• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy 회귀분석

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Household Types and Changes of Work-Family Time Allocation - Adapting Fuzzy-set Ideal Type Analysis - (일-가족 시간배분에 따른 가구유형과 변화 - 퍼지셋 이상형 분석의 적용 -)

  • Kim, Jin-Wook;Choi, Young-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.64 no.2
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    • pp.31-54
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    • 2012
  • Along with increasing mothers' employment, work-family reconciliation has been recognised as a key policy agenda in contemporary welfare states. Although various policy instruments have been introduced and expanded in recent years, the problem of time allocation within couples still remains as a fundamental issue, which has been largely underresearched at a micro perspective. In this context, this study aims to identify dominant types of work-family time allocation within married couple, and to apply these types to the Korean case using the fuzzy-set ideal type analysis. Further, a series of multiple regression analyses will be implemented to find factors affecting each ideal type of work-family time allocation. The 1999 and 2009 Korea Time Use Survey datasets will be adopted for the analyses. Married couples are selected as samples only when men work 40 hours or more per week and they have at least one pre-school child. Empirical analyses cover three parts. First of all, four ideal types on work-family time allocation are classified by intersecting two core variables - the ratio of men's (paid) working and family (caring time plus domestic work) time to total working and family time. In this research, the four types will be labelled the traditional male breadwinner model (TM, high working and low family time), the dual burden model (DB, shared working but low family time), the family-friendly male breadwinner model (FM, high working but shared family time), and the adaptive partnership model (AP, shared working and shared family time). By comparing the composition of the four ideal types in 1999 and 2009, it will examine the trend of work-family time allocation in Korea. In addition, multiple regressions will be useful for investigating which characteristics contribute to the different degree of each fuzzy ideal score in the four models. Finally, policy implications and further research agenda will be discussed.

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An Automatic Fuzzy Rule Extraction using an Advanced Quantum Clustering and It's Application to Nonlinear Regression (개선된 Quantum 클러스터링을 이용한 자동적인 퍼지규칙 생성 및 비선형 회귀로의 응용)

  • Kim, Sung-Suk;Kwak, Keun-Chang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.182-183
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문에서는 전형적인 비선형 회귀문제를 다루기 위해 슈뢰딩거 방정식에 의해 표현되는 Hilbert공간에서 수행되는 Quantum 클러스터링과 Mountain 함수를 이용하여, 수치적인 입출력데이터로부터 TSK 형태의 자동적인 퍼지 if-then 규칙의 생성방법을 제안한다. 여기서 슈뢰딩거 방정식은 분석적으로 확률함수로부터 유도되어질 수 있는 포텐셜 함수를 포함한다. 이 포텐셜의 최소점들은 데이터의 특성을 포함하는 클러스터 중심들과 관련되어진다. 그러나 이들 클러스터 중심들은 데이터의 수와 같으므로 퍼지 규칙을 생성하기 어려울 뿐만 아니라 수렴속도가 느린 문제점을 가지고 있다. 이러한 문제점들을 해결하기 위해서, 본 논문에서는 밀도 척도에 기초한 클러스터 중심의 근사적인 추정에 대해 간단하면서 효과적인 Mountain 함수를 이용하여 효과적인 클러스터 중심을 얻음과 동시에 적응 뉴로-퍼지 네트워크의 자동적인 퍼지 규칙을 생성하도록 한다. 자동차 MPG 예측문제에 대한 시뮬레이션 결과는 제안된 방법이 기존 문헌에서 제시한 예측성능보다 더 좋은 특성을 보임을 알 수 있었다.

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FUZZY matching using propensity score: IBM SPSS 22 Ver. (성향 점수를 이용한 퍼지 매칭 방법: IBM SPSS 22 Ver.)

