• Title/Summary/Keyword: Graduation prediction

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Applying advanced machine learning techniques in the early prediction of graduate ability of university students

  • Pham, Nga;Tiep, Pham Van;Trang, Tran Thu;Nguyen, Hoai-Nam;Choi, Gyoo-Seok;Nguyen, Ha-Nam
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2022
  • The number of people enrolling in universities is rising due to the simplicity of applying and the benefit of earning a bachelor's degree. However, the on-time graduation rate has declined since plenty of students fail to complete their courses and take longer to get their diplomas. Even though there are various reasons leading to the aforementioned problem, it is crucial to emphasize the cause originating from the management and care of learners. In fact, understanding students' difficult situations and offering timely Number of Test data and advice would help prevent college dropouts or graduate delays. In this study, we present a machine learning-based method for early detection at-risk students, using data obtained from graduates of the Faculty of Information Technology, Dainam University, Vietnam. We experiment with several fundamental machine learning methods before implementing the parameter optimization techniques. In comparison to the other strategies, Random Forest and Grid Search (RF&GS) and Random Forest and Random Search (RF&RS) provided more accurate predictions for identifying at-risk students.

A Comparative Study of Predictive Factors for Passing the National Physical Therapy Examination using Logistic Regression Analysis and Decision Tree Analysis

  • Kim, So Hyun;Cho, Sung Hyoun
    • Physical Therapy Rehabilitation Science
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2022
  • Objective: The purpose of this study is to use logistic regression and decision tree analysis to identify the factors that affect the success or failurein the national physical therapy examination; and to build and compare predictive models. Design: Secondary data analysis study Methods: We analyzed 76,727 subjects from the physical therapy national examination data provided by the Korea Health Personnel Licensing Examination Institute. The target variable was pass or fail, and the input variables were gender, age, graduation status, and examination area. Frequency analysis, chi-square test, binary logistic regression, and decision tree analysis were performed on the data. Results: In the logistic regression analysis, subjects in their 20s (Odds ratio, OR=1, reference), expected to graduate (OR=13.616, p<0.001) and from the examination area of Jeju-do (OR=3.135, p<0.001), had a high probability of passing. In the decision tree, the predictive factors for passing result had the greatest influence in the order of graduation status (x2=12366.843, p<0.001) and examination area (x2=312.446, p<0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed a specificity of 39.6% and sensitivity of 95.5%; while decision tree analysis showed a specificity of 45.8% and sensitivity of 94.7%. In classification accuracy, logistic regression and decision tree analysis showed 87.6% and 88.0% prediction, respectively. Conclusions: Both logistic regression and decision tree analysis were adequate to explain the predictive model. Additionally, whether actual test takers passed the national physical therapy examination could be determined, by applying the constructed prediction model and prediction rate.

Machine Learning Based Prediction of Bitcoin Mining Difficulty (기계학습 기반 비트코인 채굴 난이도 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Joon-won;Kwon, Taekyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2019
  • Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency with characteristics such as de-centralization and distributed ledger, and these features are maintained through a mining system called "proof of work". In the mining system, mining difficulty is adjusted to keep the block generation time constant. However, Bitcoin's current method to update mining difficulty does not reflect the future hash power, so the block generation time can not be kept constant and the error occurs between designed time and real time. This increases the inconsistency between block generation and real world and causes problems such as not meeting deadlines of transaction and exposing the vulnerability to coin-hopping attack. Previous studies to keep the block generation time constant still have the error. In this paper, we propose a machine-learning based method to reduce the error. By training with the previous hash power, we predict the future hash power and adjust the mining difficulty. Our experimental result shows that the error rate can be reduced by about 36% compared with the current method.

