• Title/Summary/Keyword: GNP

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Short-term Construction Investment Forecasting Model in Korea (건설투자(建設投資)의 단기예측모형(短期豫測模型) 비교(比較))

  • Kim, Kwan-young;Lee, Chang-soo
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.121-145
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    • 1992
  • This paper examines characteristics of time series data related to the construction investment(stationarity and time series components such as secular trend, cyclical fluctuation, seasonal variation, and random change) and surveys predictibility, fitness, and explicability of independent variables of various models to build a short-term construction investment forecasting model suitable for current economic circumstances. Unit root test, autocorrelation coefficient and spectral density function analysis show that related time series data do not have unit roots, fluctuate cyclically, and are largely explicated by lagged variables. Moreover it is very important for the short-term construction investment forecasting to grasp time lag relation between construction investment series and leading indicators such as building construction permits and value of construction orders received. In chapter 3, we explicate 7 forecasting models; Univariate time series model (ARIMA and multiplicative linear trend model), multivariate time series model using leading indicators (1st order autoregressive model, vector autoregressive model and error correction model) and multivariate time series model using National Accounts data (simple reduced form model disconnected from simultaneous macroeconomic model and VAR model). These models are examined by 4 statistical tools that are average absolute error, root mean square error, adjusted coefficient of determination, and Durbin-Watson statistic. This analysis proves two facts. First, multivariate models are more suitable than univariate models in the point that forecasting error of multivariate models tend to decrease in contrast to the case of latter. Second, VAR model is superior than any other multivariate models; average absolute prediction error and root mean square error of VAR model are quitely low and adjusted coefficient of determination is higher. This conclusion is reasonable when we consider current construction investment has sustained overheating growth more than secular trend.

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A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Emissions Reduction (배기(排氣)가스 배출억제(排出抑制)의 비용(費用)-수익분석(收益分析))

  • Lee, Hong-gue
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.61-87
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    • 1992
  • Reducing the level of greenhouse gas emissions is necessary to mitigate global warming. One of the most feasible methods to reduce emissions would be to conserve energy and substitute fossil fuels. Yet reducing emissions entails huge financial costs, so it is advisable to employ cost-effective economic instruments such as a carbon tax or tradeable emissions permits. Assuming that the proper economic tools will be used in the future, we calculated the optimal level of emissions reduction for Korea. We applied to our cost-benefit analysis Nordhaus' scenario regarding the economic damage from a $3^{\circ}C$ rise in global temperatures, which is the calculated result when the greenhouse gas level doubles. The result of our analysis based on the 1990 data indicates that the optimal level of emissions reduction ranges from 2% to 15 % of current emissions depending on the value of damage parameters. We also found that the amount of emissions must be reduced will increase if action is postponed, when the development of climate engineering technology or more efficient use of energy is expected. In addition, we discussed the advantages and disadvantages of the economic instruments available to implement emissions reduction. Tradeable permits and carbon tax are equivalent in their cost-effectiveness, but have different implications in practice.

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Money and Capital Accumulation under Imperfect Information: A General Equilibrium Approach Using Overlapping Generations Model (불완전(不完全)한 정보하(情報下)의 통화(通貨)의 투자증대효과분석(投資增大效果分析): 중복세대모형(重複世代模型)을 이용한 일반균형적(一般均衡的) 접근(接近))

  • Kim, Joon-kyung
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.191-212
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    • 1992
  • This paper discusses the role of money in the process of capital accumulation where financial markets are impeded by contract enforcement problems in the context of overlapping generations framework. In particular, in less developed countries (LDCs) creditors may know little about the repayment capability of potential debtors due to incomplete information so that financial instruments other than money may not acceptable to them. In this paper the impediments to the operation of the private finanical markets are explicitly modelled. We argue that creditors cannot observe actual investment decisions made by the potential borrowers, and as a result, loan contracts may not be fully enforceable. Therefore, a laissez-faire regime may fail to provide the economy with the appropriate financial instruments. Under these circumstances, we introduce a government operated discount window (DW) that acts as an open market buyer of private debt. This theoretical structure represents the practice of governments of many LDCs to provide loans (typically at subsidized interest rates) to preferred borrowers either directly or indirectly through the commercial banking system. It is shown that the DW can substantially overcome impediments to trade which are caused by the credit market failure. An appropriate supply of the DW loan enables producers to purchase the resources they cannot obtain through direct transactions in the credit market. This result obtains even if the DW is subject to the same enforcement constraint that is responsible for the market failure. Thus, the DW intervention implies higher investment and output. However, the operation of the DW may cause inflation. Furthermore, the provision of cheap loans through the DW results in a worse income distribution. Therefore, there is room for welfare enhancing schemes that utilize the higher output to develop. We demonstrate that adequate lump sum taxes-cum-transfers along with the operation of the DW can support an allocation that is Pareto superior to the laissez-faire equilibrium allocation.

