• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Decision Making

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Cost Risk Analysis for Preparing Budgets of Information Security using Fuzzy AHP (정보보안 예산 수립에서 퍼지 AHP의 적용을 통한 위험 비용 분석)

  • Ryu, Si-Wook;Her, Duk-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the breakdown of online banking servers and the leakage of customer information give rise to much concern about the security of information systems in financial and banking companies in Korea. The enforcement of security for information system becomes much more important issue than earlier. However, the security reinforcement of information system is restricted by a budget. In addition, the activities' cost to secure information system from threatening are under uncertain circumstances and should be established by a human decision maker who is basically uncertain and vague. Thus, making the budget for information system is exposed to any extent of the risk for these reasons. First, we introduce brief fuzzy set theory and fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) methodology. Then, the cost elements that comprise yearly budget are presented and the priorities among the cost elements are calculated by fuzzy AHP. The cost elements that are exposed to risk are evaluated from the both perspectives of the risk impact and risk occurrence possibility which are expressed as linguistic terms. To get information on the risk profiles-pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic-for each cost element, the evaluation is accomplished and the result is presented. At last, the budget ranges-minimum, mode, maximum-for each cost element are estimated with the consideration of the risk profiles.

VE/LCC Analysis Models of Breakwaters by Fuzzy Reliability Approach (퍼지 신뢰성 이론에 의한 방파제의 VE/LCC 분석모델)

  • Ahn, Jong-Pil;Park, Ju-Won;Yu, Deog-Chan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the concepts of integrated VE analysis assessment is introduced in order to achieve "Design for Deterioration performance" in design VE phase. For this purpose, a framework for fuzzy reliability based LCC and value analysis model using fuzzy logic based approach for breakwaters Projects is suggested. It is anticipated that the methodology Proposed in this paper can also be utilized in the design and maintenance phase of other facilities where decision making is made for the fuzzy reliability based life cycle cost and value analysis.

Development on Fuzzy-AHP Ranking Risk Assessment Model for the monitoring systems (관제시스템 구축을 위한 Fuzzy-AHP 위험 순위 평가 모델 개발)

  • Chung, Sung-Hak;Park, Tae-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop an evaluation model for the National highway risky areas. Thus, for the purposes of doing this, National highway risky area evaluated targeting to provide determination ranking and suggesting rival-superiority factors as well as under-inferiority factors in ten National highway risky areas. This study developed for modules of risky areas evaluation, using fuzzy set theory and analytic hierarchy process for evaluation model of National highway risky area in transport environment. The preceding studies assess risk analysis through analysis of causal relationships by National highway safety sector not only handles rating scale development suitable for assessment area by referring to accident frequency model but also geometric structures model. As result of this study, this model of Fuzzy Ahp Risk Analysis (FARA) apply for programmable design in real time processing through easily derive strategy for improvement activities to provide a decision-making effectively. Furthermore, this study contributes frame for improvements of National highway construction for renovation's priority strategy as well as future's policy schemes.

Ship's Collision Avoidance Support System Using Fuzzy-CBR

  • Park, Gyei-Kark;Benedictos John Leslie RM.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2006
  • Ship's collision avoidance is a skill that masters of merchant marine vessels have acquired through years of experience and that makes them feel at ease to guide their ship out from danger quickly compared to inexperienced officers. Case based reasoning (CBR) uses the same technique in solving tasks that needs reference from variety of situations. CBR can render decision-making easier by retrieving past solutions from situations that are similar to the one at hand and make necessary adjustments in order to adapt them. In this paper, we propose to utilize the advantages of CBR in a support system for ship's collision avoidance while using fuzzy algorithm for its retrieval of similar navigational situations, stored in the casebase, thus avoiding the cumbersome tasks of creating a new solution each time a new situation is encountered. There will be two levels within the Fuzzy-CBR. The first level will identify the dangerous ships and infer the new case. The second level will retrieve cases from casebase and adapt the solution to solve for the output. While CBR's accuracy depends on the efficient retrieval of possible solutions to be adapted from stored cases, fuzzy algorithm will improve the effectiveness of solving the similarity to a new case at hand.

A Study on the Development of Driving Risk Assessment Model for Autonomous Vehicles Using Fuzzy-AHP (퍼지 AHP를 이용한 자율주행차량의 운행 위험도 평가 모델 개발 연구)

  • Siwon Kim;Jaekyung Kwon;Jaeseong Hwang;Sangsoo Lee;Choul ki Lee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.192-207
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    • 2023
  • Commercialization of level-4 (Lv.4) autonomous driving applications requires the definition of a safe road environment under which autonomous vehicles can operate safely. Thus, a risk assessment model is required to determine whether the operation of autonomous vehicles can provide safety to is sufficiently prepared for future real-life traffic problems. Although the risk factors of autonomous vehicles were selected and graded, the decision-making method was applied as qualitative data using a survey of experts in the field of autonomous driving due to the cause of the accident and difficulty in obtaining autonomous driving data. The fuzzy linguistic representation of decision-makers and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP), which converts uncertainty into quantitative figures, were implemented to compensate for the AHP shortcomings of the multi-standard decision-making technique. Through the process of deriving the weights of the upper and lower attributes, the road alignment, which is a physical infrastructure, was analyzed as the most important risk factor in the operation risk of autonomous vehicles. In addition, the operation risk of autonomous vehicles was derived through the example of the risk of operating autonomous vehicles for the 5 areas to be evaluated.

