• 제목/요약/키워드: Future trends

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Breast Cancer in Lampang, a Province in Northern Thailand: Analysis of 1993-2012 Incidence Data and Future Trends

  • Lalitwongsa, Somkiat;Pongnikorn, Donsuk;Daoprasert, Karnchana;Sriplung, Hutcha;Bilheem, Surichai
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권18호
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    • pp.8327-8333
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    • 2016
  • Background: The recent epidemiologic transition in Thailand, with decreasing incidence of infectious diseases along with increasing rates of chronic conditions, including cancer, is a serious problem for the country. Breast cancer has the highest incidence rates among females throughout Thailand. Lampang is a province in the upper part of Northern Thailand. A study was needed to identify the current burden, and the future trends of breast cancer in upper Northern Thai women. Materials and Methods: Here we used cancer incidence data from the Lampang Cancer Registry to characterize and analyze the local incidence of breast cancer. Joinpoint analysis, age period cohort model and Nordpred package were used to investigate the incidences of breast cancer in the province from 1993 to 2012 and to project future trends from 2013 to 2030. Results: Age-standardized incidence rates (world) of breast cancer in the upper parts of Northern Thailand increased from 16.7 to 26.3 cases per 100,000 female population which is equivalent to an annual percentage change of 2.0-2.8%, according to the method used. Linear drift effects played a role in shaping the increase of incidence. The three projection method suggested that incidence rates would continue to increase in the future with incidence for women aged 50 and above, increasing at a higher rate than for women below the age of 50. Conclusions: The current early detection measures increase detection rates of early disease. Preparation of a budget for treatment facilities and human resources, both in surgical and medical oncology, is essential.

Breast Cancer in Surat Thani, a Province in Southern Thailand: Analysis of 2004-2012 Incidence and Future Trends

  • Tassanasunthornwong, Sukit;Chansaard, Wasan;Sriplung, Hutcha;Bilheem, Surichai
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권15호
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    • pp.6735-6740
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    • 2015
  • Background: With the recent epidemiologic transition in Thailand, featuring decreasing incidences of infectious diseases along with increasing rates of chronic conditions, cancer is becoming a serious problem for the country. Breast cancer has the highest incidence rates among females, not only in the southern regions, but throughout Thailand. Surat Thani is a province in the upper part of Southern Thailand. A study was needed to identify the current burden, and the future trends of breast cancer. Materials and Methods: Here we used cancer incidence data from the Surat Thani Cancer Registry to characterize the incidences of breast cancer. Joinpoint analysis was used to investigate the incidences in the province from 2004 to 2012 and to project future trends from 2013 to 2030. Results: Age-standardized incidence rates (world) of breast cancer in the upper parts of Southern Thailand increased from 35.1 to 59.2 cases per 100,000 female population, which is equivalent to an annual percentage change of 4.5-4.8%. Linear drift effects played a role in shaping the increase of incidence. Joinpoint projection suggested that incidence rates would continue to increase in the future with incidence for women aged 50 and above, at a higher rate than for women below the age of 50. Conclusions: The current early detection measures increase detection rates of early disease. Preparation of a budget for treatment facilities and human resources, both in surgical and medical oncology, is essential.

문헌분석을 통한 인터넷전문은행에 관한 국내 연구동향 및 향후 연구방향 고찰 (Analyses of the Domestic Research Trends and Future Research Directions of the Pure Play Internet Banks through Literature Review)

  • 김재덕;옥성환;황경태
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권7호
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구의 목적은 인터넷전문은행의 국내 연구 현황을 분석하고, 향후 연구 방향을 제시하는 것이다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 먼저, 인터넷전문은행의 기본 개념과 현황을 간략히 정리하고, 문헌 분석 기준을 수립하고, 수립한 기준을 바탕으로 인터넷전문은행에 관련된 56편의 문헌을 분석하였다. 인터넷전문은행 분야의 학술적인 연구와 실무에서 참고할 수 있는 주요한 연구 결과와 향후 연구방향을 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 연구 방법적으로 비실증 연구는 의견/주장보다는 수학적/개념적 모델 수립의 연구를, 실증 연구의 경우에는 2차 데이터 분석 방법을 활용하고, 둘째, 개인수준의 연구의 경우, 은행 인력에 대해 연구와 고객 대상의 연구에서 활용과 성과에 대한 심도 있는 연구가 필요하고, 셋째, 조직 단위의 연구 활성화가 필요하고, 넷째, 사회 수준 연구에서는 인터넷전문은행의 파급효과를 보다 체계적으로 분석할 필요가 있다고 판단된다.

융복합 시대의 비즈니스 프로세스 자동화, RPA(Robotic Process Automation) 동향분석 및 미래방향 (Trends Analysis and Future Direction of Business Process Automation, RPA(Robotic Process Automation) in the Times of Convergence)

  • 현영근;이주연
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.313-327
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    • 2018
  • 인간의 노동을 기술이 대체하는 시대가 도래하고 있다. 제조영역에서 기업의 생산성을 증대시키기 위해 공장자동화(Factory Automation, FA) 및 스마트 팩토리(Smart Factory, SF)를 도입하는 것처럼, 서비스 영역 및 사무업무 영역에서도 RPA(Robotic Process Automation) 도입을 통해 기업의 경쟁력을 강화시키고 있다. 하지만, RPA 자체는 어디까지나 개념일 뿐 특정한 기술과 솔루션을 의미하지는 않으며, 소프트웨어 로봇이나 인공지능 개념을 기반으로 비즈니스 프로세스를 자동화하는 기술들의 새로운 개념이라고 할 수 있다. RPA도입 전후의 가장 큰 차이점은, 인간노동(Human Labor) 중심의 업무수행에서 디지털노동(Digital Labor)으로 사람의 노동력 자체를 대체한다는 것에 있다. 이렇듯 노동에 대한 시대적 개념이 변함에 따라, 미래 변화에 대한 정책적 논의가 필요한 시점이라 사료된다. 본 논문에서는 RPA에 대해 개괄적으로 살펴본 후, 산업동향 및 기술동향, 그리고 RPA 미래방향에 대한 이해를 통해 우리가 준비해야 할 고민에 대해 살펴보고자 한다.

