• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard area

Search Result 907, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Evaluating the Spatio-temporal Drought Patterns over Bangladesh using Effective Drought Index (EDI)

  • Kamruzzaman, Md.;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil;Park, Chanwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.158-158
    • /
    • 2018
  • Drought is a recurrent natural hazard in Bangladesh. It has significant impacts on agriculture, environment, and society. Well-timed information on the onset, extent, intensity, duration, and impacts of drought can mitigate the potential drought-related losses. Thus, drought characteristics need to be explained in terms of frequency, severity, and duration. This paper aims to characterize the spatial and temporal pattern of meteorological drought using EDI and illustrated drought severity over Bangladesh. Twenty-seven (27) station-based daily rainfall data for the study period of 1981-2015 were used to calculate the EDI values over Bangladesh. The evaluation of EDI is conducted for 4 sub-regions over the country to confirm the historical drought record-developed at the regional scale. The finding shows that on average, the frequency of severe to extreme drought is approximately 0.7 events per year. As a result of the regional analysis, most of the recorded historical drought events were successfully detected during the study period. Additionally, the seasonal analysis showed that the extreme droughts were frequently hit in northwestern, middle portion of the eastern and small portion of central parts of Bangladesh during the Kharif(wet) and Rabi(dry) seasons. The severe drought was affected recurrently in the central and northern regions of the country during all cropping seasons. The study also points out that the northern, south-western and central regions in Bangladesh are comparatively vulnerable to both extreme and severe drought event. The study showed that EDI would be a useful tool to identify the drought-prone area and time and potentially applicable to the climate change-induced drought evolution monitoring at regional to the national level in Bangladesh. The outcome of the present study can be used in taking anticipatory strategies to mitigate the drought damages on agricultural production as well as human sufferings in drought-prone areas of Bangladesh.

  • PDF

Prediction of Overflow Hazard Area in Urban Watershed by Applying Data-Driven Model (자료지향형 모형을 이용한 도시유역에서의 월류 위험지역 예측)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Keum, Ho Jun;Lee, Jae Yeong;Kim, Beom Jin;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.6-6
    • /
    • 2018
  • 최근 집중 호우로 인한 내수침수 피해가 도시화와 기후변화로 늘어나고 있다. 내수침수 피해로 인한 복구비용과 시간이 증가하고 있으며 향후에는 이보다 더 크게 늘어날 것으로 예상된다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위하여 충분한 선행시간을 가지고 내수 침수 구역을 제시할 수 있어야 한다. 기존의 물리적 모델은 정확하고 정교한 결과를 제공하지만, 시뮬레이션을 준비하고 마치는 데에 시간이 많이 소요된다. 그 이유로서는 강우량, 지형적 특성, 배수관망 시스템, 수문학적 매개변수 등의 다양한 데이터도 필요하기 때문이다. 이는 도시유역에 대한 내수침수의 실시간 예측이 어렵게 되었으며, 충분한 선행시간을 확보하지 못하는 원인이 되었다. 본 연구에서는 이 문제에 대한 해결책으로 결정론적 방법과 확률론적 방법을 자료지향형 모형으로 결합하여 해결책을 제시하고자 하며, 특정 강우 조건하에 도시유역에서의 내수침수에 영향을 미치는 맨홀에 대한 정보를 제공하고자 한다. 위와 같은 과정을 수행하기 위하여 입력자료 조합에 대한 비선형 분석을 실시하였으며, 그 결과로 특정 강우 조건에 대하여 각 맨홀에 대한 누적월류량을 예측할 수 있는 비선형 인공신경망을 구축할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 제시된 방법론은 국내의 강남 배수분구에 대하여 적용이 되었으며, 내수침수 예측결과와 2차원 해석결과를 비교하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 위 과정을 통하여 1차원 도시유출해석을 위한 입력 자료를 준비하는 시간을 절약하고, 다양한 강우 조건과 내수침수지도 사이의 연관성을 학습하는 예측 모형을 이용하여 도시유역의 내수침수에 대한 충분한 선행시간을 확보하고자 한다. 결론적으로, 이 연구의 결과는 도시유역에 대한 비구조적 대책 수립에 도움을 줄 것으로 확인이 되며 도시 유역 내에 맨홀 위치들을 고려한 위험지구를 파악하는 데에 유용할 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Risk assessment of karst collapse using an integrated fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and grey relational analysis model

  • Ding, Hanghang;Wu, Qiang;Zhao, Dekang;Mu, Wenping;Yu, Shuai
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.18 no.5
    • /
    • pp.515-525
    • /
    • 2019
  • A karst collapse, as a natural hazard, is totally different to a normal collapse. In recent years, karst collapses have caused substantial economic losses and even threatened human safety. A risk assessment model for karst collapse was developed based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) and grey relational analysis (GRA), which is a simple and effective mathematical algorithm. An evaluation index played an important role in the process of completing the risk assessment model. In this study, the proposed model was applied to Jiaobai village in southwest China. First, the main controlling factors were summarized as an evaluation index of the model based on an investigation and statistical analysis of the natural formation law of karst collapse. Second, the FAHP was used to determine the relative weights and GRA was used to calculate the grey relational coefficient among the indices. Finally, the relational sequence of evaluation objects was established by calculating the grey weighted relational degree. According to the maximum relational rule, the greater the relational degree the better the relational degree with the hierarchy set. The results showed that the model accurately simulated the field condition. It is also demonstrated the contribution of various control factors to the process of karst collapse and the degree of collapse in the study area.

