• Title/Summary/Keyword: GROWTH CURVE

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Development of Survivor Models Using Technological Growth Models (기술성장곡선을 활용한 생존모형 개발)

  • Oh, Hyun-Seung;Cho, Jin-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2010
  • Recent competitive and technological changes during the past decade have accelerated the need for better capital recovery methods. Competition and technology have together shortened the expected lives of property which could not have been forecasted several years ago. Since the usage of technological growth models has been prevalent in various technological forecasting environments, the various forms of growth models have become numerous. Of six such models studied, some models do significantly better than others, especially at low penetration levels in predicting future levels of growth. A set of criteria for choosing an appropriate model for technological growth models was developed. Two major characteristics of an S-shaped curve were elected which differentiate the various models; they are the skewness of the curve and underlying assumptions regarding the variance of error structure of the model.

Dependence of defects on growth rate in (100) ZnSe cryseal ((100) ZnSe 결정에서 결함의 성장 속도에 대한 의존성)

  • 박성수;이성국;김준홍;한재용;이상학
    • Journal of the Korean Crystal Growth and Crystal Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.263-268
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    • 1998
  • (100) ZnSe crystals with twin and grain free were grown by vapor transport method. The defect in (100) ZnSe crystals was investigated by FWHM of X-ray Rocking Curve. The growth rate and seed quality are the main parameters of the growth process to obtain the high quality ZnSe crystals. The geometric shape of the grown (100) ZnSe crystal is dependent on the shape of seed, isothermal line in furnace and the growth rate of each surface in crystal.

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A study on the relationship between economic growth and carbon emission of logistics industry in Tumen River region (두만강지역 경제성장과 물류업탄소배출의 관계분석)

  • Chi, zehang;Li, Guangzhu;Li, Longzhen
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the relationship between energy consumption in the logistics industry and economic growth of Tumen River region from 1995 to 2014 is empirically analyzed by using the EKC model theory. The results show that there is a turning point in the Kuznets curve of carbon emission in TumenRiverregion. And it has the characteristic sof "invertedU" curve, which conforms to the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. Meanwhile it is stil lintherisingstage. According to the analysis results, it is proposed to set up the concept of low carbon logistics, optimize the energy structure, strengthen the information construction, and establish low-carbon development mechanism and so on.

A Study on the Optimal Release Time Decision of a Developed Software by using Logistic Testing Effort Function (로지스틱 테스트 노력함수를 이용한 소프트웨어의 최적인도시기 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Che, Gyu-Shik;Kim, Yong-Kyung
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a software-reliability growth model incoporating the amount of testing effort expended during the software testing phase after developing it. The time-dependent behavior of testing effort expenditures is described by a Logistic curve. Assuming that the error detection rate to the amount of testing effort spent during the testing phase is proportional to the current error content, a software-reliability growth model is formulated by a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. Using this model the method of data analysis for software reliability measurement is developed. After defining a software reliability, This paper discusses the relations between testing time and reliability and between duration following failure fixing and reliability are studied. SRGM in several literatures has used the exponential curve, Railleigh curve or Weibull curve as an amount of testing effort during software testing phase. However, it might not be appropriate to represent the consumption curve for testing effort by one of already proposed curves in some software development environments. Therefore, this paper shows that a logistic testing-effort function can be adequately expressed as a software development/testing effort curve and that it gives a good predictive capability based on real failure data.

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Stem and Stand Taper Model Using Spline Function and Linear Equation (Spline 함수(函數)와 선형방정식(線型方程式)을 이용한 수간(樹幹) 및 임분간곡선(林分幹曲線)모델)

  • Lee, Woo Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.83 no.1
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 1994
  • One of the essential factors to estimate the stem and stand growth is to correctly portray a stem form (profile). It is also required to numerically approximate a stem form in order to dynamically grasp and represent a stand growth. A whole stem form seems to be a conical form but a stem outline at various positions tapers off differently. Accordingly it is difficult to model a whole stand form with single taper equation. A stem taper equation with different coefficients on each subinterval can be useful tools to accurately portray a stem form. This article presents the derivation method of individual stem taper curve using spline function. It is also in this paper aimed to study how a stand taper curve car, be derived from the population of single stem taper curve in a stand. These taper equations numerically formulated enable to dynamically represent and prognosticate the development process of a stand and prepare the foundation of variety on growth model study and rational forest planning model.

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Study on the Characteristics of Height Growth by PHV Age -Using longitudinal data of age 7 to 18- (PHV 연령별 신장 발육의 특징에 관한 연구 -7~18세의 종단적 자료를 이용하여-)

  • Park, Ju-Mi;Kim, Myung
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.74-86
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    • 1991
  • This study tried to clear the characteristics of height growth pattern depending on Peak Height Velocity age in early, average and late groups. And in it, height growth tendency of girl students in age 7 to 18 years old was compared and investigated in order to know influencing factors, menarcheal age relation. The samples were senior girl students at high school in Seoul. Longitudinal data and survey data were collected in August, 1990. The results could be summarized as follows: 1. On distance curve, the height growth line in early group tended to be the highest and in late group the lowest. On the other hand, on velocity curve late group showed the highest peak and early group showed the lowest peak. In late group, velocity curve was too steep. Of course, these early, average and late groups were classified by PHV age. 2. In these three groups, late group showed the most growth amount per year. However, on distance curve, early group showed higher line than late group. Perhaps this means that peak growth amount in late group might have an effect on mean. 3. Growth amount of adolescence spurt age in these three groups was 6.86cm at age 9(early group), 7.27cm at l1(average group) and 7.65cm at 13(late group). In early group, because. PHV age came too early, it was difficult to find exact adolescence spurt period. In early group, the adolescence spurt period is considered to come at about age 7 to 9. In average group, at 9 to 11 and at 12 to 13 in late group. Especially, spurt of late group was remarkable. 4. When the growth amount of PA, before PA and after PA was compared, growth amount of PA in all three groups was about 20%. In early group, growth amount of APV tended to be large and in late group, that of APV tended to be large and in late group, that of BPV was large. In average group, growth amount of BPV was larger than that of APV. 5. For the purpose of comparing total height growth amount of these groups at age 18, the height growth was assumed to be over. And then, the difference of three groups was studied but it's not significant. 6. Although the difference between height growth and family environment, dietary habits, exercise, disease history in these three groups was investigated, only the income was significant. The significance of all the other factors was not approved. 7. When menarcheal age was compared with PA, generally we know menarche appeared after 1∼2 years of PHV age. But in case of early group, the difference between PHV age and menarcheal age was 5.34 years. In average group, 2.45 years and 0.82 years in late group.