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Effect of the A-site Deficieny of ABO3 type (La0.75Sr0.25)1-xFeO3-δ Used as Cathode Materials for SOFC on the Electrode Properties (고체산화물 연료전지의 공기극용 ABO3구조의 (La0.75Sr0.25)1-xFeO3-δ의 A-site변화에 따른 전극 특성 연구)

  • Park, Ju-Hyun;Lee, Seung-Bok;So, Hui-Jeong;Lim, Tak-Hyoung;Yoon, Soon-Gil;Shin, Dong-Ryul;Song, Rak-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Electrochemical Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2008
  • We synthesized and investigated $(La_{0.75}Sr_{0.25})_{1-x}FeO_{3-\delta}$ perovskite oxides having different stoichiomety (x = 0, 0.02, 0.04, 0.06, 0.08) as cathode materials. SEM images and XRD patterns reveal that the synthesized powder has uniform size distribution and high degree of crystallinity. The electrochemical performances of the synthesized powders were investigated by AC impedance spectroscopy. Both the electric conductivity and the electrochemical performance showed the highest properties at the stoichiometry x = 0.02. Finally, we concluded that the variation of A-site deficiency results in the variation of the amount of oxygen vacancy and micro structure, which leads to the variation of electric conductivity and polarization resistance.

A Plan for Building up Echo-marine Leisure Infrastructure for the Industrial Growth to Marine Leisure at Ho-Nam Area (호남지역 해양레저산업 발전을 위한 친환경 해양레저 기반시설 구축방안)

  • Park, Sung-Hyeon;Jeong, Jung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2007
  • Many countries foster the tour and leisure industries as a national strategic industry of the 21st century. The tour and leisure industry is expected to be reorganized from the land-based industry to the ocean-based industry as the GNP in a nation is over USD $20,000{\sim}30,000$ dollars. In Korea, since we adopt a five-day week, the total working hours for a week is shortened. As the result, leisure activities in family, such as experience tour, ecological tour, travel, and overnight tour, are expected to be increased. Leisure and sports tours, which link the tour and sports to rafting, hang gliding, and marine leisure, have been also increased over 21.6%. A number of small and big islands near Ho-Nam coastal areas play an important role as natural breakwater. Thus, the ports in Ho-Nam area is safely protected from physical effects by ocean waves and is maintained without constructing a breakwater. In this paper, we analyses the required conditions as the marine leisure base in the southwest sea area which has the natural advantages for marine leisure. We also discuss how to activate the yacht business on Ho-Nam coast area. And then we analyse the present situations and obstacles of a domestic marine leisure. We also suggest the plan to build up echo-marine leisure infrastructure for industrial growth of marine leisure in Ho-Nam area.

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A Study on the Comparisons of the Environmental Factors of Each Nation in the Field of Marine Leisure Sport Industry - Focusing on the Correlations between the Environmental Factors and the Promotion Index - (해양레저스포츠산업 환경요인의 국가간 비교분석에 관한 연구 - 환경요인과 산업활성화 지표간의 관련성 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jin-Mo;Kang, Jeong-Gu;Park, Young-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.317-323
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    • 2008
  • The interest in the marine leisure sports is rapidly growing, due to the increases of the leisure time in the five working day per week and the increases of GNP. The regional governments are trying to attract massive investments into the marine leisure industry through international exhibitions and yacht rallies: However, the domestic demand patterns don't increase in contrast to those advanced countries. Up to now, few studies have been made on the industrial factors for the promotions of the marine leisure sports. In this study, variables affecting the marine leisure sports were analyzed into economical, social factors and so on. The correlations between the environmental variables and the number of the leisure boats per 1,000 persons were analyzed. Lastly, prospective suggestions were made for the developments of the marine leisure sport industries through comparisons of the domestic environmental factors with those of the advanced countries.

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A Study for the Vitalizations of Marine Leisure Sports; Analyses on the recognitions for the Marine Leisure Sports and their Current State-of-the- Art (해양레저스포츠에 대한 인식과 이용실태 분석을 통한 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Mo;Shin, Yong-John;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.8
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    • pp.645-652
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    • 2008
  • The interest on the marine leisure sports is rapidly increasing with the advent of the five-day week and with increments of GNP. The self-governing bodies are trying to drag large investments into the marine leisures industry through international exhibitions and yacht rallies. Unfortunately, the demands in the domestic area don't increase differently from those demand patterns in the advanced countries. In this study, several suggestions for vitalizations on the marine leisure industry are made after surveying the recognition degree of the domestic people on the marine leisures and the current states of their spending on the marine leisures. As results, it has been shown that the policies based upon negative factors coming from negative understandings on the leisure activities should be largely revised. Further, it seems that the policies for the preparations of the laws and the regulations for the marine leisures as well as for the R&D policies should be taken systematically so that the infra structures are constructed while improving the negative understandings on the leisures. The fundamental databases investigated in this study will help the policy makers and the investors reduce the risks of the policy and the investments in the field of marine leisure sports.

