• 제목/요약/키워드: GLOBAL WARMING

검색결과 2,172건 처리시간 0.027초

MODELING OF HUMAN INDUCED CO2 EMISSION BY ASSIMILATING GIS AND SOC10-ECONIMICAL DATA TO SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR OECD AND NON-OECD COUNTRIES

  • Goto, Shintaro
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 1998년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 1998
  • Using GIS and socio-economical data the relationship between human activities and global environmental change Is Analysed from the view point of food productivity and CO2 emission. Under the assumption that the population problem, the food problem and global warming due to energy consumption can be stabilized through managing land use, impacts of human activities such as consumption of food, energy and timber on global environment changes, and global population capacity are Analysed using developed system dynamics model in the research. In the model the world is divided into two groups: OECD countries and the others. Used global land use data set Is land cover map derived from satellite data, and potential distribution of arable land is estimated by the method of Clamor and Solomon which takes into consideration spatial distribution of climate data such as precipitation and evapotranspiration. In addition, impacts of CO2 emission from human activities on food production through global warming are included in the model as a feedback. The results of the analysis for BaU scenario and Toronto Conference scenario are similar to the results of existing models. From the result of this study, the human habitability in 2020 is 8 billion people, and CO2 emission in 2020 based on BaU Scenario and on Toronto Scenario is 1.7 and 1.2 times more than the 1986's respectively. Improving spatial resolution of the model by using global data to distribute the environmental variables and sauce-economical indices is left for further studies.

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지구온난화 최소화를 위한 신재생 에너지들의 잠재환경영향 (Identification of Potential Environmental Impacts among Renewable Energy Technologies Promising to Minimize Global Warming)

  • 김용범;정용
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2008
  • Global warming, which is one of the most serious challenges, has been the subject of intense debate and concern for many scientists, policy-makers, and citizens for at least the past decade. To protect the health and economic well-being of current and future generations, we must reduce our emissions like carbon dioxide. Alternatives to achieve an energy future without serious global warming are to change to clean and renewable sources of energy like the wind, the sun lights, rivers, the biomass, hydrogen, and oceans. To identify some of the key and new environmental impacts associated with renewable energy and hydrogen energy, we set up the new conceptual methodology. Specifically, new identified environmental and health impacts are related with the usage of hydrogen energy. When comparing with fossil fuel, the renewable energies can reduce the release of carbon dioxide when they are used except hydrogen produced from fossil fuel. However, all renewable energy technologies are not appropriate to all applications or locations. Our results suggest that all of alternatives to replace fossil fuel can release the several global and local impacts although they seems to be smaller than the impacts from fossil fuel. Therefore, the quantitative and detail analysis to assess environmental impacts of the alternative energies might be useful to make our decision for the future energy against the global warming.

확률 강우량의 변동성 분석 (An Analysis of the variability of rainfall quantile estimates)

  • 정성인;유철상;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.256-261
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    • 2004
  • Due to the problems of global warming, the frequency of meteorological extremes such as droughts, floods and the annual rainfall amount are suddenly increasing. Even though the increase of greenhouse gases, for example, is thought to be the main factor for global warming, its impact on global climate has not yet been revealed clearly in rather quantitative manners. Therefore, tile objective of this study is to inquire the change of precipitation condition due to climate change by global warming. In brief, this study want to see its assumption if rainfall quantile estimates are really changing. In order to analyze the temporal change, the rainfall quantile estimates at the Seoul rain gauge stations are estimated for the 21-year data period being moved from 1908 to 2002 with 1-year lag. The main objective of this study is to analyze the variability of rainfall quantile estimates using four methods. Next, The changes in confidence interval of rainfall quantile are evaluated by increasing the data period. It has been found that confidence interval of rainfall quantile estimates is reduced as the data period increases. When the hydraulic structures are to be designed, it is important to select the data size and to re-estimate the flood prevention capacity in existing river systems.

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기술사 마당 - 제언 - 환경보전을 위한 제언(IX) (A Proposal for Environmental Protection(IX))

  • 문승수
    • 기술사
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.48-52
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    • 2012
  • Global warming is worsen and worsen every day, But we have no result to overcome this crisis omen. With regret we have no means of curing the circumstances. Firstly we must know exact causes of the warming, Secondly we have to reduce any consumable materials use qnd find a new green way to cultivate crops productions. I suggest, we, the P.E should do the work for retardation of global warming.

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기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 역으로 지구온난화에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of the Global Timber Market on Global Warming when Climate Changes)

  • 이덕만
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.287-311
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 지속적인 산림경영 증진의 필요성과 관련한 한 분야의 연구로서 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 산림을 통해 대기에 배출하는 순탄소량의 규모에 대한 측정을 시도하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장 분석을 위해 개발한 목재공급모형(변형된 TSM 2000)과 동태적 탄소모형(확장된 TCM)을 통합하여 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 산림을 통해 대기에 배출하는 순탄소량의 규모를 1995년부터 2085년까지 90년간 시뮬레이션하였다. 정상적으로 성장하는 목재수요(ND) 시나리오 하의 시뮬레이션 결과에 따르면 2085년에 이르러 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장은 1990년도 대기에 축적된 탄소랑의 약 3.60퍼센트를 감소시킨다는 사실을 알 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 결과는 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 산림의 탄소 유입과 배출을 통해 역으로 지구온난화를 완화하는데 기여하게 된다는 사실을 보여 준다. 본 연구는 민감도 분석을 위해 빠르게 성장하는 목재수요(HD) 시나리오와 매우 빠르게 성장하는 목재수요(VHD) 시나리오 하에서 기후변화의 영향을 받는 세계목재시장이 대기에 배출하는 순탄소량의 규모에 대한 시뮬레이션을 시도하였다.

