• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제5권3호
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• pp.723-731
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• 1998

In this paper, we consider a hierarchical Bayes estimation of the parameter, the reliability and hazard rate function based on samples from a Burr type X failure model. Bayes calculations can be implemented by means of the Gibbs sampler and a numerical study us provided.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.71-83
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• 2000

This paper presents accelerated life tests for Type I censoring data under probabilistic stresses. Probabilistic stress, $S_j$, is the random variable for stress influenced by test environments, test equipments, sampling devices and use conditions. The hazard rate, ,$theta_j$, is the random variable of environments and the function of probabilistic stress. Also it is assumed that the general stress distribution is uniform, the life distribution for the given hazard rate, $\theta$, is exponential and inverse power law model holds. In this paper, we obtained maximum likelihood estimators of model parameters and the mean life in use stress condition.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.113-122
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• 2008

In this paper, we consider a periodic preventive maintenance policy in which each preventive maintenance reduces the hazard rate of amount proportional to the failure intensity, which increases since the system started to operate. And the effect of preventive maintenance at each preventive maintenance epoch is different. The expected cost rate per unit time for the proposed model is obtained. We discuss the optimal number N of the periodic preventive maintenance and the optimal period x, which minimize the expected cost rate per unit time and obtain the optimal preventive maintenance schedule for given cost structures of the model. A numerical example is given for the purpose of illustrating our results when the failure time distribution is Weibull distribution.

• 기술경영경제학회:학술대회논문집
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• 기술경영경제학회 2002년도 제21회 하계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.203-223
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• 2002

In Korea, Public Research Institutes(PRIs) are today faced with the challenges of creating values by transferring technologies in store within themselves to private commercial sector. Recently, It has been increasingly pointed out that PRIs have the poor capability to valuate prospective technologies of their own, and don't run the reasonable technology transfer mechanism in terms of establishing royalty rate and initial payment, designing remuneration to inventor, screening qualified licensee, and controlling the moral hazard. This paper develops an enhanced mathematical model of technology transfer from a PRI to a private industrial firm with including the inventor as an important player. The model is made up of the main part which derives the optimal royalty rate by maximizing the social welfare and sharing risk fairly between players and some sub-parts. The one sub-part is a principal-agent model which makes it possible to control the moral hazard of inventors, and the other part provides the criteria for screening appropriate licensees. Moreover, the moral hazard between inventor and licensee is addressed by introducing the cost reduction function of efforts exerted by them. The model is able to relate the optimal royalty rate to the parameters that represent the environments under which the concerned parties operate. Especially, the ratio of initial payment over the value of transferred technology is calculated from the binding relation with the royalty rate. The paper shows that the model suggested here is more enhanced by comparing with the existing technology transfer mechanism. Finally, the paper allows us to find better strategies for effective technology transfer and further develop more sophisticated technology transfer model.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 2003년도 추계 학술발표회논문집
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• pp.36-45
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• 2003

Sensitivity analyses for several seismic source models were studied. For the area sources, the hazard is steeply decreasing with the source-to-site distance. Hazard is decreasing when the area of the source is increasing with fixed annual rate. For the fault sources, the fault length, distance from a site and dip angle of near fault show very sensitive effect to seismic hazard. But the various magnitude-rupture length relationships show effect to seismic hazard slightly. For the fault source with small magnitude, the exponential model is preferred rather than the characteristic model to the magnitude-recurrence law.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권11호
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• pp.6369-6373
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• 2013

Background: Gastric cancer is one of the most common causes of cancer deaths all over the world and the most important reason for its high rate of death is its belated diagnosis at advanced stages of the disease. Events occur in patients which are regarded not only as themselves factors affecting patients' survival but also which can be affected by other factors. This study was designed and implemented aiming to identify these events and to investigate factors affecting their occurrence. Materials and Methods: Data from 330 patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery at the Iran Cancer Institute from 1995-1999 were analyzed. The survival time of these patients was determined after surgery and the effects of various factors including demographic, diagnostic and clinical as well as medical, and post-surgical varuiables on the occurrence of death hazard without relapse, hazard of relapse, and death hazard with a relapse were assessed. Results: The median survival time for these patients was 16.3 months and the 5-year survival rate was 21.6%. Based on the results of multi-state model, age and distant metastases affected relapse whereas disease stage, type and extent of surgery, lymph nodes metastases, and number of renewed treatments affected death hazard without relapse. Moreover, age, type and extent of surgery, number of renewed treatments, and liver metastases were identified as factors affecting death hazard in patients with relapse. Conclusions: Most cancer studies pay heed to factors which have effect on death occurrence, but some events occur which should be taken into consideration to better describe the natural process of the disease and provide researchers with more accurate data.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전기기기및에너지변환시스템부문B
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• 제54권7호
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• pp.309-316
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• 2005

In this paper we analyzed a dangerous failure and a safety requirement based on HIA (Hazard Identification and Analysis) of an interface model between CTC (Centralized Traffic Control) system and El (Interlocking) system, and assigned SU (Safety Integrity Level) by way of an risk estimation of the interface, which employed PHA (Preliminary Hazard Analysis) for the interface of the track control system, being managed as separated system between the centralized traffic control system and the interlocking system, An estimation which satisfies a safety reference of the international standard has been achieved through a quantification of the system failure rate and the dangerous failure rate of the interface model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.1225-1238
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• 2015

본 연구에서는 직장암 환자들의 수술 후 재발까지의 시간 데이터에 대해 집단 간 생존함수 양상에 차이가 있는지 로그 순위 검정 결과 유의수준 10%에서 포도당 단일수송체 (GLUT1)의 수준, 수술 전 병기 (cstage), 수술 후 병기 (ypstage)에 따른 차이가 유의하며, Cox 비례위험률 모형을 이용하여 검정한 결과 가장 유의한 공변량은 포도당 단일수송체와 수술 후 병기였다. 지수분포를 따른다고 가정할 경우, 우도함수를 기반한 여러 가지 위험률 변화점을 추정하였다.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.23-29
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• 2008

본 연구는 사망률이 높은 도로 곡선부를 대상으로 도로설계요소를 기반으로 안전도 판단지수를 설정하고 이로부터 사고율을 산정하는 모듈과 곡선부와 곡선부 진입전 직선부에서의 속도차를 추정하는 모형을 개발하고 이로부터 곡선부의 안전도를 판단하는 등 두 개의 모듈을 제시하고 있다. 그리고 이러한 두 개의 모듈을 통합한 통합모델을 통해 곡선부의 안전도를 등급화 할 수 있도록 하는 것을 목적으로 한다.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제4권3호
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• pp.59-66
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• 2002

This paper presents accelerated life tests for Type I censoring data under probabilistic stresses. Probabilistic stress, S, is the random variable for stress influenced by test environments, test equipments, sampling devices and use conditions. The hazard rate, $\theta$ is a random variable of environments and a function of probabilistic stress. In detail, it is assumed that the hazard rate is linear function of the stress, the general stress distribution is a gamma distribution and the life distribution for the given hazard rate, $\theta$is an exponential distribution. Maximum likelihood estimators of model parameters are obtained, and the mean life in use stress condition is estimated. A hypothetical example is given to show its applicability.