• Knowledge Management Research
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.155-181
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• 2021

The purpose of this study is to verify the correlation between leader's machiavellianism and turnover intention. To this end, we tried to investigate the overall mechanism of the research model through the mediating effect of hindsight bias. To verify the hypothesis, surveys were conducted twice with 335 employees working at companies with more than 300 employees in various occupations. As a result of the study, first, it was found that the machiavellianism of the leader had a positive significant effect on the employee turnover intention. Second, it was found that hindsight bias had a positive significant mediating effect between the leader's machiavellianism and employee turnover intention. It can be inferred that the higher the machiavellianism tendency of the leader, the higher the hindsight bias is experienced and the negative impact on the effectiveness of the organization, the higher the employee turnover intention. Therefore, this study in-depth verifies the mechanism between the leader's machiavellianism, hindsight bias, and employee turnover intentions, suggesting new implications from a perspective different from the existing research flow, and suggesting future research tasks and limitations on the role of leaders.

• 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.02b
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• pp.475-481
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• 2008

본 연구는 어떤 사건에 대한 예측 정확성 여부와 기억을 회상할 때의 정서 상태가 후견지명 편향 (hindsight bias)에 미치는 영향을 알아보고자 하였다. 이에 valence 축에 따라 긍정적 정서와 부정적 정서를 일으키는 두 가지 음악을 제시하고 두 조건에 대하여 기억에 대한 과잉 확신이 얼마나 달라지는가를 분석하였다. 예측 정확성 여부에 대해서는 실험 결과 데이터 중 예측 일치 조건과 불일치 조건으로 나누어 후견지명 편향에 끼치는 영향과 정서와의 상호작용이 있는가를 분석하였다. 사람들은 예측과 반대되는 결과를 접했을 때 결과에 anchoring하여 기억을 회상하려는 편향이 더욱 커졌으며 부정적인 정서보다 긍정적 정서 상태일 때 후견지명 편향이 더욱 커졌음을 밝혔다. 특히 예측과 상이한 결과 피드백을 받고 긍정적 정서 상태일 때 가장 많은 왜곡 현상을 보였으며, 예측 불일치/ 부정적 정서 조건, 예측 일치/ 긍정적 정서 조건, 예측 일치/ 부정적 정서 조건 순으로 후견지명 편향을 보였다. 이 결과는 정서 상태보다 어떤 사건에 대한 예측 정확성 여부가 후견지명 편향에 더 큰 영향을 준다는 것을 시사한다. 본 연구의 실험실 상황을 통하여 자기와 관련이 없는 중립적 과제를 통해서도 후견지명 편향이 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 특히 그 동안 거의 이루어지지 않았던 정서와 후견지명 편향의 관계를 밝히고, 기존의 예측 정확성에 따른 편향을 설명하는 모델간 논쟁이 많았으나 실험 결과가 motivational model을 지지함을 밝혔음에 의의가 있다.

• Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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• v.36 no.6
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• pp.935-946
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• 2016

This study aims to explore cognitive biases relating the core competences of science and instructional strategy in reducing the level of cognitive biases. The literature review method was used to explore cognitive biases and science education experts discussed the relevance of cognitive biases to science education. Twenty nine cognitive biases were categorized into five groups (limiting rational causal inference, limiting diverse information search, limiting self-regulated learning, limiting self-directed decision making, and category-limited thinking). The cognitive biases in limiting rational causal inference group are teleological thinking, availability heuristic, illusory correlation, and clustering illusion. The cognitive biases in limiting diverse information search group are selective perception, experimenter bias, confirmation bias, mere thought effect, attentional bias, belief bias, pragmatic fallacy, functional fixedness, and framing effect. The cognitive biases in limiting self-regulated learning group are overconfidence bias, better-than-average bias, planning fallacy, fundamental attribution error, Dunning-Kruger effect, hindsight bias, and blind-spot bias. The cognitive biases in limiting self-directed decision-making group are acquiescence effect, bandwagon effect, group-think, appeal to authority bias, and information bias. Lastly, the cognitive biases in category-limited thinking group are psychological essentialism, stereotyping, anthropomorphism, and outgroup homogeneity bias. The instructional strategy to reduce the level of cognitive biases is disused based on the psychological characters of cognitive biases reviewed in this study and related science education methods.

• Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.143-153
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• 2016

Objective: The purposes of this study are to survey needs for changing accident investigation from blaming to systems approach and to briefly summarize systems-based accident analysis techniques. Background: In modern complex socio-technical systems, accidents are caused by a variety of contributing factors including human, technical, organizational, social factors, not by just a single violation or error of a specific actor, but accidents investigation used to be focused on the incorrect action of individuals. A new approach investigating causes of accidents as a symptom of a deficient system is required. Method: This study was mainly based on survey of literatures related to accidents, accidents investigation, which included academic journals, newspapers, etc. Results: This study showed that accidents investigation of Korea focusing on blaming is problematic. This was confirmed by two concepts of migration and hindsight bias frequently found in accident causation studies, and an attribute of accidents having varying causes. This was illustrated with an example of Sewol ferry capsizing accident. Representative systems-based accident analysis models including Swiss cheese model, AcciMap, HFACS, FRAM and STAMP were briefly introduced, which can be used in systematic accidents investigations. Finally, this study proposed a procedure for establishing preventive measures of accidents, which was composed of two steps: public inquiry and devising preventive measures. Conclusion: A new approach considering how safety-critical components such as technical and social elements, and their interactions lead to accidents is needed for preventing reoccurrence of similar accidents in complex socio-technical systems. Application: The results would be used as a reference or guideline when the safety relevant governmental organizations investigate accidents.