Deep learning based teacher candidate acceptance prediction using college credits and activities (딥 러닝 기반 대학 이수학점 및 활동에 의한 교원임용 후보자 경쟁 시험 합격여부 예측)

  • Kim, Geun-Ho;Kim, Eui-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.917-922
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    • 2019
  • The recent increase in preference for teacher jobs has led to a rise in preference for education colleges. Not all students can enter teachers, but they must pass the test called the competitive examination for teacher appointment candidates after graduation. However, due to the declining population, the and employment T.O.s are decreasing every year and the competition rate is rising steeply. Therefore, in order to concentrate on the recruitment exam upon entering the university, the university is becoming a huge academy for the exam, not a place to study and learn. We found a connection between students' overall school life and their use of study groups as well as their grades and whether they passed the competition test for teachers using deep running. The academic activities did not significantly affect the acceptance process, and the accuracy of the prediction of the acceptance rate was generally 70% accurate.

Study on the Prediction Model for Employment of University Graduates Using Machine Learning Classification (머신러닝 기법을 활용한 대졸 구직자 취업 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Hun;Kim, Tae Hyung
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.287-306
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Youth unemployment is a social problem that continues to emerge in Korea. In this study, we create a model that predicts the employment of college graduates using decision tree, random forest and artificial neural network among machine learning techniques and compare the performance between each model through prediction results. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the data processing was performed, including the acquisition of the college graduates' vocational path survey data first, then the selection of independent variables and setting up dependent variables. We use R to create decision tree, random forest, and artificial neural network models and predicted whether college graduates were employed through each model. And at the end, the performance of each model was compared and evaluated. Findings The results showed that the random forest model had the highest performance, and the artificial neural network model had a narrow difference in performance than the decision tree model. In the decision-making tree model, key nodes were selected as to whether they receive economic support from their families, major affiliates, the route of obtaining information for jobs at universities, the importance of working income when choosing jobs and the location of graduation universities. Identifying the importance of variables in the random forest model, whether they receive economic support from their families as important variables, majors, the route to obtaining job information, the degree of irritating feelings for a month, and the location of the graduating university were selected.

Learning Ability Prediction System for Developing Competence Based Curriculum: Focusing on the Case of D-University (역량중심 교육과정 개발을 위한 학업성취도 예측 시스템: D대학 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sungkook;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2022
  • Achievement at university is recognized in a comprehensive sense as the level of qualitative change and development that students have embodied as a result of their experience in university education. Therefore, the academic achievement of university students will be given meaning in cooperation with the historical and social demands for diverse human resources such as creativity, leadership, and global ability, but it is practically an indicator of the outcome of university education. Measurement of academic achievement by such credits involves many problems, but in particular, standardization of academic achievement by credits based on evaluation methods, contents, and university rankings is a very difficult problem. In this study, we present a model that uses machine learning techniques to predict whether or not academic achievement is excellent for D-University graduates. The variables used were analyzed using up to 96 personal information and bachelor's information such as graduation year, department number, department name, etc., but when establishing a future education course, only the data after enrollment works effectively. Therefore, the items to be analyzed are limited to the recommended ability to improve the academic achievement of the department/student. In this research, we implemented an academic achievement prediction model through analysis of core abilities that reflect the philosophy, goals, human resources image, and utilized machine learning to affect the impact of the introduction of the prediction model on academic achievement. We plan to apply the results of future research to the establishment of curriculum and student guidance conducted in the department to establish a basis for improving academic achievement.

A Study on Tractive Resistance Prediction of Logging machine (집재기계의 견인저항예측에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jae Heun;Cha, Du Song
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.62-73
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to predict the tractive resistance for tree length logs being skidded by ground based logging machine. The mathematical models for predicting the tractive resistance of tree length log have been developed. The tractive resistance is expressed as a function of log weight, skidding coefficient, and ground gradient. The skidding coefficients for four species of Korean pine, Japanese larch, mongolian oak, and cork oak were determined under laboratory condition using universal testing machine and small soil bin, Three different tractive resistance models were applied to four species and compared with each other. The ratios (T/Wt) of skidding-line tensions to the skidding log weight increased linearly with increment in ground gradient. Semi-ground skidding generally required smaller tensions than ground skidding under given condition. Results of this study can be utilized as basic information for logging machine selection and power requirement of skidding winch.

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