  • Kim, So Youn;Baek, Jong Il
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2016
  • Fuzzy matching is proposed to make propensities of two groups similar with their propensity scores and a way to select control variable to make propensity scores with a process that shows how to acquire propensity scores using logic regression analysis, is presented. With such scores, it was a method to obtain an experiment group and a control group that had similar propensity employing the Fuzzy Matching. In the study, it was proven that the two groups were the same but with a different distribution chart and standardization which made edge tolerance different and we realized that the number of chosen cases decreased when the edge tolerance score became smaller. So with the idea, we were able to determine that it is possible to merge groups using fuzzy matching without a precontrol and use them when data (big data) are used while to check the pros and cons of Fuzzy Matching were made possible.

Cable Adjustment of Composite Cable Stayed Bridge with Fuzzy Linear Regression Analysis (선형퍼지회귀분석기법을 이용한 합성형 사장교 케이블의 장력보정)

  • Kwon, Jang Sub;Chang, Seung Pil;Cho, Suh Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.9 no.4 s.33
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    • pp.579-588
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    • 1997
  • During the construction of cable stayed bridge, errors are always caused by various reasons, accumulated and amplified through the complex construction steps. It is likely that the undesirable stress distribution of members and the large deflection of the bridge different from design values come out The adjustment of cables during construction is absolutely indispensable to correct the stress distribution of the members and the geometrical configuration of the bridge. In the conventional method, weight coefficients are used to consider the difference of units between cable forces and girder deflections during the optimization process of cable adjustment. However, it is not easy to determine weight coefficients and the adjustment must be repeated several times with the time consuming process of the determination of new weight coefficients in case that errors are out of design allowable limits. In this paper, fuzzy linear regression analysis is applied to the cable adjustment to overcome those problems. In the application of fuzzy linear regression analysis method the designer's intention and the design allowable limits can be formulated in the form of the constraints of the linear optimization problem. Therefore, the cable adjustment in construction site can be carried out with the fuzzy linear regression analysis more rapidly than with the convetional method.

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Comparison and analysis of data-derived stage prediction models (자료 지향형 수위예측 모형의 비교 분석)

  • Choi, Seung-Yong;Han, Kun-Yeun;Choi, Hyun-Gu
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.547-565
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    • 2011
  • Different types of schemes have been used in stage prediction involving conceptual and physical models. Nevertheless, none of these schemes can be considered as a single superior model. To overcome disadvantages of existing physics based rainfall-runoff models for stage predicting because of the complexity of the hydrological process, recently the data-derived models has been widely adopted for predicting flood stage. The objective of this study is to evaluate model performance for stage prediction of the Neuro-Fuzzy and regression analysis stage prediction models in these data-derived methods. The proposed models are applied to the Wangsukcheon in Han river watershed. To evaluate the performance of the proposed models, fours statistical indices were used, namely; Root mean square error(RMSE), Nash Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient(NSEC), mean absolute error(MAE), adjusted coefficient of determination($R^{*2}$). The results show that the Neuro-Fuzzy stage prediction model can carry out the river flood stage prediction more accurately than the regression analysis stage prediction model. This study can greatly contribute to the construction of a high accuracy flood information system that secure lead time in medium and small streams.

Load Forecasting for Holidays Using a Fuzzy Least Squares Linear Regression Algorithm (퍼지 최소 자승 선형회귀분석 알고리즘을 이용한 특수일 전력수요예측)

  • Song Kyung-Bin;Ku Bon-Suk;Baek Young-Sik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.233-237
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    • 2003
  • An accurate load forecasting is essential for economics and stability power system operation. Due to high relationship between the electric power load and the electric power price, the participants of the competitive power market are very interested in load forecasting. The percentage errors of load forecasting for holidays is relatively large. In order to improve the accuarcy of load forecasting for holidays, this paper proposed load forecasting method for holidays using a fuzzy least squares linear regression algorithm. The proposed algorithm is tested for load forecasting for holidays in 1996, 1997, and 2000. The test results show that the proposed algorithm is better than the algorithm using fuzzy linear regression.

