• 한국생산제조학회지
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• 제18권6호
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• pp.621-628
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• 2009

Because the Ultra-Precision Technology increase its competitiveness in the field of the design, precision of processing technology, confidence and fixation degree are major considerations. According to Pattern shapes using these processing technologies, Light Reflection has influence on the sense of sight about human being. Based on background of these studies, we draw a plan about a round workpiece using a 3D design program and analyze the effect on Light Reflection changing a pattern angle and a source of light through SPEOS program in this research. We make Pattern form as V-Shape, and compare the area distributed by Light Reflection by classifying angle into 4 and analyze changes according to a source of light. In order to measure and evaluate the data from simulation analysis we has manufactured Diamond Tool and has processed Pattern precision using a Ultra-Precision Machine. Based on the result of this study, we forecast that the field of design will achieve rapid growth due to Ultra-Precision Technology in the world market.

• 천문학회지
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• 제47권6호
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• pp.209-214
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• 2014

In this study we develop a set of solar proton event (SPE) forecast models with NOAA scales by Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP), one of neural network methods, using GOES solar X-ray flare data from 1976 to 2011. Our MLP models are the first attempt to forecast the SPE scales by the neural network method. The combinations of X-ray flare class, impulsive time, and location are used for input data. For this study we make a number of trials by changing the number of layers and nodes as well as combinations of the input data. To find the best model, we use the summation of F-scores weighted by SPE scales, where F-score is the harmonic mean of PODy (recall) and precision (positive predictive value), in order to minimize both misses and false alarms. We find that the MLP models are much better than the multiple linear regression model and one layer MLP model gives the best result.

• Environmental Engineering Research
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.162-168
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• 2017

Rainfall is one of the most important phenomena of the natural system. In Bangladesh, agriculture largely depends on the intensity and variability of rainfall. Therefore, an early indication of possible rainfall can help to solve several problems related to agriculture, climate change and natural hazards like flood and drought. Rainfall forecasting could play a significant role in the planning and management of water resource systems also. In this study, univariate Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was used to forecast monthly rainfall for twelve months lead-time for thirty rainfall stations of Bangladesh. The best SARIMA model was chosen based on the RMSE and normalized BIC criteria. A validation check for each station was performed on residual series. Residuals were found white noise at almost all stations. Besides, lack of fit test and normalized BIC confirms all the models were fitted satisfactorily. The predicted results from the selected models were compared with the observed data to determine prediction precision. We found that selected models predicted monthly rainfall with a reasonable accuracy. Therefore, year-long rainfall can be forecasted using these models.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.37-50
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• 2002

Simultaneous estimation of accuracy and probability corresponding to a prediction interval is considered in this study. Traditional application of confidence interval forecasting consists in evaluation of interval limits for a given significance level. The wider is this interval, the higher is probability and the lower is the forecast precision. In this paper a measure of stochastic forecast accuracy is introduced, and a procedure for balanced estimation of both the predicting accuracy and confidence probability is elaborated. Solution can be obtained in an optimizing approach. Suggested method is applied to constructing confidence intervals for parameters estimated by normal and t distributions

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.360-365
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 데이터의 효율적인 활용과 정확성에서 보다 우수한 특성을 보이는 GMDH(Croup Method of Data Handling) 알고리즘을 전력수요예측에 적용함으로써 입력 데이터의 선정을 용이하게 하였고, 다양한 데이터를 기반으로 보다 정확한 예측을 할 수 있게 하였다. 그리고, 예측 시에 경제적인 요인(GDP, 수출, 수입, 취업자 수, 경제활동인구, 석유소비량)과 기후적인 요인(평균기온)을 모두 고려하였다. 또한 목표 예측 기간을 1999년 1/4분기에서 2001년 1/4분기까지 9개의 분기로 가정하고, 가정한 목표 기간의 예측 정확도를 높이기 위해 3단계의 시뮬레이션 과정(최적 입력 분기 수를 결정하는 과정, 입력 데이터와 예측값의 시간적 연관성을 분석하는 과정, 입력 데이터의 최적화 과정)을 이용함으로써 더 정확한 전력수요예측 방법을 제시하였고, 제안된 기법으로 목표한 예측 기간에서 0.96%의 평균 에러율을 얻을 수 있었다.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제23권9호
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• pp.142-148
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• 2006

