• Title/Summary/Keyword: Gaussian Process for Regression (GPR)

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Forecasting tunnel path geology using Gaussian process regression

  • Mahmoodzadeh, Arsalan;Mohammadi, Mokhtar;Abdulhamid, Sazan Nariman;Ali, Hunar Farid Hama;Ibrahim, Hawkar Hashim;Rashidi, Shima
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.359-374
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    • 2022
  • Geology conditions are crucial in decision-making during the planning and design phase of a tunnel project. Estimation of the geology conditions of road tunnels is subject to significant uncertainties. In this work, the effectiveness of a novel regression method in estimating geological or geotechnical parameters of road tunnel projects was explored. This method, called Gaussian process regression (GPR), formulates the learning of the regressor within a Bayesian framework. The GPR model was trained with data of old tunnel projects. To verify its feasibility, the GPR technique was applied to a road tunnel to predict the state of three geological/geomechanical parameters of Rock Mass Rating (RMR), Rock Structure Rating (RSR) and Q-value. Finally, in order to validate the GPR approach, the forecasted results were compared to the field-observed results. From this comparison, it was concluded that, the GPR is presented very good predictions. The R-squared values between the predicted results of the GPR vs. field-observed results for the RMR, RSR and Q-value were obtained equal to 0.8581, 0.8148 and 0.8788, respectively.

Prediction of duration and construction cost of road tunnels using Gaussian process regression

  • Mahmoodzadeh, Arsalan;Mohammadi, Mokhtar;Abdulhamid, Sazan Nariman;Ibrahim, Hawkar Hashim;Ali, Hunar Farid Hama;Nejati, Hamid Reza;Rashidi, Shima
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2022
  • Time and cost of construction are key factors in decision-making during a tunnel project's planning and design phase. Estimations of time and cost of tunnel construction projects are subject to significant uncertainties caused by uncertain geotechnical and geological conditions. The Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) technique for predicting ground condition and construction time and cost of mountain tunnel projects is used in this work. The GPR model is trained with data from past mountain tunnel projects. The model is applied to a case study in which the predicted time and cost of tunnel construction using the GPR model are compared with the actual construction time and cost for model validation and reducing the uncertainty for the future projects. In addition, the results obtained from the GPR have been compared with to other models of artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) that the GPR model provides more accurate results.

Applications of Gaussian Process Regression to Groundwater Quality Data (가우시안 프로세스 회귀분석을 이용한 지하수 수질자료의 해석)

  • Koo, Min-Ho;Park, Eungyu;Jeong, Jina;Lee, Heonmin;Kim, Hyo Geon;Kwon, Mijin;Kim, Yongsung;Nam, Sungwoo;Ko, Jun Young;Choi, Jung Hoon;Kim, Deog-Geun;Jo, Si-Beom
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2016
  • Gaussian process regression (GPR) is proposed as a tool of long-term groundwater quality predictions. The major advantage of GPR is that both prediction and the prediction related uncertainty are provided simultaneously. To demonstrate the applicability of the proposed tool, GPR and a conventional non-parametric trend analysis tool are comparatively applied to synthetic examples. From the application, it has been found that GPR shows better performance compared to the conventional method, especially when the groundwater quality data shows typical non-linear trend. The GPR model is further employed to the long-term groundwater quality predictions based on the data from two domestically operated groundwater monitoring stations. From the applications, it has been shown that the model can make reasonable predictions for the majority of the linear trend cases with a few exceptions of severely non-Gaussian data. Furthermore, for the data shows non-linear trend, GPR with mean of second order equation is successfully applied.

Groundwater Level Trend Analysis for Long-term Prediction Basedon Gaussian Process Regression (가우시안 프로세스 회귀분석을 이용한 지하수위 추세분석 및 장기예측 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo Geon;Park, Eungyu;Jeong, Jina;Han, Weon Shik;Kim, Kue-Young
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.30-41
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    • 2016
  • The amount of groundwater related data is drastically increasing domestically from various sources since 2000. To justify the more expansive continuation of the data acquisition and to derive valuable implications from the data, continued employments of sophisticated and state-of-the-arts statistical tools in the analyses and predictions are important issue. In the present study, we employed a well established machine learning technique of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model in the trend analyses of groundwater level for the long-term change. The major benefit of GPR model is that the model provide not only the future predictions but also the associated uncertainty. In the study, the long-term predictions of groundwater level from the stations of National Groundwater Monitoring Network located within Han River Basin were exemplified as prediction cases based on the GPR model. In addition, a few types of groundwater change patterns were delineated (i.e., increasing, decreasing, and no trend) on the basis of the statistics acquired from GPR analyses. From the study, it was found that the majority of the monitoring stations has decreasing trend while small portion shows increasing or no trend. To further analyze the causes of the trend, the corresponding precipitation data were jointly analyzed by the same method (i.e., GPR). Based on the analyses, the major cause of decreasing trend of groundwater level is attributed to reduction of precipitation rate whereas a few of the stations show weak relationship between the pattern of groundwater level changes and precipitation.

Comparison of machine learning techniques to predict compressive strength of concrete

  • Dutta, Susom;Samui, Pijush;Kim, Dookie
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.463-470
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    • 2018
  • In the present study, soft computing i.e., machine learning techniques and regression models algorithms have earned much importance for the prediction of the various parameters in different fields of science and engineering. This paper depicts that how regression models can be implemented for the prediction of compressive strength of concrete. Three models are taken into consideration for this; they are Gaussian Process for Regression (GPR), Multi Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS) and Minimax Probability Machine Regression (MPMR). Contents of cement, blast furnace slag, fly ash, water, superplasticizer, coarse aggregate, fine aggregate and age in days have been taken as inputs and compressive strength as output for GPR, MARS and MPMR models. A comparatively large set of data including 1030 normalized previously published results which were obtained from experiments were utilized. Here, a comparison is made between the results obtained from all the above mentioned models and the model which provides the best fit is established. The experimental results manifest that proposed models are robust for determination of compressive strength of concrete.