Reliability Computation of Neuro-Fuzzy Models : A Comparative Study (뉴로-퍼지 모델의 신뢰도 계산 : 비교 연구)

  • 심현정;박래정;왕보현
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.293-301
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    • 2001
  • This paper reviews three methods to compute a pointwise confidence interval of neuro-fuzzy models and compares their estimation perfonnanee through simulations. The eOITl.putation methods under consideration include stacked generalization using cross-validation, predictive error bar in regressive models, and local reliability measure for the networks employing a local representation scheme. These methods implemented on the neuro-fuzzy models are applied to the problems of simple function approximation and chaotic time series prediction. The results of reliability estimation are compared both quantitatively and qualitatively.

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An Analysis of Satisfaction with School Forest Using Triangular Fuzzy Number (삼각퍼지수를 활용한 학교숲 만족도 분석)

  • Lee, Seul-Gi;Jang, Jung-Sun;Jung, Sung-Gwan;You, Ju-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2009
  • Wooded areas that are a part of school campuses are one type of urban forest. Most schools located in an urban environment make an excellent setting for a forest in terms of location and area. These kinds of wooded spaces also make the city greener and healthier. As a place where students spend a great deal of time, schools can also be a venue for environmental education. The creation of wooded areas in schools currently has focused on the end result only; by ignoring student needs and participation, these areas have not had a significant influence on student environmental education. Previous studies based on questionnaire survey are significant in that they have quantified subjective qualitative data via Likert Scale. There has been, however, a problem in quantifying the more ambiguous subjective data. Therefore, this paper has attempted to investigate those factors that have an influence on student satisfaction with the wooded areas of their school campus using Fuzzy Theory with elementary school students in Gyeongsangbuk-do. A change was observed in terms of the ranking of arithmetic mean values of 'school peculiarity' and 'emotion evolution' and center of gravity, which has adopted Fuzzy Theory, proving that Fuzzy Theory could rationally objectify qualitative data such as human thoughts. In terms of the influential factors on the satisfaction with school forests(regression coefficient), 'school uniqueness(0.159)' was the highest, followed by 'many trees(0.142),' 'importance of nature(0.136)' and 'emotion evolution(0.130).' This paper may therefore be useful as basic data for objective questionnaire surveys and the development of school forests.

Development of Traffic Accidents Prediction Model With Fuzzy and Neural Network Theory (퍼지 및 신경망 이론을 이용한 교통사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jang-Uk;Nam, Gung-Mun;Kim, Jeong-Hyeon;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.7 s.93
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2006
  • It is important to clarify the relationship between traffic accidents and various influencing factors in order to reduce the number of traffic accidents. This study developed a traffic accident frequency prediction model using by multi-linear regression and qualification theories which are commonly applied in the field of traffic safety to verify the influences of various factors into the traffic accident frequency The data were collected on the Korean National Highway 17 which shows the highest accident frequencies and fatality rates in Chonbuk province. In order to minimize the uncertainty of the data, the fuzzy theory and neural network theory were applied. The neural network theory can provide fair learning performance by modeling the human neural system mathematically. Tn conclusion, this study focused on the practicability of the fuzzy reasoning theory and the neural network theory for traffic safety analysis.

Implementing an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Emotion Prediction Based on Heart Rate Variability(HRV) (심박변이도를 이용한 적응적 뉴로 퍼지 감정예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung Soo;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2019
  • An accurate prediction of emotion is a very important issue for the sake of patient-centered medical device development and emotion-related psychology fields. Although there have been many studies on emotion prediction, no studies have applied the heart rate variability and neuro-fuzzy approach to emotion prediction. We propose ANFEP(Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy System for Emotion Prediction) HRV. The ANFEP bases its core functions on an ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) which integrates neural networks with fuzzy systems as a vehicle for training predictive models. To prove the proposed model, 50 participants were invited to join the experiment and Heart rate variability was obtained and used to input the ANFEP model. The ANFEP model with STDRR and RMSSD as inputs and two membership functions per input variable showed the best results. The result out of applying the ANFEP to the HRV metrics proved to be significantly robust when compared with benchmarking methods like linear regression, support vector regression, neural network, and random forest. The results show that reliable prediction of emotion is possible with less input and it is necessary to develop a more accurate and reliable emotion recognition system.