Prediction of Coronary Heart Disease Risk in Korean Patients with Diabetes Mellitus

  • Koo, Bo Kyung;Oh, Sohee;Kim, Yoon Ji;Moon, Min Kyong
    • Journal of Lipid and Atherosclerosis
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.110-121
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objective: We developed a new equation for predicting coronary heart disease (CHD) risk in Korean diabetic patients using a hospital-based cohort and compared it with a UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) risk engine. Methods: By considering patients with type 2 diabetes aged ${\geq}30years$ visiting the diabetic center in Boramae hospital in 2006, we developed a multivariable equation for predicting CHD events using the Cox proportional hazard model. Those with CHD were excluded. The predictability of CHD events over 6 years was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves, which were compared using the DeLong test. Results: A total of 732 participants (304 males and 428 females; mean age, $60{\pm}10years$; mean duration of diabetes, $10{\pm}7years$) were followed up for 76 months (range, 1-99 month). During the study period, 48 patients (6.6%) experienced CHD events. The AUROC of the proposed equation for predicting 6-year CHD events was 0.721 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.641-0.800), which is significantly larger than that of the UKPDS risk engine (0.578; 95% CI, 0.482-0.675; p from DeLong test=0.001). Among the subjects with <5% of risk based on the proposed equation, 30.6% (121 out of 396) were classified as ${\geq}10%$ of risk based on the UKPDS risk engine, and their event rate was only 3.3% over 6 years. Conclusion: The UKPDS risk engine overestimated CHD risk in type 2 diabetic patients in this cohort, and the proposed equation has superior predictability for CHD risk compared to the UKPDS risk engine.

Review of earthquake-induced landslide modeling and scenario-based application

  • Lee, Giha;An, Hyunuk;Yeon, Minho;Seo, Jun Pyo;Lee, Chang Woo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.47 no.4
    • /
    • pp.963-978
    • /
    • 2020
  • Earthquakes can induce a large number of landslides and cause very serious property damage and human casualties. There are two issues in study on earthquake-induced landslides: (1) slope stability analysis under seismic loading and (2) debris flow run-out analysis. This study aims to review technical studies related to the development and application of earthquake-induced landslide models (seismic slope stability analysis). Moreover, a pilot application of a physics-based slope stability model to Mt. Umyeon, in Seoul, with several earthquake scenarios was conducted to test regional scale seismic landslide mapping. The earthquake-induced landslide simulation model can be categorized into 1) Pseudo-static model, 2) Newmark's dynamic displacement model and 3) stress-strain model. The Pseudo-static model is preferred for producing seismic landslide hazard maps because it is impossible to verify the dynamic model-based simulation results due to lack of earthquake-induced landslide inventory in Korea. Earthquake scenario-based simulation results show that given dry conditions, unstable slopes begin to occur in parts of upper areas due to the 50-year earthquake magnitude; most of the study area becomes unstable when the earthquake frequency is 200 years. On the other hand, when the soil is in a wet state due to heavy rainfall, many areas are unstable even if no earthquake occurs, and when rainfall and 50-year earthquakes occur simultaneously, most areas appear unstable, as in simulation results based on 100-year earthquakes in dry condition.

Hazards of decomposition and explosion for Tert-butylperoxymaleate (터셔리부틸퍼옥시말레이트의 분해 및 폭발 위험성)

  • Lee, Jung-Suk;Han, Ou-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.40-47
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, hazards of decomposition and explosion for tert-butylperoxymaleate(TBPM), an organic peroxide, were evaluated by using various equipment to determine the cause of a fire explosion accident. As a result of DSC analysis, the instantaneous power density of TBPM was 26,401 kW/ml, and the NFPA reactive index(Nr) was classified as 4. And the positive value of EP(explosive propagation) and SS(shock sensitivity) showed that the TBPM had a potential hazard of explosion. From the experimental results, the shock sensitivity and friction sensitivity was rated as class 4 and 5, respectively. In the pressure vessel test, TBPM was ranked USA-PVT No.4 and evaluated as a self-reactive substance. In the combustion rate test, TBPM had the combustion rate of 167 mm/sec and was evaluated as the flammable solid classification 2 in GHS.