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온난화 처리가 신갈나무(Quercus mongolica)와 졸참나무(Q. serrate)의 종자발아와 생장에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Experimental Warming on Seed Germination and Growth of Two Oak Species (Quercus mongolica and Q. serrata))

  • 박성애;김태규;심규영;공학양;양병국;서상욱;이창석
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제52권3호
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    • pp.210-220
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 기온상승 강도에 따른 우리나라 주요 참나무류의 종자 발아와 초기생장에 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위해 수행되었다. 신갈나무와 졸참나무를 대상으로 온도구배온실을 이용하여 대조구, 중간 강도 온난화 처리구($+1.7^{\circ}C$) 및 강한 강도 온난화 처리구($+3.2^{\circ}C$)를 준비하여 재배실험을 실시하였다. 그 결과, 발아반응과 초기생장 반응은 기온상승 강도 및 수종에 따라 차이를 보였다. 중간 강도의 온난화 환경은 두 종의 발아반응을 촉진하고, 생장량(묘고, 근원경)과 생물량(잎, 줄기, 뿌리의 건중량 및 총 생물량)을 증가시켜, 초기정착에 다소 유리할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 그러나 Tm에서 두 종 모두 대조구보다 낮은 RMR과 높은 H/D율을 나타내, 장기적으로는 생장에 불리하게 작용할 수 있을 것임을 암시한다. 강한 강도의 온난화 환경은 신갈나무와 졸참나무의 발아반응을 촉진시켰으나, 생육기간 종료 시점의 총 생물량은 대조구보다 유의하게 낮았다. 뿌리 생장은 대조구보다 크게 저하되었고, 이로 인하여 RMR은 낮고 S/R율은 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 강한 강도의 온난한 환경이 봄철에는 발아시기를 앞당겨 생장기간을 증가시켰지만, 여름철에는 임계치 이상의 높은 온도가 생장에 스트레스요인으로 작용하는데 기인한 것으로 판단된다. 식물의 생장은 온난화 처리기간, 토양수분, 광환경 등의 환경요인에 따라 다를 수 있으므로, 온난화에 의한 영향을 정확하게 판단하기 위해서는 다른 환경인자에 대한 모니터링과 장기간에 걸친 추가 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단되었다. 기온상승에 대한 두 식물의 반응을 비교하면, 발아 반응에서 졸참나무가 신갈나무보다 기온상승에 따른 발아율 상승이 높게 반응하였고, 생물량 분배반응에서 신갈나무가 졸참나무보다 민감하게 반응하는 차이를 보였다. 이는 자연에서 양 식물의 공간 분포가 가져오는 미기후 차이에서 비롯된 것으로 판단된다.

2021년 7월 동해에서 발생한 극한 고온현상과 기작 (Record-breaking High Temperature in July 2021 over East Sea and Possible Mechanism)

  • 이강진;권민호;강현우
    • 대기
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2022
  • As climate change due to global warming continues to be accelerated, various extreme events become more intense, more likely to occur and longer-lasting on a much larger scale. Recent studies show that global warming acts as the primary driver of extreme events and that heat-related extreme events should be attributed to anthropogenic global warming. Among them, both terrestrial and marine heat waves are great concerns for human beings as well as ecosystems. Taking place around the world, one of those events appeared over East Sea in July 2021 with record-breaking high temperature. Meanwhile, climate condition around East Sea was favorable for anomalous warming with less total cloud cover, more incoming solar radiation, and shorter period of Changma rainfall. According to the results of wave activity flux analysis, highly activated meridional mode of teleconnection that links western North Pacific to East Asia caused localized warming over East Sea to become stronger.

Effects of Global Warming on the Distribution of Overwintering Pomacea canaliculata (Gastropoda: Ampullariidae) in Korea

  • Bae, Mi-Jung;Kwon, Yong-Su;Park, Young-Seuk
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.453-458
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    • 2012
  • The golden apple snail, Pomacea canaliculata, is a freshwater snail native to tropical and subtropical South America. The species was introduced into Korea as a human food source in 1983 and was first applied as a weed control agent for the paddy fields in 1992. As the snail is well known as an environmentally friendly biological control agent for weeds, the area of cultivation in which the golden apple snail is used for biological control has been enlarged substantially each year. Currently, the species is observed in open water courses. It is possible that the snail may overwinter in these open water courses and may become a serious pest, as is already the case in many Asian countries. In this study, we determined the status of the overwintering golden apple snail based on a literature survey and investigated the potential distribution area of the snail, as a result from global warming in Korea. The potential distribution area of the overwintering golden apple snail would be enlarged under the influence of global warming; ranging from 45.5% of South Korea's land area in the 2020s to 88.4% in the 2080s.

기후변화에 따른 북극해 빙해역 변화 (Projected Sea-ice Changes in the Arctic Sea under Global Warming)

  • 권미옥;장찬주;이호진
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2010
  • This study examines changes in the Arctic sea ice associated with global warming by analyzing the climate coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) provided in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We selected nine models for better performance under 20th century climate conditions based on two different criteria, and then estimated the changes in sea ice extent under global warming conditions. Under projected 21st century climate conditions, all models, with the exception of the GISS-AOM model, project a reduction in sea ice extent in all seasons. The mean reduction in summer (-63%) is almost four times larger than that in winter (-16%), resulting an enhancement of seasonal variations in sea ice extent. The difference between the models, however, becomes larger under the 21st century climate conditions than under 20th century conditions, thus limiting the reliability of sea-ice projections derived from the current CGCMs.