Study of Polymor Properties Prediction Using Nonlinear SEM Based on Gaussian Process Regression (가우시안 프로세서 회귀 기반의 비선형 구조방정식을 활용한 고분자 물성거동 예측 연구)

  • Moon Kyung-Yeol;Park Kun-Wook
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2024
  • In the development and mass production of polymers, there are many uncontrollable variables. Even small changes in chemical composition, structure, and processing conditions can lead to large variations in properties. Therefore, Traditional linear modeling techniques that assume a general environment often produce significant errors when applied to field data. In this study, we propose a new modeling method (GPR-SEM) that combines Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) to study the Friction-Coefficient and Flexural-Strength properties of Polyacetal resin, an engineering plastic, in order to meet the recent trend of using plastics in industrial drive components. And we also consider the possibility of using it for materials modeling with nonlinearity.

Accurate application of Gaussian process regression for cosmology

  • Hwang, Seung-gyu;L'Huillier, Benjamin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.48.1-48.1
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    • 2021
  • Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a powerful method used for model-independent analysis of cosmological observations. In GPR, it is important to decide an input mean function and hyperparameters that affect the reconstruction results. Depending on how the input mean function and hyperparameters are determined in the literature, I divide into four main applications for GPR and compare their results. In particular, a zero mean function is commonly used as an input mean function, which may be inappropriate for reconstructing cosmological observations such as the distance modulus. Using mock data based on Pantheon compilation of type Ia supernovae, I will point out the problem of using a zero input and suggest a new way to deal with the input mean function.

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Gaussian process regression model to predict factor of safety of slope stability

  • Arsalan, Mahmoodzadeh;Hamid Reza, Nejati;Nafiseh, Rezaie;Adil Hussein, Mohammed;Hawkar Hashim, Ibrahim;Mokhtar, Mohammadi;Shima, Rashidi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.453-460
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    • 2022
  • It is essential for geotechnical engineers to conduct studies and make predictions about the stability of slopes, since collapse of a slope may result in catastrophic events. The Gaussian process regression (GPR) approach was carried out for the purpose of predicting the factor of safety (FOS) of the slopes in the study that was presented here. The model makes use of a total of 327 slope cases from Iran, each of which has a unique combination of geometric and shear strength parameters that were analyzed by PLAXIS software in order to determine their FOS. The K-fold (K = 5) technique of cross-validation (CV) was used in order to conduct an analysis of the accuracy of the models' predictions. In conclusion, the GPR model showed excellent ability in the prediction of FOS of slope stability, with an R2 value of 0.8355, RMSE value of 0.1372, and MAPE value of 6.6389%, respectively. According to the results of the sensitivity analysis, the characteristics (friction angle) and (unit weight) are, in descending order, the most effective, the next most effective, and the least effective parameters for determining slope stability.

Microstructural and mechanical characteristics of self-compacting concrete with waste rubber

  • Hadzima-Nyarko, Marijana;Nyarko, Karlo E.;Djikanovic, Daniela;Brankovic, Goran
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.78 no.2
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    • pp.175-186
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    • 2021
  • Due to the increasing environmental pollution caused by scrap tires, a solution is being sought to recycle and use them in a field of civil engineering, i.e., construction. This paper will provide a brief overview of previous researches that give detailed information on the advantages and disadvantages, considering the microstructural and mechanical characteristics of self-compacting concrete, when waste tire rubber as an aggregate is added. With this aim, a database of 144 different mixtures of self-compacting concrete with partial substitute of natural aggregate with recycled tire rubber (self-compacting rubberized concrete, SCRC) provided by various researchers was created. In this study we show that Gaussian process regression (GPR) modelling is an appropriate method for predicting compressive strength of SCC with recycled tire rubber particles and is in accordance with the results displayed by SEM images.

Prediction of squeezing phenomenon in tunneling projects: Application of Gaussian process regression

  • Mirzaeiabdolyousefi, Majid;Mahmoodzadeh, Arsalan;Ibrahim, Hawkar Hashim;Rashidi, Shima;Majeed, Mohammed Kamal;Mohammed, Adil Hussein
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2022
  • One of the most important issues in tunneling, is the squeezing phenomenon. Squeezing can occur during excavation or after the construction of tunnels, which in both cases could lead to significant damages. Therefore, it is important to predict the squeezing and consider it in the early design stage of tunnel construction. Different empirical, semi-empirical and theoretical-analytical methods have been presented to determine the squeezing. Therefore, it is necessary to examine the ability of each of these methods and identify the best method among them. In this study, squeezing in a part of the Alborz service tunnel in Iran was estimated through a number of empirical, semi- empirical and theoretical-analytical methods. Among these methods, the most robust model was used to obtain a database including 300 data for training and 33 data for testing in order to develop a machine learning (ML) method. To this end, three ML models of Gaussian process regression (GPR), artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) were trained and tested to propose a robust model to predict the squeezing phenomenon. A comparative analysis between the conventional and the ML methods utilized in this study showed that, the GPR model is the most robust model in the prediction of squeezing phenomenon. The sensitivity analysis of the input parameters using the mutual information test (MIT) method showed that, the most sensitive parameter on the squeezing phenomenon is the tangential strain (ε_θ^α) parameter with a sensitivity score of 2.18. Finally, the GPR model was recommended to predict the squeezing phenomenon in tunneling projects. This work's significance is that it can provide a good estimation of the squeezing phenomenon in tunneling projects, based on which geotechnical engineers can take the necessary actions to deal with it in the pre-construction designs.