Anti-obesity effects of Tenebrio molitor larvae powder in high-fat diet-induced obese mice

  • Park, Bo Mi;Lim, Hyung Ju;Lee, Bong Joo
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
    • /
    • v.54 no.4
    • /
    • pp.342-354
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: Obesity is a serious public health issue for the modern society and is considered a chronic health hazard. There are many surgical and pharmacological approaches to treat obesity. However, various potentially hazardous side effects remain the biggest challenge. Therefore, diets based on foods derived from natural products have gained increasing attention compared to anti-obesity drugs. Recently, research on edible insects as a food source has been a topic of considerable interest in the scientific communities. This study examined the anti-obesity effects of ingesting an edible insect by feeding a high-fat diet (HFD)-induced obese mouse models with a diet containing Tenebrio molitor larvae powder (TMLP). Methods: Six-week-old female C57BL/6J mice were divided into 4 groups according to treatment: 100% normal diet (ND), 100% HFD (HFD), HFD 99% + TMLP 1% (TMLP), and HFD 97% + TMLP 3% (TMLP 3%). TMLP was added to the HFD for 6 weeks for the latter two groups. Results: Compared to the HFD group, mice in the TMLP group showed weight loss, and micro-computed tomographic imaging revealed that the volume of the adipose tissue in the abdominal area also showed significant reduction. After an autopsy, the fat weight was found to be significantly reduced in the TMLP group compared to the HFD group. In addition, the degree of fat cell deposition in the liver tissue and the size of the adipocytes significantly decreased in the TMLP group. Reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction analysis for the mRNA expression of adipogenesis-related genes namely CCAAT-enhancer-binding proteins (C/EBP-β, C/EBP-δ), and fatty acid-binding protein 4 (FABP4) showed that the expression levels of these genes were significantly reduced in the TMLP group compared to the HFD group. Serum leptin level also decreased significantly in the TMLP group in the comparison with the HFD group. In addition, total cholesterol, triglyceride, and glucose levels in mouse serum also decreased in the TMLP group. Conclusion: Taken together, our results showed that TMLP effectively inhibited adipocyte growth and reduced body weight in obese mice.

Study on Safety Management Status and Policy Directions of Small and Medium-sized Building Construction Field in Seoul (서울시 중·소형 건축공사장의 안전관리 실태와 대책 마련 연구)

  • Kim, Joo-Young;Lee, Jiae;Kim, Jong-Chan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.361-375
    • /
    • 2021
  • Seoul metropolitan government of South Korea has large population and facilities, and lots of building construction have been performed in urban area. Many safety accidents with causing lives and property damages occurred at construction sites in South Korea and Seoul. Thus, Korea government and Seoul have made efforts to secure the safety of construction sites. In this study, current law and measures by central department and Seoul were analyzed to find limitations and improvement points in construction safety management. Safety inspection results for construction sites in Seoul were investigated to demonstrate the main hazard work and safety risk, and interview surveys targeting safety managing persons were performed according to safety management, inspection, and education. Based on analytical results of current status on safety management, improvement measures were proposed for safety secure on construction safety in Seoul. The proposed measures include improvement of safety management systems, alleviation of safety blind spots according to construction size, strengthening efficiency of safety management, and autonomous safety engagement by construction sites centered.

Improvements of Unit System for nationwide expansion of Early Warning Service for Agrometeorological Disaster (농업기상재해 조기경보시스템의 전국 확대를 위한 단위 시스템의 개선)

  • Park, Joo Hueon;Shin, Yong Soon;Shim, Kyo-Moon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.356-365
    • /
    • 2021
  • The nationwide expansion of the agricultural early warning service for agrometeorological disaster would require assessment of geographical and agricultural environmental characteristics by individual region. The development of an efficient computing environment would facilitate such services for the area of study region to deal with various crops and varieties for many farms. In particular, the design of the computing environment would have a considerable impact on the service quality of agriculture meteorology when the scale of computing environments increases for extended service areas. The objectives of this study were to derive the issues on the current computing environment under which services are provided by each region and to seek the solutions to these problems. The self-evaluation through experimental operation for about a year indicated that integration of the early warning service system distributed over different regions would reduce redundant computing procedures and ensure efficient storage and comprehensive management of data. This suggested that the early warning service for agrometeorological disaster would become more stable even when the service areas are to be expanded to the national scale. This would contribute to higher quality services for individual farmers.

Evaluation on De-Icing Salts Laden Environment of Road in Seoul (제설제에 노출된 서울시내 도로 시설물의 열화 환경 분석)

  • Yoon, In-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2022
  • De -icing salts have been used commonly in areas where snow or ice is a seasonal safety hazard for roadway, however, the salts is one of main causes on serious deterioration of road infrastructures in crowded urban city like Seoul. In order to establish maintenance strategy of road infrastructures under de-icing salts laden environment, it is necessary to examine environmental characteristics and its response to the existing facilities. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the deterioration environment of road infrastructures. Additional purpose is to develop a design model and details for durability design of infrastructures under de-icing salts laden environment, considering mainly a build-up rate of surface chlorides. Concentration of external chloride solution and surface chloride content were calculated at the level of average de-icing salts for 5 years, ratio of auxiliary road of 17.5 to 30%, and effective exposure area to snow 50 to 80%. The chloride build-up rate was 0.073 ~ 0.077% / year and the maximum surface chloride content was calculated to be 2.2 ~ 2.31% by concrete wt. This study is expected to be used for establishing integrated strategy of road infrastructures, such as predicting chloride profiles or degree of chemical corrosion to exposure concrete.