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Growth of Civic Organizations in South Korea (한국 시민단체의 성장에 대한 양적 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Joon;Kim, Kwang-Soo;Kim, Jae-On
    • Survey Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.75-101
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    • 2005
  • This study introduces and analyzes the data from Directory of Korean NGOs, which was published in 1997 and again in 200, to conduct a quantitative research on the growth of civic organization in South Korea. This paper focus on the information on membership size and founding year which are essential indicators for the growth of organizations. Missing rates on those two indicators are checked to evaluate the quality of data. We examine the changes in membership size between the two time periods, 1996 and 1999. It shows that there is a considerable decrease in the membership size for civic and advocary organizations that are oriented to national issues. It suggests the competition among the organizations over limited resources, which is consistent with an assumption of ecological theory of organization on non-linear growth pattern. Using founding year data from 1945 to 1996, we estimate pseudo growth curves of civic organizations based on logistic growth curve model to discuss different growth patterns of organizations across areas of activities.

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The Effects of oriental medical care on Growth Deficiency Children (성장장애(成長障碍)를 주소(主訴)로 내원(來院)한 환아(患兒)의 치료(治療) 효과(效果)에 대한 고찰(考察))

  • Lee Dong-Hyun;Kim Duck-Gon
    • The Journal of Pediatrics of Korean Medicine
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.145-162
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of oriental medical care on growth deficiency children. These cases were collected to investigate the effects of oriental medical care on growth deficiency children. So the cases were divided into 5 groups. The growth velocity was compared to a normal growth curve, and the results are as follows: 1. Oriental medical care was efficient when the epiphysial plates were not closed. 2. In female middle school beyond 1st grade students and in male middle school 3rd grade students who had almost closed epiphysial plates, the oriental medical care was not efficient and did not promote growth velocity. endothelium were used for the experiment using organ bath. 3. In the cases where the parent were very short, the effects of the oriental medical care to promote growth velocity was not efficient. 4. when we treated children of normal height, their growth velocity was over the normal growth curve. 5. In preschool aged children, oriental medical care was very efficient to promote children's growth. 6. The principle oriental medical care was to make balanced their body and digestive organs by using herb medicines that have the capability to promote the growth of the bones, and build strong muscles.

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The Growth-Curve Analysis of Tobacco in Various Cultivation Types (잎담배의 재배방법에 따른 생장 분석에 대하여)

  • 김윤동;김용암
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.44-50
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    • 1980
  • The growth of flue-cured tobacco was analyzed with the mathematical treatment. The results are summarized as followings: 1. The growth curve was fitted to the quadratic polynomial equation in improved-mulching cultivation, blot to the Gompertz equation in the other cultivations. 2. The initial point of the maximum growth phase for dry weight was about 50 days after transplanting in improved-mulching cultivation, but about 40 days in the other cultivations, and the maximum growth period was for 25 days in all cultivations. 3. The growth rate of the maximum growth period in dry weight decreased in the order of improved-mulching cultivation, mulching cultivation, and non-mulching cultivation. 4. A relative growth amount in the maximum growth period was higher in later sowing. 5. The length of maximum growth was 5 days shorter in leaf area than in dry weight. The maximum growth phase was 7 days earlier in leaf area than in dry weight.

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Estimation of Growth Curve Parameters for Body Weight and Measurements in Castrated Hanwoo (Bostaurus Coreanae) (한우 거세우의 체중 및 체형에 대한 성장곡선 모수 추정)

  • Choi, Te-Jeong;Seo, Kang-Seok;Kim, Si-Dong;Cho, Kwang-Hyun;Choi, Jae-Gwan;Hwang, In-Ho;Choi, Ho-Sung;Park, Chul-Jin
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.601-612
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    • 2008
  • This study was conducted to figure out how the shape of Hanwoo changes over time, examine the rank correlations between the carcass traits which are the selection traits and parameters of growth curve, and determine the correlation between body shape and carcass. Body weight, body measurements and carcass traits were measured from 161 castrated Hanwoo, and 12 growth traits and 5 carcass traits were investigated in total. The logistic model(Nelder, 1961) used for the estimation of growth curve parameters and growth characteristics at inflection point were calculated by these growth curve parameters. The value of this parameter was greatest for pinbone width, which suggests that it is an early ripening trait, while it was lowest for chest girth, suggesting it to be a late ripening trait. The rank correlations of chest depth, chest width, and hip width with backfat thickness steadily increased from 6 to 24 months, while the rank correlations of other traits decreased after 18 months until 24 months of age. Only phenotypic records were analyzed in this study, but for examine the genetic changes over growth phase in Hanwoo, if another additional genetic analysis like as estimation of genetic parameters should achieve, body measurements may be useful traits in proven bull selection.