• Title/Summary/Keyword: Future Prediction

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Prediction of Future Land use Using Times Series Landsat Images Based on CA (Cellular Automata)-Markov Technique (시계열 Landsat 영상과 CA-Markov기법을 이용한 미래 토지이용 변화 예측)

  • Lee, Yong-Jun;Pack, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the temporal land cover change by gradual urbanization of Gyeongan-cheon watershed. This study used the five land use of Landsat TM satellite images(l987, 1991, 2001, 2004) which were classified by maximum likelihood method. The five land use maps examine its accuracy by error matrix and administrative district statistics. This study analyze land use patterns in the past using time.series Landsat satellite images, and predict 2004 year land use using a CA-Markov combined CA(Cellular Automata) and Markov process, and examine its appropriateness. Finally, predict 2030, 2060 year land use maps by CA-Markov model were constructed from the classified images.

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Extreme wind prediction and zoning

  • Holmes, J.D.;Kasperski, M.;Miller, C.A.;Zuranski, J.A.;Choi, E.C.C.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.269-281
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    • 2005
  • The paper describes the work of the IAWE Working Group WGF - Extreme Wind Prediction and Zoning, one of the international codification working groups set up in 2000. The topics covered are: the international database of extreme winds, quality assurance and data quality, averaging times, return periods, probability distributions and fitting methods, mixed wind climates, directionality effects, the influence of orography, rare events and simulation methods, long-term climate change, and zoning and mapping. Recommendations are given to promote the future alignment of international codes and standards for wind loading.

Time series prediction using virtual term generation scheme

  • Jo, Taeho;Cho, Sungzoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.67-70
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    • 1996
  • The values measured at different time and enumerated sequentially by homogenous interval is called time series. Its goal is to predict values in future by analysing the measured values in past. The stastical approach to time series prediction tend to be by a neural approach with difficulties in expressing the reationship among past data. In neural approach, the preblem is the acquisting of the enough training data in advance. The goal of this paper is that such problem is solved by generating another term as virtual term between terms in time series.

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A Study on Perturbation Effect and Orbit Determination of Communication Satellite (통신위성에 작용하는 섭동력의 영향평가와 궤도결정)

  • Park, Soo-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 1992
  • This study concerns about the orbit prediction and orbit determination of Korean future communication satellite, called 'Moogunghwa", which will be motioned in the geo-stationary orbit. Perturbation effect on the satellite orbit due to nonspherical gravitation of the earth, gravitation of the sun and moon, radiation of sun, drag of the atmosphere was investigated. Cowell's method is used for orbit prediction. Orbit determination was performed by using Extended Kalman Filter which is suitable for real-time orbit determination. The result shows that the chacteristics of the satellite orbit has east-west and south-north drift. So the periodic control time and control value in the view of the periodic of error can be provided. The orbit determination demonstrated the effectiveness since the convergence performance on the positon and velocity error, and state error standard deviation is reasonable.able.

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Orbit determination of moogunghwa satellite (무궁화위성의 궤도결정)

  • 박수홍;조겸래
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.692-697
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    • 1992
  • This study concerns about the orbit prediction and orbit determination of Korean future communication satellite, called "Moogunghwa", which will be motioned in the geo-stationary orbit. Perturbation effect on the satellite orbit due to nonspherical geopotential term, lunar and solar gravity, drag force of the atmosphere and solar radiation pressure was investigated. Cowell's method is used for orbit prediction. Orbit determination was performed by using EKF which is suitable for real-time orbit determination. The result shows that the characteristics of the satellite orbit has drift. So the periodic control time and control value in the view of the periodic of error can be provided. The orbit determination demonstrated the effectiveness since the convergence performance on the position and velocity error , and state error standard deviation is reasonable.easonable.

