the internal combustion vehicle vary with the power mix. In line with the recent studies, this study analyzes the impact of electric vehicles based on the current power mix and future energy transition scenarios in Korea. To estimate the precise air pollutants emission profile, this study uses hourly electricity generation and TMS emission data for each power plant from 2015 to 2016. The estimation results show that the electric vehicles under the current power mix generate the environmental benefits of only -0.41~10.83 won/km. Also, we find that the environmental benefit of electric vehicle will significantly increase only when the ratio of the coal-fired power plant is reduced to a considerable extent.

Spatio-temporal Characteristics of the Frequency of Weather Types and Analysis of the Related Air Quality in Korean Urban Areas over a Recent Decade (2007-2016) (최근 10년간(2007~2016년) 한반도 대도시 일기유형 빈도의 시·공간 특성 및 유형별 대기질 변화 분석)

  • Park, Hyeong-Sik;Song, Sang-Keun;Han, Seung-Beom;Cho, Seongbin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.1129-1140
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    • 2018
  • Temporal and spatial characteristics of the frequency of several weather types and the change in air pollutant concentrations according to these weather types were analyzed over a decade (2007-2016) in seven major cities and a remote area in Korea. This analysis was performed using hourly (or daily) observed data of weather types (e.g., mist, haze, fog, precipitation, dust, and thunder and lighting) and air pollutant criteria ($PM_{10}$, $PM_{2.5}$, $O_3$, $NO_2$, CO, and $SO_2$). Overall, the most frequent weather type across all areas during the study period was found to be mist (39%), followed by precipitation (35%), haze (17%), and the other types (${\leq}4%$). In terms of regional frequency distributions, the highest frequency of haze (26%) was in Seoul (especially during winter and May-June), possibly due to the high population and air pollutant emission sources, while that of precipitation (47%) was in Jeju (summer and winter), due to its geographic location with the sea on four sides and a very high mountain. $PM_{10}$ concentrations for dust and haze were significantly higher in three cities (up to $250{\mu}g/m^3$ for dust in Incheon), whereas those for the other four types were relatively lower. The concentrations of $PM_{2.5}$ and its major precursor gases ($NO_2$ and $SO_2$) were higher (up to $69{\mu}g/m^3$, 48 ppb, and 16 ppb, respectively, for haze in Incheon) for haze and/or dust than for the other weather types. On the other hand, there were no distinct differences in the concentrations of $O_3$ and CO for the weather types. The overall results of this study confirm that the frequency of weather types and the related air quality depend on the geographic and environmental characteristics of the target areas.

Estimation of the Kinetic Energy of Raindrops for Hourly Rainfall Considering the Rainfall Particle Distribution (강우입자분포를 고려한 시강우의 강우에너지 산정 연구)

  • Kim, Seongwon;Jeong, Anchul;Lee, Giha;Jung, Kwansue
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2018
  • The occurrence of soil erosions in Korea is mostly driven by flowing water which has a close relationship with rainfalls. The soil eroded by rainfalls flows into and deposits in the river and it polluted the water resources and making the rivers become difficult to be managed. Recently, the frequency of heavy rainfall events that are more than 30 mm/hr has been increasing in Korea due to the influence of climate change, which creating a favourable condition for the occurrence of soil erosion within a short time. In this study, we proposed a method to estimate the distribution of rainfall intensity and to calculate the energy produced by a single rainfall event using the cumulative distribution function that take into account of the physical characteristics of rainfall. The raindrops kinetic energy estimated by the proposed method are compared with the measured data from the previous studies and it is noticed that the raindrops kinetic energy estimated by the rainfall intensity variation is very similar to the results concluded from the previous studies. In order to develop an equation for estimating rainfall kinetic energy, rainfall particle size data measured at a rainfall intensity of 0.254~152.4 mm/hr were used. The rainfall kinetic energy estimated by applying the cumulative distribution function tended to increase in the form of a power function in the relation of rainfall intensity. Based on the equation obtained from this relationship, the rainfall kinetic energy of 1~80 mm/hr rainfall intensity was estimated to be $0.03{\sim}48.26Jm^{-2}mm^{-1}$. Based on the relationship between rainfall intensity and rainfall energy, rainfall kinetic energy equation is proposed as a power function form and it is expected that it can be used in the design of short-term operated facility such as the sizing of sedimentation basin that requires prediction of soil loss by a single rainfall event.

Wind power forecasting based on time series and machine learning models (시계열 모형과 기계학습 모형을 이용한 풍력 발전량 예측 연구)

  • Park, Sujin;Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.723-734
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    • 2021
  • Wind energy is one of the rapidly developing renewable energies which is being developed and invested in response to climate change. As renewable energy policies and power plant installations are promoted, the supply of wind power in Korea is gradually expanding and attempts to accurately predict demand are expanding. In this paper, the ARIMA and ARIMAX models which are Time series techniques and the SVR, Random Forest and XGBoost models which are machine learning models were compared and analyzed to predict wind power generation in the Jeonnam and Gyeongbuk regions. Mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were used as indicators to compare the predicted results of the model. After subtracting the hourly raw data from January 1, 2018 to October 24, 2020, the model was trained to predict wind power generation for 168 hours from October 25, 2020 to October 31, 2020. As a result of comparing the predictive power of the models, the Random Forest and XGBoost models showed the best performance in the order of Jeonnam and Gyeongbuk. In future research, we will try not only machine learning models but also forecasting wind power generation based on data mining techniques that have been actively researched recently.