ICT-oriented Training of Future HEI Teachers: a Forecast of Educational Trends 2022-2024

  • Olena, Politova;Dariia, Pustovoichenko;Hrechanyk, Nataliia;Kateryna, Yaroshchuk;Serhii, Nenko
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.387-393
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    • 2022
  • The article reflects short-term perspectives on the use of information and communication technologies in the training of teachers for higher education. Education is characterized by conservatism, so aspects of systematic development of the industry are relevant to this cluster of social activity. Therefore, forecasting the introduction of innovative elements of ICT training is in demand for the educational environment. Forecasting educational trends are most relevant exactly in the issues of training future teachers of higher education because these specialists are actually the first to implement the acquired professional skills in pedagogical activities. The article aims to consider the existing potential of ICT-based learning, its implementation in the coming years, and promising innovative educational elements that may become relevant for the educational space in the future. The tasks of scientific exploration are to show the optimal formats of synergy between traditional and innovative models of learning. Based on already existing experience, extrapolation of conditions of educational process organization with modeling realities of using information and communication technologies in various learning dimensions should be carried out. Educational trends for the next 3 years are a rather tentative forecast because, as demonstrated by the events associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, the socio-cultural space is very changeable. Consequently, the dynamism of the educational environment dictates the need for a value-based awareness of the information society and the practical use of technological advances. Thus, information and communication technologies are a manifestation of innovative educational strategies of today and become an important component along with traditional aspects of educational process organization. Future higher education teachers should develop a training strategy taking into account the expediency of the ICT component.

밀레니얼 세대의 비건트렌드에 대한 인식 및 미래 요구도 조사 (Investigation of Millennials' Perception of Vegan Trends and Future Needs)

  • 송은혜;정복미
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.373-386
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study examined the perception of the vegan trend of millennials and their future needs. Methods: This study was conducted online from June 21, 2021, to July 15, 2021, targeting 425 adult men and women born between 1980 and 2000. The contents of the survey were divided into four categories: general information, awareness of vegetables, awareness of vegan trends, and future needs for vegan trends. Results: Most respondents recognized the importance of eating vegetables and perceived vegetarianism and veganism as a lifestyle. Regarding the perception of the vegan trend, the highest response rate was 'The vegan trend is to be satisfied with my life regardless of other people', while the lowest response rate was 'The vegan trend is only a temporary fad'. The reasons for purchasing vegan products with high response rates were 'interest in the earth and environment', 'protection of animal rights', and 'thinking about health'. The type of vegan product wanted in the future was delicious food, and convenience level was in the order of 'completely cooked', 'half-cooked', and 'pre-processed'. Among the sustainable vegetarian types that millennials responded, 'semi-vegetarian', which can consume most animal products excluding red meat, showed the highest response rate. Conclusions: The positive perceptions about vegetables are expected to increase. Efforts should be made to develop convenient meals using vegetables and provide reasonable prices to expand vegetable intake.

Projecting the spatial-temporal trends of extreme climatology in South Korea based on optimal multi-model ensemble members

  • Mirza Junaid Ahmad;Kyung-sook Choi
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.314-314
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    • 2023
  • Extreme climate events can have a large impact on human life by hampering social, environmental, and economic development. Global circulation models (GCMs) are the widely used numerical models to understand the anticipated future climate change. However, different GCMs can project different future climates due to structural differences, varying initial boundary conditions and assumptions about the physical phenomena. The multi-model ensemble (MME) approach can improve the uncertainties associated with the different GCM outcomes. In this study, a comprehensive rating metric was used to select the best-performing GCMs out of 11 CMIP5 and 13 CMIP6 GCMs, according to their skills in terms of four temporal and five spatial performance indices, in replicating the 21 extreme climate indices during the baseline (1975-2017) in South Korea. The MME data were derived by averaging the simulations from all selected GCMs and three top-ranked GCMs. The random forest (RF) algorithm was also used to derive the MME data from the three top-ranked GCMs. The RF-derived MME data of the three top-ranked GCMs showed the highest performance in simulating the baseline extreme climate which was subsequently used to project the future extreme climate indices under both the representative concentration pathway (RCP) and the socioeconomic concentration pathway scenarios (SSP). The extreme cold and warming indices had declining and increasing trends, respectively, and most extreme precipitation indices had increasing trends over the period 2031-2100. Compared to all scenarios, RCP8.5 showed drastic changes in future extreme climate indices. The coasts in the east, south and west had stronger warming than the rest of the country, while mountain areas in the north experienced more extreme cold. While extreme cold climatology gradually declined from north to south, extreme warming climatology continuously grew from coastal to inland and northern mountainous regions. The results showed that the socially, environmentally and agriculturally important regions of South Korea were at increased risk of facing the detrimental impacts of extreme climatology.

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