Preparation and characterization of La0.8Sr0.2Ga0.8Mg0.1Co0.1O3-δ electrolyte using glycine-nitrate process (Glycine nitrate process로 합성된 La0.8Sr0.2Ga0.8Mg0.1Co0.1O3-δ 전해질의 제조 및 특성평가)

  • Ok, Kyung-Min;Kim, Kyeong-Lok;Kim, Tae-Wan;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Park, Hee-Dae;Sung, Youl-Moon;Park, Hong-Chae;Yoon, Seog-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Crystal Growth and Crystal Technology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2013
  • Conductivity of LSGMC materials were affected by secondary phase segregation, composition and synthetic route. $La_{0.8}Sr_{0.2}Ga_{0.8}Mg_{0.1}Co_{0.1}O_{3-{\delta}}$ (LSGMC) powders were prepared using the glycine nitrate process to produce high surface area and compositionally homogeneous powders. The powders were synthesized with different 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5 of glycine/cation molar ratios. A single perovskite phase from the synthesized powders was characterized with X-ray diffraction patterns. The obtained sintered pellets showed the dense grain microstructure. In case of 1.5 molar ratio, its density was higher than the others. The electrical conductivity measured at $800^{\circ}C$ was observed to be 0.131 $Scm^{-1}$. In addition, the linear thermal expansion behavior was indicated between $25^{\circ}C$ and $800^{\circ}C$.

Nurse Practitioner Roles and Curriculums in the United States (미국 전문간호사(NP)의 역할과 교육과정에 관한 고찰)

  • Lee Sun-Ock
    • The Journal of Korean Academic Society of Nursing Education
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 1999
  • Based on literature, status and role of the NP in America was reviewed. The process of developing NP program in America suggests us many things. In America, nurse practitioners have sustained a mutually beneficial status with their patients for over thirty years. Excel fence in academic education and clinical training will enable nurse practitioners to continue to provide quality health care. The magnitude changes in the health care system of the United States, the challange of providing real access of health care continues. Lack of access to adequate primary care was the driving force in the initial 1965 Federal Involvement in developing the NP role. In 1993 President Bill Clinton's health care reform initiative provided policy support for NPs as primary care providers. The Institute of Medicine explicitly recognized NPs as an integral part of the primary care team. In addition, several national reports recognized NPs as affordable, accessible, high-quality care providers. The recent passage of direct Medicare reimbursement for NPs reflected public policy statements coincided with and likely contributed to a growth spurt in the NP workforce. From 1965 to 1977 NP programs offered traditional primary care clinical tracks(adult, family, woman's health, and pediatrics) for relatively small clusters of students in a variety of institutional settings. From 1978 to 1990 these educational programs were incorporated into graduate schools of nursing. By 1990 the majority of NPs received educational preparation in master's-level nursing programs. A new emphases was placed on postmaster's NP programs designed for master's prepared clinical nurse specialists and nurse managers. he the health care system shifted hospital nursing resources toward community-based care, these master's -level nurses sought additional NP preparation. NP educational programs are defined as the educational structure in which one or more NP clinical tracks are offered. NP clinical tracks, in turn, offer curriculum and supervised clinical experiences that match standards in specific practice areas such as family(FNP), adult(AUP), geriatrics(GNP), pediatrics(PNP), women's health (WHNP), neonatal (NNP), and acute care(ACNP). There were indications that NP practice was expanding into new clinical areas as evidenced by new types of tracks, particularly in acute care and psychiatry. The increase in acute care NP students likely reflects the increased demand from hospitals and other acute care settings. In Korea, change of nurse's role into nurse practitioner's role may have many difficulties. The need of health consumer, policy support of government, approval of medical care team are all essential component. Every nursing personnel make effort to planning the new health care delivery system.

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Study of Optimization and Characteristics of PSCF3737(Pr0.3Sr0.7Co0.3Fe0.7O3) for IT-SOFC (중저온형 SOFC를 위한 PSCF3737(Pr0.3Sr0.7Co0.3Fe0.7O3) 공기극 물질의 특성 및 최적화께 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kwang-Jin;Lee, Chang-Bo;Kim, Jung-Hyun;Baek, Seung-Wook;Bae, Joong-Myeon
    • Journal of the Korean Electrochemical Society
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.207-212
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    • 2007
  • [ $PSCF3737(Pr_{0.3}Sr_{0.7}Co_{0.3}Fe_{0.7}O_3)$ ] is a good candidate cathode material for IT-SOFC(intermediate temperature solid oxide fuel cell) because of high MIEC(mixed ionic electronic conductor) conductivity. In this study, the characteristics of PSCF3737 was investigated and optimizations of sintering temperature and thickness for $PSCF3737(Pr_{0.3}Sr_{0.7}Co_{0.3}Fe_{0.7}O_3)$ was carried out. Impedance responses were divided into two parts by frequency region. Middle frequency part (${\sim}10^2\;Hz$) was concerned with oxygen reduction reaction on surface and low frequency part (${\sim}10^{-1}\;Hz$) was related with oxygen diffusion. The reasonable sintering temperature and thickness of cathode were $1200^{\circ}C$ and about $27\;{\mu}m$ with regard to EIS(electrochemical impedance spectroscopy). ASR(areas specific resistance) of optimized cathode is $0.115\;{\Omega}\;cm^2$ at $700^{\circ}C$.