• Title/Summary/Keyword: Future projection

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An Analysis of Health Care Services for the Elderly in Rural Areas: Its Demand in Projection and Policy Implications (우리나라 농촌지역(시.군 통합모형)의 노인보건의료 자원 수급계획에 관한 연구)

  • 정영일;정문호;강성홍;이창은
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.22-46
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    • 1995
  • This is an effort to project health care resources in need for the elderly in the future when advanced transportation systems would greatly reduce geographical accessibility to health care services for the rural elderly. Two areas, Kimhae and Chuncheon, were selected for the study. Projection of health professionals and health care institutions for the elderly were made based on the analysis for the morbidity and illness behavior reported to two data sources, National Survey for the Elderly in 1992 by Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs and beneficiary data by Korea Medical Insurance Cooperation for those living in the study areas in 1992. Projected number of health professionals and health care institutions were estimated for each area under study in years of 2010 and 2030, with those in a Japanese being used as a standard. Policy implications were discussed.

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A Study on the Development of Modular Housing System with Built-in IT Convergence Technology Process for Urban Regeneration Community Contribution (도시재생 지역사회공헌을 위한 IT융합기술프로세스 조립식 모듈러 주택시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Geon;Woo, Jong-Yeol;Kang, Yeong-Sun;Cha, Yong-Myung;Kim, Jung-Woo;Lee, Dong-Oun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.183-184
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    • 2018
  • Recent construction projects have now regenerated the existing city rather than reconstruction or redevelopment to create a new paradigm. While the aged houses are reviewed to distinguish between the repair, reinforcement and reconstruction stages, the modular construction system makes the most of space using the modular system, and the projection mapping system is combined with the existing space. Therefore, we will proceed with the research so that improvement and correction of future issues can be made.

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GEOMETRY OF L2(Ω, g)

  • Roh, Jaiok
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.283-289
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    • 2006
  • Roh[1] derived 2D g-Navier-Stokes equations from 3D Navier-Stokes equations. In this paper, we will see the space $L^2({\Omega},\;g)$, which is the weighted space of $L^2({\Omega})$, as natural generalized space of $L^2({\Omega})$ which is mathematical setting for Navier-Stokes equations. Our future purpose is to use the space $L^2({\Omega},\;g)$ as mathematical setting for the g-Navier-Stokes equations. In addition, we will see Helmoltz-Leray projection on $L^2_{per}({\Omega},\;g)$) and compare with the one on $L^2_{per}({\Omega})$.

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Rotation Angle Estimation Method using Radial Projection Profile (방사 투영 프로파일을 이용한 회전각 추정 방법)

  • Choi, Minseok
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.20-26
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we studied the rotation angle estimation methods required for image alignment in an image recognition environment. In particular, a rotation angle estimation method applicable to a low specification embedded-based environment was proposed and compared with the existing method using complex moment. The proposed method estimates the rotation angle through similarity mathcing of the 1D projection profile along the radial axis after converting an image into polar coordinates. In addition, it is also possible to select a method of using vector sum of the projection profile, which more simplifies the calculation. Through experiments conducted on binary pattern images and gray-scale images, it was shown that the estimation error of the proposed method is not significantly different from that of complex moment-based method and requires less computation and system resources. For future expansion, a study on how to match the rotation center in gray-scale images will be needed.

Projection and Analysis of Future Temperature and Precipitation using LARS-WG Downscaling Technique - For 8 Meteorological Stations of South Korea - (LARS-WG 상세화 기법을 적용한 미래 기온 및 강수량 전망 및 분석 - 우리나라 8개 기상관측소를 대상으로 -)

  • Shin, Hyung-Jin;Park, Min-Ji;Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2010
  • Generally, the GCM (General Circulation Model) data by IPCC climate change scenarios are used for future weather prediction. IPCC GCM models predict well for the continental scale, but is not good for the regional scale. This paper tried to generate future temperature and precipitation of 8 scattered meteorological stations in South Korea by using the MIROC3.2 hires GCM data and applying LARS-WG downscaling method. The MIROC3.2 A1B scenario data were adopted because it has the similar pattern comparing with the observed data (1977-2006) among the scenarios. The results showed that both the future precipitation and temperature increased. The 2080s annual temperature increased $3.8{\sim}5.0^{\circ}C$. Especially the future temperature increased up to $4.5{\sim}7.8^{\circ}C$ in winter period (December-February). The future annual precipitation of 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s increased 17.5 %, 27.5 %, and 39.0 % respectively. From the trend analysis for the future projected results, the above middle region of South Korea showed a statistical significance for winter precipitation and south region for summer rainfall.

A Household Projections Using Headship Rate Method (가구주율법에 의한 장래가구추계)

  • 김형석
    • Survey Research
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.65-90
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to develope an appropriate method of the household projection in Korea. Given the data constraints, the headship rate method is selected. This method is known to be responsive to changes in demographic factors related to household formation. To project future headship rates, the method of net transition rates based on the average of two-census intervals was adopted for household heads ages 35 and over, while the log-linear formula was employed for those aged under 35. The future headship rate of Korean males shows a one-peak pattern with plateau, whereas that of Korean females marks a two-peak pattern. For a better projection of household in the future, one-person households should be treated more carefully, because they are mostly either young adults or the elderly whose activities of household formation and dissolution are very hard to forecast.