Hydraulic excavators have been popular devices in construction fields because of their multi-workings and economic efficiency. The mathematical models of excavators have many nonlinearities because of opening characteristics and dead zone of main control valve(MCV), oil temperature variation, etc. The objective of this paper is to develop a simulator for hydraulic excavator using AMESim. Components and their circuits are expressed graphically. Also, parameters and nonlinear characteristics are considered in a text style. From the simulation results, fixed spring stiffness of MCV can not obtain the satisfactory accuracy of spool displacement under whole P-Q diagrams. Closed loop type MCV containing a proportional gain, is proposed in this paper that can reduce displacement error. The ability of closed loop MCV is verified through comparing with normal type MCV using AMESim simulator. The excavator simulator can be used to forecast the attachment behaviors when components, mechanical attachments and hydraulic circuits change, or other control algorithms are applied. The simulator could be a kind of development platform for new excavators.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.89-97
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• 2005

Thin plate correction of forming process that it is nowadays smile change of simple contact surface as it becomes possible that forecast dictionary numerically exactly to analyze comparative big comp displacement real industry spot problems between complicated and abnormal curved line shapes and thin plate and die more reliable and need many efforts yet economical analysis method is required and develops this efficient algorithm. This research analyzes correction of forming and examined possibility and validity of spot application using One-Step Finite Element Method. Its application is being increased especially in the automotive industrial area for the cost reduction, weight saving, and improvement of strength.

• 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전기전자재료학회 2005년도 하계학술대회 논문집 Vol.6
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• pp.459-460
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• 2005

The global consumption of aspheric surfaces will expand rapidly on the Electronics and Optical Components, Information and Communications, Aerospace and Defense, and Medical optics markets etc. We must research on market, technology forecast and analysis of aspheric surfaces that is a principle step of ultra precision machine technology with a base one of optical elements. Especially, F-theta lens is one of the important parts in LSU(Laser scanning unit) because it affects on the optical performance of LSU dominantly. The core is most of important to produce plastic F-theta lens by plastic injection molding method, which is necessary to get the ultra-precision aspheric and non-axisymmetric machine processing technology.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.21-29
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• 2021

최근 다양한 애플리케이션 도메인을 위한 IoT 솔루션이 개발되고 있으며, 농업분야에서도 IoT 기술을 적용하여 농작물 생산량은 늘리는 반면에 손실은 줄임으로써 농업 생산성을 향상시키기 위한 데이터기반 정밀농업 연구가 진행되고 있다. 이에 본 논문은 미기상 데이터를 수집하여 서리 및 병해충 등 농업예측서비스를 제공하기 위한 스마트팜 플랫폼을 제안하고자 한다. 제안된 플랫폼에서는 실시간으로 수집한 미기상 데이터를 기반으로 서리 및 병해충을 예측하여, 농민들에게 서리 가능성과 병해충 예보 서비스를 제공한다. 실험을 통해 확인한 결과, 미기상기반 예측 플랫폼은 지역기상기반 데이터를 이용한 서리예측보다 더 높은 정밀도(Precision)값을 보임을 알 수 있었다. 정확한 실험을 위하여 시스템 설치 현장에서 실제 관측한 병해충 예찰 데이터를 수집 중에 있다. 본 플랫폼을 활용하여 서리와 병해충 발생 예측정보를 사전에 효과적으로 제공함으로써, 농민들이 작물 피해 및 불필요한 농약 사용을 줄일 수 있도록 하는 정밀농업 서비스를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국측량학회 2003년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.69-74
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• 2003

GPS/Meteorology technique for PWV monitoring is currently actively being researched an advanced nation. But, there is no detailed research on an evaluation of precision of GPS derived PWV measurements during the period of foul weather condition. Here, we deal with the precision of GPS derived PWV during the passage of Typhoon RUSA. Typhoon RUSA which caused a series damage was passed over in Korea from August 30 to September 1, 2002. We compared th tropospheric wet delay estimated from GPS observation and radio-sonde data at four sites(Suwon, Kwangju, Taegu, Cheju). The mean standard deviation of PWV differences at each site is ${\pm}$0.005mm. We also obtained GPS PWV at 13 GPS permanent stations(Seoul, Wonju, Seosan, Sangju, Junju, Cheongju, Taegu, Wuljin, Jinju, Daejeon, Mokpo, Sokcho, Jeju). GPS PWV time series shows, in general, peak value before and during th passage of RUSA, and low after the RUSA. GPS PWV peak time at each station is related to the progress of a typhoon RUSA. We obtained very similar result as we compare GMS satellite image with tomograph using GPS PWV and we could present th possibility of practical use by numerical model for weather forecast.