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Profit-Maximizing Virtual Machine Provisioning Based on Workload Prediction in Computing Cloud

  • Li, Qing;Yang, Qinghai;He, Qingsu;Kwak, Kyung Sup
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.12
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    • pp.4950-4966
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    • 2015
  • Cloud providers now face the problem of estimating the amount of computing resources required to satisfy a future workload. In this paper, a virtual machine provisioning (VMP) mechanism is designed to adapt workload fluctuation. The arrival rate of forthcoming jobs is predicted for acquiring the proper service rate by adopting an exponential smoothing (ES) method. The proper service rate is estimated to guarantee the service level agreement (SLA) constraints by using a diffusion approximation statistical model. The VMP problem is formulated as a facility location problem. Furthermore, it is characterized as the maximization of submodular function subject to the matroid constraints. A greedy-based VMP algorithm is designed to obtain the optimal virtual machine provision pattern. Simulation results illustrate that the proposed mechanism could increase the average profit efficiently without incurring significant quality of service (QoS) violations.

통신위성에 작용하는 섭동력의 영향평가와 궤도결정

  • 박수홍;조겸래
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1992.04a
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    • pp.200-205
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    • 1992
  • This study concerns about the orbit prediction and orbit determination of Korean future connumication satellite, called "Moogunghwa" , which will be motioned in the geo-stationary orbit. Perturbation effect on the satellite orbit due to nonspherical term, lunar and solar gravity, drag force of the atmospher, and solar radiation pressure was investigated. Cowell's method is used for orbit prediction. Orbit determination was performed by using Extended Kalman Filter which is suitable for real-time orbit determination. The result shows that the chacteristics of the satellite orbit has east-west and south-north drift. So the periodic control time and control value in the view of the periodic of error can be provided. The orbit determination demonstrated the effectiveness since the convergence performance on the positon and velocity error, and state error standard deviation is reasonable.

Channel Prediction based MAC Protocol in Cognitive Radio Networks. (인지무선 네트워크에서의 채널예측기반 MAC 프로토콜)

  • Zhu, Wen-Min;Park, Hyung-Kun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.10
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    • pp.1914-1916
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    • 2010
  • Cognitive radio MAC protocol should allow secondary users to access unused or under-utilized spectrum without interference to primary users. For cognitive MAC protocol, one of the important issues is how to select the channel opportunities for secondary users. In this paper, we propose a novel cognitive MAC protocol to allocate channel opportunities for the secondary users based on the prediction of future availability. The proposed MAC protocol can reduce the interference to primary users and increase throughput using multiple channels.

A Study on the Probabilistic Prediction of Typhoons Approaching the Korean-Peninsula (한반도에 대한 태풍내습확률 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jun-Il;Yu, Hui-Jeong;Lee, Bae-Ho
    • Water for future
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.273-279
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    • 1984
  • An attempt is made to present a method of prediction for typhoons apporaching the Korean-peninsula. The method is based upon the Bayesian theorem to improve the observed (prior) probabilities of typhoons approaching the Korean sea area incorporating conditional probability. A total of 248 typhoons is collected and analyzed to establish prior probability and conditional probability according to the defined procedure. The typhoons used are those which encompassed the western Pacific area to which the Korean-peninsula is subjected. The results of examplary computations suggest that the presented method is promising for predicting approaching typhoons.

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A Fast Inter-Domain Network-based IP Mobility Scheme for Urban Areas

  • Taghizadeh, Alireza;Wan, Tat-Chee;Budiarto, Rahmat
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.645-655
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    • 2014
  • Latency, an identified element of Internet protocol (IP) mobility protocol execution, can reduce handover performance in mobile networks. Although the performance can be improved by applying an effective network-based IP mobility scheme in place of the traditional host-based alternatives, the existing inter-domain extensions of network-based IP mobility continue to suffer from an extended handover latency. This paper proposes a new inter-domain network-based IP mobility scheme based on node movement prediction. The proposed scheme accelerates the handover by preparing the future domain of the mobile node in a proactive manner. Analytical and simulation-based evaluations confirm improved performance of the proposed scheme in terms of handover latency and packet loss compared with existing schemes.