Synthesis of Spatial Results to Recommend a Preferred Alternative

  • Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kang, Shin-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.798-802
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    • 2010
  • The integration of GIS and fuzzy MCDA(Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis) allows the engineer to determine the preferred alternative for each spatial location in the study area. The next step is to recommend to the final decision makers a single flood management alternative for the entire region. Note that if the study area is large, it might be possible to use the kind of information to recommend different alternatives for different portions of the region. However, for this study it is assumed that only a single alternative will be used. In this study, a "cost of uniformity" metric is proposed that allows decision makers to compute the impact of selecting a single alternative for the entire floodplain. This metric represents the increase in the average distance metric value as compared to the spatially diverse solution from the MCDA and GIS analysis. The results could be applied to any region of the floodplain as desired. Whether the decision makers decide to apply these calculations to the entire floodplain or to specific important regions within the floodplain, an analysis of the increases in the cost of uniformity provides an integrated way for the decision maker to rank the alternatives. This should provide an improvement in their engineering analysis.

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FuzzyES for Environmental Risk Assessment of Ship Navigation (항행 선박 주변 환경의 위험도 평가를 위한 퍼지 전문가 시스템)

  • Kim, Do-Yeon;Yi, Mi-Ra;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.541-547
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    • 2010
  • Marine accidents do not correspond with another accidents because of a serious loss of lives and property. The many marine accidents can be attributed to human error like as carelessness and decision faults, and hence there is a strong need for decision-support tools for marine navigation. Much of researchers have introduced the techniques about the tools, but they hardly consider environmental factors (water depth, the width of waterway, a fishing ground, a current, the number of surrounding marine accidents, marine obstacles, etc), which are very important to the decision making of officers. In a previous research, we proposed the conceptual model of environmental risk assessment of ship navigation using fuzzy. This paper describes the detailed design of the environmental factors based on the opinion of navigation experts, and shows the validity of the conceptual model through a prototype system.

Fuzzy-based multiple decision method for landslide susceptibility and hazard assessment: A case study of Tabriz, Iran

  • Nanehkaran, Yaser A.;Mao, Yimin;Azarafza, Mohammad;Kockar, Mustafa K.;Zhu, Hong-Hu
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.407-418
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    • 2021
  • Due to the complexity of the causes of the sliding mass instabilities, landslide susceptibility and hazard evaluation are difficult, but they can be more carefully considered and regionally evaluated by using new programming technologies to minimize the hazard. This study aims to evaluate the landslide hazard zonation in the Tabriz region, Iran. A fuzzy logic-based multi-criteria decision-making method was proposed for susceptibility analysis and preparing the hazard zonation maps implemented in MATLAB programming language and Geographic Information System (GIS) environment. In this study, five main factors have been identified as triggering including climate (i.e., precipitation, temperature), geomorphology (i.e., slope gradient, slope aspect, land cover), tectonic and seismic parameters (i.e., tectonic lineament congestion, distribution of earthquakes, the unsafe radius of main faults, seismicity), geological and hydrological conditions (i.e., drainage patterns, hydraulic gradient, groundwater table depth, weathered geo-materials), and human activities (i.e., distance to roads, distance to the municipal areas) in the study area. The results of analyses are presented as a landslide hazard map which is classified into 5 different sensitive categories (i.e., insignificant to very high potential). Then, landslide susceptibility maps were prepared for the Tabriz region, which is categorized in a high-sensitive area located in the northern parts of the area. Based on these maps, the Bozgoosh-Sahand mountainous belt, Misho-Miro Mountains and western highlands of Jolfa have been delineated as risk-able zones.

Distinction of Hot-Cold Using Fuzzy Inference (퍼지 추론에 의한 한열 판별)

  • Jang, Yun Ji;Kim, Young Eun;Kim, Chul;Song, Mi Young;Rhee, Eun Joo
    • The Journal of the Society of Korean Medicine Diagnostics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2015
  • Objectives Recently the fuzzy logic is widely used in the decision making, identification, pattern recognition, optimization in various fields. In this study, we propose the fuzzy logic as the objective method of distinguishing hot and cold, the basis of diagnosis in Korean medicine. Methods We developed fuzzy inference system to distinguish whether the subjects had hot or cold. The cold and hot questionnaire of Korean traditional university textbook, the pulse rate and the DITI value of face used in the system. These three kinds of information were defined as 'fuzzy sets,' and 54 fuzzy rules were established on the basis of clinical practitioners' knowledge. The fuzzy inference was performed by using the Mamdani's method. To evaluate the usefulness of the fuzzy inference system, 200 cases of data measured in the Woosuk university hospital of oriental medicine were used to compare the determining hot, normal, cold results obtained from the experts and from the proposed system. Results As a result, 100 cases of "cold", 54 cases of "normal", and 34 cases of "hot" were matched between the experts and the proposed system. This fuzzy system showed the conformity degree of 94%(${\kappa}=0.853$). Conclusions In this study, we could express the process of distinguishing hot-cold using the fuzzy logic for objectification and quantification of hot-cold identification. This is the first study that introduce a fuzzy logic for distinguish pattern identification. The degree of the heat characteristic of the patients inferred by this system could provide a more objective basis for diagnosing the hot-cold of patients.

Tuning the Parameters for the Decision Making System in Order to Define Athlete's Aerobic and Anaerobic Thresholds

  • Ketola, Jaakko;Saastamoinen, Kalle;Turunen, Esko
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.317-320
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    • 2004
  • In this work we have managed to find parameters for defining athlete's aerobic and anaerobic thresholds. Thresholds which are of vital importance for top athletes. It is shown how differential evolution and different similarity measures has been used to tune computational model for threshold definitions. From our results it is obvious that the use of right parameter values for this kind expert system is of vital importance.

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