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Weigh-in-Motion load effects and statistical approaches for development of live load factors

  • Yanik, Arcan;Higgins, Christopher
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.76 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this paper is to simply present live load factor calculation methodology formulation with the addition of a simple new future load projection procedure to previously proposed two methods. For this purpose, Oregon Weigh-in-Motion (WIM) data were used to calculate live load factors by using WIM data. These factors were calculated with two different approaches and by presenting new simple modifications in these methods. A very simple future load projection method is presented in this paper. Using four different WIM sites with different average daily truck traffic (ADTT) volume, and all year data, live load factors were obtained. The live load factors, were proposed as a function of ADTT. ADTT values of these sites correspond to three different levels which are approximately ADTT= 5,000, ADTT = 1,500 and ADTT ≤ 500 cases. WIM data for a full year were used from each site in the calibration procedure. Load effects were projected into the future for the different span lengths considering five-year evaluation period and seventy-five-years design life. The live load factor for ADTT=5,000, AASHTO HS20 loading case and five-year evaluation period was obtained as 1.8. In the second approach, the methodology established in the Manual for Bridge Evaluation (MBE) was used to calibrate the live load factors. It was obtained that the calculated live load factors were smaller than those in the MBE specifications, and smaller than those used in the initial calibration which did not convert to the gross vehicle weight (GVW) into truck type 3S2 defined by AASHTO equivalents.

Current situation and possible management practice in future of rural water conservancy in Hai River Basin

  • He, Huining
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.191-191
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    • 2016
  • Hai River Basin is one of China's major agricultural areas, with a huge rural population. Water conservancy is of great importance in this region. There are three integral elements in managing rural water resources: the consideration of current situation, the adoption of effective management measures, and the projection of future needs. In this study, we provide an in-depth investigation of current water resources situation of Hai River Basin. Five issues are analyzed: (1) the construction of conservancy projects; (2) the irrigation of farmland; (3)the safety of drinking water; (4)the protection of water environment; and (5)the model of management practice. Existing problems are diagnosed and possible solutions are discussed. Finally, a summary is made for managing water resources and meeting future needs.

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New record of a blood-feeding terrestrial leech, Haemadipsa rjukjuana Oka, 1910 (Haemadipsidae, Arhynchobdellida) on Heuksando Island and possible habitat estimation in the current and future Korean Peninsula using a Maxent model

  • Tae-Yeong Eom;Hyeon-Soo Kim;Yeong-Seok Jo
    • Journal of Species Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.109-113
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    • 2023
  • To build a distribution model for Haemadipsa rjukjuana, we collected current occurrences of the species on Heuksando with adjacent islands. Based on current locations and 19 climate variables with DEM (digital elevation model), we built the MaxEnt (maximum entropy) species distribution model for H. rjukjuana in the islands. Then, we applied the MaxEnt model to the mainland of Korea with the current climate condition and topology. In addition to the current distribution scenario, we predicted the future distribution scenarios in Korea by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) global climate models. Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 585 of two CMIP6 models(GISS-E2-1 and INM-CM4-8) from 2040 to 2100 were used for the future projection.

Korean Musical Actress Jung Sun-Ah's Acting Skill and Style from the Projection and Back-projection Perspectives ('투사-역투사 이론' 관점의 한국 뮤지컬 배우 정선아의 연기 스킬과 스타일 특성)

  • Kim, Jeong-Seob;Lee, Eun-Hye
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2021
  • Jeong Sun-Ah built up her performance career for twenty years with bold and energetic acting and solidified her status as a leading actress of Korean musical since her debut. To benefit from the value of her experience this study performed an in-depth interview with her, applying the Theory of "Projection" and "Back-projection", which are the psychological principles of acting, and derived "acting(entering the roles)" and "de-acting(leaving the roles)" techniques. As result, Her acting mechanism involved emptying her ego, embodying a persona by projecting the role created by intensive exploration of materials like previous performance, film of the same title, original novel, and script, and then getting the ego back by back-projecting through dynamic activities such as overseas travel and dance. She pre-studied the roles by physically visiting sites that are important to the characters. She was unique in that she pursued a difference by changing vocal trainers for each musical production and undertook more intense physical training than vocal practice to achieve powerful singing performance. In most of her works (75%), she suffered from aftereffects such as depression, narcissism, hysteria, and insomnia due to disorder caused by breaking away from the roles. However, she relied on self-help and alternatives are needed in the future such as reinforcement of expert counselling. Jeong Sun-Ah appeared on an average of 1.6 productions per year, practiced for an average of 1.7 months, and performed for an average of 3.9 months with an average of 100 days of break between productions. Her performance record from this research demonstrates her constant preparation and passion, as well as the know-how of reserving and distributing energy. So, it has a valuable implications for acting education and self-management of actors and actress.