Pollution characteristics of PM2.5 observed during January 2018 in Gwangju (광주 지역에서 2018년 1월 측정한 초미세먼지의 오염 특성)

  • Yu, Geun-Hye;Park, Seung-Shik;Jung, Sun A;Jo, Mi Ra;Jang, Yu Woon;Lim, Yong Jae;Ghim, Young Sung
    • Particle and aerosol research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2019
  • In this study, hourly measurements of $PM_{2.5}$ and its major chemical constituents such as organic and elemental carbon (OC and EC), and ionic species were made between January 15 and February 10, 2018 at the air pollution intensive monitering station in Gwangju. In addition, 24-hr integrated $PM_{2.5}$ samples were collected at the same site and analyzed for OC, EC, water-soluble OC (WSOC), humic-like substance (HULIS), and ionic species. Over the whole study period, the organic aerosols (=$1.6{\times}OC$) and $NO_3{^-}$ concentrations contributed 26.6% and 21.0% to $PM_{2.5}$, respectively. OC and EC concentrations were mainly attributed to traffic emissions with some contribution from biomass burning emissions. Moreover, strong correlations of OC with WSOC, HULIS, and $NO_3{^-}$ suggest that some of the organic aerosols were likely formed through atmospheric oxidation processes of hydrocarbon compounds from traffic emissions. For the period between January 18 and 22 when $PM_{2.5}$ pollution episode occurred, concentrations of three secondary ionic species ($=SO{_4}^{2-}+NO_3{^-}+NH_4{^+}$) and organic matter contributed on average 50.8 and 20.1% of $PM_{2.5}$, respectively, with the highest contribution from $NO_3{^-}$. Synoptic charts, air mass backward trajectories, and local meteorological conditions supported that high $PM_{2.5}$ pollution was resulted from long-range transport of haze particles lingering over northeastern China, accumulation of local emissions, and local production of secondary aerosols. During the $PM_{2.5}$ pollution episode, enhanced $SO{_4}^{2-}$ was more due to the long-range transport of aerosol particles from China rather than local secondary production from $SO_2$. Increasing rate in $NO_3{^-}$ was substantially greater than $NO_2$ and $SO{_4}^{2-}$ increasing rates, suggesting that the increased concentration of $NO_3{^-}$ during the pollution episode was attributed to enhanced formation of local $NO_3{^-}$ through heterogenous reactions of $NO_2$, rather than impact by long-range transportation from China.

An Analysis of Water Vapor Pressure to Simulate the Relative Humidity in Rural and Mountainous Regions (고해상도 상대습도 모의를 위한 농산촌 지역의 수증기압 분석)

  • Kim, Soo-ock;Hwang, Kyu-Hong;Hong, Ki-Young;Seo, Hee-Chul;Bang, Ha-Neul
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.299-311
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    • 2020
  • This paper analyzes the distribution of water vapor pressure and relative humidity in complex terrains by collecting weather observation data at 6 locations in the valley in Jungdae-ri, Ganjeon-myeon, Gurye-gun, Jeolla South Province and 14 locations in Akyang-myeon, Hadong-gun, Gyeongsang South Province, which form a single drainage basin in rural and mountainous regions. Previously estimated water vapor pressure used in the early warning system for agrometeorological hazard and actual water vapor pressure arrived at using the temperature and humidity that were measured at the highest density (1.5 m above ground) at every hour in the valley of Jungdae-ri between 19 December 2014 and 23 November 2015 and in the valley of Akyang between 15 August 2012 and 18 August 2013 were compared. The altitude-specific gradient of the observed water vapor pressure varied with different hours of the day and the difference in water vapor pressure between high and low altitudes increased in the night. The hourly variations in the water vapor pressure in the weather stations of the valley of Akyang with various topographic and ground conditions were caused by factors other than altitude. From the observed data of the study area, a coefficient that adj usts the variation in the water vapor pressure according to the specific difference in altitude and estimates it closer to the actual measured level was derived. Relative humidity was simulated as water vapor pressure estimated against the saturated water vapor pressure, thus, confirming that errors were further reduced using the derived coefficient than with the previous method that was used in the early warning system.

Evaluation of Parameter Estimation Method for Design Rainfall Estimation (설계강우량 산정을 위한 매개변수 추정방법 평가)

  • Kim, Kwihoon;Jun, Sang-Min;Jang, Jeongyeol;Song, Inhong;Kang, Moon-Seong;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2021
  • Determining design rainfall is the first step to plan an agricultural drainage facility. The objective of this study is to evaluate whether the current method for parameter estimation is reasonable for computing the design rainfall. The current Gumbel-Kendall (G-K) method was compared with two other methods which are Gumbel-Chow (G-C) method and Probability weighted moment (PWM). Hourly rainfall data were acquired from the 60 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) stations across the nation. For the goodness-of-fit test, this study used chi-squared (𝛘2) and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. When using G-K method, 𝛘2 statistics of 18 stations exceeded the critical value (𝑥2a=0.05,df=4=9.4877) and 10, 3 stations for G-C method, PWM method respectively. For K-S test, none of the stations exceeded the critical value (Da=0.05n=0.19838). However, G-K method showed the worst performances in both tests compared to other methods. Subsequently, this study computed design rainfall of 48-hour duration in 60 ASOS stations. G-K method showed 5.6 and 6.4% higher average design rainfall and 15.2 and 24.6% higher variance compared to G-C and PWM methods. In short, G-K showed the worst performance in goodness-of-fit tests and showed higher design rainfall with the least robustness. Likewise, considering the basic assumptions of the design rainfall estimation, G-K is not an appropriate method for the practical use. This study can be referenced and helpful when revising the agricultural drainage standards.